New Mexico State vs Missouri State Prediction, Picks & Odds | 04 Jan 2026

College Basketball Betting Preview: New Mexico State vs Missouri State

The New Mexico State face the Missouri State Bears, with tip-off scheduled for 15:00 on Sunday, January 4.

We’re eager to back Missouri State to beat New Mexico State and that leads us to the Moneyline for our prediction. It’s difficult to turn down the -104 that the home team claim the win.

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New Mexico State lost on the road in their previous game. Florida International Panthers won 89-74.

Missouri State Bears last game saw them claim a 79-55 home win over UTEP Miners.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Missouri State	9-5	1048	973	75	8-2	1-3	5W
New Mexico State	8-5	1009	899	110	7-1	1-4	2L

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New Mexico State vs Missouri State Prediction & Picks

Head into New Mexico State vs Missouri State with expert betting insights, including our main match prediction, best correct score pick and a value-driven bet builder. Dive into each section below for more.

Game Prediction

The pick for this college contest is to back the home team at -104 on the Moneyline. We think that New Mexico State are vulnerable, so this is the best angle of attack with our bet.

Team news plays a key role in our basketball forecasts and we’re always tracking players with injury concerns. We also stay on top of the college hoops form guide, supported by detailed stats that help paint a clearer picture of what to expect.

Key New Mexico State vs Missouri State stats:

• Missouri State have won 4 consecutive games.
• Missouri State have won 7 of their last 10 games at home.
• Missouri State have won 11 of their last 20 games at home.
• NM State have lost 4 of their last 5 games on the road.
• NM State have lost 6 of their last 10 games on the road.
• NM State have lost their last 3 games on the road.

Missouri State Moneyline Probability

According to the best sportsbooks, there’s a 51% likelihood of our pick landing a return. However, we think that the probability is close to 60% taking all factors into consideration. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this college basketball wager.

The spread provides you with the chance to get more juice on your wagers. You can move the betting line for Missouri State and choose the odds to suit you.

Get more from your wager using our bonus guide, which highlights top betting offers, free bets, and welcome promotions.

Our Game Prediction

Missouri State Moneyline @ -104 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

NM State 70 - 73 Missouri State

There’s every chance that this is going to be a close game and we’ll have a play on Missouri State enjoying a 73-70 winning scoreline. Hopefully this can go close.

New Mexico State vs Missouri State Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

There’s the opportunity to back Missouri State at -127 on the Moneyline although New Mexico State are priced up at betting odds of +105. There is a 56% chance of the hosts winning according to the top sportsbooks.

The spread is calculated to be 1.5, while total points comes in at 134.5. The advantage of the Totals is that you only have to choose from one of two options. If you want to back Over 134.5, it’s -115.

Whether you’re betting pre-game or in-game, the top basketball sportsbooks serve up a wide range of team props and game lines to choose from. The options are nearly endless, and it’s great to have so much variety.

Moneyline

NM State

+105

Missouri State

-127

Point Spread

NM State +1.5

-114

Missouri State -1.5

-106

Total Points

Under 134.5

-105

Over 134.5

-115

As an alternative to the game lines, check out the player prop bets that are available. It’s especially great if you have a view when it comes to Turnovers, Steals, Blocks and Points, while there are lots of other options.

An increasing number of bettors are now enjoying micro betting on college basketball and it’s something which is available on an in-game basis. Wait for the action to start and then wager on something specific to happen.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

New Mexico State Stats

Missouri State Stats

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 145.00 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 137.90 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 136.5: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games
• Over 136.5 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 77.00 pts and allowed 68.00 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 67.80 pts and allowed 70.10 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 135.80 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 146.50 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 136.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 136.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 68.00 pts and allowed 67.80 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 78.30 pts and allowed 68.20 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Conference USA	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Liberty	11-3	1138	954	184	8-1	3-2	5W
Middle Tennessee	9-5	1074	972	102	8-2	1-3	2W
Missouri State	9-5	1048	973	75	8-2	1-3	5W
FIU	9-5	1222	1094	128	9-2	0-3	2W
Western Kentucky	9-5	1164	1075	89	8-2	1-3	2W
New Mexico State	8-5	1009	899	110	7-1	1-4	2L
Louisiana Tech	8-6	973	827	146	8-0	0-6	2L
Kennesaw State	8-6	1245	1061	184	6-1	2-5	4L
Sam Houston	8-6	1215	1067	148	4-0	4-6	2L
Jacksonville State	7-7	1035	905	130	5-4	2-3	1L
Delaware	5-9	926	990	-64	4-6	1-3	1W
UTEP	4-10	978	1013	-35	4-3	0-7	3L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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