New Orleans Pelicans vs Denver Nuggets Prediction, Picks & Odds | NBA Monday

If you agree with our prediction that the Nuggets can be superior to the Pelicans, you can get -112 for this selection against the spread. The big favorites should be capable of covering the -11.5 line.

New Orleans Pelicans have suffered five straight defeats, recently being beaten at home by Boston Celtics 118-116 at Smoothie King Center. Trey Murphy scored 40 points, with Jose Alvarado getting 20 and CJ McCollum 17.

Denver Nuggets made it back-to-back wins in their last game. It was a 107-104 road triumph at Spectrum Center when meeting Charlotte Hornets. Nikola Jokic shone on the court with a triple-double performance that featured 28 points, 17 assists and 13 rebounds.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Nuggets beat the Pelicans in their last head-to-head matchup. It was a 132-129 (OT) scoreline at Smoothie King Center. The previous 10 H2H meetings have involved the Nuggets winning six times.

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Nuggets	18	6	0.75	125.5	115.9	9.6	6-4	12-2	2-1	13-5	7-3	4W
Pelicans	4	22	0.154	114.2	123.5	-9.3	3-12	1-10	1-6	2-19	2-8	1W

View Full Standings

4 wins and 6 losses in the past 10 games. The Pelicans are averaging 119.0 points, 44.2 rebounds, 26.1 assists, 9.4 steals and 5.9 blocks while shooting 46.4% from the field and 76.6% from the free-throw line. The opposition have averaged 122.1 points and 49.1 rebounds per contest.

Trey Murphy is averaging 25.3 points, 6.1 rebounds and 3.3 (38.4%) 3-pointers made, while Dejounte Murray averages 6.0 assists.

The Nuggets have won 6 and lost 4 of their last 10 contests. Averaging 121.1 points, 44.4 rebounds, 30.7 assists, 7.1 steals and 5.2 blocks per game while shooting 53.0% from the field and 82.6% from the free-throw line. Their opponents have averaged 119.5 points and 40.3 rebounds.

Nikola Jokic is averaging 23.2 points, 10.4 rebounds and 10.8 assists, while Julian Strawther has an average of 2.0 (38.5%) 3-pointers made.

Confirmed Starting Lineups

New Orleans Pelicans lineup: Zion Williamson, CJ McCollum, Javonte Green, Yves Missi, Trey Murphy.

Denver Nuggets lineup: Christian Braun, Michael Porter Jr., Nikola Jokic, Zeke Nnaji, Jamal Murray.

New Orleans Pelicans vs Denver Nuggets Prediction & Picks

We’re predicting that this could be a one-sided NBA affair. Our best pick is to take Nuggets at -112 to cover a generous -11.5 line on the spread.

The NBA predictions are only provided once we have a handle on the team news and the latest form guide. We are also on point when it comes to the most valuable stats.

Key Pelicans vs Nuggets stats:

• The -11.5 line has been covered by Nuggets in 3 of their last 5 games at home.
• The +11.5 line hasn’t been covered by Pelicans in 11 of their last 20 games on the road.

Nuggets -11.5 Probability

The sportsbooks make it a 52.9% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. However, we have this number closer to 60% based on our in-depth research. It is therefore regarded as a value wager.

As a betting alternative, you can choose to buy or sell points when it comes to your spread pick. Buy if you want a safer wager and sell to get more juice from the line.

Our Game Prediction

Nuggets -11.5 @ -112 Bet Now

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Gamble responsibly 18+. All odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change. To use the Bookmaker Live Streaming services you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Geo-restrictions apply.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Zion Williamson Over 23.5 Points -118

Zion Williamson (Pelicans) has scored Over 23.5 points in 4 straight games. We think that he can therefore cover the line and we’ll wager on his Player Points at betting odds of -118.

Latest Zion Williamson Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 23.5

-118

Under 23.5

-114

Assists

Over 5.5

+107

Under 5.5

-143

Rebounds

Over 6.5

-139

Under 6.5

+105

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Nikola Jokic Under 12.5 Rebounds +105

Nikola Jokic (Nuggets) has an average of 8.6 rebounds in the past 5 games. We can use these stats to our advantage, with odds of +105 that he fails to cover the Player Rebounds line.

Latest Nikola Jokic Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 27.5

-108

Under 27.5

-125

Assists

Over 10.5

-130

Under 10.5

-103

Rebounds

Over 12.5

-139

Under 12.5

+105

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Correct Score Prediction

Pelicans 109 - 123 Nuggets

Should you want to go for a selection at massive odds, head to the correct score lines where the Nuggets can be backed speculatively to achieve a 123-109 victory.

New Orleans Pelicans vs Denver Nuggets Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Denver Nuggets are massive -455 favorites. They are regarded as 82% likely to win this NBA game judging by the sportsbooks’ latest Moneyline odds. New Orleans Pelicans are regarded as a long shot to win and you can currently back them at +350.

9.5 is the spread and 242 is the total points line. There is no denying the popularity of wagering on the Totals. There’s the chance to back Under 242 at -108.

The Nuggets are favorites at odds of -210 when it comes to the Race to 20 Points betting, with the Pelicans available at +165 should you think they’ll reach this number first.

Whether you are betting pre-game or in-game, you can feast on hundreds of game lines and team props. The selections are practically endless and it’s great to have so many options.

Moneyline

Pelicans

+350

Nuggets

-455

Point Spread

Pelicans +9.5

-108

Nuggets -9.5

-112

Total Points

Under 242

-108

Over 242

-112

The favorite to score most points is Nikola Jokic. You can get -108 that he scores Over 27.5 points or -125 that he goes Under.

Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)

Over 27.5

-108

Under 27.5

-125

Zion Williamson (Pelicans)

Over 23.5

-118

Under 23.5

-114

Trey Murphy III (Pelicans)

Over 21.5

-127

Under 21.5

-105

Jamal Murray (Nuggets)

Over 21.5

-123

Under 21.5

-108

C.J. McCollum (Pelicans)

Over 20.5

-125

Under 20.5

-108

Michael Porter Jr (Nuggets)

Over 18.5

-110

Under 18.5

-120

Christian Braun (Nuggets)

Over 15.5

-104

Under 15.5

-128

Aaron Gordon (Nuggets)

Over 12.5

-125

Under 12.5

-106

Jose Alvarado (Pelicans)

Over 10.5

-130

Under 10.5

-103

Julian Strawther (Nuggets)

Over 9.5

-118

Under 9.5

-110

Yves Missi (Pelicans)

Over 7.5

+104

Under 7.5

-137

Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)

Over 10.5

-130

Under 10.5

-103

Jamal Murray (Nuggets)

Over 6.5

-127

Under 6.5

-105

Zion Williamson (Pelicans)

Over 5.5

+107

Under 5.5

-143

Jose Alvarado (Pelicans)

Over 5.5

-123

Under 5.5

-108

C.J. McCollum (Pelicans)

Over 4.5

+130

Under 4.5

-175

Trey Murphy III (Pelicans)

Over 3.5

-103

Under 3.5

-130

Aaron Gordon (Nuggets)

Over 2.5

-152

Under 2.5

+114

Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)

Over 12.5

-139

Under 12.5

+105

Yves Missi (Pelicans)

Over 7.5

+112

Under 7.5

-149

Zion Williamson (Pelicans)

Over 6.5

-139

Under 6.5

+105

Michael Porter Jr (Nuggets)

Over 6.5

-122

Under 6.5

-109

Trey Murphy III (Pelicans)

Over 5.5

+112

Under 5.5

-149

Christian Braun (Nuggets)

Over 5.5

+120

Under 5.5

-161

Aaron Gordon (Nuggets)

Over 5.5

-103

Under 5.5

-130

Jamal Murray (Nuggets)

Over 3.5

-161

Under 3.5

+123

C.J. McCollum (Pelicans)

Over 3.5

+118

Under 3.5

-156

Jose Alvarado (Pelicans)

Over 2.5

-149

Under 2.5

+112

Julian Strawther (Nuggets)

Over 2.5

-103

Under 2.5

-125

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

New Orleans Pelicans Stats

Denver Nuggets Stats

Moneyline

• 0 wins and 10 defeats in the last 10 games
• 1 win and 9 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +12.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• +12.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -12.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games
• -12.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 231.20 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 239.80 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 236.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 236.5 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 107.00 pts and allowed 124.20 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 112.70 pts and allowed 127.10 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 230.50 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 223.30 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 236.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 236.5 at Home: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 113.50 pts and allowed 117.00 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 115.40 pts and allowed 107.90 pts in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 28.50 (50%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 10.70 (32%)
• Free Throws Made: 17.50 (74.47%)
• Rebounds: Total 43.6, Offensive 12.20, Defensive 31.40
• Assists: 25.10
• Blocks: 3.10
• Steals: 8.00
• Turnovers : 14.10
• Personal Fouls: 20.10

Last 10 Games on the Road

• 2-Pointers Made: 30.90 (57%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 12.30 (37%)
• Free Throws Made: 14.00 (69.65%)
• Rebounds: Total 43.1, Offensive 12.10, Defensive 31.00
• Assists: 27.60
• Blocks: 3.70
• Steals: 7.50
• Turnovers : 16.10
• Personal Fouls: 22.40

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 26.70 (53%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 12.50 (34%)
• Free Throws Made: 22.60 (82.78%)
• Rebounds: Total 47.9, Offensive 12.10, Defensive 35.80
• Assists: 23.20
• Blocks: 4.10
• Steals: 7.90
• Turnovers : 15.70
• Personal Fouls: 21.90

Last 10 Home Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 30.20 (56%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 11.20 (35%)
• Free Throws Made: 21.40 (77.54%)
• Rebounds: Total 47.1, Offensive 10.50, Defensive 36.60
• Assists: 26.50
• Blocks: 3.90
• Steals: 8.80
• Turnovers : 13.40
• Personal Fouls: 19.30

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Denver Nuggets Confirmed Lineup

0 Christian Braun

1 Michael Porter Jr.

15 Nikola Jokic

22 Zeke Nnaji

27 Jamal Murray

New Orleans Pelicans Confirmed Lineup

1 Zion Williamson

3 CJ McCollum

4 Javonte Green

21 Yves Missi

25 Trey Murphy

NBA Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Division Conference League

East Atlantic	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Knicks	18	7	0.72	121	112.2	8.8	13-1	5-6	5-1	14-7	9-1	5W
Celtics	15	10	0.6	116.6	110.8	5.8	8-4	7-6	4-4	11-7	7-3	1L
76ers	14	10	0.583	116.8	115.7	1.1	8-7	6-3	5-2	12-9	6-4	1W
Raptors	15	11	0.577	115.8	113.9	1.9	8-6	7-5	3-4	13-7	4-6	4L
Nets	6	18	0.25	109.5	117.3	-7.8	2-10	4-8	1-7	5-13	4-6	1L

East Central	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Pistons	20	5	0.8	119.6	113.3	6.3	12-2	8-3	5-3	15-5	7-3	3W
Cavaliers	15	12	0.556	118.7	115.9	2.8	9-7	6-5	6-0	12-9	4-6	1L
Bucks	11	15	0.423	115.1	117.3	-2.2	8-7	3-8	3-4	9-11	3-7	1W
Bulls	10	14	0.417	117.8	122.7	-4.9	6-5	4-9	1-5	7-10	2-8	1W
Pacers	6	20	0.231	110.2	118.3	-8.1	5-9	1-11	2-5	4-11	4-6	2L

East Southeast	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Magic	15	11	0.577	117.9	114.1	3.8	10-5	5-6	5-2	12-9	6-4	1L
Heat	14	11	0.56	121.7	118.2	3.5	10-3	4-8	2-3	8-6	5-5	4L
Hawks	14	12	0.538	117.9	117.5	0.4	4-6	10-6	4-1	8-8	5-5	1L
Hornets	8	18	0.308	114.8	118.4	-3.6	5-8	3-10	1-4	7-12	4-6	1W
Wizards	4	20	0.167	112.8	126.7	-13.9	2-9	2-11	1-3	3-16	3-7	1W

West Northwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	24	2	0.923	123.1	106.3	16.8	12-1	12-1	5-1	20-2	9-1	1L
Nuggets	18	6	0.75	125.5	115.9	9.6	6-4	12-2	2-1	13-5	7-3	4W
Timberwolves	16	9	0.64	119.9	115	4.9	8-4	8-5	3-3	11-8	6-4	1W
Jazz	9	15	0.375	118.1	125.8	-7.7	6-7	3-8	0-5	5-11	4-6	1W
Trail Blazers	9	16	0.36	117.5	121.5	-4	3-6	6-10	3-3	7-11	3-7	3L

West Pacific	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Lakers	17	7	0.708	118.3	116.8	1.5	7-4	10-3	2-2	12-5	7-3	1L
Suns	14	11	0.56	114.8	114.4	0.4	8-4	6-7	5-2	13-10	5-5	1L
Warriors	13	13	0.5	113.7	112.3	1.4	7-4	6-9	3-1	10-8	4-6	1L
Kings	6	19	0.24	111.2	122.6	-11.4	3-8	3-11	1-3	4-16	3-7	2L
Clippers	6	19	0.24	111.6	116.7	-5.1	3-7	3-12	1-4	4-12	2-8	3L

West Southwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Rockets	16	6	0.727	120.6	110.4	10.2	8-2	8-4	2-2	9-5	7-3	1W
Spurs	18	7	0.72	119.7	115.2	4.5	9-2	9-5	7-0	12-6	7-3	3W
Grizzlies	11	14	0.44	114.1	115.9	-1.8	6-7	5-7	4-3	10-8	7-3	1L
Mavericks	10	16	0.385	112.1	115.9	-3.8	7-9	3-7	2-5	5-11	6-4	2W
Pelicans	4	22	0.154	114.2	123.5	-9.3	3-12	1-10	1-6	2-19	2-8	1W

Eastern Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Pistons	20	5	0.8	119.6	113.3	6.3	12-2	8-3	5-3	15-5	7-3	3W
Knicks	18	7	0.72	121	112.2	8.8	13-1	5-6	5-1	14-7	9-1	5W
Celtics	15	10	0.6	116.6	110.8	5.8	8-4	7-6	4-4	11-7	7-3	1L
76ers	14	10	0.583	116.8	115.7	1.1	8-7	6-3	5-2	12-9	6-4	1W
Magic	15	11	0.577	117.9	114.1	3.8	10-5	5-6	5-2	12-9	6-4	1L
Raptors	15	11	0.577	115.8	113.9	1.9	8-6	7-5	3-4	13-7	4-6	4L
Cavaliers	15	12	0.556	118.7	115.9	2.8	9-7	6-5	6-0	12-9	4-6	1L
Heat	14	11	0.56	121.7	118.2	3.5	10-3	4-8	2-3	8-6	5-5	4L
Hawks	14	12	0.538	117.9	117.5	0.4	4-6	10-6	4-1	8-8	5-5	1L
Bucks	11	15	0.423	115.1	117.3	-2.2	8-7	3-8	3-4	9-11	3-7	1W
Bulls	10	14	0.417	117.8	122.7	-4.9	6-5	4-9	1-5	7-10	2-8	1W
Hornets	8	18	0.308	114.8	118.4	-3.6	5-8	3-10	1-4	7-12	4-6	1W
Nets	6	18	0.25	109.5	117.3	-7.8	2-10	4-8	1-7	5-13	4-6	1L
Pacers	6	20	0.231	110.2	118.3	-8.1	5-9	1-11	2-5	4-11	4-6	2L
Wizards	4	20	0.167	112.8	126.7	-13.9	2-9	2-11	1-3	3-16	3-7	1W

Western Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	24	2	0.923	123.1	106.3	16.8	12-1	12-1	5-1	20-2	9-1	1L
Nuggets	18	6	0.75	125.5	115.9	9.6	6-4	12-2	2-1	13-5	7-3	4W
Rockets	16	6	0.727	120.6	110.4	10.2	8-2	8-4	2-2	9-5	7-3	1W
Spurs	18	7	0.72	119.7	115.2	4.5	9-2	9-5	7-0	12-6	7-3	3W
Lakers	17	7	0.708	118.3	116.8	1.5	7-4	10-3	2-2	12-5	7-3	1L
Timberwolves	16	9	0.64	119.9	115	4.9	8-4	8-5	3-3	11-8	6-4	1W
Suns	14	11	0.56	114.8	114.4	0.4	8-4	6-7	5-2	13-10	5-5	1L
Warriors	13	13	0.5	113.7	112.3	1.4	7-4	6-9	3-1	10-8	4-6	1L
Grizzlies	11	14	0.44	114.1	115.9	-1.8	6-7	5-7	4-3	10-8	7-3	1L
Mavericks	10	16	0.385	112.1	115.9	-3.8	7-9	3-7	2-5	5-11	6-4	2W
Jazz	9	15	0.375	118.1	125.8	-7.7	6-7	3-8	0-5	5-11	4-6	1W
Trail Blazers	9	16	0.36	117.5	121.5	-4	3-6	6-10	3-3	7-11	3-7	3L
Kings	6	19	0.24	111.2	122.6	-11.4	3-8	3-11	1-3	4-16	3-7	2L
Clippers	6	19	0.24	111.6	116.7	-5.1	3-7	3-12	1-4	4-12	2-8	3L
Pelicans	4	22	0.154	114.2	123.5	-9.3	3-12	1-10	1-6	2-19	2-8	1W

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	24	2	0.923	123.1	106.3	16.8	12-1	12-1	5-1	20-2	9-1	1L
Pistons	20	5	0.8	119.6	113.3	6.3	12-2	8-3	5-3	15-5	7-3	3W
Nuggets	18	6	0.75	125.5	115.9	9.6	6-4	12-2	2-1	13-5	7-3	4W
Rockets	16	6	0.727	120.6	110.4	10.2	8-2	8-4	2-2	9-5	7-3	1W
Knicks	18	7	0.72	121	112.2	8.8	13-1	5-6	5-1	14-7	9-1	5W
Spurs	18	7	0.72	119.7	115.2	4.5	9-2	9-5	7-0	12-6	7-3	3W
Lakers	17	7	0.708	118.3	116.8	1.5	7-4	10-3	2-2	12-5	7-3	1L
Timberwolves	16	9	0.64	119.9	115	4.9	8-4	8-5	3-3	11-8	6-4	1W
Celtics	15	10	0.6	116.6	110.8	5.8	8-4	7-6	4-4	11-7	7-3	1L
76ers	14	10	0.583	116.8	115.7	1.1	8-7	6-3	5-2	12-9	6-4	1W
Magic	15	11	0.577	117.9	114.1	3.8	10-5	5-6	5-2	12-9	6-4	1L
Raptors	15	11	0.577	115.8	113.9	1.9	8-6	7-5	3-4	13-7	4-6	4L
Heat	14	11	0.56	121.7	118.2	3.5	10-3	4-8	2-3	8-6	5-5	4L
Suns	14	11	0.56	114.8	114.4	0.4	8-4	6-7	5-2	13-10	5-5	1L
Cavaliers	15	12	0.556	118.7	115.9	2.8	9-7	6-5	6-0	12-9	4-6	1L
Hawks	14	12	0.538	117.9	117.5	0.4	4-6	10-6	4-1	8-8	5-5	1L
Warriors	13	13	0.5	113.7	112.3	1.4	7-4	6-9	3-1	10-8	4-6	1L
Grizzlies	11	14	0.44	114.1	115.9	-1.8	6-7	5-7	4-3	10-8	7-3	1L
Bucks	11	15	0.423	115.1	117.3	-2.2	8-7	3-8	3-4	9-11	3-7	1W
Bulls	10	14	0.417	117.8	122.7	-4.9	6-5	4-9	1-5	7-10	2-8	1W
Mavericks	10	16	0.385	112.1	115.9	-3.8	7-9	3-7	2-5	5-11	6-4	2W
Jazz	9	15	0.375	118.1	125.8	-7.7	6-7	3-8	0-5	5-11	4-6	1W
Trail Blazers	9	16	0.36	117.5	121.5	-4	3-6	6-10	3-3	7-11	3-7	3L
Hornets	8	18	0.308	114.8	118.4	-3.6	5-8	3-10	1-4	7-12	4-6	1W
Nets	6	18	0.25	109.5	117.3	-7.8	2-10	4-8	1-7	5-13	4-6	1L
Clippers	6	19	0.24	111.6	116.7	-5.1	3-7	3-12	1-4	4-12	2-8	3L
Kings	6	19	0.24	111.2	122.6	-11.4	3-8	3-11	1-3	4-16	3-7	2L
Pacers	6	20	0.231	110.2	118.3	-8.1	5-9	1-11	2-5	4-11	4-6	2L
Wizards	4	20	0.167	112.8	126.7	-13.9	2-9	2-11	1-3	3-16	3-7	1W
Pelicans	4	22	0.154	114.2	123.5	-9.3	3-12	1-10	1-6	2-19	2-8	1W

• W = Wins
• L = Losses
• PCT = Winning Percentage
• PPG = Points Per Game
• OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
• DIFF = Average Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Road = Away Record
• Div = Division Record
• Conf = Conference Record
• Last 10 = Record last 10 games
• Strk = Current Streak

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