New Orleans Pelicans vs Denver Nuggets Prediction, Picks & Odds | 05 Feb 2025

Big Nuggets Win on the Cards

We’re predicting that the Nuggets will be superior to the Pelicans and that’s why we’re backing them at -10.5 on the spread. Take the -108 that the big favorites are able to cover this line.

Nuggets Too Good for Pelicans in Last H2H

New Orleans Pelicans and Denver Nuggets locked horns on Monday night, with the Nuggets triumphing 125-113 at Ball Arena.

Nikola Jokic produced a triple-double masterclass for the Nuggets by recording 27 points, 14 rebounds and 10 assists. For the Pelicans, Trey Murphy finished with 41 points, CJ McCollum 30 and Zion Williamson 14.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Nuggets have won six of the past 10 games that these teams have played.

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Nuggets	1	1	0.5	132	124	8	1-0	0-1	0-0	1-1	1-1	1W
Pelicans	0	2	0	119	124	-5	0-1	0-1	0-2	0-2	0-2	2L

View Full Standings

The Pelicans have 4 wins and 6 losses in the past 10 games. They are averaging 118.4 points, 44.1 rebounds, 26.4 assists, 9.1 steals and 6.0 blocks while shooting 46.1% from the field and 76.6% from the free-throw line. The opposition have averaged 122.6 points and 48.2 rebounds per matchup.

Trey Murphy is averaging 26.4 points, 5.8 rebounds and 3.6 (40.9%) 3-pointers made, while Dejounte Murray averages 5.2 assists.

The Nuggets have won 7 and lost 3 of their last 10 contests. Averaging 122.8 points, 45.4 rebounds, 31.3 assists, 7.4 steals and 5.1 blocks per game while shooting 52.6% from the field and 83.9% from the free-throw line. Their opponents have an average of 118.0 points and 40.4 rebounds.

Nikola Jokic is averaging 25.9 points, 11.8 rebounds and 11.8 assists, while Michael Porter Jr. has an average of 2.7 (40.9%) 3-pointers made.

Confirmed Starting Lineups

New Orleans Pelicans lineup: Zion Williamson, CJ McCollum, Karlo Matkovic, Yves Missi, Trey Murphy.

Denver Nuggets lineup: Christian Braun, Michael Porter Jr., Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray, Aaron Gordon.

New Orleans Pelicans vs Denver Nuggets Prediction & Picks

We’d be very surprised if Nuggets don’t exceed a -10.5 spread in this NBA contest. That is why the bet has to be the favorites to cover the line at -108.

The NBA handicappers at Sportsgambler.com check injury updates regularly and combine this with the form guide. We’re also able to consult a database of stats and present the key numbers to our readers.

Key Pelicans vs Nuggets stats:

• The -10.5 line has been covered by Nuggets in 6 of their last 10 games at home.
• The -10.5 line has been covered by Nuggets in 3 of their last 5 games at home.
• The +10.5 line hasn’t been covered by Pelicans in 13 of their last 20 games on the road.
• The +10.5 line hasn’t been covered by Pelicans in 3 of their last 5 games on the road.

Nuggets -10.5 Probability

According to the latest odds, our pick has a 51.8% chance of winning. After careful examination, our cappers have this probability somewhere between 55-60%. This wager can therefore be backed with confidence.

If you’re hunting for tastier odds and feel confident your selection is going to perform well, then consider moving the line and land a bigger potential return.

Best Bet

Nuggets -10.5 @ -108 Bet Now

BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Gamble responsibly 18+. All odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change. To use the Bookmaker Live Streaming services you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Geo-restrictions apply.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Nikola Jokic Over 26.5 Points -123

Nikola Jokic (Nuggets) has scored Over 26.5 points in 4 straight home games. This statistic guides us towards Player Points where we’re able to back him at odds of -123 to cover the line.

Latest Nikola Jokic Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 26.5

-123

Under 26.5

-108

Assists

Over 10.5

-147

Under 10.5

+110

Rebounds

Over 13.5

+104

Under 13.5

-137

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

---

Yves Missi Under 8.5 Rebounds -143

Yves Missi (Pelicans) has finished with Under 8.5 rebounds in 7 of the past 8 games. When it comes to Player Rebounds, we’re expecting him to fall short and you can currently land odds of -143.

Latest Yves Missi Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 7.5

-133

Under 7.5

-100

Rebounds

Over 8.5

+108

Under 8.5

-143

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Correct Score Prediction

Pelicans 110 - 125 Nuggets

There are a range of correct score lines to choose from and we’re taking a chance on the Nuggets to record a 125-110 victory. There’s a massive return if we get this right.

New Orleans Pelicans vs Denver Nuggets Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Nuggets Heavy Favorites to Win

Denver Nuggets are massive -556 favorites. They are regarded as 85% likely to win this NBA game judging by the sportsbooks’ latest Moneyline odds. New Orleans Pelicans are trading at bigger odds than their opponents and they can be backed at +420.

The current spread is 11 and total points is 239.5. A wager on the Totals allows basketball bettors to use the latest data to good effect. If you’re going for Under 239.5, this outcome can be backed at -110.

If you’re keen on the Nuggets reaching 20 points before their opponents, the favorites are -210 to oblige. Conversely, the Pelicans can be backed at +165 to make this total first.

The betting sites offer a wide range of game lines and team props when it comes to most basketball contests. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.

Moneyline

Pelicans

+420

Nuggets

-556

Point Spread

Pelicans +11

-110

Nuggets -11

-110

Total Points

Under 239.5

-110

Over 239.5

-110

Nikola Jokic Favorite to Get Most Points

Nikola Jokic is the favorite to land the most baskets. You can get -123 that he scores Over 26.5 points or -108 that he goes Under.

Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)

Over 26.5

-123

Under 26.5

-108

Zion Williamson (Pelicans)

Over 22.5

-123

Under 22.5

-108

Trey Murphy III (Pelicans)

Over 22.5

-114

Under 22.5

-118

C.J. McCollum (Pelicans)

Over 21.5

-118

Under 21.5

-114

Jamal Murray (Nuggets)

Over 20.5

-128

Under 20.5

-104

Michael Porter Jr (Nuggets)

Over 19.5

-114

Under 19.5

-118

Christian Braun (Nuggets)

Over 14.5

-127

Under 14.5

-105

Aaron Gordon (Nuggets)

Over 12.5

-128

Under 12.5

-104

Yves Missi (Pelicans)

Over 7.5

-133

Under 7.5

-100

Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)

Over 10.5

-147

Under 10.5

+110

Jamal Murray (Nuggets)

Over 6.5

-106

Under 6.5

-125

Zion Williamson (Pelicans)

Over 5.5

+118

Under 5.5

-156

C.J. McCollum (Pelicans)

Over 4.5

-108

Under 4.5

-123

Trey Murphy III (Pelicans)

Over 3.5

-149

Under 3.5

+112

Aaron Gordon (Nuggets)

Over 2.5

-143

Under 2.5

+108

Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)

Over 13.5

+104

Under 13.5

-137

Yves Missi (Pelicans)

Over 8.5

+108

Under 8.5

-143

Zion Williamson (Pelicans)

Over 6.5

-122

Under 6.5

-109

Michael Porter Jr (Nuggets)

Over 6.5

+102

Under 6.5

-135

Christian Braun (Nuggets)

Over 5.5

+117

Under 5.5

-156

Aaron Gordon (Nuggets)

Over 5.5

-123

Under 5.5

-108

Trey Murphy III (Pelicans)

Over 4.5

-122

Under 4.5

-109

Jamal Murray (Nuggets)

Over 4.5

+128

Under 4.5

-175

C.J. McCollum (Pelicans)

Over 3.5

-103

Under 3.5

-128

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

New Orleans Pelicans Stats

Denver Nuggets Stats

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +10.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• +10.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -10.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• -10.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 241.00 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 232.50 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 240: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 240 on the Road: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 118.40 pts and allowed 122.60 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 112.70 pts and allowed 119.80 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 240.80 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 240.10 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 240: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 240 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 122.80 pts and allowed 118.00 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 124.80 pts and allowed 115.30 pts in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 28.20 (53%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 14.00 (37%)
• Free Throws Made: 20.00 (76.63%)
• Rebounds: Total 44.1, Offensive 11.20, Defensive 32.90
• Assists: 26.40
• Blocks: 6.00
• Steals: 9.10
• Turnovers : 11.90
• Personal Fouls: 18.10

Last 10 Games on the Road

• 2-Pointers Made: 26.30 (52%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 13.50 (37%)
• Free Throws Made: 19.60 (76.86%)
• Rebounds: Total 41, Offensive 9.50, Defensive 31.50
• Assists: 26.20
• Blocks: 5.60
• Steals: 7.10
• Turnovers : 11.10
• Personal Fouls: 16.20

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 35.80 (61%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 11.00 (36%)
• Free Throws Made: 18.20 (83.87%)
• Rebounds: Total 45.4, Offensive 11.70, Defensive 33.70
• Assists: 31.30
• Blocks: 5.10
• Steals: 7.40
• Turnovers : 13.00
• Personal Fouls: 14.20

Last 10 Home Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 32.70 (58%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 13.50 (42%)
• Free Throws Made: 18.90 (78.42%)
• Rebounds: Total 45.1, Offensive 10.60, Defensive 34.50
• Assists: 31.00
• Blocks: 5.70
• Steals: 7.70
• Turnovers : 12.00
• Personal Fouls: 16.20

Team News

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Denver Nuggets Confirmed Lineup

0 Christian Braun

1 Michael Porter Jr.

15 Nikola Jokic

27 Jamal Murray

32 Aaron Gordon

New Orleans Pelicans Confirmed Lineup

1 Zion Williamson

3 CJ McCollum

17 Karlo Matkovic

21 Yves Missi

25 Trey Murphy

NBA Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Division Conference League

East Atlantic	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
76ers	2	0	1	121	118.5	2.5	1-0	1-0	1-0	2-0	2-0	2W
Knicks	2	1	0.667	110.3	107	3.3	2-0	0-1	1-0	2-1	2-1	1L
Raptors	1	2	0.333	127.7	126.3	1.4	0-1	1-1	0-0	1-1	1-2	2L
Celtics	0	3	0	108	113.7	-5.7	0-1	0-2	0-2	0-3	0-3	3L
Nets	0	3	0	116	128.3	-12.3	0-1	0-2	0-0	0-2	0-3	3L

East Central	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Bulls	2	0	1	112.5	104.5	8	1-0	1-0	1-0	2-0	2-0	2W
Bucks	2	1	0.667	122.7	118	4.7	1-0	1-1	0-1	2-1	2-1	1L
Cavaliers	2	1	0.667	120	118.7	1.3	1-0	1-1	1-0	2-1	2-1	2W
Pistons	2	1	0.667	115	113	2	1-0	1-1	0-1	1-1	2-1	2W
Pacers	0	3	0	116	127.7	-11.7	0-1	0-2	0-0	0-0	0-3	3L

East Southeast	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Hornets	2	1	0.667	132	118.3	13.7	1-0	1-1	1-0	2-1	2-1	1W
Heat	2	1	0.667	127.3	115.3	12	1-0	1-1	0-1	1-1	2-1	2W
Magic	1	2	0.333	110	114	-4	1-2	0-0	1-1	1-2	1-2	2L
Wizards	1	2	0.333	116.7	126.3	-9.6	0-1	1-1	0-1	0-2	1-2	1L
Hawks	1	2	0.333	109.7	120.7	-11	0-2	1-0	1-0	1-1	1-2	1L

West Northwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	3	0	1	127.7	119.7	8	1-0	2-0	0-0	1-0	3-0	3W
Timberwolves	2	1	0.667	114	117.3	-3.3	1-0	1-1	1-0	1-1	2-1	1W
Jazz	1	1	0.5	116.5	106.5	10	1-0	0-1	0-0	1-1	1-1	1L
Trail Blazers	1	2	0.333	120	117	3	1-1	0-1	0-1	1-2	1-2	1L
Nuggets	1	1	0.5	132	124	8	1-0	0-1	0-0	1-1	1-1	1W

West Pacific	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Kings	1	2	0.333	113.7	117	-3.3	1-1	0-1	0-2	1-2	1-2	1L
Warriors	2	1	0.667	125	126.3	-1.3	1-0	1-1	1-0	2-1	2-1	1L
Lakers	2	1	0.667	121.3	116.3	5	1-1	1-0	1-1	2-1	2-1	2W
Clippers	2	1	0.667	117	112.7	4.3	2-0	0-1	1-0	2-1	2-1	2W
Suns	1	2	0.333	111	126	-15	1-0	0-2	1-1	1-2	1-2	2L

West Southwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Spurs	3	0	1	121	105	16	1-0	2-0	2-0	2-0	3-0	3W
Grizzlies	2	1	0.667	123.3	123.7	-0.4	2-1	0-0	1-0	1-0	2-1	1W
Mavericks	1	2	0.333	112.7	123.7	-11	1-2	0-0	0-1	0-1	1-2	1W
Pelicans	0	2	0	119	124	-5	0-1	0-1	0-2	0-2	0-2	2L
Rockets	0	2	0	117.5	120	-2.5	0-1	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-2	2L

Eastern Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Knicks	2	1	0.667	110.3	107	3.3	2-0	0-1	1-0	2-1	2-1	1L
Bulls	2	0	1	112.5	104.5	8	1-0	1-0	1-0	2-0	2-0	2W
Bucks	2	1	0.667	122.7	118	4.7	1-0	1-1	0-1	2-1	2-1	1L
76ers	2	0	1	121	118.5	2.5	1-0	1-0	1-0	2-0	2-0	2W
Heat	2	1	0.667	127.3	115.3	12	1-0	1-1	0-1	1-1	2-1	2W
Hornets	2	1	0.667	132	118.3	13.7	1-0	1-1	1-0	2-1	2-1	1W
Raptors	1	2	0.333	127.7	126.3	1.4	0-1	1-1	0-0	1-1	1-2	2L
Cavaliers	2	1	0.667	120	118.7	1.3	1-0	1-1	1-0	2-1	2-1	2W
Pistons	2	1	0.667	115	113	2	1-0	1-1	0-1	1-1	2-1	2W
Hawks	1	2	0.333	109.7	120.7	-11	0-2	1-0	1-0	1-1	1-2	1L
Magic	1	2	0.333	110	114	-4	1-2	0-0	1-1	1-2	1-2	2L
Wizards	1	2	0.333	116.7	126.3	-9.6	0-1	1-1	0-1	0-2	1-2	1L
Celtics	0	3	0	108	113.7	-5.7	0-1	0-2	0-2	0-3	0-3	3L
Nets	0	3	0	116	128.3	-12.3	0-1	0-2	0-0	0-2	0-3	3L
Pacers	0	3	0	116	127.7	-11.7	0-1	0-2	0-0	0-0	0-3	3L

Western Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	3	0	1	127.7	119.7	8	1-0	2-0	0-0	1-0	3-0	3W
Spurs	3	0	1	121	105	16	1-0	2-0	2-0	2-0	3-0	3W
Grizzlies	2	1	0.667	123.3	123.7	-0.4	2-1	0-0	1-0	1-0	2-1	1W
Kings	1	2	0.333	113.7	117	-3.3	1-1	0-1	0-2	1-2	1-2	1L
Warriors	2	1	0.667	125	126.3	-1.3	1-0	1-1	1-0	2-1	2-1	1L
Lakers	2	1	0.667	121.3	116.3	5	1-1	1-0	1-1	2-1	2-1	2W
Timberwolves	2	1	0.667	114	117.3	-3.3	1-0	1-1	1-0	1-1	2-1	1W
Jazz	1	1	0.5	116.5	106.5	10	1-0	0-1	0-0	1-1	1-1	1L
Trail Blazers	1	2	0.333	120	117	3	1-1	0-1	0-1	1-2	1-2	1L
Clippers	2	1	0.667	117	112.7	4.3	2-0	0-1	1-0	2-1	2-1	2W
Nuggets	1	1	0.5	132	124	8	1-0	0-1	0-0	1-1	1-1	1W
Suns	1	2	0.333	111	126	-15	1-0	0-2	1-1	1-2	1-2	2L
Mavericks	1	2	0.333	112.7	123.7	-11	1-2	0-0	0-1	0-1	1-2	1W
Pelicans	0	2	0	119	124	-5	0-1	0-1	0-2	0-2	0-2	2L
Rockets	0	2	0	117.5	120	-2.5	0-1	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-2	2L

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Bulls	2	0	1	112.5	104.5	8	1-0	1-0	1-0	2-0	2-0	2W
Thunder	3	0	1	127.7	119.7	8	1-0	2-0	0-0	1-0	3-0	3W
76ers	2	0	1	121	118.5	2.5	1-0	1-0	1-0	2-0	2-0	2W
Spurs	3	0	1	121	105	16	1-0	2-0	2-0	2-0	3-0	3W
Hornets	2	1	0.667	132	118.3	13.7	1-0	1-1	1-0	2-1	2-1	1W
Cavaliers	2	1	0.667	120	118.7	1.3	1-0	1-1	1-0	2-1	2-1	2W
Pistons	2	1	0.667	115	113	2	1-0	1-1	0-1	1-1	2-1	2W
Warriors	2	1	0.667	125	126.3	-1.3	1-0	1-1	1-0	2-1	2-1	1L
Clippers	2	1	0.667	117	112.7	4.3	2-0	0-1	1-0	2-1	2-1	2W
Lakers	2	1	0.667	121.3	116.3	5	1-1	1-0	1-1	2-1	2-1	2W
Grizzlies	2	1	0.667	123.3	123.7	-0.4	2-1	0-0	1-0	1-0	2-1	1W
Heat	2	1	0.667	127.3	115.3	12	1-0	1-1	0-1	1-1	2-1	2W
Bucks	2	1	0.667	122.7	118	4.7	1-0	1-1	0-1	2-1	2-1	1L
Timberwolves	2	1	0.667	114	117.3	-3.3	1-0	1-1	1-0	1-1	2-1	1W
Knicks	2	1	0.667	110.3	107	3.3	2-0	0-1	1-0	2-1	2-1	1L
Nuggets	1	1	0.5	132	124	8	1-0	0-1	0-0	1-1	1-1	1W
Jazz	1	1	0.5	116.5	106.5	10	1-0	0-1	0-0	1-1	1-1	1L
Hawks	1	2	0.333	109.7	120.7	-11	0-2	1-0	1-0	1-1	1-2	1L
Mavericks	1	2	0.333	112.7	123.7	-11	1-2	0-0	0-1	0-1	1-2	1W
Magic	1	2	0.333	110	114	-4	1-2	0-0	1-1	1-2	1-2	2L
Suns	1	2	0.333	111	126	-15	1-0	0-2	1-1	1-2	1-2	2L
Trail Blazers	1	2	0.333	120	117	3	1-1	0-1	0-1	1-2	1-2	1L
Kings	1	2	0.333	113.7	117	-3.3	1-1	0-1	0-2	1-2	1-2	1L
Raptors	1	2	0.333	127.7	126.3	1.4	0-1	1-1	0-0	1-1	1-2	2L
Wizards	1	2	0.333	116.7	126.3	-9.6	0-1	1-1	0-1	0-2	1-2	1L
Celtics	0	3	0	108	113.7	-5.7	0-1	0-2	0-2	0-3	0-3	3L
Nets	0	3	0	116	128.3	-12.3	0-1	0-2	0-0	0-2	0-3	3L
Rockets	0	2	0	117.5	120	-2.5	0-1	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-2	2L
Pacers	0	3	0	116	127.7	-11.7	0-1	0-2	0-0	0-0	0-3	3L
Pelicans	0	2	0	119	124	-5	0-1	0-1	0-2	0-2	0-2	2L

• W = Wins
• L = Losses
• PCT = Winning Percentage
• PPG = Points Per Game
• OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
• DIFF = Average Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Road = Away Record
• Div = Division Record
• Conf = Conference Record
• Last 10 = Record last 10 games
• Strk = Current Streak