New Orleans Pelicans vs Denver Nuggets Prediction, Picks & Odds | NBA Wednesday

We’re predicting that the Nuggets will be superior to the Pelicans and that’s why we’re backing them at -10.5 on the spread. Take the -108 that the big favorites are able to cover this line.

New Orleans Pelicans and Denver Nuggets locked horns on Monday night, with the Nuggets triumphing 125-113 at Ball Arena.

Nikola Jokic produced a triple-double masterclass for the Nuggets by recording 27 points, 14 rebounds and 10 assists. For the Pelicans, Trey Murphy finished with 41 points, CJ McCollum 30 and Zion Williamson 14.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Nuggets have won six of the past 10 games that these teams have played.

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Nuggets	18	6	0.75	125.5	115.9	9.6	6-4	12-2	2-1	13-5	7-3	4W
Pelicans	4	22	0.154	114.2	123.5	-9.3	3-12	1-10	1-6	2-19	2-8	1W

View Full Standings

The Pelicans have 4 wins and 6 losses in the past 10 games. They are averaging 118.4 points, 44.1 rebounds, 26.4 assists, 9.1 steals and 6.0 blocks while shooting 46.1% from the field and 76.6% from the free-throw line. The opposition have averaged 122.6 points and 48.2 rebounds per matchup.

Trey Murphy is averaging 26.4 points, 5.8 rebounds and 3.6 (40.9%) 3-pointers made, while Dejounte Murray averages 5.2 assists.

The Nuggets have won 7 and lost 3 of their last 10 contests. Averaging 122.8 points, 45.4 rebounds, 31.3 assists, 7.4 steals and 5.1 blocks per game while shooting 52.6% from the field and 83.9% from the free-throw line. Their opponents have an average of 118.0 points and 40.4 rebounds.

Nikola Jokic is averaging 25.9 points, 11.8 rebounds and 11.8 assists, while Michael Porter Jr. has an average of 2.7 (40.9%) 3-pointers made.

Confirmed Starting Lineups

New Orleans Pelicans lineup: Zion Williamson, CJ McCollum, Karlo Matkovic, Yves Missi, Trey Murphy.

Denver Nuggets lineup: Christian Braun, Michael Porter Jr., Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray, Aaron Gordon.

New Orleans Pelicans vs Denver Nuggets Prediction & Picks

We’d be very surprised if Nuggets don’t exceed a -10.5 spread in this NBA contest. That is why the bet has to be the favorites to cover the line at -108.

The NBA handicappers at Sportsgambler.com check injury updates regularly and combine this with the form guide. We’re also able to consult a database of stats and present the key numbers to our readers.

Key Pelicans vs Nuggets stats:

• The -10.5 line has been covered by Nuggets in 6 of their last 10 games at home.
• The -10.5 line has been covered by Nuggets in 3 of their last 5 games at home.
• The +10.5 line hasn’t been covered by Pelicans in 13 of their last 20 games on the road.
• The +10.5 line hasn’t been covered by Pelicans in 3 of their last 5 games on the road.

Nuggets -10.5 Probability

According to the latest odds, our pick has a 51.8% chance of winning. After careful examination, our cappers have this probability somewhere between 55-60%. This wager can therefore be backed with confidence.

If you’re hunting for tastier odds and feel confident your selection is going to perform well, then consider moving the line and land a bigger potential return.

Our Game Prediction

Nuggets -10.5 @ -108 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Nikola Jokic Over 26.5 Points -123

Nikola Jokic (Nuggets) has scored Over 26.5 points in 4 straight home games. This statistic guides us towards Player Points where we’re able to back him at odds of -123 to cover the line.

Latest Nikola Jokic Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 26.5

-123

Under 26.5

-108

Assists

Over 10.5

-147

Under 10.5

+110

Rebounds

Over 13.5

+104

Under 13.5

-137

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Yves Missi Under 8.5 Rebounds -143

Yves Missi (Pelicans) has finished with Under 8.5 rebounds in 7 of the past 8 games. When it comes to Player Rebounds, we’re expecting him to fall short and you can currently land odds of -143.

Latest Yves Missi Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 7.5

-133

Under 7.5

-100

Rebounds

Over 8.5

+108

Under 8.5

-143

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Correct Score Prediction

Pelicans 110 - 125 Nuggets

There are a range of correct score lines to choose from and we’re taking a chance on the Nuggets to record a 125-110 victory. There’s a massive return if we get this right.

New Orleans Pelicans vs Denver Nuggets Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Denver Nuggets are massive -556 favorites. They are regarded as 85% likely to win this NBA game judging by the sportsbooks’ latest Moneyline odds. New Orleans Pelicans are trading at bigger odds than their opponents and they can be backed at +420.

The current spread is 11 and total points is 239.5. A wager on the Totals allows basketball bettors to use the latest data to good effect. If you’re going for Under 239.5, this outcome can be backed at -110.

If you’re keen on the Nuggets reaching 20 points before their opponents, the favorites are -210 to oblige. Conversely, the Pelicans can be backed at +165 to make this total first.

The betting sites offer a wide range of game lines and team props when it comes to most basketball contests. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.

Moneyline

Pelicans

+420

Nuggets

-556

Point Spread

Pelicans +11

-110

Nuggets -11

-110

Total Points

Under 239.5

-110

Over 239.5

-110

Nikola Jokic is the favorite to land the most baskets. You can get -123 that he scores Over 26.5 points or -108 that he goes Under.

Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)

Over 26.5

-123

Under 26.5

-108

Zion Williamson (Pelicans)

Over 22.5

-123

Under 22.5

-108

Trey Murphy III (Pelicans)

Over 22.5

-114

Under 22.5

-118

C.J. McCollum (Pelicans)

Over 21.5

-118

Under 21.5

-114

Jamal Murray (Nuggets)

Over 20.5

-128

Under 20.5

-104

Michael Porter Jr (Nuggets)

Over 19.5

-114

Under 19.5

-118

Christian Braun (Nuggets)

Over 14.5

-127

Under 14.5

-105

Aaron Gordon (Nuggets)

Over 12.5

-128

Under 12.5

-104

Yves Missi (Pelicans)

Over 7.5

-133

Under 7.5

-100

Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)

Over 10.5

-147

Under 10.5

+110

Jamal Murray (Nuggets)

Over 6.5

-106

Under 6.5

-125

Zion Williamson (Pelicans)

Over 5.5

+118

Under 5.5

-156

C.J. McCollum (Pelicans)

Over 4.5

-108

Under 4.5

-123

Trey Murphy III (Pelicans)

Over 3.5

-149

Under 3.5

+112

Aaron Gordon (Nuggets)

Over 2.5

-143

Under 2.5

+108

Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)

Over 13.5

+104

Under 13.5

-137

Yves Missi (Pelicans)

Over 8.5

+108

Under 8.5

-143

Zion Williamson (Pelicans)

Over 6.5

-122

Under 6.5

-109

Michael Porter Jr (Nuggets)

Over 6.5

+102

Under 6.5

-135

Christian Braun (Nuggets)

Over 5.5

+117

Under 5.5

-156

Aaron Gordon (Nuggets)

Over 5.5

-123

Under 5.5

-108

Trey Murphy III (Pelicans)

Over 4.5

-122

Under 4.5

-109

Jamal Murray (Nuggets)

Over 4.5

+128

Under 4.5

-175

C.J. McCollum (Pelicans)

Over 3.5

-103

Under 3.5

-128

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

New Orleans Pelicans Stats

Denver Nuggets Stats

Moneyline

• 0 wins and 10 defeats in the last 10 games
• 1 win and 9 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +12.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• +12.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -12.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games
• -12.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 231.20 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 239.80 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 236.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 236.5 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 107.00 pts and allowed 124.20 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 112.70 pts and allowed 127.10 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 230.50 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 223.30 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 236.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 236.5 at Home: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 113.50 pts and allowed 117.00 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 115.40 pts and allowed 107.90 pts in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 28.50 (50%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 10.70 (32%)
• Free Throws Made: 17.50 (74.47%)
• Rebounds: Total 43.6, Offensive 12.20, Defensive 31.40
• Assists: 25.10
• Blocks: 3.10
• Steals: 8.00
• Turnovers : 14.10
• Personal Fouls: 20.10

Last 10 Games on the Road

• 2-Pointers Made: 30.90 (57%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 12.30 (37%)
• Free Throws Made: 14.00 (69.65%)
• Rebounds: Total 43.1, Offensive 12.10, Defensive 31.00
• Assists: 27.60
• Blocks: 3.70
• Steals: 7.50
• Turnovers : 16.10
• Personal Fouls: 22.40

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 26.70 (53%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 12.50 (34%)
• Free Throws Made: 22.60 (82.78%)
• Rebounds: Total 47.9, Offensive 12.10, Defensive 35.80
• Assists: 23.20
• Blocks: 4.10
• Steals: 7.90
• Turnovers : 15.70
• Personal Fouls: 21.90

Last 10 Home Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 30.20 (56%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 11.20 (35%)
• Free Throws Made: 21.40 (77.54%)
• Rebounds: Total 47.1, Offensive 10.50, Defensive 36.60
• Assists: 26.50
• Blocks: 3.90
• Steals: 8.80
• Turnovers : 13.40
• Personal Fouls: 19.30

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Denver Nuggets Confirmed Lineup

0 Christian Braun

1 Michael Porter Jr.

15 Nikola Jokic

27 Jamal Murray

32 Aaron Gordon

New Orleans Pelicans Confirmed Lineup

1 Zion Williamson

3 CJ McCollum

17 Karlo Matkovic

21 Yves Missi

25 Trey Murphy

NBA Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Division Conference League

East Atlantic	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Knicks	18	7	0.72	121	112.2	8.8	13-1	5-6	5-1	14-7	9-1	5W
Celtics	15	10	0.6	116.6	110.8	5.8	8-4	7-6	4-4	11-7	7-3	1L
76ers	14	10	0.583	116.8	115.7	1.1	8-7	6-3	5-2	12-9	6-4	1W
Raptors	15	11	0.577	115.8	113.9	1.9	8-6	7-5	3-4	13-7	4-6	4L
Nets	6	18	0.25	109.5	117.3	-7.8	2-10	4-8	1-7	5-13	4-6	1L

East Central	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Pistons	20	5	0.8	119.6	113.3	6.3	12-2	8-3	5-3	15-5	7-3	3W
Cavaliers	15	12	0.556	118.7	115.9	2.8	9-7	6-5	6-0	12-9	4-6	1L
Bucks	11	15	0.423	115.1	117.3	-2.2	8-7	3-8	3-4	9-11	3-7	1W
Bulls	10	14	0.417	117.8	122.7	-4.9	6-5	4-9	1-5	7-10	2-8	1W
Pacers	6	20	0.231	110.2	118.3	-8.1	5-9	1-11	2-5	4-11	4-6	2L

East Southeast	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Magic	15	11	0.577	117.9	114.1	3.8	10-5	5-6	5-2	12-9	6-4	1L
Heat	14	11	0.56	121.7	118.2	3.5	10-3	4-8	2-3	8-6	5-5	4L
Hawks	14	12	0.538	117.9	117.5	0.4	4-6	10-6	4-1	8-8	5-5	1L
Hornets	8	18	0.308	114.8	118.4	-3.6	5-8	3-10	1-4	7-12	4-6	1W
Wizards	4	20	0.167	112.8	126.7	-13.9	2-9	2-11	1-3	3-16	3-7	1W

West Northwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	24	2	0.923	123.1	106.3	16.8	12-1	12-1	5-1	20-2	9-1	1L
Nuggets	18	6	0.75	125.5	115.9	9.6	6-4	12-2	2-1	13-5	7-3	4W
Timberwolves	16	9	0.64	119.9	115	4.9	8-4	8-5	3-3	11-8	6-4	1W
Jazz	9	15	0.375	118.1	125.8	-7.7	6-7	3-8	0-5	5-11	4-6	1W
Trail Blazers	9	16	0.36	117.5	121.5	-4	3-6	6-10	3-3	7-11	3-7	3L

West Pacific	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Lakers	17	7	0.708	118.3	116.8	1.5	7-4	10-3	2-2	12-5	7-3	1L
Suns	14	11	0.56	114.8	114.4	0.4	8-4	6-7	5-2	13-10	5-5	1L
Warriors	13	13	0.5	113.7	112.3	1.4	7-4	6-9	3-1	10-8	4-6	1L
Kings	6	19	0.24	111.2	122.6	-11.4	3-8	3-11	1-3	4-16	3-7	2L
Clippers	6	19	0.24	111.6	116.7	-5.1	3-7	3-12	1-4	4-12	2-8	3L

West Southwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Rockets	16	6	0.727	120.6	110.4	10.2	8-2	8-4	2-2	9-5	7-3	1W
Spurs	18	7	0.72	119.7	115.2	4.5	9-2	9-5	7-0	12-6	7-3	3W
Grizzlies	11	14	0.44	114.1	115.9	-1.8	6-7	5-7	4-3	10-8	7-3	1L
Mavericks	10	16	0.385	112.1	115.9	-3.8	7-9	3-7	2-5	5-11	6-4	2W
Pelicans	4	22	0.154	114.2	123.5	-9.3	3-12	1-10	1-6	2-19	2-8	1W

Eastern Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Pistons	20	5	0.8	119.6	113.3	6.3	12-2	8-3	5-3	15-5	7-3	3W
Knicks	18	7	0.72	121	112.2	8.8	13-1	5-6	5-1	14-7	9-1	5W
Celtics	15	10	0.6	116.6	110.8	5.8	8-4	7-6	4-4	11-7	7-3	1L
76ers	14	10	0.583	116.8	115.7	1.1	8-7	6-3	5-2	12-9	6-4	1W
Magic	15	11	0.577	117.9	114.1	3.8	10-5	5-6	5-2	12-9	6-4	1L
Raptors	15	11	0.577	115.8	113.9	1.9	8-6	7-5	3-4	13-7	4-6	4L
Cavaliers	15	12	0.556	118.7	115.9	2.8	9-7	6-5	6-0	12-9	4-6	1L
Heat	14	11	0.56	121.7	118.2	3.5	10-3	4-8	2-3	8-6	5-5	4L
Hawks	14	12	0.538	117.9	117.5	0.4	4-6	10-6	4-1	8-8	5-5	1L
Bucks	11	15	0.423	115.1	117.3	-2.2	8-7	3-8	3-4	9-11	3-7	1W
Bulls	10	14	0.417	117.8	122.7	-4.9	6-5	4-9	1-5	7-10	2-8	1W
Hornets	8	18	0.308	114.8	118.4	-3.6	5-8	3-10	1-4	7-12	4-6	1W
Nets	6	18	0.25	109.5	117.3	-7.8	2-10	4-8	1-7	5-13	4-6	1L
Pacers	6	20	0.231	110.2	118.3	-8.1	5-9	1-11	2-5	4-11	4-6	2L
Wizards	4	20	0.167	112.8	126.7	-13.9	2-9	2-11	1-3	3-16	3-7	1W

Western Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	24	2	0.923	123.1	106.3	16.8	12-1	12-1	5-1	20-2	9-1	1L
Nuggets	18	6	0.75	125.5	115.9	9.6	6-4	12-2	2-1	13-5	7-3	4W
Rockets	16	6	0.727	120.6	110.4	10.2	8-2	8-4	2-2	9-5	7-3	1W
Spurs	18	7	0.72	119.7	115.2	4.5	9-2	9-5	7-0	12-6	7-3	3W
Lakers	17	7	0.708	118.3	116.8	1.5	7-4	10-3	2-2	12-5	7-3	1L
Timberwolves	16	9	0.64	119.9	115	4.9	8-4	8-5	3-3	11-8	6-4	1W
Suns	14	11	0.56	114.8	114.4	0.4	8-4	6-7	5-2	13-10	5-5	1L
Warriors	13	13	0.5	113.7	112.3	1.4	7-4	6-9	3-1	10-8	4-6	1L
Grizzlies	11	14	0.44	114.1	115.9	-1.8	6-7	5-7	4-3	10-8	7-3	1L
Mavericks	10	16	0.385	112.1	115.9	-3.8	7-9	3-7	2-5	5-11	6-4	2W
Jazz	9	15	0.375	118.1	125.8	-7.7	6-7	3-8	0-5	5-11	4-6	1W
Trail Blazers	9	16	0.36	117.5	121.5	-4	3-6	6-10	3-3	7-11	3-7	3L
Kings	6	19	0.24	111.2	122.6	-11.4	3-8	3-11	1-3	4-16	3-7	2L
Clippers	6	19	0.24	111.6	116.7	-5.1	3-7	3-12	1-4	4-12	2-8	3L
Pelicans	4	22	0.154	114.2	123.5	-9.3	3-12	1-10	1-6	2-19	2-8	1W

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	24	2	0.923	123.1	106.3	16.8	12-1	12-1	5-1	20-2	9-1	1L
Pistons	20	5	0.8	119.6	113.3	6.3	12-2	8-3	5-3	15-5	7-3	3W
Nuggets	18	6	0.75	125.5	115.9	9.6	6-4	12-2	2-1	13-5	7-3	4W
Rockets	16	6	0.727	120.6	110.4	10.2	8-2	8-4	2-2	9-5	7-3	1W
Knicks	18	7	0.72	121	112.2	8.8	13-1	5-6	5-1	14-7	9-1	5W
Spurs	18	7	0.72	119.7	115.2	4.5	9-2	9-5	7-0	12-6	7-3	3W
Lakers	17	7	0.708	118.3	116.8	1.5	7-4	10-3	2-2	12-5	7-3	1L
Timberwolves	16	9	0.64	119.9	115	4.9	8-4	8-5	3-3	11-8	6-4	1W
Celtics	15	10	0.6	116.6	110.8	5.8	8-4	7-6	4-4	11-7	7-3	1L
76ers	14	10	0.583	116.8	115.7	1.1	8-7	6-3	5-2	12-9	6-4	1W
Magic	15	11	0.577	117.9	114.1	3.8	10-5	5-6	5-2	12-9	6-4	1L
Raptors	15	11	0.577	115.8	113.9	1.9	8-6	7-5	3-4	13-7	4-6	4L
Heat	14	11	0.56	121.7	118.2	3.5	10-3	4-8	2-3	8-6	5-5	4L
Suns	14	11	0.56	114.8	114.4	0.4	8-4	6-7	5-2	13-10	5-5	1L
Cavaliers	15	12	0.556	118.7	115.9	2.8	9-7	6-5	6-0	12-9	4-6	1L
Hawks	14	12	0.538	117.9	117.5	0.4	4-6	10-6	4-1	8-8	5-5	1L
Warriors	13	13	0.5	113.7	112.3	1.4	7-4	6-9	3-1	10-8	4-6	1L
Grizzlies	11	14	0.44	114.1	115.9	-1.8	6-7	5-7	4-3	10-8	7-3	1L
Bucks	11	15	0.423	115.1	117.3	-2.2	8-7	3-8	3-4	9-11	3-7	1W
Bulls	10	14	0.417	117.8	122.7	-4.9	6-5	4-9	1-5	7-10	2-8	1W
Mavericks	10	16	0.385	112.1	115.9	-3.8	7-9	3-7	2-5	5-11	6-4	2W
Jazz	9	15	0.375	118.1	125.8	-7.7	6-7	3-8	0-5	5-11	4-6	1W
Trail Blazers	9	16	0.36	117.5	121.5	-4	3-6	6-10	3-3	7-11	3-7	3L
Hornets	8	18	0.308	114.8	118.4	-3.6	5-8	3-10	1-4	7-12	4-6	1W
Nets	6	18	0.25	109.5	117.3	-7.8	2-10	4-8	1-7	5-13	4-6	1L
Clippers	6	19	0.24	111.6	116.7	-5.1	3-7	3-12	1-4	4-12	2-8	3L
Kings	6	19	0.24	111.2	122.6	-11.4	3-8	3-11	1-3	4-16	3-7	2L
Pacers	6	20	0.231	110.2	118.3	-8.1	5-9	1-11	2-5	4-11	4-6	2L
Wizards	4	20	0.167	112.8	126.7	-13.9	2-9	2-11	1-3	3-16	3-7	1W
Pelicans	4	22	0.154	114.2	123.5	-9.3	3-12	1-10	1-6	2-19	2-8	1W

• W = Wins
• L = Losses
• PCT = Winning Percentage
• PPG = Points Per Game
• OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
• DIFF = Average Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Road = Away Record
• Div = Division Record
• Conf = Conference Record
• Last 10 = Record last 10 games
• Strk = Current Streak

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