New York Liberty vs Connecticut Sun Prediction, Bet Builder Tips & Odds | WNBA, 03 Aug 2025

Expect Sun to Cover the Spread

The Sun can give a good account of themselves against the Liberty. The underdogs can prevent a big defeat and there is -110 available that they cover the +12.5 spread.

7 Wins in Previous 10 H2H Matchups for Liberty

When Connecticut Sun and New York Liberty clashed on Friday night, Sun managed a 78-62 victory. It’s been seven Liberty wins in the past 10 games between these teams.

WNBA	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
2  Liberty	17	10	2347	2194	153	12-3	5-7	4L
13  Sun	5	21	1943	2263	-320	4-10	1-11	1W

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Expert WNBA Analysis

Tracking injury updates is a big part of our analysis and team news plays a major role in shaping our basketball predictions. We combine this with recent form and the most important WNBA stats to get a complete picture.

Key Liberty vs Sun stats:

• The +12.5 line has been covered by Sun in 15 of their last 20 games at home.
• The +12.5 line has been covered by Sun in 7 of their last 10 games at home.
• The -12.5 line hasn’t been covered by Liberty in 9 consecutive games on the road.
• The -12.5 line hasn’t been covered by Liberty in 16 of their last 20 games.
• The +12.5 line has been covered by Sun in 9 of their last 10 games against Liberty.

Liberty vs Sun Prediction

Connecticut Sun look capable of avoiding a big loss in this WNBA matchup and we’re happy to bet the underdogs against the spread. They can comfortably cover +12.5 and this can be backed at -110.

If you are looking for more juice from your spread pick, there’s lots of choice when it comes to selling points. Taking this option involves more risk and a bigger potential payout.

Sun +12.5 Probability

When you look at the latest betting odds, our pick has a 52.4% chance of delivering a return. However, our cappers research has found that the actual probability is closer to 60%. The bet can be recommended for this precise reason.

Our Pick

Sun +12.5 @ -110 Watch Live Bet Now

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Player Props

Tina Charles Over 14.5 Points -127

Tina Charles (Sun) can be wagered to score Over 14.5 points at -127. We’ll place a bet that she is able to cover an appealing total for this Player Points wager.

Latest Tina Charles Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 14.5

-130

Under 14.5

-100

Rebounds

Over 5.5

-127

Under 5.5

-102

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Marina Mabrey Under 3.5 Rebounds +133

Marina Mabrey (Sun) is available at +133 to finish with Under 3.5 rebounds. When it comes to Player Rebounds, we’re expecting her to make a total that falls below the line.

Latest Marina Mabrey Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 13.5

-114

Under 13.5

-114

Assists

Over 3.5

-103

Under 3.5

-125

Rebounds

Over 3.5

-172

Under 3.5

+133

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Correct Score Prediction

Liberty 87 - 77 Sun

Rather than betting on the Liberty to win, there’s the alternative to try your luck when it comes to the correct score lines. Take a chance on a 87-77 victory in their favor.

New York Liberty vs Connecticut Sun Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Books Taking No Chances With Liberty

The sportsbooks are taking no chances with their Moneyline odds of -714 about New York Liberty which reflects they have a 88% chance of winning this WNBA game. At +490, Connecticut Sun are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.

The spread currently stands at 12.5 and the total points line is 170.5. The beauty of the Totals is that you only have to choose from one of two options. There’s the chance to back Under 170.5 at -110.

There are a huge selection of game lines and team props when it comes to wagering on women's hoops and we recommend visiting the top basketball betting sites to find the wager that matches your view on the game.

Betting Lines & Odds

Moneyline

Liberty

-714

Sun

+490

Point Spread

Liberty -12.5

-110

Sun +12.5

-110

Total Points

Under 170.5

-110

Over 170.5

-110

Sabrina Ionescu Favorite to Score the Most Baskets

In terms of hitting the most buckets, favorite Sabrina Ionescu is available at -102 to rack up Over 22.5 points. If you want to go Under, then -127 is available.

Player Points

Sabrina Ionescu (Liberty)

Over 22.5

-102

Under 22.5

-127

Jonquel Jones (Liberty)

Over 15.5

-105

Under 15.5

-123

Tina Charles (Sun)

Over 14.5

-130

Under 14.5

-100

Marina Mabrey (Sun)

Over 13.5

-114

Under 13.5

-114

Natasha Cloud (Liberty)

Over 10.5

-108

Under 10.5

-120

Leonie Fiebich (Liberty)

Over 9.5

-112

Under 9.5

-115

Player Assists

Sabrina Ionescu (Liberty)

Over 6.5

+118

Under 6.5

-154

Natasha Cloud (Liberty)

Over 5.5

-111

Under 5.5

-116

Jonquel Jones (Liberty)

Over 3.5

+141

Under 3.5

-185

Marina Mabrey (Sun)

Over 3.5

-103

Under 3.5

-125

Player Rebounds

Jonquel Jones (Liberty)

Over 9.5

-101

Under 9.5

-128

Tina Charles (Sun)

Over 5.5

-127

Under 5.5

-102

Sabrina Ionescu (Liberty)

Over 4.5

-143

Under 4.5

+110

Leonie Fiebich (Liberty)

Over 4.5

+115

Under 4.5

-149

Marina Mabrey (Sun)

Over 3.5

-172

Under 3.5

+133

Natasha Cloud (Liberty)

Over 3.5

-106

Under 3.5

-122

Last 5 & H2H

Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Live Streaming

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WNBA Table Select Season 20252024202320222021202020192018

Team	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Lynx	23	5	2418	2128	290	15-1	8-4	1W
2  Liberty	17	10	2347	2194	153	12-3	5-7	4L
3  Dream	17	11	2353	2208	145	9-4	8-7	2W
4  Mercury	16	11	2251	2198	53	9-4	7-7	2L
5  Storm	16	12	2284	2202	82	8-6	8-6	1L
6  Fever	15	12	2301	2191	110	9-6	6-6	4W
7  Valkyries	14	13	2109	2096	13	8-4	6-9	3W
8  Aces	14	13	2204	2221	-17	7-4	7-9	2W
9  Mystics	13	14	2123	2161	-38	9-6	4-8	1L
10  Sparks	12	15	2308	2377	-69	3-9	9-6	1W
11  Wings	8	20	2302	2422	-120	5-9	3-11	2L
12  Sky	7	20	2071	2353	-282	4-9	3-11	7L
13  Sun	5	21	1943	2263	-320	4-10	1-11	1W

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