New York Liberty vs Connecticut Sun Prediction, Picks & Odds | 03 Aug 2025

WNBA Betting Preview: Liberty vs Sun

The New York Liberty meet the Connecticut Sun in this WNBA matchup at Mohegan Sun Arena, with tip-off scheduled for 13:00 on Sunday, August 3. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds and H2H stats.

Expect Sun to Cover the Spread

The Sun can give a good account of themselves against the Liberty. The underdogs can prevent a big defeat and there is -110 available that they cover the +12.5 spread.

7 Wins in Previous 10 H2H Matchups for Liberty

When Connecticut Sun and New York Liberty clashed on Friday night, Sun managed a 78-62 victory. It’s been seven Liberty wins in the past 10 games between these teams.

WNBA	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
5  Liberty	27	17	3713	3534	179	17-5	10-12	3W
11  Sun	11	33	3337	3782	-445	7-15	4-18	2L

View Full Standings

New York Liberty vs Connecticut Sun Prediction & Picks

Sun look capable of avoiding a big loss in this WNBA matchup and we’re happy to bet the underdogs against the spread. They can comfortably cover +12.5 and this can be backed at -110.

Tracking injury updates is a big part of our analysis and team news plays a major role in shaping our basketball predictions. We combine this with recent form and the most important WNBA stats to get a complete picture.

Key Liberty vs Sun stats:

• The +12.5 line has been covered by Sun in 15 of their last 20 games at home.
• The +12.5 line has been covered by Sun in 7 of their last 10 games at home.
• The -12.5 line hasn’t been covered by Liberty in 9 consecutive games on the road.
• The -12.5 line hasn’t been covered by Liberty in 16 of their last 20 games.
• The +12.5 line has been covered by Sun in 9 of their last 10 games against Liberty.

Sun +12.5 Probability

When you look at the latest betting odds, our pick has a 52.4% chance of delivering a return. However, our cappers research has found that the actual probability is closer to 60%. The bet can be recommended for this precise reason.

If you are looking for more juice from your spread pick, there’s lots of choice when it comes to selling points. Taking this option involves more risk and a bigger potential payout.

Best Bet

Sun +12.5 @ -110 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Tina Charles Over 14.5 Points -127

Tina Charles (Sun) can be wagered to score Over 14.5 points at -127. We’ll place a bet that she is able to cover an appealing total for this Player Points wager.

Latest Tina Charles Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 14.5

-127

Under 14.5

-102

Rebounds

Over 5.5

-141

Under 5.5

+108

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Marina Mabrey Under 3.5 Rebounds +133

Marina Mabrey (Sun) is available at +133 to finish with Under 3.5 rebounds. When it comes to Player Rebounds, we’re expecting her to make a total that falls below the line.

Latest Marina Mabrey Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 13.5

-115

Under 13.5

-112

Assists

Over 3.5

-125

Under 3.5

-103

Rebounds

Over 3.5

-172

Under 3.5

+131

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Correct Score Prediction

Liberty 87 - 77 Sun

Rather than betting on the Liberty to win, there’s the alternative to try your luck when it comes to the correct score lines. Take a chance on a 87-77 victory in their favor.

New York Liberty vs Connecticut Sun Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Books Taking No Chances With Liberty

The sportsbooks are taking no chances with their Moneyline odds of -556 about New York Liberty which reflects they have a 85% chance of winning this WNBA game. At +390, Connecticut Sun are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.

The spread currently stands at 11 and the total points line is 170.5. The beauty of the Totals is that you only have to choose from one of two options. There’s the chance to back Under 170.5 at -110.

There are a huge selection of game lines and team props when it comes to wagering on women's hoops and we recommend visiting the top basketball betting sites to find the wager that matches your view on the game.

Moneyline

Liberty

-556

Sun

+390

Point Spread

Liberty -11

-112

Sun +11

-108

Total Points

Under 170.5

-110

Over 170.5

-110

Sabrina Ionescu Favorite to Score the Most Baskets

In terms of hitting the most buckets, favorite Sabrina Ionescu is available at -105 to rack up Over 22.5 points. If you want to go Under, then -123 is available.

Sabrina Ionescu (Liberty)

Over 22.5

-105

Under 22.5

-123

Jonquel Jones (Liberty)

Over 15.5

-105

Under 15.5

-123

Tina Charles (Sun)

Over 14.5

-127

Under 14.5

-102

Marina Mabrey (Sun)

Over 13.5

-115

Under 13.5

-112

Natasha Cloud (Liberty)

Over 11.5

+110

Under 11.5

-143

Leonie Fiebich (Liberty)

Over 9.5

-109

Under 9.5

-119

Marine Johannes (Liberty)

Over 8.5

-109

Under 8.5

-119

Sabrina Ionescu (Liberty)

Over 6.5

+120

Under 6.5

-156

Natasha Cloud (Liberty)

Over 5.5

-128

Under 5.5

-101

Jonquel Jones (Liberty)

Over 3.5

+141

Under 3.5

-185

Marina Mabrey (Sun)

Over 3.5

-125

Under 3.5

-103

Jonquel Jones (Liberty)

Over 9.5

+102

Under 9.5

-132

Tina Charles (Sun)

Over 5.5

-141

Under 5.5

+108

Sabrina Ionescu (Liberty)

Over 4.5

-149

Under 4.5

+115

Leonie Fiebich (Liberty)

Over 4.5

+134

Under 4.5

-175

Marina Mabrey (Sun)

Over 3.5

-172

Under 3.5

+131

Natasha Cloud (Liberty)

Over 3.5

-106

Under 3.5

-122

Micro Betting

Among the various options for wagering on basketball, you will find that micro betting is provided. It focuses on short-term in-game outcomes such as Next Field Goal, where you select if the shot will be a two or three-pointer.

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

New York Liberty Stats

Connecticut Sun Stats

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -12.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games
• -12.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 1 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +12.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• +12.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 169.40 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 170.40 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 169.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 169.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 85.70 pts and allowed 83.70 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 82.80 pts and allowed 87.60 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 165.30 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 163.50 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 169.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 169.5 at Home: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 79.80 pts and allowed 85.50 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 80.60 pts and allowed 82.90 pts in the last 10 home games

WNBA Table Select Season 20252024202320222021202020192018

Team	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Lynx	34	10	3787	3373	414	20-2	14-8	1W
2  Aces	30	14	3680	3552	128	17-5	13-9	16W
3  Dream	30	14	3712	3378	334	16-6	14-8	6W
4  Mercury	27	17	3643	3525	118	15-7	12-10	3L
5  Liberty	27	17	3713	3534	179	17-5	10-12	3W
6  Fever	24	20	3734	3586	148	13-9	11-11	3W
7  Storm	23	21	3614	3524	90	10-12	13-9	1W
8  Valkyries	23	21	3420	3359	61	14-8	9-13	3L
9  Sparks	21	23	3769	3882	-113	9-13	12-10	1L
10  Mystics	16	28	3394	3589	-195	10-12	6-16	10L
11  Sun	11	33	3337	3782	-445	7-15	4-18	2L
12  Sky	10	34	3335	3777	-442	6-16	4-18	4L
13  Wings	10	34	3594	3871	-277	6-16	4-18	1W