New York Liberty vs Minnesota Lynx Prediction, Picks & Odds | 16 Aug 2025

WNBA Betting Preview: Liberty vs Lynx

The No. 2 New York Liberty take on the No. 1 Minnesota Lynx in this WNBA heavyweight clash at Target Center, with tip-off scheduled for 14:00 on Saturday, August 16. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds and H2H stats.

Why Lynx Can Claim the Win

The betting prediction is to back the Lynx at -145. We think that the Liberty are massively opposable, so this is the best angle of attack with our wager.

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83-71 Win for Lynx in Pair’s Previous Clash

New York Liberty lost on the road in their previous game. Las Vegas Aces won 83-77 at Michelob Ultra Arena.

Minnesota Lynx won last time out by an 83-71 scoreline on the road against tonight’s opponent, the New York Liberty, at Barclays Center.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Lynx have claimed back-to-back victories over the Liberty. At Target Center they won 100-93 before winning 83-71 at Barclays Center. In the past 10 games between the teams, the Lynx have won six.

WNBA	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Lynx	34	10	3787	3373	414	20-2	14-8	1W
5  Liberty	27	17	3713	3534	179	17-5	10-12	3W

View Full Standings

New York Liberty vs Minnesota Lynx Prediction & Picks

Be fully equipped for New York Liberty vs Minnesota Lynx with our betting guide, offering a key match prediction, a correct score recommendation, top player prop picks and a bet builder tailored for value.

Game Prediction

We’re heading to the Moneyline and our pick is for Lynx to win this WNBA contest. They have a strong chance of landing a victory and the -145 makes plenty of appeal.

The basketball predictions at Sportsgambler.com are always guided by the latest team news, injury updates and overall form. Once we've reviewed that, we dive into the most relevant WNBA stats to confidently recommend every pick.

Key Liberty vs Lynx stats:

• Lynx have won 5 consecutive games.
• Lynx have won 9 of their last 10 games.
• Lynx have won 17 of their last 20 games at home.
• Liberty have lost 6 of their last 10 games.
• Lynx have won the last 2 games between these teams.

Lynx Moneyline Probability

According to the best sportsbooks, there’s a 59.2% likelihood of our pick landing a return. Our analysts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 65-70%. This is why we regard this as a value bet.

Those who are looking for more value when backing the Lynx should consider the spread. Place a bet on them to cover the line that makes the most appeal at the odds.

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Best Bet

Lynx Moneyline @ -145 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Jonquel Jones Under 13.5 Points -106

Jonquel Jones (Liberty) can be backed to score Under 13.5 points at -106. When it comes to her Player Points outcome, we are fairly confident she will total below the line.

Latest Jonquel Jones Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 13.5

-123

Under 13.5

-104

Assists

Over 3.5

+146

Under 3.5

-192

Rebounds

Over 8.5

-100

Under 8.5

-130

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Courtney Williams Over 6.5 Assists +117

Courtney Williams (Lynx) can be wagered to finish with Over 6.5 assists at +117. We can back her when it comes to a Player Assists bet and hope that Overs comes in.

Latest Courtney Williams Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 15.5

-103

Under 15.5

-125

Assists

Over 6.5

+112

Under 6.5

-145

Rebounds

Over 5.5

+126

Under 5.5

-164

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Correct Score Prediction

Liberty 85 - 88 Lynx

Don’t pass up the opportunity to have a speculative wager on the Lynx to land a 88-85 win. We don’t think that there will be too much between the teams.

New York Liberty vs Minnesota Lynx Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Books Have Lynx as Favorites

With a 56% chance of securing victory, Minnesota Lynx are favorites for this WNBA game and the sportsbooks have them at betting odds of -130. At +106, New York Liberty are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.

The current spread is 1.5 and the total points line is 166.5. The beauty of the Totals is that you only have to choose from one of two options. If you want to back Over 166.5, it’s -110.

There are a wide range of team props and game lines when it comes to wagering on women's hoops and we recommend visiting the best basketball sportsbooks to find the wager that matches your view on the contest.

Moneyline

Liberty

+106

Lynx

-130

Point Spread

Liberty +1.5

-110

Lynx -1.5

-110

Total Points

Under 166.5

-110

Over 166.5

-110

Sabrina Ionescu Favorite to Score the Most Baskets

Sabrina Ionescu is the favorite to score most points. She is priced at -103 to score Over 18.5 points. Alternatively, you can back Under at -125.

Sabrina Ionescu (Liberty)

Over 18.5

-103

Under 18.5

-125

Kayla McBride (Lynx)

Over 15.5

-108

Under 15.5

-120

Courtney Williams (Lynx)

Over 15.5

-103

Under 15.5

-125

Emma Meesseman (Liberty)

Over 14.5

-114

Under 14.5

-114

Jonquel Jones (Liberty)

Over 13.5

-123

Under 13.5

-104

Alanna Smith (Lynx)

Over 12.5

-100

Under 12.5

-130

DiJonai Carrington (Lynx)

Over 10.5

-135

Under 10.5

+104

Natasha Cloud (Liberty)

Over 9.5

-115

Under 9.5

-112

Leonie Fiebich (Liberty)

Over 9.5

+128

Under 9.5

-167

Jessica Shepard (Lynx)

Over 8.5

-114

Under 8.5

-114

Courtney Williams (Lynx)

Over 6.5

+112

Under 6.5

-145

Sabrina Ionescu (Liberty)

Over 4.5

-125

Under 4.5

-103

Natasha Cloud (Liberty)

Over 4.5

-125

Under 4.5

-103

Kayla McBride (Lynx)

Over 3.5

+120

Under 3.5

-156

Emma Meesseman (Liberty)

Over 3.5

-130

Under 3.5

-100

Jonquel Jones (Liberty)

Over 3.5

+146

Under 3.5

-192

Alanna Smith (Lynx)

Over 3.5

-100

Under 3.5

-130

Jonquel Jones (Liberty)

Over 8.5

-100

Under 8.5

-130

Jessica Shepard (Lynx)

Over 8.5

-103

Under 8.5

-125

Alanna Smith (Lynx)

Over 6.5

+107

Under 6.5

-139

Courtney Williams (Lynx)

Over 5.5

+126

Under 5.5

-164

Emma Meesseman (Liberty)

Over 5.5

-152

Under 5.5

+117

Sabrina Ionescu (Liberty)

Over 4.5

-118

Under 4.5

-110

DiJonai Carrington (Lynx)

Over 4.5

+117

Under 4.5

-152

Natasha Cloud (Liberty)

Over 3.5

-108

Under 3.5

-120

Micro Betting

It’s good to consider all wagering options when it comes to basketball and micro betting can be an exciting way to get involved in the action. When everything goes in-game, consider whether the next shot will be a Two or a Three-pointer.

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

New York Liberty Stats

Minnesota Lynx Stats

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 games
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +2.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• +2.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -2.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games
• -2.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 171.40 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 172.60 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 165.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 165.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 84.90 pts and allowed 86.50 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 84.70 pts and allowed 87.90 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 168.60 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 162.40 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 165.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 165.5 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 92.10 pts and allowed 76.50 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 85.80 pts and allowed 76.60 pts in the last 10 home games

WNBA Table Select Season 20252024202320222021202020192018

Team	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Lynx	34	10	3787	3373	414	20-2	14-8	1W
2  Aces	30	14	3680	3552	128	17-5	13-9	16W
3  Dream	30	14	3712	3378	334	16-6	14-8	6W
4  Mercury	27	17	3643	3525	118	15-7	12-10	3L
5  Liberty	27	17	3713	3534	179	17-5	10-12	3W
6  Fever	24	20	3734	3586	148	13-9	11-11	3W
7  Storm	23	21	3614	3524	90	10-12	13-9	1W
8  Valkyries	23	21	3420	3359	61	14-8	9-13	3L
9  Sparks	21	23	3769	3882	-113	9-13	12-10	1L
10  Mystics	16	28	3394	3589	-195	10-12	6-16	10L
11  Sun	11	33	3337	3782	-445	7-15	4-18	2L
12  Sky	10	34	3335	3777	-442	6-16	4-18	4L
13  Wings	10	34	3594	3871	-277	6-16	4-18	1W