New Zealand Breakers vs Adelaide 36ers Prediction, Betting Tips & Odds | 23 Jan 2026

NBL Betting Preview: New Zealand Breakers vs Adelaide 36ers

New Zealand Breakers host Adelaide 36ers, with tip-off set for 01:30 on Friday 23 January.

Adelaide should be taken against the spread at -4.5 with our prediction being for them to achieve a comfortable margin of victory when clashing with New Zealand. Back the favorites at the -111 that's available.

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New Zealand Breakers were defeated in their last game. On the road, they suffered a 123-116 loss against South East Melbourne Phoenix.

Adelaide 36ers claimed a home victory in their previous game. A 121-115 win occurred against South East Melbourne Phoenix.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The scoreline was 83-79 in favor of Adelaide when they last played New Zealand. Adelaide have enjoyed three consecutive victories against New Zealand. They’ve landed 5 wins from the past 10 head-to-head meetings.

NBL	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Adelaide 36ers	20	5	2325	2159	166	12-3	8-2	1W
7  NZ Breakers	10	16	2333	2375	-42	4-7	6-9	1L

View Full Standings

New Zealand Breakers vs Adelaide 36ers Prediction & Betting Tips

Get the edge with our New Zealand Breakers vs Adelaide 36ers betting tips: our expert match prediction, most likely correct score outcome and a bet builder tailored for value.

Game Prediction

We’re backing Adelaide against the spread in this NBL showdown. It could be shrewd to wager the favorites to cover the generous -4.5 line, with odds of -111 on offer.

It's important to understand the players who are unavailable for the upcoming NBL action and the respective form of each team. If you want stats, you have come to the right place and they form the basis of our basketball predictions.

Key New Zealand vs Adelaide league stats:

• The -4.5 line has been covered by Adelaide in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The -4.5 line has been covered by Adelaide in 7 of their last 10 games.
• The -4.5 line has been covered by Adelaide in 2 consecutive games on the road.
• The +4.5 line hasn’t been covered by NZ Breakers in 3 of their last 5 games.
• The +4.5 line hasn’t been covered by NZ Breakers in 11 of their last 20 games at home.
• The +4.5 line hasn’t been covered by NZ Breakers in 2 consecutive games at home.

Sixers -4.5 Probability

The top betting sites imply that our pick has a 52.6% prospect of winning. Our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be closer to 60%. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.

There’s the chance to sell points and that means moving the line until you’re happy with the wager. It means a riskier bet but a bigger return on the odds available.

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Our Game Prediction

Adelaide -4.5 @ -111 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (05:54, 22 January 2026). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

NZ Breakers 87 - 96 Adelaide 36ers

We’re going for Adelaide 36ers to win by a 96-87 scoreline, something which is available at massive odds. This speculative bet can provide a big return for a small stake.

New Zealand Breakers vs Adelaide 36ers Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

The Adelaide 36ers odds have been priced up by the sportsbooks and they are -192 betting favorites to land victory in this NBL game which means a 66% chance of winning. New Zealand Breakers are regarded as a long shot to win and you can currently back them at +155.

The spread currently stands at 4.5 and the total points line is 178.5. A wager on the Totals allows bettors to use the latest basketball data to good effect. If you fancy Over 178.5, this outcome can be backed at -111.

Consider every angle when placing your NBL bets. The top basketball betting sites offer a wide range of game lines and team props and it’s all about finding a wager which matches your prediction of the matchup.

Moneyline

NZ Breakers

+155

Adelaide

-192

Point Spread

NZ Breakers +4.5

-111

Adelaide -4.5

-111

Total Points

Under 178.5

-111

Over 178.5

-111

You shouldn’t overlook the player props when it comes to betting on individual games. Many gambling sites will give you the chance to get with or bet against a specific player when it comes to number of Points, Assists, Steals and Blocks.

You don’t have to wait for the final outcome when it comes to NBL micro betting. Instead, there’s the opportunity to wager on live lines which tends to be settled in a shorter space of time and the in-game odds are always changing.

Latest 0 regular season and play-off games stats.

New Zealand Breakers Stats

Adelaide 36ers Stats

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 home games

Moneyline

• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +4.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• +4.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -4.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• -4.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 187.70 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 174.10 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 178.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 178.5 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 91.40 pts and allowed 96.30 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 86.70 pts and allowed 87.40 pts in the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 184.00 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 177.10 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 178.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 178.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 94.90 pts and allowed 89.10 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 92.40 pts and allowed 84.70 pts in the last 10 games on the road

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NBL Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/20201997

Team	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Adelaide 36ers	20	5	2325	2159	166	12-3	8-2	1W
2  Sydney Kings	17	9	2489	2239	250	10-4	7-5	4W
3  SEM Phoenix	17	9	2610	2428	182	9-4	8-5	1W
4  Melbourne United	17	10	2521	2372	149	10-4	7-6	2W
5  Perth Wildcats	15	10	2248	2170	78	5-6	10-4	4W
6  JackJumpers	12	15	2310	2305	5	4-8	8-7	2L
7  NZ Breakers	10	16	2333	2375	-42	4-7	6-9	1L
8  Illawarra Hawks	8	16	2165	2325	-160	6-7	2-9	3L
9  Cairns Taipans	7	18	2072	2397	-325	3-11	4-7	1L
10  Brisbane Bullets	6	21	2267	2570	-303	2-10	4-11	7L

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