New Zealand Breakers vs Illawarra Hawks Prediction, Betting Tips & Odds | 07 Feb 2026

NBL Betting Preview: New Zealand Breakers vs Illawarra Hawks

New Zealand Breakers host Illawarra Hawks, with tip-off set for 01:30 on Saturday 7 February.

There are odds of -111 about Over 186.5 points and this looks very generous when New Zealand face Illawarra. The bar might have been set too low in terms of the total line.

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New Zealand Breakers lost when they last took to the court. They were turned over 114-83 at home to South East Melbourne Phoenix.

Illawarra Hawks claimed a home victory in their previous game. A 100-99 win occurred against Adelaide 36ers.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It was New Zealand who came out on top when they last played Illawarra. A 101-96 win was recorded. New Zealand have beaten Illawarra on three consecutive occasions. Going back over 10 meetings, they have lost 6 of the past 10 head-to-head clashes.

NBL	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
7  NZ Breakers	11	19	2712	2787	-75	5-9	6-10	2L
8  Illawarra Hawks	10	18	2582	2719	-137	6-8	4-10	2L

View Full Standings

New Zealand Breakers vs Illawarra Hawks Prediction & Betting Tips

We’ve got your New Zealand Breakers vs Illawarra Hawks bets covered, including our expert match prediction, correct score recommendation and a hand-picked bet builder tailored for value.

Game Prediction

We’re expecting Over 186.5 points to be scored by the two teams combined. There’s a generous -111 for our pick and we’re anticipating that the scoreboard will tick over in this NBL showdown.

The NBL experts at Sportsgambler.com check injury updates regularly and combine this with the form guide. We’re also able to consult a database of stats and present the key numbers to our readers.

Key New Zealand vs Illawarra league stats:

• The 186.5 line has been covered in 4 of the last 5 NZ Breakers games at home.
• The 186.5 line has been covered in 7 of the last 10 NZ Breakers games.
• The 186.5 line has been covered in the last 3 NZ Breakers games at home.
• The 186.5 line has been covered in the last 5 Illawarra games.
• The 186.5 line has been covered in 7 of the last 10 Illawarra games.
• The 186.5 line has been covered in 11 of the last 20 Illawarra games.

Over 186.5 Probability

The top betting sites are estimating that there is a 52.6% likelihood of this pick winning. In the opinion of our analysts, there’s actually a probability of success between 55-60%. This is why we regard this as a value wager.

There’s a chance to secure larger odds when you bet on the Totals. The betting sites allow you to move the line for an Over pick until you’re happy with the potential return.

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Our Game Prediction

Over 186.5 Points @ -111 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (05:54, 06 February 2026). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

NZ Breakers 92 - 102 Illawarra Hawks

For those wanting a big return from a small stake, consider the correct score lines. For example, Illawarra Hawks can be backed to win 102-92 at enormous betting odds.

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New Zealand Breakers vs Illawarra Hawks Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Sportsbooks’ favorites Illawarra Hawks are regarded as likeliest victors for this NBL game and the -217 about them triumphing means a 68% chance based on their current Moneyline betting odds. For those wanting to back New Zealand Breakers, you will find +170 about the underdogs.

5.5 is where the spread lies, with total points being 186.5 right now. There is no denying the popularity of wagering on the Totals. If you’re going for Over 186.5, then the odds are -111.

The leading basketball betting sites offer a full range of game lines and team props for every NBL contest, giving you multiple ways to get involved. Take your time to explore the options and place your bet wisely.

Moneyline

NZ Breakers

+170

Illawarra

-217

Point Spread

NZ Breakers +5.5

-114

Illawarra -5.5

-109

Total Points

Under 186.5

-111

Over 186.5

-111

The gambling sites will have player props available for each game. Check out the various betting odds and take a view on whether a player’s Total Points, Three-Pointers, Blocks or Steals will hit over or under a certain line.

It’s good to consider all wagering options when it comes to the NBL and micro betting can be an exciting way to get involved in the action. When everything goes live, consider whether the next shot will be a Two or a Three-pointer.

Latest 0 regular season and play-off games stats.

New Zealand Breakers Stats

Illawarra Hawks Stats

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 home games

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +5.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• +5.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -5.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games
• -5.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 193.30 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 181.20 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 186.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 186.5 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 93.40 pts and allowed 99.90 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 88.10 pts and allowed 93.10 pts in the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 197.90 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 194.30 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 186.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 186.5 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 100.10 pts and allowed 97.80 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 95.70 pts and allowed 98.60 pts in the last 10 games on the road

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NBL Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/20201997

Team	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  SEM Phoenix	21	9	3025	2748	277	10-4	11-5	2W
2  Adelaide 36ers	21	8	2690	2539	151	11-5	10-3	1L
3  Sydney Kings	20	9	2823	2536	287	12-4	8-5	7W
4  Melbourne United	18	11	2690	2542	148	10-4	8-7	1L
5  Perth Wildcats	18	11	2634	2505	129	7-7	11-4	2W
6  JackJumpers	13	17	2585	2591	-6	5-9	8-8	1W
7  NZ Breakers	11	19	2712	2787	-75	5-9	6-10	2L
8  Illawarra Hawks	10	18	2582	2719	-137	6-8	4-10	2L
9  Cairns Taipans	8	21	2420	2820	-400	4-12	4-9	1L
10  Brisbane Bullets	6	23	2416	2790	-374	2-12	4-11	9L

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