New Zealand Breakers vs South East Melbourne Phoenix Prediction, Betting Tips & Odds | 12 Oct 2025

NBL Betting Preview: New Zealand vs South East Melbourne

New Zealand Breakers host South East Melbourne Phoenix in this NBL game, with tip-off set for 23:30 on Saturday 11 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds and H2H stats.

Over 184.5 Has to Be The Way Forward

New Zealand and South East Melbourne are capable of scoring more than 184.5 points. Therefore, we’re going Over the total line and expect a payout at -106.

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Phoenix Beat Breakers in their Last Matchup

New Zealand Breakers won their last game 117-88. This was a home triumph against Illawarra Hawks.

South East Melbourne Phoenix were beaten in their previous game and this was on the road. Melbourne United claimed a 103-83 win.

Head-to-Head Statistics

South East Melbourne have beaten New Zealand in their most recent encounters. On the road, a 88-62 scoreline was enjoyed before a home win by 102-89. In the past 10 H2H meetings, South East Melbourne have won six.

NBL	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
6  SEM Phoenix	1	1	197	180	17	1-0	0-1	1L
10  NZ Breakers	1	4	447	492	-45	1-2	0-2	1W

View Full Standings

New Zealand Breakers vs South East Melbourne Phoenix Prediction & Betting Tips

Dive into our New Zealand Breakers vs South East Melbourne Phoenix betting tips, featuring an expert match prediction, our best correct score pick and a ready-made bet builder designed for value.

Game Prediction

We’re expecting Over 184.5 points to be scored by the two teams combined. There’s a generous -106 for our pick and we’re anticipating that the scoreboard will tick over in this NBL showdown.

We take note of any injuries affecting each team before going ahead with our basketball picks. The form guide and stats also help the team at Sportsgambler.com crunch the numbers ahead of the NBL action.

Key New Zealand vs South East Melbourne league stats:

• The 184.5 line has been covered in 3 of the last 5 NZ Breakers games.
• The 184.5 line has been covered in the last 11 SEM Phoenix games on the road.
• The 184.5 line has been covered in 19 of the last 20 SEM Phoenix games.

Over 184.5 Probability

Based on the odds from the best basketball betting sites, our pick has a 51.5% prospect of winning. However, our analysts in-depth research has found that the actual probability is between 55-60%. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.

There’s a chance to secure larger odds when you bet on the Totals. The betting sites allow you to move the line for an Over pick until you’re happy with the potential return.

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Best Bet

Over 184.5 Points @ -106 Watch Live Bet Now

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Gamble responsibly 18+. All odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change. To use the Bookmaker Live Streaming services you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Geo-restrictions apply.

Correct Score Prediction

NZ Breakers 95 - 94 SEM Phoenix

For a fun bet, consider backing NZ Breakers to claim a 95-94 win. Although it’s a speculative wager, we are expecting things to be close between the two teams.

New Zealand Breakers vs South East Melbourne Phoenix Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Tight Affair in the Eyes of the Books

New Zealand Breakers are on offer at -100 on the Moneyline if you want to back this franchise, with South East Melbourne Phoenix available at -125. From a percentage point-of-view, the leading NBL sportsbooks give the visiting team a 56% chance of success.

The spread is 1.5 and the total points line is currently 185.5. The beauty of the Totals is that you only have to choose from one of two options. The Over 185.5 selection is available to back at -111.

You can find a huge selection of team props and game lines when it comes to most NBL contests, with the best betting sites creating lots of alternatives. Check out the pre-game and in-game options before placing your bets.

Moneyline

NZ Breakers

-100

SEM Phoenix

-125

Point Spread

NZ Breakers +1.5

-111

SEM Phoenix -1.5

-111

Total Points

Under 185.5

-111

Over 185.5

-111

Player Props & Micro Betting

Should you be more interested in a specific individual who is competing, check out the gambling sites’ prop bets where you can pick out player lines that focus on performance rather than the game result.

You don’t have to wait for the final outcome when it comes to NBL micro betting. Instead, there’s the opportunity to wager on live lines which tends to be settled in a shorter space of time and the in-game odds are always changing.

Last 5 & H2H

Latest 0 regular season and play-off games stats.

New Zealand Breakers Stats

SEM Phoenix Stats

Moneyline

• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 home games

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +2.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games
• +2.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -2.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• -2.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 185.10 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 181.80 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 184.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 184.5 at Home: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 88.20 pts and allowed 96.90 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 90.20 pts and allowed 91.60 pts in the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 197.50 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 206.20 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 184.5: Covered in 9 of the previous 10 games
• Over 184.5 on the Road: Covered in the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 97.50 pts and allowed 100.00 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 99.90 pts and allowed 106.30 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Live Streaming

Watch NBL live streaming through your Android or Apple device simply by having a funded sportsbook account or placing a bet within the past 24 hours.

You can log into your betting account on a daily basis and enjoy the chance to access high quality streams.

New Zealand Breakers vs SEM Phoenix Live Stream Watch Live Geo-restrictions apply. To use the services you need to be logged in, a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours.

NBL Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/20201997

Team	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Melbourne United	4	0	412	342	70	2-0	2-0	4W
2  Adelaide 36ers	3	1	374	351	23	2-1	1-0	1L
3  Perth Wildcats	3	1	333	314	19	1-1	2-0	3W
4  JackJumpers	3	2	423	426	-3	0-1	3-1	1L
5  Sydney Kings	2	2	367	338	29	1-2	1-0	1W
6  SEM Phoenix	1	1	197	180	17	1-0	0-1	1L
7  Cairns Taipans	2	3	393	460	-67	1-2	1-1	2L
8  Illawarra Hawks	1	3	374	389	-15	1-1	0-2	1W
9  Brisbane Bullets	1	4	437	465	-28	0-1	1-3	4L
10  NZ Breakers	1	4	447	492	-45	1-2	0-2	1W