North Carolina vs San Diego State Prediction, Picks & Odds | 18 Mar 2025

No. 11 North Carolina Tar Heels (22-13, 15-8 ACC) play No. 11 San Diego State Aztecs (21-9, 14-7 MWC) in this First 4 game at UD Arena in Dayton, Ohio.

There’s an attractive line of -3.5 when it comes to North Carolina when they go up against San Diego State. The -112 that the favorites cover the spread has lots of juice and our prediction is it will happen.

North Carolina Tar Heels suffered a defeat in their previous game. A 74-71 scoreline occurred on the road against Duke Blue Devils.

San Diego State Aztecs lost their last game, being beaten at home to Boise State Broncos 62-52.

NCAAB Regular Season	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
North Carolina	13-2	1220	989	231	11-0	2-2	1L
San Diego State	9-4	1093	972	121	7-2	2-2	3W

View Full Standings

North Carolina vs San Diego State Prediction & Picks

North Carolina are available at -112 when it comes to backing them against the spread in this college showdown. The attractive -3.5 line could be covered with ease by the favorites and this looks like a value wager.

The team at Sportsgambler.com are right across the latest injuries and the form guide also informs our college basketball predictions. This data is combined with the latest stats.

Key North Carolina vs San Diego State stats:

• The -3.5 line has been covered by UNC in 8 of their last 10 games.
• The -3.5 line has been covered by UNC in 3 of their last 5 games.

UNC -3.5 Probability

According to the sportsbooks, our pick has a 52.9% chance of winning. After careful examination, our cappers have this probability somewhere between 55-60%. The bet can be recommended for this precise reason.

If you want bigger odds, then you can move the line by selling points. Choose how many to sell until you are happy with the juice available.

Our Game Prediction

North Carolina -3.5 @ -112 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Ven-Allen Lubin Under 8.5 Rebounds -122

Ven-Allen Lubin (North Carolina) can be wagered to have Under 8.5 rebounds at -122. We think that he will fail to cover this total and this Player Rebounds bet can be taken with confidence.

Latest Ven-Allen Lubin Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 10.5

-120

Under 10.5

-108

Rebounds

Over 8.5

-120

Under 8.5

-108

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RJ Davis Over 2.5 Assists -161

RJ Davis (North Carolina) can be wagered to rack up Over 2.5 assists at -161. We feel pretty confident that he’ll be able to cover the Player Assists total which looks generous.

Latest RJ Davis Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 16.5

-105

Under 16.5

-123

Assists

Over 2.5

-167

Under 2.5

+127

Rebounds

Over 2.5

-192

Under 2.5

+145

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Correct Score Prediction

North Carolina 73 - 65 San Diego State

Rather than betting on North Carolina to win, there’s the option to try your luck when it comes to the correct score lines. Take a chance on a 73-65 triumph in their favor.

North Carolina vs San Diego State Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

The sportsbooks’ betting odds have North Carolina as -204 favorites for this college game, implying that they are 67% likely to win. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, San Diego State are trading at +168.

The current spread is 4.5 and total points is 141.5. The advantage of the Totals is that you only have to choose from one of two options. There’s the chance to back Under 141.5 at -110.

Those wanting to back UNC to win the Race to 20 betting can get odds of -175 that the favorites oblige. If you want to back SDSU, then odds of +125 can be found.

Whether you are wagering pre-game or in-game, you can feast on plenty of game lines and team props. The selections are practically endless and it’s great to have so many options.

Moneyline

UNC

-204

SDSU

+168

Point Spread

UNC -4.5

-115

SDSU +4.5

-105

Total Points

Under 141.5

-110

Over 141.5

-110

RJ Davis is the favorite to score most points. He is priced at -105 to score Over 16.5 points. Alternatively, you can back Under at -123.

RJ Davis (UNC)

Over 16.5

-105

Under 16.5

-123

Nick Boyd (SDSU)

Over 14.5

-123

Under 14.5

-105

Miles Byrd (SDSU)

Over 13.5

-109

Under 13.5

-119

Ven-Allen Lubin (UNC)

Over 10.5

-120

Under 10.5

-108

Seth Trimble (UNC)

Over 9.5

-125

Under 9.5

-103

Jae'Lyn Withers (UNC)

Over 8.5

-123

Under 8.5

-105

BJ Davis (SDSU)

Over 8.5

-105

Under 8.5

-123

Drake Powell (UNC)

Over 7.5

-130

Under 7.5

+101

Elliot Cadeau (UNC)

Over 7.5

-125

Under 7.5

-103

Jared Coleman-Jones (SDSU)

Over 7.5

+110

Under 7.5

-143

Elliot Cadeau (UNC)

Over 5.5

+112

Under 5.5

-145

Nick Boyd (SDSU)

Over 4.5

+117

Under 4.5

-152

RJ Davis (UNC)

Over 2.5

-167

Under 2.5

+127

Miles Byrd (SDSU)

Over 2.5

-161

Under 2.5

+123

Seth Trimble (UNC)

Over 0.5

-189

Under 0.5

+145

Ven-Allen Lubin (UNC)

Over 8.5

-120

Under 8.5

-108

Jae'Lyn Withers (UNC)

Over 6.5

-114

Under 6.5

-114

Miles Byrd (SDSU)

Over 4.5

-137

Under 4.5

+106

Seth Trimble (UNC)

Over 4.5

-115

Under 4.5

-112

Jared Coleman-Jones (SDSU)

Over 4.5

-127

Under 4.5

-102

Nick Boyd (SDSU)

Over 3.5

-120

Under 3.5

-108

Drake Powell (UNC)

Over 3.5

-114

Under 3.5

-114

RJ Davis (UNC)

Over 2.5

-192

Under 2.5

+145

BJ Davis (SDSU)

Over 2.5

-115

Under 2.5

-112

Elliot Cadeau (UNC)

Over 2.5

-147

Under 2.5

+113

You don’t have to wait for the final outcome when it comes to college basketball micro betting. Instead, there’s the opportunity to wager on live lines which tend to be settled in a shorter space of time and the in-game odds are always changing.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

North Carolina Stats

San Diego State Stats

Moneyline

• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games

Point Spread

• -3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games

Point Spread

• +3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 153.80 pts in the previous 10 games
• Over 142.5: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 82.90 pts and allowed 70.90 pts in the last 10 games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 134.50 pts in the previous 10 games
• Over 142.5: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 69.40 pts and allowed 65.10 pts in the last 10 games

NCAAB Regular Season Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Mountain West	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Utah State	12-1	1113	875	238	7-0	5-1	5W
Nevada	11-3	1073	995	78	8-2	3-1	7W
New Mexico	11-3	1115	943	172	10-0	1-3	1W
Wyoming	10-4	1163	1005	158	8-1	2-3	1L
Colorado State	10-4	1133	1001	132	6-3	4-1	1W
San Diego State	9-4	1093	972	121	7-2	2-2	3W
Boise State	9-5	1093	1008	85	7-3	2-2	1L
Grand Canyon	8-5	982	895	87	7-4	1-1	1L
UNLV	7-6	1049	984	65	5-3	2-3	3W
Fresno State	6-8	1041	1008	33	6-5	0-3	6L
San Jose State	5-9	1044	1077	-33	5-4	0-5	4L
Air Force	3-11	881	1025	-144	3-7	0-4	7L

Atlantic Coast	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Duke	13-1	1222	917	305	9-0	4-1	2W
North Carolina	13-2	1220	989	231	11-0	2-2	1L
California	13-2	1222	1028	194	13-1	0-1	1W
Miami	12-2	1239	949	290	10-1	2-1	7W
SMU	12-2	1281	1077	204	11-0	1-2	3W
Virginia	12-2	1207	954	253	9-0	3-2	1W
Clemson	12-3	1173	985	188	9-0	3-3	5W
Virginia Tech	12-3	1253	1110	143	10-0	2-3	1L
Stanford	12-3	1184	1063	121	8-3	4-0	1W
Louisville	11-3	1265	968	297	8-0	3-3	1L
NC State	10-5	1279	1071	208	9-3	1-2	1L
Wake Forest	10-5	1229	1114	115	8-2	2-3	1W
Notre Dame	10-5	1115	1001	114	8-1	2-4	1L
Georgia Tech	10-5	1139	1052	87	10-2	0-3	1W
Syracuse	9-5	1031	907	124	8-2	1-3	1L
Boston College	7-7	971	932	39	6-5	1-2	1L
Florida State	7-8	1258	1188	70	7-4	0-4	2L
Pittsburgh	7-8	1099	1030	69	6-4	1-4	2L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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