Notre Dame vs North Carolina Prediction, Picks & Odds | 21 Jan 2026

College Basketball Betting Preview: Notre Dame vs North Carolina

The Notre Dame Fighting Irish face the North Carolina Tar Heels, with tip-off scheduled for 19:00 on Wednesday, January 21.

Let’s go for North Carolina at a generous -11.5 on the spread. We like this pick and are able to get -110 that the favorites beat Notre Dame by a sizeable margin.

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Notre Dame Fighting Irish were defeated in their previous game. On the road, they suffered a 89-76 reverse against Virginia Tech.

North Carolina Tar Heels suffered a defeat in their last game. A 84-78 scoreline occurred on the road against California Golden Bears.

Head-to-Head Statistics

North Carolina beat Notre Dame in their last head-to-head matchup. It was a 76-56 scoreline. North Carolina have five straight victories against Notre Dame. They’ve also claimed 8 wins in the past 10 head-to-head meetings.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
North Carolina	14-4	1475	1252	223	12-0	2-4	2L
Notre Dame	10-8	1321	1247	74	8-3	2-5	4L

View Full Standings

Notre Dame vs North Carolina Prediction & Picks

We cover the key Notre Dame vs North Carolina betting angles, showcasing our expert match prediction, correct score selection and a bet builder tailored for the best value.

Game Prediction

We really fancy the chances of North Carolina beating the underdogs handsomely in this college matchup. That is why we’re backing them at -11.5 on the spread at -110.

We only publish our basketball picks once we’ve got a clear and confident read on team news and the latest form. We also stay sharp by digging into the most valuable stats to support every college hoops prediction we make.

Key Notre Dame vs North Carolina stats:

• The -11.5 line has been covered by UNC in 9 of their last 10 games at home.
• The -11.5 line has been covered by UNC in 4 of their last 5 games at home.
• The +11.5 line hasn’t been covered by Notre Dame in 3 consecutive games.

UNC -11.5 Probability

The best sportsbooks are estimating that there is a 52.4% chance of this pick winning. Taking all factors into consideration, our cappers think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 55-60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this college basketball wager.

If you want a good alternative to backing UNC against the spread, then the Winning Margin could be up your street. Choose from a wide range of options.

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Our Game Prediction

North Carolina -11.5 @ -110 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Notre Dame 64 - 80 North Carolina

Should you want to go for a selection at massive odds, head to the correct score lines where the Tar Heels can be backed speculatively to achieve a 80-64 victory.

Notre Dame vs North Carolina Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

You might not get rich backing North Carolina at -833. However, the sportsbooks’ betting odds imply a 89% chance of winning this college game. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +540 about Notre Dame.

11.5 is the spread and 147.5 is the total points line. There are many ways to bet on basketball including the Totals. Those who wager Under 147.5 can get -105.

If you’re planning to place a bet on a college hoops matchup, visit the top basketball betting sites and check out the many available game lines and team props. Find the lines which are the most attractive.

Moneyline

Notre Dame

+540

UNC

-833

Point Spread

Notre Dame +11.5

-110

UNC -11.5

-110

Total Points

Under 147.5

-105

Over 147.5

-115

We’re fond of player props as an alternative to betting on the game result. The gambling sites will have Points, Assists, Three-Pointers, Rebounds and Steals among the choices and you can take a particular view.

Micro betting is an exciting way to wager on college basketball. There are many live lines and it’s a simple case of predicting what is going to happen. Next Field Goal, where you select if the shot will be a two or three-pointer are among the options.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Notre Dame Stats

North Carolina Stats

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 10 wins and 0 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +11.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• +11.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -11.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• -11.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 142.70 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 137.60 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 147.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 147.5 on the Road: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 71.80 pts and allowed 70.90 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 65.60 pts and allowed 72.00 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 155.30 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 148.70 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 147.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 147.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 82.50 pts and allowed 72.80 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 84.70 pts and allowed 64.00 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Atlantic Coast	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Duke	17-1	1539	1171	368	10-0	7-1	6W
Virginia	16-2	1512	1207	305	11-0	5-2	5W
Clemson	16-4	1542	1305	237	12-1	4-3	1L
Miami	15-4	1614	1310	304	11-2	4-2	2L
North Carolina	14-4	1475	1252	223	12-0	2-4	2L
SMU	14-5	1662	1460	202	12-1	2-4	1W
Virginia Tech	14-5	1564	1407	157	12-1	2-4	1W
Stanford	14-5	1453	1371	82	9-4	5-1	1L
California	14-5	1497	1339	158	14-2	0-3	1W
Louisville	13-5	1583	1252	331	9-2	4-3	1W
NC State	13-6	1625	1365	260	9-4	4-2	1W
Syracuse	12-6	1363	1218	145	9-2	3-4	1L
Wake Forest	11-8	1538	1441	97	8-4	3-4	1L
Georgia Tech	11-8	1436	1388	48	10-4	1-4	1W
Notre Dame	10-8	1321	1247	74	8-3	2-5	4L
Pittsburgh	8-10	1319	1279	40	6-6	2-4	1L
Boston College	8-10	1235	1233	2	7-6	1-4	1W
Florida State	8-11	1546	1527	19	7-6	1-5	1W

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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