Oklahoma City Thunder
Dallas Mavericks
  1. Prediction
  2. SGP Picks
  3. Odds
  4. Team Stats
  5. Player Stats
  6. Player Props
  7. Team News
  8. Lineups
  9. Injuries
  10. Rosters
  11. Standings

NBA Betting Preview: Thunder vs Mavericks

We’re Expecting Thunder to Cover the Line

Back the Thunder against the spread, with a generous betting line of -7.5 that the favorites get the better of the Mavericks. There are odds of -110 that are currently on offer for this value pick.

Jumping on our side of the line? Unlock the best BetMGM promo code and dive into our review of the sportsbook before you make your selection.

7 Mavs Victories in Last 10 H2H Battles

Oklahoma City Thunder won their previous game 117-100. This road victory at State Farm Arena against Atlanta Hawks was their third on the spin. Chet Holmgren tallied 31 points, while Shai Gilgeous-Alexander put up 30 and Ajay Mitchell 14.

Dallas Mavericks were winners last time out. It was a 139-129 home victory against Toronto Raptors at American Airlines Center. Anthony Davis scored 25 points and had 10 rebounds, with D'Angelo Russell totaling 24 points and Cooper Flagg 22.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Mavs have beaten the Thunder in the last two matchups. A 106-98 victory at American Airlines Center was followed by a 121-115 win at Paycom Center. The previous 10 games featuring these teams have resulted in seven Mavs victories.

NBA W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder logo Thunder 24 2 0.923 123 106.3 16.7 12-1 12-1 5-1 20-2 9-1 1L
Mavericks logo Mavericks 10 16 0.385 112.1 115.9 -3.8 7-9 3-7 2-5 5-11 6-4 2W
View Full Standings
Oklahoma City Thunder – Last 10 Games

7 wins and 3 losses in the past 10 games. The Thunder are averaging 114.8 points, 44.2 rebounds, 19.0 assists, 10.5 steals and 5.0 blocks while shooting 44.2% from the field and 83.6% from the free-throw line. The opposition average 110.5 points and 45.3 rebounds per matchup.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 33.2 points and 5.4 assists, while Chet Holmgren averages 9.2 rebounds and Luguentz Dort 1.9 (35.2%) 3-pointers made.

Dallas Mavericks – Last 10 Games

The Mavs have won 3 and lost 7 of their previous 10 contests. Averaging 107.7 points, 42.3 rebounds, 24.9 assists, 7.8 steals and 5.8 blocks per game while shooting 47.4% from the field and 75.4% from the free-throw line. Their opponents have an average of 119.2 points and 46.3 rebounds.

Anthony Davis is averaging 20.4 points and 8.7 rebounds, Naji Marshall 3.6 assists and Klay Thompson 2.0 (37.0%) 3-pointers.

Confirmed Starting Lineups

Oklahoma City Thunder lineup: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Chet Holmgren, Cason Wallace, Isaiah Hartenstein.

Dallas Mavericks lineup: Max Christie, Anthony Davis, PJ Washington, Klay Thompson, Cooper Flagg.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction & Picks

We cover the essential Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks betting angles, featuring our main match prediction, correct score pick, top player prop plays and a carefully crafted bet builder.

Game Prediction

Thunder should claim a comfortable win and a bet on the spread could be the best way forward in this NBA showdown. Back this pick off -7.5 to cover the line at -110.

Our expert NBA handicappers start by reviewing the latest team news for each franchise, followed by a close look at recent form. That information is then applied to the most relevant stats to reach a well-informed verdict.

Key Thunder vs Mavericks stats:

  • The +7.5 line hasn’t been covered by Mavs in 7 of their last 10 games.
  • The +7.5 line hasn’t been covered by Mavs in 3 of their last 5 games.

Thunder -7.5 Probability

According to the best sportsbooks, there’s a 52.4% likelihood of our pick landing a return. Our analysts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be closer to 60%. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.

Looking for Bigger Odds?

In the hunt for bigger odds, you might be interested to know that you can move the line. There’s extra juice depending on how risky you want your wager to be.

Make smarter bets by exploring our bonus guide full of updated betting offers, free bets, and exciting new promotions.

Our Game Prediction
Thunder -7.5 @ -110 Bet Now BetMGM logo
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Published 03:06, 27 October 2025

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Anthony Davis Over 23.5 Points -115 BetMGM logo

Anthony Davis (Mavs) has recorded an average of 28.2 points in the past 5 games. We think this is the pick of the prop bets, with odds of -115 available when it comes to backing him on Player Points.

Latest Anthony Davis Player Prop Odds

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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Under 6.5 Assists -118 BetMGM logo

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder) has totaled an average of 3.2 assists in the past 5 games on the road. Should you expect this trend to continue, you can get this Player Assists wager at -118.

Latest Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Player Prop Odds

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Same Game Parlay Picks

Spread Thunder -9
Totals Over 226.5
Player Points Anthony Davis Over 23.5

We’ve got a same game parlay with three options: Thunder -9, Over 226.5 and Anthony Davis (Mavs) to score Over 23.5 points.

A same game parlay is a single event wager where you make predictions that are going to happen in a particular basketball game. Should a bettor get these selections correct, then they can achieve a good return from a small stake.

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Correct Score Prediction

Thunder Thunder logo 121 - 111 Mavericks logo Mavericks

A 121-111 win for the Thunder is clearly a risky wager although this could be an exciting correct score option where there’s the chance to enjoy a huge potential return.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Thunder Favorites to Win According to the Books

With the sportsbooks giving them a 78% probability of winning this NBA game, Oklahoma City Thunder might be a popular parlay pick. That is reflected in their -357 Moneyline betting odds. For those wanting to back Dallas Mavericks, you will find +290 about the underdogs.

The spread is calculated to be 9, while total points comes in at 226.5. There is no denying the popularity of wagering on the Totals. If you fancy Over 226.5, this outcome can be backed at -110.

There are a huge selection of game lines and team props when it comes to wagering on this fantastic league and we recommend visiting the top NBA betting sites to find the wager that matches your view on the game.

Betting Lines & Odds
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Favorite to Score the Most Points

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is the favorite to score most points. Odds of -110 can be found for him scoring Over 32.5 points and there is -120 for him to go Under.

Player Points
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)
Over 32.5
-110
Under 32.5
-120
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Anthony Davis (Mavericks)
Over 23.5
-115
Under 23.5
-115
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Chet Holmgren (Thunder)
Over 17.5
-108
Under 17.5
-123
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Cooper Flagg (Mavericks)
Over 15.5
-122
Under 15.5
-108
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Player Assists
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)
Over 6.5
-114
Under 6.5
-118
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D'Angelo Russell (Mavericks)
Over 4.5
-141
Under 4.5
+107
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Anthony Davis (Mavericks)
Over 3.5
+123
Under 3.5
-164
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Ajay Mitchell (Thunder)
Over 3.5
+110
Under 3.5
-147
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Player Rebounds
Anthony Davis (Mavericks)
Over 11.5
+106
Under 11.5
-139
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Isaiah Hartenstein (Thunder)
Over 9.5
-110
Under 9.5
-120
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Chet Holmgren (Thunder)
Over 8.5
-110
Under 8.5
-120
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Cooper Flagg (Mavericks)
Over 6.5
-105
Under 6.5
-127
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Micro Betting

Micro betting is an exciting way to wager on basketball. There are a huge range of live lines and it’s a simple case of predicting what is going to happen. Next Field Goal, where you select if the shot will be a two or three-pointer are among the options.

Best Betting Offers
American Airlines Center
American Airlines Center
Mavs Home Record Reads Six Losses in Previous Ten Matches

The Mavs are 4-6 in their last 10 home games, putting up 115.20 points per contest and giving up 118.80.

The Thunder own a 5-5 mark in their past 10 games away from home, putting up 109.90 points per contest and giving up 115.10.

The Mavs beat the Thunder 106-89 when they last met at American Airlines Center. In the last 10 head-to-head games at American Airlines Center, the Mavs have notched six victories, with the Thunder posting four.

Last 10 Games W-L P PF PA O226.5 U226.5
Dallas Mavericks logo Dallas Mavericks Home Stats 4-6 234.00 115.20 118.80 5 5
Oklahoma City Thunder logo Oklahoma City Thunder Away Stats 5-5 225.00 109.90 115.10 3 7
  • W-L = Wins-Losses
  • P = Avg. Points
  • PF = Avg. Points For
  • PA = Avg. Points Against
  • O226.5 = Games Over 226.5 Points
  • U226.5 = Games Under 226.5 Points
Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Oklahoma City Thunder logo Oklahoma City Thunder Stats
Dallas Mavericks logo Dallas Mavericks Stats
Moneyline
  • 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
Moneyline
  • 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 home games
Point Spread
Point Spread
Total Points
Total Points
Team Stats - Avg/Game
Team Stats - Avg/Game
Team News

Oklahoma City Thunder Player Stats & Roster

Player GP MIN TP TA PTS AST 3P REB BLK STL
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 3 40.43 120 15 40.0 5.0 1.7 6.0 1.3 1.7
Luguentz Dort 3 38.6 18 8 6.0 2.7 0.7 5.3 - 1.3
Chet Holmgren 3 34.9 74 5 24.7 1.7 2.7 10.0 0.3 1.7

Dallas Mavericks Player Stats & Roster

Player GP MIN TP TA PTS AST 3P REB BLK STL
Anthony Davis 3 34.9 74 8 24.7 2.7 0.7 12.0 1.7 2.3
PJ Washington 3 33.53 52 7 17.3 2.3 1.7 7.0 0.7 1.0
Cooper Flagg 3 31.7 50 10 16.7 3.3 1.3 6.3 0.7 0.7

Injuries & Suspensions

Oklahoma City Thunder Injury Table

Type
Name
Info
Nikola Topic
Injured
Alex Caruso
Injured
Kenrich Williams
Injured
Thomas Sorber
Injured
Jalen Williams
Injured
Isaiah Joe
Injured

Dallas Mavericks Injury Table

Type
Name
Info
Dante Exum
Injured
Daniel Gafford
Injured
Kyrie Irving
Injured
Brandon Williams
Unavailable

Starting Lineups

Dallas Mavericks logo Dallas Mavericks Confirmed Lineup
0 Max Christie
3 Anthony Davis
25 PJ Washington
31 Klay Thompson
32 Cooper Flagg
Oklahoma City Thunder logo Oklahoma City Thunder Confirmed Lineup
2 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
5 Luguentz Dort
7 Chet Holmgren
22 Cason Wallace
55 Isaiah Hartenstein

Previous Oklahoma City Thunder Lineups

25 Oct NBA
Thunder 117-100 Hawks
23 Oct NBA
Thunder 141-135 Pacers
21 Oct NBA
Rockets 124-125 Thunder
22 Jun NBA Playoffs
Pacers 91-103 Thunder
19 Jun NBA Playoffs
Thunder 91-108 Pacers
16 Jun NBA Playoffs
Pacers 109-120 Thunder
13 Jun NBA Playoffs
Thunder 111-104 Pacers
11 Jun NBA Playoffs
Thunder 107-116 Pacers
08 Jun NBA Playoffs
Pacers 107-123 Thunder
05 Jun NBA Playoffs
Pacers 111-110 Thunder

Previous Dallas Mavericks Lineups

26 Oct NBA
Raptors 129-139 Mavericks
24 Oct NBA
Wizards 117-107 Mavericks
22 Oct NBA
Spurs 125-92 Mavericks
18 Apr NBA Playoffs
Mavericks 106-120 Grizzlies
16 Apr NBA Playoffs
Mavericks 120-106 Kings
13 Apr NBA
Mavericks 97-132 Grizzlies
11 Apr NBA
Raptors 102-124 Mavericks
09 Apr NBA
Lakers 112-97 Mavericks
05 Apr NBA
Mavericks 104-135 Clippers
04 Apr NBA
Mavericks 91-114 Clippers

NBA Table Select Season

East Atlantic W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Knicks 18 7 0.72 121 112.2 8.8 13-1 5-6 5-1 14-7 9-1 5W
Celtics 15 10 0.6 116.6 110.8 5.8 8-4 7-6 4-4 11-7 7-3 1L
76ers 14 10 0.583 116.8 115.7 1.1 8-7 6-3 5-2 12-9 6-4 1W
Raptors 15 11 0.577 115.8 113.9 1.9 8-6 7-5 3-4 13-7 4-6 4L
Nets 6 18 0.25 109.5 117.3 -7.8 2-10 4-8 1-7 5-13 4-6 1L
East Central W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Pistons 20 5 0.8 119.6 113.3 6.3 12-2 8-3 5-3 15-5 7-3 3W
Cavaliers 15 11 0.577 119 115.8 3.2 9-6 6-5 6-0 12-8 5-5 1W
Bucks 11 15 0.423 115.1 117.3 -2.2 8-7 3-8 3-4 9-11 3-7 1W
Bulls 10 14 0.417 117.8 122.7 -4.9 6-5 4-9 1-5 7-10 2-8 1W
Pacers 6 19 0.24 111 118.7 -7.7 5-8 1-11 2-5 4-10 4-6 1L
East Southeast W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Magic 15 11 0.577 117.9 114.1 3.8 10-5 5-6 5-2 12-9 6-4 1L
Heat 14 11 0.56 121.7 118.2 3.5 10-3 4-8 2-3 8-6 5-5 4L
Hawks 14 12 0.538 117.9 117.5 0.4 4-6 10-6 4-1 8-8 5-5 1L
Hornets 7 18 0.28 114.7 118.7 -4 5-8 2-10 1-4 6-12 3-7 2L
Wizards 3 20 0.13 113 128.3 -15.3 2-9 1-11 1-3 2-16 2-8 4L
West Northwest W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 24 2 0.923 123 106.3 16.7 12-1 12-1 5-1 20-2 9-1 1L
Nuggets 18 6 0.75 125.5 115.9 9.6 6-4 12-2 2-1 13-5 7-3 4W
Timberwolves 16 9 0.64 119.9 115 4.9 8-4 8-5 3-3 11-8 6-4 1W
Jazz 9 15 0.375 118.1 125.8 -7.7 6-7 3-8 0-5 5-11 4-6 1W
Trail Blazers 9 16 0.36 117.5 121.5 -4 3-6 6-10 3-3 7-11 3-7 3L
West Pacific W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Lakers 17 7 0.708 118.3 116.8 1.5 7-4 10-3 2-2 12-5 7-3 1L
Suns 14 11 0.56 114.8 114.4 0.4 8-4 6-7 5-2 13-10 5-5 1L
Warriors 13 13 0.5 113.7 112.3 1.4 7-4 6-9 3-1 10-8 4-6 1L
Kings 6 19 0.24 111.2 122.6 -11.4 3-8 3-11 1-3 4-16 3-7 2L
Clippers 6 19 0.24 111.6 116.7 -5.1 3-7 3-12 1-4 4-12 2-8 3L
West Southwest W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Rockets 16 6 0.727 120.6 110.4 10.2 8-2 8-4 2-2 9-5 7-3 1W
Spurs 18 7 0.72 119.7 115.1 4.6 9-2 9-5 7-0 12-6 7-3 3W
Grizzlies 11 14 0.44 114.1 115.9 -1.8 6-7 5-7 4-3 10-8 7-3 1L
Mavericks 10 16 0.385 112.1 115.9 -3.8 7-9 3-7 2-5 5-11 6-4 2W
Pelicans 4 22 0.154 114.2 123.5 -9.3 3-12 1-10 1-6 2-19 2-8 1W
Eastern Conference W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Pistons 20 5 0.8 119.6 113.3 6.3 12-2 8-3 5-3 15-5 7-3 3W
Knicks 18 7 0.72 121 112.2 8.8 13-1 5-6 5-1 14-7 9-1 5W
Celtics 15 10 0.6 116.6 110.8 5.8 8-4 7-6 4-4 11-7 7-3 1L
76ers 14 10 0.583 116.8 115.7 1.1 8-7 6-3 5-2 12-9 6-4 1W
Raptors 15 11 0.577 115.8 113.9 1.9 8-6 7-5 3-4 13-7 4-6 4L
Cavaliers 15 11 0.577 119 115.8 3.2 9-6 6-5 6-0 12-8 5-5 1W
Magic 15 11 0.577 117.9 114.1 3.8 10-5 5-6 5-2 12-9 6-4 1L
Heat 14 11 0.56 121.7 118.2 3.5 10-3 4-8 2-3 8-6 5-5 4L
Hawks 14 12 0.538 117.9 117.5 0.4 4-6 10-6 4-1 8-8 5-5 1L
Bucks 11 15 0.423 115.1 117.3 -2.2 8-7 3-8 3-4 9-11 3-7 1W
Bulls 10 14 0.417 117.8 122.7 -4.9 6-5 4-9 1-5 7-10 2-8 1W
Hornets 7 18 0.28 114.7 118.7 -4 5-8 2-10 1-4 6-12 3-7 2L
Nets 6 18 0.25 109.5 117.3 -7.8 2-10 4-8 1-7 5-13 4-6 1L
Pacers 6 19 0.24 111 118.7 -7.7 5-8 1-11 2-5 4-10 4-6 1L
Wizards 3 20 0.13 113 128.3 -15.3 2-9 1-11 1-3 2-16 2-8 4L
Western Conference W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 24 2 0.923 123 106.3 16.7 12-1 12-1 5-1 20-2 9-1 1L
Nuggets 18 6 0.75 125.5 115.9 9.6 6-4 12-2 2-1 13-5 7-3 4W
Rockets 16 6 0.727 120.6 110.4 10.2 8-2 8-4 2-2 9-5 7-3 1W
Spurs 18 7 0.72 119.7 115.1 4.6 9-2 9-5 7-0 12-6 7-3 3W
Lakers 17 7 0.708 118.3 116.8 1.5 7-4 10-3 2-2 12-5 7-3 1L
Timberwolves 16 9 0.64 119.9 115 4.9 8-4 8-5 3-3 11-8 6-4 1W
Suns 14 11 0.56 114.8 114.4 0.4 8-4 6-7 5-2 13-10 5-5 1L
Warriors 13 13 0.5 113.7 112.3 1.4 7-4 6-9 3-1 10-8 4-6 1L
Grizzlies 11 14 0.44 114.1 115.9 -1.8 6-7 5-7 4-3 10-8 7-3 1L
Mavericks 10 16 0.385 112.1 115.9 -3.8 7-9 3-7 2-5 5-11 6-4 2W
Jazz 9 15 0.375 118.1 125.8 -7.7 6-7 3-8 0-5 5-11 4-6 1W
Trail Blazers 9 16 0.36 117.5 121.5 -4 3-6 6-10 3-3 7-11 3-7 3L
Kings 6 19 0.24 111.2 122.6 -11.4 3-8 3-11 1-3 4-16 3-7 2L
Clippers 6 19 0.24 111.6 116.7 -5.1 3-7 3-12 1-4 4-12 2-8 3L
Pelicans 4 22 0.154 114.2 123.5 -9.3 3-12 1-10 1-6 2-19 2-8 1W
NBA W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 24 2 0.923 123 106.3 16.7 12-1 12-1 5-1 20-2 9-1 1L
Pistons 20 5 0.8 119.6 113.3 6.3 12-2 8-3 5-3 15-5 7-3 3W
Nuggets 18 6 0.75 125.5 115.9 9.6 6-4 12-2 2-1 13-5 7-3 4W
Rockets 16 6 0.727 120.6 110.4 10.2 8-2 8-4 2-2 9-5 7-3 1W
Knicks 18 7 0.72 121 112.2 8.8 13-1 5-6 5-1 14-7 9-1 5W
Spurs 18 7 0.72 119.7 115.1 4.6 9-2 9-5 7-0 12-6 7-3 3W
Lakers 17 7 0.708 118.3 116.8 1.5 7-4 10-3 2-2 12-5 7-3 1L
Timberwolves 16 9 0.64 119.9 115 4.9 8-4 8-5 3-3 11-8 6-4 1W
Celtics 15 10 0.6 116.6 110.8 5.8 8-4 7-6 4-4 11-7 7-3 1L
76ers 14 10 0.583 116.8 115.7 1.1 8-7 6-3 5-2 12-9 6-4 1W
Cavaliers 15 11 0.577 119 115.8 3.2 9-6 6-5 6-0 12-8 5-5 1W
Magic 15 11 0.577 117.9 114.1 3.8 10-5 5-6 5-2 12-9 6-4 1L
Raptors 15 11 0.577 115.8 113.9 1.9 8-6 7-5 3-4 13-7 4-6 4L
Heat 14 11 0.56 121.7 118.2 3.5 10-3 4-8 2-3 8-6 5-5 4L
Suns 14 11 0.56 114.8 114.4 0.4 8-4 6-7 5-2 13-10 5-5 1L
Hawks 14 12 0.538 117.9 117.5 0.4 4-6 10-6 4-1 8-8 5-5 1L
Warriors 13 13 0.5 113.7 112.3 1.4 7-4 6-9 3-1 10-8 4-6 1L
Grizzlies 11 14 0.44 114.1 115.9 -1.8 6-7 5-7 4-3 10-8 7-3 1L
Bucks 11 15 0.423 115.1 117.3 -2.2 8-7 3-8 3-4 9-11 3-7 1W
Bulls 10 14 0.417 117.8 122.7 -4.9 6-5 4-9 1-5 7-10 2-8 1W
Mavericks 10 16 0.385 112.1 115.9 -3.8 7-9 3-7 2-5 5-11 6-4 2W
Jazz 9 15 0.375 118.1 125.8 -7.7 6-7 3-8 0-5 5-11 4-6 1W
Trail Blazers 9 16 0.36 117.5 121.5 -4 3-6 6-10 3-3 7-11 3-7 3L
Hornets 7 18 0.28 114.7 118.7 -4 5-8 2-10 1-4 6-12 3-7 2L
Nets 6 18 0.25 109.5 117.3 -7.8 2-10 4-8 1-7 5-13 4-6 1L
Pacers 6 19 0.24 111 118.7 -7.7 5-8 1-11 2-5 4-10 4-6 1L
Clippers 6 19 0.24 111.6 116.7 -5.1 3-7 3-12 1-4 4-12 2-8 3L
Kings 6 19 0.24 111.2 122.6 -11.4 3-8 3-11 1-3 4-16 3-7 2L
Pelicans 4 22 0.154 114.2 123.5 -9.3 3-12 1-10 1-6 2-19 2-8 1W
Wizards 3 20 0.13 113 128.3 -15.3 2-9 1-11 1-3 2-16 2-8 4L
  • W = Wins
  • L = Losses
  • PCT = Winning Percentage
  • PPG = Points Per Game
  • OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
  • DIFF = Average Point Differential
  • Home = Home Record
  • Road = Away Record
  • Div = Division Record
  • Conf = Conference Record
  • Last 10 = Record last 10 games
  • Strk = Current Streak