Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction, Picks & Odds | 27 Oct 2025

NBA Betting Preview: Thunder vs Mavericks

The Oklahoma City Thunder lock horns with the Dallas Mavericks in this NBA matchup at American Airlines Center, with tip-off scheduled for 20:30 on Monday, October 27. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, player stats, team news and the official starting lineups.

We’re Expecting Thunder to Cover the Line

Back the Thunder against the spread, with a generous betting line of -7.5 that the favorites get the better of the Mavericks. There are odds of -110 that are currently on offer for this value pick.

Jumping on our side of the line? Unlock the best BetMGM promo code and dive into our review of the sportsbook before you make your selection.

7 Mavs Victories in Last 10 H2H Battles

Oklahoma City Thunder won their previous game 117-100. This road victory at State Farm Arena against Atlanta Hawks was their third on the spin. Chet Holmgren tallied 31 points, while Shai Gilgeous-Alexander put up 30 and Ajay Mitchell 14.

Dallas Mavericks were winners last time out. It was a 139-129 home victory against Toronto Raptors at American Airlines Center. Anthony Davis scored 25 points and had 10 rebounds, with D'Angelo Russell totaling 24 points and Cooper Flagg 22.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Mavs have beaten the Thunder in the last two matchups. A 106-98 victory at American Airlines Center was followed by a 121-115 win at Paycom Center. The previous 10 games featuring these teams have resulted in seven Mavs victories.

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	3	0	1	127.7	119.7	8	1-0	2-0	0-0	1-0	3-0	3W
Mavericks	1	2	0.333	112.7	123.7	-11	1-2	0-0	0-1	0-1	1-2	1W

View Full Standings

7 wins and 3 losses in the past 10 games. The Thunder are averaging 114.8 points, 44.2 rebounds, 19.0 assists, 10.5 steals and 5.0 blocks while shooting 44.2% from the field and 83.6% from the free-throw line. The opposition average 110.5 points and 45.3 rebounds per matchup.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 33.2 points and 5.4 assists, while Chet Holmgren averages 9.2 rebounds and Luguentz Dort 1.9 (35.2%) 3-pointers made.

The Mavs have won 3 and lost 7 of their previous 10 contests. Averaging 107.7 points, 42.3 rebounds, 24.9 assists, 7.8 steals and 5.8 blocks per game while shooting 47.4% from the field and 75.4% from the free-throw line. Their opponents have an average of 119.2 points and 46.3 rebounds.

Anthony Davis is averaging 20.4 points and 8.7 rebounds, Naji Marshall 3.6 assists and Klay Thompson 2.0 (37.0%) 3-pointers.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction & Picks

Get fully prepped for Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks with our betting guide, featuring our expert match pick, predicted scoreline and a value-focused bet builder. Read on for the full breakdown.

Game Prediction

Thunder should claim a comfortable win and a bet on the spread could be the best way forward in this NBA showdown. Back this pick off -7.5 to cover the line at -110.

Our expert NBA handicappers start by reviewing the latest team news for each franchise, followed by a close look at recent form. That information is then applied to the most relevant stats to reach a well-informed verdict.

Key Thunder vs Mavericks stats:

• The +7.5 line hasn’t been covered by Mavs in 7 of their last 10 games.
• The +7.5 line hasn’t been covered by Mavs in 3 of their last 5 games.

Thunder -7.5 Probability

According to the best sportsbooks, there’s a 52.4% likelihood of our pick landing a return. Our analysts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be closer to 60%. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.

In the hunt for bigger odds, you might be interested to know that you can move the line. There’s extra juice depending on how risky you want your wager to be.

Make smarter bets by exploring our bonus guide full of updated betting offers, free bets, and exciting new promotions.

Best Bet

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Correct Score Prediction

Thunder 121 - 111 Mavericks

A 121-111 win for the Thunder is clearly a risky wager although this could be an exciting correct score option where there’s the chance to enjoy a huge potential return.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Thunder Favorites to Win According to the Books

With the sportsbooks giving them a 73% probability of winning this NBA game, Oklahoma City Thunder might be a popular parlay pick. That is reflected in their -270 Moneyline betting odds. For those wanting to back Dallas Mavericks, you will find +220 about the underdogs.

The spread is calculated to be 7.5, while total points comes in at 226.5. There is no denying the popularity of wagering on the Totals. If you fancy Over 226.5, this outcome can be backed at -114.

There are a huge selection of game lines and team props when it comes to wagering on this fantastic league and we recommend visiting the top NBA betting sites to find the wager that matches your view on the game.

Moneyline

Thunder

-270

Mavericks

+220

Point Spread

Thunder -7.5

-110

Mavericks +7.5

-110

Total Points

Under 226.5

-106

Over 226.5

-114

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Favorite to Score the Most Points

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is the favorite to score most points. Odds of -105 can be found for him scoring Over 32.5 points and there is -123 for him to go Under.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)

Over 32.5

-105

Under 32.5

-123

Anthony Davis (Mavericks)

Over 24.5

-109

Under 24.5

-119

Chet Holmgren (Thunder)

Over 17.5

-123

Under 17.5

-105

Cooper Flagg (Mavericks)

Over 17.5

-110

Under 17.5

-118

P.J. Washington (Mavericks)

Over 15.5

-116

Under 15.5

-111

Klay Thompson (Mavericks)

Over 9.5

-122

Under 9.5

-106

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)

Over 6.5

-106

Under 6.5

-122

Anthony Davis (Mavericks)

Over 3.5

+106

Under 3.5

-137

Cooper Flagg (Mavericks)

Over 3.5

+112

Under 3.5

-145

P.J. Washington (Mavericks)

Over 2.5

+112

Under 2.5

-145

Anthony Davis (Mavericks)

Over 10.5

-127

Under 10.5

-102

Chet Holmgren (Thunder)

Over 8.5

-115

Under 8.5

-112

Cooper Flagg (Mavericks)

Over 6.5

+112

Under 6.5

-145

P.J. Washington (Mavericks)

Over 6.5

-111

Under 6.5

-116

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)

Over 4.5

-154

Under 4.5

+118

Mavs Home Record Reads Six Losses in Previous Ten Matches

The Mavs are 4-6 in their last 10 home games, putting up 115.20 points per contest and giving up 118.80.

The Thunder own a 5-5 mark in their past 10 games away from home, putting up 109.90 points per contest and giving up 115.10.

The Mavs beat the Thunder 106-89 when they last met at American Airlines Center. In the last 10 head-to-head games at American Airlines Center, the Mavs have notched six victories, with the Thunder posting four.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O226.5	U226.5
Dallas Mavericks Home Stats		4-6	234.00	115.20	118.80	5	5
Oklahoma City Thunder Away Stats		5-5	225.00	109.90	115.10	3	7

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O226.5 = Games Over 226.5 Points
• U226.5 = Games Under 226.5 Points

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Oklahoma City Thunder Stats

Dallas Mavericks Stats

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -7.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• -7.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 1 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +7.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games
• +7.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 225.30 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 225.00 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 226.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 226.5 on the Road: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 114.80 pts and allowed 110.50 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 109.90 pts and allowed 115.10 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 226.90 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 234.00 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 226.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 226.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 107.70 pts and allowed 119.20 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 115.20 pts and allowed 118.80 pts in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 28.20 (51%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 10.80 (33%)
• Free Throws Made: 25.90 (83.55%)
• Rebounds: Total 44.2, Offensive 11.40, Defensive 32.80
• Assists: 19.00
• Blocks: 5.00
• Steals: 10.50
• Turnovers : 12.60
• Personal Fouls: 23.10

Last 10 Games on the Road

• 2-Pointers Made: 28.20 (52%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 10.50 (31%)
• Free Throws Made: 21.80 (81.34%)
• Rebounds: Total 45.2, Offensive 11.30, Defensive 33.90
• Assists: 18.90
• Blocks: 3.60
• Steals: 8.70
• Turnovers : 14.10
• Personal Fouls: 23.50

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 29.80 (54%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 9.50 (34%)
• Free Throws Made: 19.60 (75.38%)
• Rebounds: Total 42.3, Offensive 9.40, Defensive 32.90
• Assists: 24.90
• Blocks: 5.80
• Steals: 7.80
• Turnovers : 16.60
• Personal Fouls: 17.20

Last 10 Home Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 30.30 (57%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 11.70 (37%)
• Free Throws Made: 19.50 (73.86%)
• Rebounds: Total 44, Offensive 9.20, Defensive 34.80
• Assists: 27.40
• Blocks: 5.40
• Steals: 7.50
• Turnovers : 15.50
• Personal Fouls: 17.80

Live Streaming

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Team News

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of tip-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.

NBA Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Division Conference League

East Atlantic	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
76ers	2	0	1	121	118.5	2.5	1-0	1-0	1-0	2-0	2-0	2W
Knicks	2	1	0.667	110.3	107	3.3	2-0	0-1	1-0	2-1	2-1	1L
Raptors	1	2	0.333	127.7	126.3	1.4	0-1	1-1	0-0	1-1	1-2	2L
Celtics	0	3	0	108	113.7	-5.7	0-1	0-2	0-2	0-3	0-3	3L
Nets	0	3	0	116	128.3	-12.3	0-1	0-2	0-0	0-2	0-3	3L

East Central	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Bulls	2	0	1	112.5	104.5	8	1-0	1-0	1-0	2-0	2-0	2W
Bucks	2	1	0.667	122.7	118	4.7	1-0	1-1	0-1	2-1	2-1	1L
Cavaliers	2	1	0.667	120	118.7	1.3	1-0	1-1	1-0	2-1	2-1	2W
Pistons	2	1	0.667	115	113	2	1-0	1-1	0-1	1-1	2-1	2W
Pacers	0	3	0	116	127.7	-11.7	0-1	0-2	0-0	0-0	0-3	3L

East Southeast	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Hornets	2	1	0.667	132	118.3	13.7	1-0	1-1	1-0	2-1	2-1	1W
Heat	2	1	0.667	127.3	115.3	12	1-0	1-1	0-1	1-1	2-1	2W
Magic	1	2	0.333	110	114	-4	1-2	0-0	1-1	1-2	1-2	2L
Wizards	1	2	0.333	116.7	126.3	-9.6	0-1	1-1	0-1	0-2	1-2	1L
Hawks	1	2	0.333	109.7	120.7	-11	0-2	1-0	1-0	1-1	1-2	1L

West Northwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	3	0	1	127.7	119.7	8	1-0	2-0	0-0	1-0	3-0	3W
Timberwolves	2	1	0.667	114	117.3	-3.3	1-0	1-1	1-0	1-1	2-1	1W
Jazz	1	1	0.5	116.5	106.5	10	1-0	0-1	0-0	1-1	1-1	1L
Trail Blazers	1	2	0.333	120	117	3	1-1	0-1	0-1	1-2	1-2	1L
Nuggets	1	1	0.5	132	124	8	1-0	0-1	0-0	1-1	1-1	1W

West Pacific	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Kings	1	2	0.333	113.7	117	-3.3	1-1	0-1	0-2	1-2	1-2	1L
Warriors	2	1	0.667	125	126.3	-1.3	1-0	1-1	1-0	2-1	2-1	1L
Lakers	2	1	0.667	121.3	116.3	5	1-1	1-0	1-1	2-1	2-1	2W
Clippers	2	1	0.667	117	112.7	4.3	2-0	0-1	1-0	2-1	2-1	2W
Suns	1	2	0.333	111	126	-15	1-0	0-2	1-1	1-2	1-2	2L

West Southwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Spurs	3	0	1	121	105	16	1-0	2-0	2-0	2-0	3-0	3W
Grizzlies	2	1	0.667	123.3	123.7	-0.4	2-1	0-0	1-0	1-0	2-1	1W
Mavericks	1	2	0.333	112.7	123.7	-11	1-2	0-0	0-1	0-1	1-2	1W
Pelicans	0	2	0	119	124	-5	0-1	0-1	0-2	0-2	0-2	2L
Rockets	0	2	0	117.5	120	-2.5	0-1	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-2	2L

Eastern Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Knicks	2	1	0.667	110.3	107	3.3	2-0	0-1	1-0	2-1	2-1	1L
Bulls	2	0	1	112.5	104.5	8	1-0	1-0	1-0	2-0	2-0	2W
Bucks	2	1	0.667	122.7	118	4.7	1-0	1-1	0-1	2-1	2-1	1L
76ers	2	0	1	121	118.5	2.5	1-0	1-0	1-0	2-0	2-0	2W
Heat	2	1	0.667	127.3	115.3	12	1-0	1-1	0-1	1-1	2-1	2W
Hornets	2	1	0.667	132	118.3	13.7	1-0	1-1	1-0	2-1	2-1	1W
Raptors	1	2	0.333	127.7	126.3	1.4	0-1	1-1	0-0	1-1	1-2	2L
Cavaliers	2	1	0.667	120	118.7	1.3	1-0	1-1	1-0	2-1	2-1	2W
Pistons	2	1	0.667	115	113	2	1-0	1-1	0-1	1-1	2-1	2W
Hawks	1	2	0.333	109.7	120.7	-11	0-2	1-0	1-0	1-1	1-2	1L
Magic	1	2	0.333	110	114	-4	1-2	0-0	1-1	1-2	1-2	2L
Wizards	1	2	0.333	116.7	126.3	-9.6	0-1	1-1	0-1	0-2	1-2	1L
Celtics	0	3	0	108	113.7	-5.7	0-1	0-2	0-2	0-3	0-3	3L
Nets	0	3	0	116	128.3	-12.3	0-1	0-2	0-0	0-2	0-3	3L
Pacers	0	3	0	116	127.7	-11.7	0-1	0-2	0-0	0-0	0-3	3L

Western Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	3	0	1	127.7	119.7	8	1-0	2-0	0-0	1-0	3-0	3W
Spurs	3	0	1	121	105	16	1-0	2-0	2-0	2-0	3-0	3W
Grizzlies	2	1	0.667	123.3	123.7	-0.4	2-1	0-0	1-0	1-0	2-1	1W
Kings	1	2	0.333	113.7	117	-3.3	1-1	0-1	0-2	1-2	1-2	1L
Warriors	2	1	0.667	125	126.3	-1.3	1-0	1-1	1-0	2-1	2-1	1L
Lakers	2	1	0.667	121.3	116.3	5	1-1	1-0	1-1	2-1	2-1	2W
Timberwolves	2	1	0.667	114	117.3	-3.3	1-0	1-1	1-0	1-1	2-1	1W
Jazz	1	1	0.5	116.5	106.5	10	1-0	0-1	0-0	1-1	1-1	1L
Trail Blazers	1	2	0.333	120	117	3	1-1	0-1	0-1	1-2	1-2	1L
Clippers	2	1	0.667	117	112.7	4.3	2-0	0-1	1-0	2-1	2-1	2W
Nuggets	1	1	0.5	132	124	8	1-0	0-1	0-0	1-1	1-1	1W
Suns	1	2	0.333	111	126	-15	1-0	0-2	1-1	1-2	1-2	2L
Mavericks	1	2	0.333	112.7	123.7	-11	1-2	0-0	0-1	0-1	1-2	1W
Pelicans	0	2	0	119	124	-5	0-1	0-1	0-2	0-2	0-2	2L
Rockets	0	2	0	117.5	120	-2.5	0-1	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-2	2L

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Bulls	2	0	1	112.5	104.5	8	1-0	1-0	1-0	2-0	2-0	2W
Thunder	3	0	1	127.7	119.7	8	1-0	2-0	0-0	1-0	3-0	3W
76ers	2	0	1	121	118.5	2.5	1-0	1-0	1-0	2-0	2-0	2W
Spurs	3	0	1	121	105	16	1-0	2-0	2-0	2-0	3-0	3W
Hornets	2	1	0.667	132	118.3	13.7	1-0	1-1	1-0	2-1	2-1	1W
Cavaliers	2	1	0.667	120	118.7	1.3	1-0	1-1	1-0	2-1	2-1	2W
Pistons	2	1	0.667	115	113	2	1-0	1-1	0-1	1-1	2-1	2W
Warriors	2	1	0.667	125	126.3	-1.3	1-0	1-1	1-0	2-1	2-1	1L
Clippers	2	1	0.667	117	112.7	4.3	2-0	0-1	1-0	2-1	2-1	2W
Lakers	2	1	0.667	121.3	116.3	5	1-1	1-0	1-1	2-1	2-1	2W
Grizzlies	2	1	0.667	123.3	123.7	-0.4	2-1	0-0	1-0	1-0	2-1	1W
Heat	2	1	0.667	127.3	115.3	12	1-0	1-1	0-1	1-1	2-1	2W
Bucks	2	1	0.667	122.7	118	4.7	1-0	1-1	0-1	2-1	2-1	1L
Timberwolves	2	1	0.667	114	117.3	-3.3	1-0	1-1	1-0	1-1	2-1	1W
Knicks	2	1	0.667	110.3	107	3.3	2-0	0-1	1-0	2-1	2-1	1L
Nuggets	1	1	0.5	132	124	8	1-0	0-1	0-0	1-1	1-1	1W
Jazz	1	1	0.5	116.5	106.5	10	1-0	0-1	0-0	1-1	1-1	1L
Hawks	1	2	0.333	109.7	120.7	-11	0-2	1-0	1-0	1-1	1-2	1L
Mavericks	1	2	0.333	112.7	123.7	-11	1-2	0-0	0-1	0-1	1-2	1W
Magic	1	2	0.333	110	114	-4	1-2	0-0	1-1	1-2	1-2	2L
Suns	1	2	0.333	111	126	-15	1-0	0-2	1-1	1-2	1-2	2L
Trail Blazers	1	2	0.333	120	117	3	1-1	0-1	0-1	1-2	1-2	1L
Kings	1	2	0.333	113.7	117	-3.3	1-1	0-1	0-2	1-2	1-2	1L
Raptors	1	2	0.333	127.7	126.3	1.4	0-1	1-1	0-0	1-1	1-2	2L
Wizards	1	2	0.333	116.7	126.3	-9.6	0-1	1-1	0-1	0-2	1-2	1L
Celtics	0	3	0	108	113.7	-5.7	0-1	0-2	0-2	0-3	0-3	3L
Nets	0	3	0	116	128.3	-12.3	0-1	0-2	0-0	0-2	0-3	3L
Rockets	0	2	0	117.5	120	-2.5	0-1	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-2	2L
Pacers	0	3	0	116	127.7	-11.7	0-1	0-2	0-0	0-0	0-3	3L
Pelicans	0	2	0	119	124	-5	0-1	0-1	0-2	0-2	0-2	2L

• W = Wins
• L = Losses
• PCT = Winning Percentage
• PPG = Points Per Game
• OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
• DIFF = Average Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Road = Away Record
• Div = Division Record
• Conf = Conference Record
• Last 10 = Record last 10 games
• Strk = Current Streak