Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Prediction, Bet Builder Tips & Odds

Thunder to Dominate Nuggets

No. 1 Oklahoma City Thunder (68-14, 32-8 Away) play No. 4 Denver Nuggets (50-32, 26-15 at Home) in game 3 of this NBA Playoffs Western Conference Semifinal matchup at Ball Arena, with the series being tied 1-1.

Our pick is that the Thunder will gain the upper hand against the Nuggets. This leads us to backing them against the spread at -110, with the -5 line offering lots of appeal.

Thunder Won Previous H2H Clash

Oklahoma City Thunder and Denver Nuggets clashed two nights ago and it was the Thunder who claimed a 149-106 win at Paycom Center.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander scored 34 points for the Thunder, Jalen Williams bagged 17, while Chet Holmgren registered 15 points and 11 rebounds. For the Nuggets, Russell Westbrook recorded 19 points, Nikola Jokic 17 and Jamal Murray 14.

The previous 10 games featuring these teams have resulted in six Thunder victories.

NBA Reg. Season	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	68	14	0.829	120.5	107.6	12.9	36-6	32-8	12-4	39-13	8-2	4W
Nuggets	50	32	0.61	120.8	116.9	3.9	26-15	24-17	8-8	32-20	5-5	3W

View Full Standings

The Thunder have 9 wins and 1 loss in the past 10 games. They are averaging 126.9 points, 45.9 rebounds, 26.9 assists, 10.7 steals and 6.1 blocks while shooting 48.0% from the field and 80.4% from the free-throw line. The opposition have averaged 107.2 points and 46.5 rebounds per matchup.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 22.0 points and 4.6 assists, while Isaiah Hartenstein averages 6.7 rebounds and Isaiah Joe 2.6 (44.1%) 3-pointers made.

The Nuggets have won 6 and lost 4 of their previous 10 contests. Averaging 110.7 points, 45.1 rebounds, 23.6 assists, 7.1 steals and 4.4 blocks per game while shooting 47.1% from the field and 75.6% from the free-throw line. Their opponents have averaged 113.7 points and 40.8 rebounds.

Nikola Jokic is averaging 24.5 points, 11.8 rebounds and 9.0 assists, while Jamal Murray has an average of 2.5 (39.7%) 3-pointers made.

Confirmed Starting Lineups

Oklahoma City Thunder lineup: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Chet Holmgren, Jalen Williams, Isaiah Hartenstein.

Denver Nuggets lineup: Christian Braun, Michael Porter Jr., Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray, Aaron Gordon.

Expert NBA Analysis

The team news that filters through can have a knock-on effect as far as the NBA betting lines and odds are concerned. We use this information along with the form guide, while some key stats are also taken into consideration.

Key Thunder vs Nuggets stats:

• The -5 line has been covered by Thunder in 8 of their last 10 games.
• The -5 line has been covered by Thunder in 4 of their last 5 games on the road.

Thunder vs Nuggets Prediction

Bank on OKC Thunder to cover the -5 line on the spread. This is a great number and that’s why we’re playing the favorites at -110 for this NBA showdown.

If you’re hunting for larger odds and feel confident your selection is going to perform well, then consider moving the line and land a bigger potential return.

Thunder -5 Probability

When you look at the latest odds, our pick has a 52.4% chance of landing a return. However, our cappers think that the probability is close to 60% taking all factors into consideration. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this wager.

Our Pick

Thunder -5 @ -110 Bet Now

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Player Props

Nikola Jokic Under 28.5 Points -120

Nikola Jokic (Nuggets) has recorded an average of 22 points in the past 5 home games. We are therefore keen to back the -120 that he fails to cover this total when it comes to Player Points.

Latest Nikola Jokic Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 28.5

-109

Under 28.5

-122

Assists

Over 9.5

+108

Under 9.5

-143

Rebounds

Over 13.5

-118

Under 13.5

-114

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 32.5 Points -109

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder) has had Over 32.5 points in 3 straight games. We will therefore place a bet that he is able to cover the line for this Player Points wager which is available at odds of -109.

Latest Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 32.5

-109

Under 32.5

-120

Assists

Over 7.5

+112

Under 7.5

-147

Rebounds

Over 4.5

-147

Under 4.5

+110

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Correct Score Prediction

Thunder 118 - 108 Nuggets

If you want to achieve a big return from your stake, then it’s worth checking out the correct score lines. The Thunder to claim a 118-108 victory is available at huge odds.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Books Giving Thunder Plenty of Respect

The sportsbooks’ betting odds have Oklahoma City Thunder as -238 favorites for this NBA game, implying that they are 70% likely to win. At +198, Denver Nuggets are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.

The spread is 5.5 and the total points line is currently 232. There are many ways to wager on basketball including the Totals. If you’re going for Under 232, this outcome can be backed at -112.

If you’re planning to place a basketball bet, visit the betting sites and check out the wide range of game lines and team props. Find the lines which are the most attractive.

Betting Lines & Odds

Moneyline

Thunder

-238

Nuggets

+198

Point Spread

Thunder -5.5

-114

Nuggets +5.5

-106

Total Points

Under 232

-112

Over 232

-108

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Favorite to Get the Most Buckets

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is the favorite to land the most baskets. You can get -109 that he scores Over 32.5 points or -120 that he goes Under.

Player Points

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)

Over 32.5

-109

Under 32.5

-120

Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)

Over 28.5

-109

Under 28.5

-122

Jalen Williams (Thunder)

Over 21.5

-127

Under 21.5

-106

Jamal Murray (Nuggets)

Over 20.5

-122

Under 20.5

-109

Aaron Gordon (Nuggets)

Over 16.5

-120

Under 16.5

-112

Chet Holmgren (Thunder)

Over 15.5

-122

Under 15.5

-109

Russell Westbrook (Nuggets)

Over 13.5

-130

Under 13.5

-103

Christian Braun (Nuggets)

Over 12.5

-108

Under 12.5

-122

Michael Porter Jr (Nuggets)

Over 11.5

-109

Under 11.5

-120

Isaiah Hartenstein (Thunder)

Over 10.5

-122

Under 10.5

-109

Luguentz Dort (Thunder)

Over 9.5

-125

Under 9.5

-106

Alex Caruso (Thunder)

Over 7.5

-122

Under 7.5

-108

Cason Wallace (Thunder)

Over 4.5

-147

Under 4.5

+108

Player Assists

Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)

Over 9.5

+108

Under 9.5

-143

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)

Over 7.5

+112

Under 7.5

-147

Jamal Murray (Nuggets)

Over 5.5

-125

Under 5.5

-108

Jalen Williams (Thunder)

Over 4.5

-141

Under 4.5

+106

Russell Westbrook (Nuggets)

Over 3.5

-139

Under 3.5

+106

Isaiah Hartenstein (Thunder)

Over 3.5

+118

Under 3.5

-159

Aaron Gordon (Nuggets)

Over 2.5

-103

Under 2.5

-132

Alex Caruso (Thunder)

Over 2.5

-152

Under 2.5

+114

Chet Holmgren (Thunder)

Over 1.5

-147

Under 1.5

+110

Player Rebounds

Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)

Over 13.5

-118

Under 13.5

-114

Chet Holmgren (Thunder)

Over 8.5

-109

Under 8.5

-122

Isaiah Hartenstein (Thunder)

Over 8.5

-127

Under 8.5

-105

Aaron Gordon (Nuggets)

Over 6.5

+106

Under 6.5

-141

Jalen Williams (Thunder)

Over 5.5

+108

Under 5.5

-143

Christian Braun (Nuggets)

Over 5.5

-120

Under 5.5

-110

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)

Over 4.5

-147

Under 4.5

+110

Jamal Murray (Nuggets)

Over 4.5

-100

Under 4.5

-132

Russell Westbrook (Nuggets)

Over 4.5

-120

Under 4.5

-112

Michael Porter Jr (Nuggets)

Over 4.5

-147

Under 4.5

+112

Luguentz Dort (Thunder)

Over 3.5

+112

Under 3.5

-149

Alex Caruso (Thunder)

Over 3.5

+120

Under 3.5

-161

Micro Betting

Instead of focusing on the overall outcome, some basketball bettors prefer to look at the micro betting lines. As the name suggests, it means placing short-term in-game wagers and this might include Next Field Goal, with the options being for a two-pointer or a three-pointer.

Best Betting Offers

Last 5 & H2H

Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Team News

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Denver Nuggets Confirmed Lineup

0 Christian Braun

1 Michael Porter Jr.

15 Nikola Jokic

27 Jamal Murray

32 Aaron Gordon

Oklahoma City Thunder Confirmed Lineup

2 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

5 Luguentz Dort

7 Chet Holmgren

8 Jalen Williams

55 Isaiah Hartenstein

NBA Regular Season Table Select Season 2024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Division Conference League

East Atlantic	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Celtics	61	21	0.744	116.3	107.2	9.1	28-13	33-8	14-2	39-13	8-2	2W
Knicks	51	31	0.622	115.8	111.7	4.1	27-14	24-17	12-4	34-18	6-4	1W
Raptors	30	52	0.366	110.9	115.2	-4.3	18-23	12-29	8-8	21-31	5-5	2L
Nets	26	56	0.317	105.1	112.2	-7.1	12-29	14-27	3-13	14-37	3-7	3L
76ers	24	58	0.293	109.6	115.8	-6.2	12-29	12-29	3-13	15-37	1-9	2L

East Central	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Cavaliers	64	18	0.78	121.9	112.4	9.5	34-7	30-11	12-4	41-11	6-4	1L
Pacers	50	32	0.61	117.4	115.1	2.3	29-12	21-20	10-6	29-22	8-2	1W
Bucks	48	34	0.585	115.5	113	2.5	28-14	20-20	9-7	31-21	8-2	8W
Pistons	44	38	0.537	115.5	113.6	1.9	22-19	22-19	5-11	29-23	4-6	2L
Bulls	39	43	0.476	117.8	119.4	-1.6	18-23	21-20	4-12	28-24	7-3	3W

East Southeast	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Magic	41	41	0.5	105.4	105.5	-0.1	22-19	19-22	12-4	31-21	7-3	1L
Hawks	40	42	0.488	118.2	119.3	-1.1	21-19	19-23	10-6	30-22	5-5	3W
Heat	37	45	0.451	110.6	110	0.6	19-22	18-23	10-6	24-28	6-4	1L
Hornets	19	63	0.232	105.1	114.2	-9.1	12-29	7-34	1-15	10-42	1-9	7L
Wizards	18	64	0.22	108	120.4	-12.4	8-33	10-31	7-9	13-39	2-8	1W

West Northwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	68	14	0.829	120.5	107.6	12.9	36-6	32-8	12-4	39-13	8-2	4W
Nuggets	50	32	0.61	120.8	116.9	3.9	26-15	24-17	8-8	32-20	5-5	3W
Timberwolves	49	33	0.598	114.3	109.3	5	25-16	24-17	11-5	33-19	8-2	3W
Trail Blazers	36	46	0.439	110.9	113.9	-3	22-19	14-27	6-10	19-33	4-6	1W
Jazz	17	65	0.207	111.9	121.2	-9.3	10-31	7-34	3-13	8-44	1-9	2L

West Pacific	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Clippers	50	32	0.61	112.9	108.2	4.7	30-11	20-21	9-7	29-23	9-1	8W
Lakers	50	32	0.61	113.4	112.2	1.2	31-10	19-22	12-4	36-16	6-4	1L
Warriors	48	34	0.585	113.8	110.5	3.3	24-17	24-17	5-11	29-23	7-3	1L
Kings	40	42	0.488	115.7	115.3	0.4	20-21	20-21	5-11	26-26	5-5	1W
Suns	36	46	0.439	113.6	116.6	-3	24-17	12-29	9-7	22-30	1-9	1L

West Southwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Rockets	52	30	0.634	114.3	109.8	4.5	29-12	23-18	13-3	31-21	6-4	3L
Grizzlies	48	34	0.585	121.7	116.9	4.8	26-15	22-19	11-5	27-24	4-6	1W
Mavericks	39	43	0.476	114.2	115.4	-1.2	22-18	17-25	8-8	23-29	4-6	1L
Spurs	34	48	0.415	113.9	116.7	-2.8	20-21	14-27	5-11	22-30	3-7	1W
Pelicans	21	61	0.256	109.8	119.3	-9.5	14-27	7-34	3-13	13-38	2-8	7L

Eastern Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Cavaliers	64	18	0.78	121.9	112.4	9.5	34-7	30-11	12-4	41-11	6-4	1L
Celtics	61	21	0.744	116.3	107.2	9.1	28-13	33-8	14-2	39-13	8-2	2W
Knicks	51	31	0.622	115.8	111.7	4.1	27-14	24-17	12-4	34-18	6-4	1W
Pacers	50	32	0.61	117.4	115.1	2.3	29-12	21-20	10-6	29-22	8-2	1W
Bucks	48	34	0.585	115.5	113	2.5	28-14	20-20	9-7	31-21	8-2	8W
Pistons	44	38	0.537	115.5	113.6	1.9	22-19	22-19	5-11	29-23	4-6	2L
Magic	41	41	0.5	105.4	105.5	-0.1	22-19	19-22	12-4	31-21	7-3	1L
Hawks	40	42	0.488	118.2	119.3	-1.1	21-19	19-23	10-6	30-22	5-5	3W
Bulls	39	43	0.476	117.8	119.4	-1.6	18-23	21-20	4-12	28-24	7-3	3W
Heat	37	45	0.451	110.6	110	0.6	19-22	18-23	10-6	24-28	6-4	1L
Raptors	30	52	0.366	110.9	115.2	-4.3	18-23	12-29	8-8	21-31	5-5	2L
Nets	26	56	0.317	105.1	112.2	-7.1	12-29	14-27	3-13	14-37	3-7	3L
76ers	24	58	0.293	109.6	115.8	-6.2	12-29	12-29	3-13	15-37	1-9	2L
Hornets	19	63	0.232	105.1	114.2	-9.1	12-29	7-34	1-15	10-42	1-9	7L
Wizards	18	64	0.22	108	120.4	-12.4	8-33	10-31	7-9	13-39	2-8	1W

Western Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	68	14	0.829	120.5	107.6	12.9	36-6	32-8	12-4	39-13	8-2	4W
Rockets	52	30	0.634	114.3	109.8	4.5	29-12	23-18	13-3	31-21	6-4	3L
Lakers	50	32	0.61	113.4	112.2	1.2	31-10	19-22	12-4	36-16	6-4	1L
Nuggets	50	32	0.61	120.8	116.9	3.9	26-15	24-17	8-8	32-20	5-5	3W
Clippers	50	32	0.61	112.9	108.2	4.7	30-11	20-21	9-7	29-23	9-1	8W
Warriors	48	34	0.585	113.8	110.5	3.3	24-17	24-17	5-11	29-23	7-3	1L
Timberwolves	49	33	0.598	114.3	109.3	5	25-16	24-17	11-5	33-19	8-2	3W
Grizzlies	48	34	0.585	121.7	116.9	4.8	26-15	22-19	11-5	27-24	4-6	1W
Kings	40	42	0.488	115.7	115.3	0.4	20-21	20-21	5-11	26-26	5-5	1W
Mavericks	39	43	0.476	114.2	115.4	-1.2	22-18	17-25	8-8	23-29	4-6	1L
Suns	36	46	0.439	113.6	116.6	-3	24-17	12-29	9-7	22-30	1-9	1L
Trail Blazers	36	46	0.439	110.9	113.9	-3	22-19	14-27	6-10	19-33	4-6	1W
Spurs	34	48	0.415	113.9	116.7	-2.8	20-21	14-27	5-11	22-30	3-7	1W
Pelicans	21	61	0.256	109.8	119.3	-9.5	14-27	7-34	3-13	13-38	2-8	7L
Jazz	17	65	0.207	111.9	121.2	-9.3	10-31	7-34	3-13	8-44	1-9	2L

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	68	14	0.829	120.5	107.6	12.9	36-6	32-8	12-4	39-13	8-2	4W
Cavaliers	64	18	0.78	121.9	112.4	9.5	34-7	30-11	12-4	41-11	6-4	1L
Celtics	61	21	0.744	116.3	107.2	9.1	28-13	33-8	14-2	39-13	8-2	2W
Rockets	52	30	0.634	114.3	109.8	4.5	29-12	23-18	13-3	31-21	6-4	3L
Knicks	51	31	0.622	115.8	111.7	4.1	27-14	24-17	12-4	34-18	6-4	1W
Nuggets	50	32	0.61	120.8	116.9	3.9	26-15	24-17	8-8	32-20	5-5	3W
Pacers	50	32	0.61	117.4	115.1	2.3	29-12	21-20	10-6	29-22	8-2	1W
Lakers	50	32	0.61	113.4	112.2	1.2	31-10	19-22	12-4	36-16	6-4	1L
Clippers	50	32	0.61	112.9	108.2	4.7	30-11	20-21	9-7	29-23	9-1	8W
Timberwolves	49	33	0.598	114.3	109.3	5	25-16	24-17	11-5	33-19	8-2	3W
Grizzlies	48	34	0.585	121.7	116.9	4.8	26-15	22-19	11-5	27-24	4-6	1W
Bucks	48	34	0.585	115.5	113	2.5	28-14	20-20	9-7	31-21	8-2	8W
Warriors	48	34	0.585	113.8	110.5	3.3	24-17	24-17	5-11	29-23	7-3	1L
Pistons	44	38	0.537	115.5	113.6	1.9	22-19	22-19	5-11	29-23	4-6	2L
Magic	41	41	0.5	105.4	105.5	-0.1	22-19	19-22	12-4	31-21	7-3	1L
Hawks	40	42	0.488	118.2	119.3	-1.1	21-19	19-23	10-6	30-22	5-5	3W
Kings	40	42	0.488	115.7	115.3	0.4	20-21	20-21	5-11	26-26	5-5	1W
Bulls	39	43	0.476	117.8	119.4	-1.6	18-23	21-20	4-12	28-24	7-3	3W
Mavericks	39	43	0.476	114.2	115.4	-1.2	22-18	17-25	8-8	23-29	4-6	1L
Heat	37	45	0.451	110.6	110	0.6	19-22	18-23	10-6	24-28	6-4	1L
Suns	36	46	0.439	113.6	116.6	-3	24-17	12-29	9-7	22-30	1-9	1L
Trail Blazers	36	46	0.439	110.9	113.9	-3	22-19	14-27	6-10	19-33	4-6	1W
Spurs	34	48	0.415	113.9	116.7	-2.8	20-21	14-27	5-11	22-30	3-7	1W
Raptors	30	52	0.366	110.9	115.2	-4.3	18-23	12-29	8-8	21-31	5-5	2L
Nets	26	56	0.317	105.1	112.2	-7.1	12-29	14-27	3-13	14-37	3-7	3L
76ers	24	58	0.293	109.6	115.8	-6.2	12-29	12-29	3-13	15-37	1-9	2L
Pelicans	21	61	0.256	109.8	119.3	-9.5	14-27	7-34	3-13	13-38	2-8	7L
Hornets	19	63	0.232	105.1	114.2	-9.1	12-29	7-34	1-15	10-42	1-9	7L
Wizards	18	64	0.22	108	120.4	-12.4	8-33	10-31	7-9	13-39	2-8	1W
Jazz	17	65	0.207	111.9	121.2	-9.3	10-31	7-34	3-13	8-44	1-9	2L

• W = Wins
• L = Losses
• PCT = Winning Percentage
• PPG = Points Per Game
• OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
• DIFF = Average Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Road = Away Record
• Div = Division Record
• Conf = Conference Record
• Last 10 = Record last 10 games
• Strk = Current Streak

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