Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Prediction, Picks & Odds | NBA Friday

NBA Betting Preview: Thunder vs Nuggets

The Oklahoma City Thunder meet the Denver Nuggets in this NBA clash. Our betting preview features expert NBA predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, player stats, team news and confirmed starting lineups.

The Thunder and the Nuggets should be able to accumulate enough points for our prediction to win. We’re forecasting Over 231.5 and -114 are available for this outcome.

Oklahoma City Thunder have triumphed in their previous seven games. The latest was on the road where LA Clippers were beaten 128-110 at Intuit Dome. Chet Holmgren poured in 30 points, with Isaiah Joe contributing 21 and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander adding 20.

Denver Nuggets won their last game 136-119, making it ten victories on the bounce. This was a home win at Ball Arena against Memphis Grizzlies. Jamal Murray scored 26 points, while Cameron Johnson finished with 18 and Jonas Valanciunas 14.

Head-to-Head Statistics

These two teams last met at Paycom Center, with the Thunder claiming the win. Beating the Nuggets by a 129-126 scoreline. The Thunder have triumphed in their previous four meetings against the Nuggets. On the head-to-head front, it has been 7 wins out of 10.

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	64	16	0.8	119.4	107.3	12.1	34-7	30-9	12-3	41-9	9-1	7W
Nuggets	52	28	0.65	121.9	117	4.9	27-13	25-15	10-5	34-16	10-0	10W

View Full Standings

The Thunder have 9 wins and 1 loss in the past 10 games. They are averaging 125.6 points, 46.3 rebounds, 27.9 assists, 9.1 steals and 5.6 blocks while shooting 51.7% from the field and 80.3% from the free-throw line. The opposition average 106.0 points and 41.0 rebounds per contest.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 29.0 points and 6.5 assists, while Isaiah Hartenstein averages 9.2 rebounds and Isaiah Joe 3.1 (49.2%) 3-pointers made.

The Nuggets have won all of their last 10 contests. Averaging 130.6 points, 45.9 rebounds, 33.1 assists, 6.0 steals and 3.6 blocks per game while shooting 52.0% from the field and 81.6% from the free-throw line. Their opponents have an average of 120.9 points and 42.3 rebounds.

Jamal Murray is averaging 27.6 points and 4.6 (50.0%) 3-pointers made, while Nikola Jokic has an average of 14.5 rebounds and 12.7 assists.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Prediction & Picks

This Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets betting breakdown features a main match prediction, a correct score insight and a sharply constructed bet builder to guide your wagers.

Game Prediction

The total line looks to be on the low side at 231.5. There’s a strong chance that the NBA rivals will conspire to go above the line and we’re backing Over at -114.

The basketball predictions at Sportsgambler.com are always guided by the latest team news, injury updates and overall form. Once we've reviewed that, we dive into the most relevant NBA stats to confidently recommend every pick.

Key Thunder vs Nuggets stats:

• The 231.5 line has been covered in 3 of the last 5 Thunder games.
• The 231.5 line has been covered in the last 4 Nuggets games.
• The 231.5 line has been covered in 9 of the last 10 Nuggets games.
• The 231.5 line has been covered in 16 of the last 20 Nuggets games.
• The 231.5 line has been covered in the last 3 games between these teams.

Over 231.5 Probability

The best betting sites make it a 53.2% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. Based on our in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 60%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this bet.

There are ways to increase the odds if you’re wanting to wager on Overs and one of them is betting on the Match Result & Total lines where you also predict a franchise to win.

Getting ready to place a wager? Check our updated guide for the latest betting offers, including free bets and the newest promos codes.

Our Game Prediction

Over 231.5 Points @ -114 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Apr 10, 04:03). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Thunder 114 - 122 Nuggets

The Nuggets will be chasing down a victory and a winning scoreline of 122-114 might be along the right lines. There are enormous odds available about this bet.

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Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

With an estimated 83% chance of winning, the sportsbooks are taking no chances with their -500 betting odds about Denver Nuggets triumphing in this NBA game. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, Oklahoma City Thunder are trading at +385.

The spread is 10.5 and the total points line is currently 231.5. Basketball fans love the chance to get an alternative angle by going for a Total wager. If you fancy Over 231.5, this outcome can be backed at -114.

There are a wide range of team props and game lines when it comes to wagering on this exciting league and we recommend visiting the best basketball sportsbooks to find the wager that matches your view on the contest.

Moneyline

Thunder

+385

Nuggets

-500

Point Spread

Thunder +10.5

-106

Nuggets -10.5

-114

Total Points

Under 231.5

-106

Over 231.5

-114

The gambling sites also allow you to place player prop bets such as Points, Assists, Steals and Rebounds. This means you can focus on an individual player’s performance rather than wager on the actual outcome of the game in question.

Micro betting provides a rollercoaster ride for basketball bettors. It can be great to enjoy the live lines, with the opportunity to wager on the Next Field Goal. Watch the live action before deciding which way to go.

The Nuggets own a 10-0 mark in their past 10 home games, scoring 130.40 points per contest and conceding 115.80.

The Thunder have gone 9-1 across their last 10 road games, posting 116.80 points per contest while yielding 102.50.

The Thunder earned a 121-111 win over the Nuggets the last time they played at Ball Arena. Over the last 10 head-to-head clashes at Ball Arena, the Thunder have secured seven victories, as the Nuggets have picked up three.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O231.5	U231.5
Denver Nuggets Home Stats		10-0	246.20	130.40	115.80	7	3
Oklahoma City Thunder Away Stats		9-1	219.30	116.80	102.50	2	8

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O231.5 = Games Over 231.5 Points
• U231.5 = Games Under 231.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Oklahoma City Thunder Stats

Denver Nuggets Stats

Moneyline

• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 games
• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 10 wins and 0 defeats in the last 10 games
• 10 wins and 0 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +10.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in the last 10 games
• +10.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -10.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• -10.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 231.60 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 219.30 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 231.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 231.5 on the Road: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 125.60 pts and allowed 106.00 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 116.80 pts and allowed 102.50 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 251.50 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 246.20 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 231.5: Covered in 9 of the previous 10 games
• Over 231.5 at Home: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 130.60 pts and allowed 120.90 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 130.40 pts and allowed 115.80 pts in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 30.60 (60%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 15.20 (40%)
• Free Throws Made: 18.80 (80.34%)
• Rebounds: Total 46.3, Offensive 10.20, Defensive 36.10
• Assists: 27.90
• Blocks: 5.60
• Steals: 9.10
• Turnovers : 12.40
• Personal Fouls: 19.30

Last 10 Games on the Road

• 2-Pointers Made: 29.90 (59%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 13.20 (36%)
• Free Throws Made: 17.40 (80.18%)
• Rebounds: Total 46.1, Offensive 9.00, Defensive 37.10
• Assists: 25.10
• Blocks: 4.70
• Steals: 9.40
• Turnovers : 11.90
• Personal Fouls: 18.50

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 31.10 (60%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 16.30 (41%)
• Free Throws Made: 19.50 (81.59%)
• Rebounds: Total 45.9, Offensive 10.00, Defensive 35.90
• Assists: 33.10
• Blocks: 3.60
• Steals: 6.00
• Turnovers : 10.70
• Personal Fouls: 21.40

Last 10 Home Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 30.90 (60%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 16.70 (43%)
• Free Throws Made: 18.50 (80.09%)
• Rebounds: Total 45.1, Offensive 9.10, Defensive 36.00
• Assists: 33.70
• Blocks: 3.60
• Steals: 6.60
• Turnovers : 10.70
• Personal Fouls: 20.00

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of tip-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.

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Division Conference League

East Atlantic	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Celtics	54	26	0.675	114.5	107	7.5	28-11	26-15	10-6	35-16	7-3	1L
Knicks	52	28	0.65	116.8	110.3	6.5	29-9	23-19	13-3	34-16	7-3	4W
Raptors	45	35	0.563	114.6	111.9	2.7	23-17	22-18	4-11	32-18	6-4	2W
76ers	43	37	0.538	115.9	116.5	-0.6	22-18	21-19	9-7	25-25	5-5	3L
Nets	20	60	0.25	106	115.6	-9.6	12-29	8-31	3-12	14-35	3-7	1L

East Central	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Pistons	58	22	0.725	117.6	109.6	8	32-9	26-13	11-4	37-13	7-3	1W
Cavaliers	51	29	0.638	119.6	115.3	4.3	26-14	25-15	11-5	32-18	8-2	4W
Bulls	31	49	0.388	116.3	121.1	-4.8	18-22	13-27	4-12	19-31	3-7	2W
Bucks	31	49	0.388	110.5	116.8	-6.3	18-22	13-27	9-7	20-30	2-8	2L
Pacers	19	61	0.238	112.6	120.5	-7.9	11-28	8-33	4-11	15-35	4-6	1W

East Southeast	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Hawks	45	35	0.563	118.4	115.9	2.5	23-17	22-18	9-6	26-24	7-3	2L
Magic	44	36	0.55	115.7	115.3	0.4	26-16	18-20	9-8	25-25	6-4	4W
Hornets	43	37	0.538	116.3	111.3	5	21-19	22-18	11-5	25-25	7-3	1L
Heat	41	39	0.513	120.4	118.6	1.8	25-15	16-24	8-7	25-25	3-7	2L
Wizards	17	63	0.213	112.8	124.6	-11.8	11-29	6-34	2-13	11-39	1-9	8L

West Northwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	64	16	0.8	119.4	107.3	12.1	34-7	30-9	12-3	41-9	9-1	7W
Nuggets	52	28	0.65	121.9	117	4.9	27-13	25-15	10-5	34-16	10-0	10W
Timberwolves	47	33	0.588	117.6	114.3	3.3	25-15	22-18	9-7	29-21	4-6	1L
Trail Blazers	40	40	0.5	115.4	116.1	-0.7	22-17	18-23	7-9	27-23	6-4	2L
Jazz	21	59	0.263	117.4	126.3	-8.9	13-27	8-32	1-15	11-39	0-10	10L

West Pacific	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Lakers	50	29	0.633	116.3	115.4	0.9	26-13	24-16	8-7	30-19	6-4	3L
Suns	44	36	0.55	112.8	111.4	1.4	25-16	19-20	10-6	28-22	5-5	1W
Clippers	41	39	0.513	114	112.6	1.4	22-18	19-21	9-6	24-26	7-3	1L
Warriors	37	42	0.468	114.8	115	-0.2	22-18	15-24	7-6	24-25	4-6	1W
Kings	21	59	0.263	110.9	121	-10.1	14-26	7-33	3-12	13-37	3-7	2L

West Southwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Spurs	61	19	0.763	119.6	111.2	8.4	31-7	30-12	12-3	35-15	9-1	2W
Rockets	51	29	0.638	114.8	109.8	5	29-10	22-19	9-6	28-22	8-2	8W
Pelicans	26	54	0.325	115.4	119.6	-4.2	17-24	9-30	7-9	17-33	2-8	1W
Grizzlies	25	55	0.313	115	120.2	-5.2	14-27	11-28	6-9	19-31	1-9	6L
Mavericks	25	55	0.313	113.6	119.3	-5.7	15-25	10-30	4-11	14-36	2-8	2L

Eastern Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Pistons	58	22	0.725	117.6	109.6	8	32-9	26-13	11-4	37-13	7-3	1W
Celtics	54	26	0.675	114.5	107	7.5	28-11	26-15	10-6	35-16	7-3	1L
Knicks	52	28	0.65	116.8	110.3	6.5	29-9	23-19	13-3	34-16	7-3	4W
Cavaliers	51	29	0.638	119.6	115.3	4.3	26-14	25-15	11-5	32-18	8-2	4W
Raptors	45	35	0.563	114.6	111.9	2.7	23-17	22-18	4-11	32-18	6-4	2W
Hawks	45	35	0.563	118.4	115.9	2.5	23-17	22-18	9-6	26-24	7-3	2L
Magic	44	36	0.55	115.7	115.3	0.4	26-16	18-20	9-8	25-25	6-4	4W
Hornets	43	37	0.538	116.3	111.3	5	21-19	22-18	11-5	25-25	7-3	1L
76ers	43	37	0.538	115.9	116.5	-0.6	22-18	21-19	9-7	25-25	5-5	3L
Heat	41	39	0.513	120.4	118.6	1.8	25-15	16-24	8-7	25-25	3-7	2L
Bucks	31	49	0.388	110.5	116.8	-6.3	18-22	13-27	9-7	20-30	2-8	2L
Bulls	31	49	0.388	116.3	121.1	-4.8	18-22	13-27	4-12	19-31	3-7	2W
Nets	20	60	0.25	106	115.6	-9.6	12-29	8-31	3-12	14-35	3-7	1L
Pacers	19	61	0.238	112.6	120.5	-7.9	11-28	8-33	4-11	15-35	4-6	1W
Wizards	17	63	0.213	112.8	124.6	-11.8	11-29	6-34	2-13	11-39	1-9	8L

Western Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	64	16	0.8	119.4	107.3	12.1	34-7	30-9	12-3	41-9	9-1	7W
Spurs	61	19	0.763	119.6	111.2	8.4	31-7	30-12	12-3	35-15	9-1	2W
Nuggets	52	28	0.65	121.9	117	4.9	27-13	25-15	10-5	34-16	10-0	10W
Rockets	51	29	0.638	114.8	109.8	5	29-10	22-19	9-6	28-22	8-2	8W
Lakers	50	29	0.633	116.3	115.4	0.9	26-13	24-16	8-7	30-19	6-4	3L
Timberwolves	47	33	0.588	117.6	114.3	3.3	25-15	22-18	9-7	29-21	4-6	1L
Suns	44	36	0.55	112.8	111.4	1.4	25-16	19-20	10-6	28-22	5-5	1W
Clippers	41	39	0.513	114	112.6	1.4	22-18	19-21	9-6	24-26	7-3	1L
Trail Blazers	40	40	0.5	115.4	116.1	-0.7	22-17	18-23	7-9	27-23	6-4	2L
Warriors	37	42	0.468	114.8	115	-0.2	22-18	15-24	7-6	24-25	4-6	1W
Pelicans	26	54	0.325	115.4	119.6	-4.2	17-24	9-30	7-9	17-33	2-8	1W
Grizzlies	25	55	0.313	115	120.2	-5.2	14-27	11-28	6-9	19-31	1-9	6L
Mavericks	25	55	0.313	113.6	119.3	-5.7	15-25	10-30	4-11	14-36	2-8	2L
Kings	21	59	0.263	110.9	121	-10.1	14-26	7-33	3-12	13-37	3-7	2L
Jazz	21	59	0.263	117.4	126.3	-8.9	13-27	8-32	1-15	11-39	0-10	10L

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	64	16	0.8	119.4	107.3	12.1	34-7	30-9	12-3	41-9	9-1	7W
Spurs	61	19	0.763	119.6	111.2	8.4	31-7	30-12	12-3	35-15	9-1	2W
Pistons	58	22	0.725	117.6	109.6	8	32-9	26-13	11-4	37-13	7-3	1W
Celtics	54	26	0.675	114.5	107	7.5	28-11	26-15	10-6	35-16	7-3	1L
Nuggets	52	28	0.65	121.9	117	4.9	27-13	25-15	10-5	34-16	10-0	10W
Knicks	52	28	0.65	116.8	110.3	6.5	29-9	23-19	13-3	34-16	7-3	4W
Cavaliers	51	29	0.638	119.6	115.3	4.3	26-14	25-15	11-5	32-18	8-2	4W
Rockets	51	29	0.638	114.8	109.8	5	29-10	22-19	9-6	28-22	8-2	8W
Lakers	50	29	0.633	116.3	115.4	0.9	26-13	24-16	8-7	30-19	6-4	3L
Timberwolves	47	33	0.588	117.6	114.3	3.3	25-15	22-18	9-7	29-21	4-6	1L
Hawks	45	35	0.563	118.4	115.9	2.5	23-17	22-18	9-6	26-24	7-3	2L
Raptors	45	35	0.563	114.6	111.9	2.7	23-17	22-18	4-11	32-18	6-4	2W
Magic	44	36	0.55	115.7	115.3	0.4	26-16	18-20	9-8	25-25	6-4	4W
Suns	44	36	0.55	112.8	111.4	1.4	25-16	19-20	10-6	28-22	5-5	1W
Hornets	43	37	0.538	116.3	111.3	5	21-19	22-18	11-5	25-25	7-3	1L
76ers	43	37	0.538	115.9	116.5	-0.6	22-18	21-19	9-7	25-25	5-5	3L
Clippers	41	39	0.513	114	112.6	1.4	22-18	19-21	9-6	24-26	7-3	1L
Heat	41	39	0.513	120.4	118.6	1.8	25-15	16-24	8-7	25-25	3-7	2L
Trail Blazers	40	40	0.5	115.4	116.1	-0.7	22-17	18-23	7-9	27-23	6-4	2L
Warriors	37	42	0.468	114.8	115	-0.2	22-18	15-24	7-6	24-25	4-6	1W
Bulls	31	49	0.388	116.3	121.1	-4.8	18-22	13-27	4-12	19-31	3-7	2W
Bucks	31	49	0.388	110.5	116.8	-6.3	18-22	13-27	9-7	20-30	2-8	2L
Pelicans	26	54	0.325	115.4	119.6	-4.2	17-24	9-30	7-9	17-33	2-8	1W
Mavericks	25	55	0.313	113.6	119.3	-5.7	15-25	10-30	4-11	14-36	2-8	2L
Grizzlies	25	55	0.313	115	120.2	-5.2	14-27	11-28	6-9	19-31	1-9	6L
Kings	21	59	0.263	110.9	121	-10.1	14-26	7-33	3-12	13-37	3-7	2L
Jazz	21	59	0.263	117.4	126.3	-8.9	13-27	8-32	1-15	11-39	0-10	10L
Nets	20	60	0.25	106	115.6	-9.6	12-29	8-31	3-12	14-35	3-7	1L
Pacers	19	61	0.238	112.6	120.5	-7.9	11-28	8-33	4-11	15-35	4-6	1W
Wizards	17	63	0.213	112.8	124.6	-11.8	11-29	6-34	2-13	11-39	1-9	8L

• W = Wins
• L = Losses
• PCT = Winning Percentage
• PPG = Points Per Game
• OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
• DIFF = Average Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Road = Away Record
• Div = Division Record
• Conf = Conference Record
• Last 10 = Record last 10 games
• Strk = Current Streak

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