Oklahoma City Thunder vs Golden State Warriors Prediction, Picks & Odds | NBA Wednesday

Bet on the Thunder with a -10 spread when they face the Warriors. This is an attractive number and we’re confident the favorites can cover this generous line at odds of -112.

Oklahoma City Thunder triumphed in their previous game. It was on the road where Portland Trail Blazers were beaten 118-108 at Moda Center. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander scored 35 points, with Jalen Williams getting 24 and Isaiah Joe 16.

Golden State Warriors won their last game, beating Utah Jazz at home. It was a 114-103 win at Chase Center. Dennis Schroeder was able to score 23 points, with Brandin Podziemski getting 20 and Andrew Wiggins 19.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Thunder beat the Warriors in their last head-to-head matchup. It was a 105-101 scoreline at Chase Center. Both teams have won five games when it comes to the previous 10 H2H meetings.

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	24	2	0.923	123.1	106.3	16.8	12-1	12-1	5-1	20-2	9-1	1L
Warriors	13	13	0.5	113.7	112.3	1.4	7-4	6-9	3-1	10-8	4-6	1L

View Full Standings

The Thunder have 7 wins and 3 losses in the past 10 games. They are averaging 121.7 points, 42.1 rebounds, 26.9 assists, 9.7 steals and 4.5 blocks while shooting 49.5% from the field and 86.5% from the free-throw line. The opposition have averaged 109.1 points and 42.9 rebounds per matchup.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 31.6 points and 5.0 assists, while Jaylin Williams averages 6.0 rebounds and Isaiah Joe 2.9 (50.9%) 3-pointers made.

The Warriors have won 5 and lost 5 of their last 10 contests. Averaging 109.7 points, 45.6 rebounds, 28.5 assists, 7.9 steals and 4.0 blocks per game while shooting 43.5% from the field and 75.1% from the free-throw line. Their opponents average 112.0 points and 42.8 rebounds.

Stephen Curry is averaging 16.6 points, 5.9 assists and 2.9 (33.3%) 3-pointers made, while Trayce Jackson-Davis has an average of 7.9 rebounds.

Confirmed Starting Lineups

Oklahoma City Thunder lineup: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Jalen Williams, Cason Wallace, Isaiah Hartenstein.

Golden State Warriors lineup: Gary Payton II, Buddy Hield, Quinten Post, Andrew Wiggins, Stephen Curry.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Golden State Warriors Prediction & Picks

Our pick is for Thunder to cover the appealing -10 line in this NBA showdown. They should be able to win by a more comfortable margin and odds of -112 are available for the favorites.

The basketball predictions are created after keeping tabs on the latest team news along with the form guide. We also delve into the latest stats which can provide a barometer for how the NBA action might play out.

Key Thunder vs Warriors stats:

• The -10 line has been covered by Thunder in 4 of their last 5 games on the road.
• The -10 line has been covered by Thunder in 6 of their last 10 games.

Thunder -10 Probability

The sportsbooks make it a 52.9% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. Based on our cappers in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 60%. This is why we can recommend this bet.

If you want to get an odds boost when it comes to the Thunder covering the line, then consider a Bet Builder where multiple picks can be combined together.

Our Game Prediction

Thunder -10 @ -112 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Isaiah Joe Over 8.5 Points -135

Isaiah Joe (Thunder) has averaged 14.38 points in the past 8 games. There’s an opportunity to wager on Player Points and the line looks attractive, with -135 available that it’s covered.

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Buddy Hield Under 10.5 Points -118

Buddy Hield (Warriors) has an average of 5.4 points in the past 5 games at home. We are therefore keen to back the -118 that he fails to cover this total when it comes to Player Points.

Latest Buddy Hield Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 10.5

-114

Under 10.5

-118

Rebounds

Over 2.5

-152

Under 2.5

+114

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Correct Score Prediction

Thunder 117 - 105 Warriors

There’s a big payout on the cards should you correctly predict the correct score. We’re siding with the Thunder to claim a 117-105 victory which will hopefully go close.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Golden State Warriors Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Oklahoma City Thunder are massive -455 favorites. They are regarded as 82% likely to win this NBA game judging by the sportsbooks’ latest Moneyline odds. Golden State Warriors are trading at bigger odds than their opponents and they can be backed at +350.

The current spread is 9.5 and total points is 223.5. Having a bet on the Totals is one of the most popular basketball wagers. Those who wager Under 223.5 can get -106.

Those wanting to back the Thunder to win the Race to 20 betting can get odds of -200 that the favorites oblige. If you want to back the Warriors, then odds of +160 can be found.

Whether you are betting pre-game or in-game, you can feast on hundreds of game lines and team props. The selections are practically endless and it’s great to have so many options.

Moneyline

Thunder

-455

Warriors

+350

Point Spread

Thunder -9.5

-114

Warriors +9.5

-106

Total Points

Under 223.5

-106

Over 223.5

-114

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is favorite when it comes to landing the most baskets. You can get -108 that he goes Over 33.5 points and -125 when it comes to Under.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)

Over 33.5

-108

Under 33.5

-125

Stephen Curry (Warriors)

Over 21.5

-127

Under 21.5

-105

Jalen Williams (Thunder)

Over 20.5

-114

Under 20.5

-118

Andrew Wiggins (Warriors)

Over 17.5

-115

Under 17.5

-115

Isaiah Hartenstein (Thunder)

Over 11.5

-120

Under 11.5

-112

Buddy Hield (Warriors)

Over 10.5

-114

Under 10.5

-118

Isaiah Joe (Thunder)

Over 8.5

-135

Under 8.5

+102

Moses Moody (Warriors)

Over 8.5

-130

Under 8.5

-103

Aaron Wiggins (Thunder)

Over 8.5

-125

Under 8.5

-106

Luguentz Dort (Thunder)

Over 8.5

-123

Under 8.5

-108

Cason Wallace (Thunder)

Over 8.5

-100

Under 8.5

-132

Trayce Jackson-Davis (Warriors)

Over 6.5

-108

Under 6.5

-123

Stephen Curry (Warriors)

Over 6.5

+102

Under 6.5

-137

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)

Over 5.5

-143

Under 5.5

+108

Jalen Williams (Thunder)

Over 5.5

+108

Under 5.5

-143

Isaiah Hartenstein (Thunder)

Over 4.5

+120

Under 4.5

-159

Isaiah Hartenstein (Thunder)

Over 10.5

-143

Under 10.5

+108

Trayce Jackson-Davis (Warriors)

Over 5.5

-130

Under 5.5

-103

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)

Over 4.5

-141

Under 4.5

+107

Stephen Curry (Warriors)

Over 4.5

+108

Under 4.5

-143

Jalen Williams (Thunder)

Over 4.5

-133

Under 4.5

-100

Andrew Wiggins (Warriors)

Over 4.5

-159

Under 4.5

+120

Aaron Wiggins (Thunder)

Over 3.5

+116

Under 3.5

-154

Luguentz Dort (Thunder)

Over 3.5

-137

Under 3.5

+102

Buddy Hield (Warriors)

Over 2.5

-152

Under 2.5

+114

Moses Moody (Warriors)

Over 2.5

-143

Under 2.5

+108

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Oklahoma City Thunder Stats

Golden State Warriors Stats

Moneyline

• 10 wins and 0 defeats in the last 10 games
• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -12 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• -12 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +12 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games
• +12 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 226.40 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 226.60 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 220.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 220.5 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 122.00 pts and allowed 104.40 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 121.10 pts and allowed 105.50 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 226.50 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 224.80 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 220.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 220.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 113.00 pts and allowed 113.50 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 116.90 pts and allowed 107.90 pts in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 29.90 (57%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 13.60 (40%)
• Free Throws Made: 21.40 (81.99%)
• Rebounds: Total 41.5, Offensive 8.20, Defensive 33.30
• Assists: 27.70
• Blocks: 5.70
• Steals: 10.40
• Turnovers : 13.20
• Personal Fouls: 21.10

Last 10 Games on the Road

• 2-Pointers Made: 30.30 (56%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 13.70 (39%)
• Free Throws Made: 19.20 (83.48%)
• Rebounds: Total 46.1, Offensive 9.90, Defensive 36.20
• Assists: 25.90
• Blocks: 5.50
• Steals: 10.10
• Turnovers : 12.10
• Personal Fouls: 20.50

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 22.60 (54%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 16.10 (35%)
• Free Throws Made: 19.50 (82.28%)
• Rebounds: Total 43.2, Offensive 12.30, Defensive 30.90
• Assists: 27.10
• Blocks: 4.40
• Steals: 10.90
• Turnovers : 15.70
• Personal Fouls: 21.50

Last 10 Home Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 25.90 (57%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 15.30 (35%)
• Free Throws Made: 19.00 (79.83%)
• Rebounds: Total 42.7, Offensive 11.20, Defensive 31.50
• Assists: 28.20
• Blocks: 3.90
• Steals: 9.70
• Turnovers : 12.50
• Personal Fouls: 20.20

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Golden State Warriors Confirmed Lineup

0 Gary Payton II

7 Buddy Hield

21 Quinten Post

22 Andrew Wiggins

30 Stephen Curry

Oklahoma City Thunder Confirmed Lineup

2 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

5 Luguentz Dort

8 Jalen Williams

22 Cason Wallace

55 Isaiah Hartenstein

NBA Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Division Conference League

East Atlantic	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Knicks	18	7	0.72	121	112.2	8.8	13-1	5-6	5-1	14-7	9-1	5W
Celtics	15	10	0.6	116.6	110.8	5.8	8-4	7-6	4-4	11-7	7-3	1L
76ers	14	10	0.583	116.8	115.7	1.1	8-7	6-3	5-2	12-9	6-4	1W
Raptors	15	11	0.577	115.8	113.9	1.9	8-6	7-5	3-4	13-7	4-6	4L
Nets	6	18	0.25	109.5	117.3	-7.8	2-10	4-8	1-7	5-13	4-6	1L

East Central	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Pistons	20	5	0.8	119.6	113.3	6.3	12-2	8-3	5-3	15-5	7-3	3W
Cavaliers	15	12	0.556	118.7	115.9	2.8	9-7	6-5	6-0	12-9	4-6	1L
Bucks	11	15	0.423	115.1	117.3	-2.2	8-7	3-8	3-4	9-11	3-7	1W
Bulls	10	14	0.417	117.8	122.7	-4.9	6-5	4-9	1-5	7-10	2-8	1W
Pacers	6	20	0.231	110.2	118.3	-8.1	5-9	1-11	2-5	4-11	4-6	2L

East Southeast	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Magic	15	11	0.577	117.9	114.1	3.8	10-5	5-6	5-2	12-9	6-4	1L
Heat	14	11	0.56	121.7	118.2	3.5	10-3	4-8	2-3	8-6	5-5	4L
Hawks	14	12	0.538	117.9	117.5	0.4	4-6	10-6	4-1	8-8	5-5	1L
Hornets	8	18	0.308	114.8	118.4	-3.6	5-8	3-10	1-4	7-12	4-6	1W
Wizards	4	20	0.167	112.8	126.7	-13.9	2-9	2-11	1-3	3-16	3-7	1W

West Northwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	24	2	0.923	123.1	106.3	16.8	12-1	12-1	5-1	20-2	9-1	1L
Nuggets	18	6	0.75	125.5	115.9	9.6	6-4	12-2	2-1	13-5	7-3	4W
Timberwolves	16	9	0.64	119.9	115	4.9	8-4	8-5	3-3	11-8	6-4	1W
Jazz	9	15	0.375	118.1	125.8	-7.7	6-7	3-8	0-5	5-11	4-6	1W
Trail Blazers	9	16	0.36	117.5	121.5	-4	3-6	6-10	3-3	7-11	3-7	3L

West Pacific	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Lakers	17	7	0.708	118.3	116.8	1.5	7-4	10-3	2-2	12-5	7-3	1L
Suns	14	11	0.56	114.8	114.4	0.4	8-4	6-7	5-2	13-10	5-5	1L
Warriors	13	13	0.5	113.7	112.3	1.4	7-4	6-9	3-1	10-8	4-6	1L
Kings	6	19	0.24	111.2	122.6	-11.4	3-8	3-11	1-3	4-16	3-7	2L
Clippers	6	19	0.24	111.6	116.7	-5.1	3-7	3-12	1-4	4-12	2-8	3L

West Southwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Rockets	16	6	0.727	120.6	110.4	10.2	8-2	8-4	2-2	9-5	7-3	1W
Spurs	18	7	0.72	119.7	115.2	4.5	9-2	9-5	7-0	12-6	7-3	3W
Grizzlies	11	14	0.44	114.1	115.9	-1.8	6-7	5-7	4-3	10-8	7-3	1L
Mavericks	10	16	0.385	112.1	115.9	-3.8	7-9	3-7	2-5	5-11	6-4	2W
Pelicans	4	22	0.154	114.2	123.5	-9.3	3-12	1-10	1-6	2-19	2-8	1W

Eastern Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Pistons	20	5	0.8	119.6	113.3	6.3	12-2	8-3	5-3	15-5	7-3	3W
Knicks	18	7	0.72	121	112.2	8.8	13-1	5-6	5-1	14-7	9-1	5W
Celtics	15	10	0.6	116.6	110.8	5.8	8-4	7-6	4-4	11-7	7-3	1L
76ers	14	10	0.583	116.8	115.7	1.1	8-7	6-3	5-2	12-9	6-4	1W
Magic	15	11	0.577	117.9	114.1	3.8	10-5	5-6	5-2	12-9	6-4	1L
Raptors	15	11	0.577	115.8	113.9	1.9	8-6	7-5	3-4	13-7	4-6	4L
Cavaliers	15	12	0.556	118.7	115.9	2.8	9-7	6-5	6-0	12-9	4-6	1L
Heat	14	11	0.56	121.7	118.2	3.5	10-3	4-8	2-3	8-6	5-5	4L
Hawks	14	12	0.538	117.9	117.5	0.4	4-6	10-6	4-1	8-8	5-5	1L
Bucks	11	15	0.423	115.1	117.3	-2.2	8-7	3-8	3-4	9-11	3-7	1W
Bulls	10	14	0.417	117.8	122.7	-4.9	6-5	4-9	1-5	7-10	2-8	1W
Hornets	8	18	0.308	114.8	118.4	-3.6	5-8	3-10	1-4	7-12	4-6	1W
Nets	6	18	0.25	109.5	117.3	-7.8	2-10	4-8	1-7	5-13	4-6	1L
Pacers	6	20	0.231	110.2	118.3	-8.1	5-9	1-11	2-5	4-11	4-6	2L
Wizards	4	20	0.167	112.8	126.7	-13.9	2-9	2-11	1-3	3-16	3-7	1W

Western Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	24	2	0.923	123.1	106.3	16.8	12-1	12-1	5-1	20-2	9-1	1L
Nuggets	18	6	0.75	125.5	115.9	9.6	6-4	12-2	2-1	13-5	7-3	4W
Rockets	16	6	0.727	120.6	110.4	10.2	8-2	8-4	2-2	9-5	7-3	1W
Spurs	18	7	0.72	119.7	115.2	4.5	9-2	9-5	7-0	12-6	7-3	3W
Lakers	17	7	0.708	118.3	116.8	1.5	7-4	10-3	2-2	12-5	7-3	1L
Timberwolves	16	9	0.64	119.9	115	4.9	8-4	8-5	3-3	11-8	6-4	1W
Suns	14	11	0.56	114.8	114.4	0.4	8-4	6-7	5-2	13-10	5-5	1L
Warriors	13	13	0.5	113.7	112.3	1.4	7-4	6-9	3-1	10-8	4-6	1L
Grizzlies	11	14	0.44	114.1	115.9	-1.8	6-7	5-7	4-3	10-8	7-3	1L
Mavericks	10	16	0.385	112.1	115.9	-3.8	7-9	3-7	2-5	5-11	6-4	2W
Jazz	9	15	0.375	118.1	125.8	-7.7	6-7	3-8	0-5	5-11	4-6	1W
Trail Blazers	9	16	0.36	117.5	121.5	-4	3-6	6-10	3-3	7-11	3-7	3L
Kings	6	19	0.24	111.2	122.6	-11.4	3-8	3-11	1-3	4-16	3-7	2L
Clippers	6	19	0.24	111.6	116.7	-5.1	3-7	3-12	1-4	4-12	2-8	3L
Pelicans	4	22	0.154	114.2	123.5	-9.3	3-12	1-10	1-6	2-19	2-8	1W

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	24	2	0.923	123.1	106.3	16.8	12-1	12-1	5-1	20-2	9-1	1L
Pistons	20	5	0.8	119.6	113.3	6.3	12-2	8-3	5-3	15-5	7-3	3W
Nuggets	18	6	0.75	125.5	115.9	9.6	6-4	12-2	2-1	13-5	7-3	4W
Rockets	16	6	0.727	120.6	110.4	10.2	8-2	8-4	2-2	9-5	7-3	1W
Knicks	18	7	0.72	121	112.2	8.8	13-1	5-6	5-1	14-7	9-1	5W
Spurs	18	7	0.72	119.7	115.2	4.5	9-2	9-5	7-0	12-6	7-3	3W
Lakers	17	7	0.708	118.3	116.8	1.5	7-4	10-3	2-2	12-5	7-3	1L
Timberwolves	16	9	0.64	119.9	115	4.9	8-4	8-5	3-3	11-8	6-4	1W
Celtics	15	10	0.6	116.6	110.8	5.8	8-4	7-6	4-4	11-7	7-3	1L
76ers	14	10	0.583	116.8	115.7	1.1	8-7	6-3	5-2	12-9	6-4	1W
Magic	15	11	0.577	117.9	114.1	3.8	10-5	5-6	5-2	12-9	6-4	1L
Raptors	15	11	0.577	115.8	113.9	1.9	8-6	7-5	3-4	13-7	4-6	4L
Heat	14	11	0.56	121.7	118.2	3.5	10-3	4-8	2-3	8-6	5-5	4L
Suns	14	11	0.56	114.8	114.4	0.4	8-4	6-7	5-2	13-10	5-5	1L
Cavaliers	15	12	0.556	118.7	115.9	2.8	9-7	6-5	6-0	12-9	4-6	1L
Hawks	14	12	0.538	117.9	117.5	0.4	4-6	10-6	4-1	8-8	5-5	1L
Warriors	13	13	0.5	113.7	112.3	1.4	7-4	6-9	3-1	10-8	4-6	1L
Grizzlies	11	14	0.44	114.1	115.9	-1.8	6-7	5-7	4-3	10-8	7-3	1L
Bucks	11	15	0.423	115.1	117.3	-2.2	8-7	3-8	3-4	9-11	3-7	1W
Bulls	10	14	0.417	117.8	122.7	-4.9	6-5	4-9	1-5	7-10	2-8	1W
Mavericks	10	16	0.385	112.1	115.9	-3.8	7-9	3-7	2-5	5-11	6-4	2W
Jazz	9	15	0.375	118.1	125.8	-7.7	6-7	3-8	0-5	5-11	4-6	1W
Trail Blazers	9	16	0.36	117.5	121.5	-4	3-6	6-10	3-3	7-11	3-7	3L
Hornets	8	18	0.308	114.8	118.4	-3.6	5-8	3-10	1-4	7-12	4-6	1W
Nets	6	18	0.25	109.5	117.3	-7.8	2-10	4-8	1-7	5-13	4-6	1L
Clippers	6	19	0.24	111.6	116.7	-5.1	3-7	3-12	1-4	4-12	2-8	3L
Kings	6	19	0.24	111.2	122.6	-11.4	3-8	3-11	1-3	4-16	3-7	2L
Pacers	6	20	0.231	110.2	118.3	-8.1	5-9	1-11	2-5	4-11	4-6	2L
Wizards	4	20	0.167	112.8	126.7	-13.9	2-9	2-11	1-3	3-16	3-7	1W
Pelicans	4	22	0.154	114.2	123.5	-9.3	3-12	1-10	1-6	2-19	2-8	1W

• W = Wins
• L = Losses
• PCT = Winning Percentage
• PPG = Points Per Game
• OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
• DIFF = Average Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Road = Away Record
• Div = Division Record
• Conf = Conference Record
• Last 10 = Record last 10 games
• Strk = Current Streak

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