Oklahoma City Thunder
Basketball NBA Tip-off in: days hours minutes seconds
Golden State Warriors
  1. Prediction
  2. SGP Picks
  3. Odds
  4. Team Stats
  5. Player Stats
  6. Player Props
  7. Team News
  8. Lineups
  9. Injuries
  10. Rosters
  11. Standings

NBA Betting Preview: Thunder vs Warriors

The Oklahoma City Thunder meet the Golden State Warriors in this NBA clash. Our betting preview features expert NBA predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, player stats, team news and confirmed starting lineups.

Back Thunder Against The Spread

We’d be surprised if the Thunder don’t exceed a -12 spread against the Warriors. That is why the wager has to be the favorites to cover the line at -106.

See value in our spread recommendation? Claim the best BetMGM promo code and take a moment to read our full site review before locking in your pick.

Thunder Won 126-102 in Teams’ Last Matchup

Oklahoma City Thunder have won twelve on the spin, triumphing 123-115 in their previous game. This was on the road against Portland Trail Blazers at Moda Center. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander dropped 26 points, as Chet Holmgren finished with 19 and Ajay Mitchell 17.

Golden State Warriors won their last game, beating New Orleans Pelicans at home. It was a 104-96 win at Chase Center. Jimmy Butler recorded 24 points and 10 assists, Gary Payton II had 19 points and 11 rebounds, with Brandin Podziemski scoring 15 points.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It was the Thunder who came out on top when they last played the Warriors. At Paycom Center, a 126-102 win was recorded. It’s been six Thunder wins in the past 10 games between these teams.

NBA W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder logo Thunder 20 1 0.952 122.2 106.7 15.5 10-0 10-1 4-1 16-1 10-0 12W
Warriors logo Warriors 11 10 0.524 114.5 113.6 0.9 7-2 4-8 3-1 10-6 5-5 1W
View Full Standings
Oklahoma City Thunder – Last 10 Games

The Thunder have won all of their past 10 games. They are averaging 122.0 points, 41.5 rebounds, 27.7 assists, 10.4 steals and 5.7 blocks while shooting 50.6% from the field and 82.0% from the free-throw line. The opposition have an average of 104.4 points and 42.4 rebounds per matchup.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 31.8 points and 7.2 assists, while Chet Holmgren averages 7.6 rebounds and Isaiah Joe 2.4 (39.3%) 3-pointers made.

Golden State Warriors – Last 10 Games

The Warriors have won 5 and lost 5 of their previous 10 contests. Averaging 113.0 points, 43.2 rebounds, 27.1 assists, 10.9 steals and 4.4 blocks per game while shooting 44.1% from the field and 82.3% from the free-throw line. Their opponents average 113.5 points and 47.8 rebounds.

Stephen Curry is averaging 23.2 points and 4.0 (39.2%) 3-pointers made. Draymond Green has an average of 5.4 rebounds and Jimmy Butler 5.2 assists.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Golden State Warriors Prediction & Picks

Join us as we dissect the best Oklahoma City Thunder vs Golden State Warriors betting tips — from our expert match prediction and correct score advice to top player prop insights and a ready-made bet builder.

Game Prediction

Thunder can finish well clear in this NBA matchup and that means we’re going for the favorites against the spread. There is -106 on offer that they are able to cover the -12 betting line.

We keep a close eye on team news and our expert NBA handicappers stay sharp by tracking the latest form and lineups. You’ll also find a full set of stats that offer valuable insight and help shape smarter predictions ahead of the action.

Key Thunder vs Warriors stats:

  • The -12 line has been covered by Thunder in 4 of their last 5 games on the road.
  • The -12 line has been covered by Thunder in 7 of their last 10 games.

Thunder -12 Probability

If you go by the top NBA sportsbooks, our pick has a 51.5% chance of landing a return. Our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be closer to 60%. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.

Looking for Bigger Odds?

It’s possible to move the line for your point spread pick and this allows bettors to get increasingly bigger odds. Squeeze more juice from your selection by taking an alternative view.

Don’t place a bet without checking our guide full of top-tier betting offers, from free bets to welcome bonus incentives.

Our Game Prediction
Thunder -12 @ -106 Bet Now BetMGM logo
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Published 03:55, 02 December 2025

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Chet Holmgren Under 9.5 Rebounds -141 BetMGM logo

Chet Holmgren (Thunder) has finished with Under 9.5 rebounds in 9 of the past 10 games. Using this stat, we can take odds of -141 that this player prop bet falls short of the Shots on Goal line.

Latest Chet Holmgren Player Prop Odds

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Brandin Podziemski Under 3.5 Assists -147 BetMGM logo

Brandin Podziemski (Warriors) has finished with Under 3.5 assists in 7 of the past 10 games. It therefore stands to reason that he might fall short when it comes to Player Assists and this pick is priced at -147.

Latest Brandin Podziemski Player Prop Odds

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Same Game Parlay Picks

Spread Thunder -12
Totals Over 220.5
Player Rebounds Chet Holmgren Under 9.5

We’ve got a same game parlay with three options: Thunder -12, Over 220.5 and Chet Holmgren (Thunder) to record Under 9.5 rebounds.

A same game parlay allows basketball bettors to place a multiple wager on the same game. You can go through the available betting lines and choose the outcomes that you think will happen. The odds for each selection are then combined together.

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Correct Score Prediction

Thunder Thunder logo 121 - 104 Warriors logo Warriors

Should you want to go for a selection at massive odds, head to the correct score lines where the Thunder can be backed speculatively to achieve a 121-104 victory.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Golden State Warriors Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Thunder Big Favorites With the Books

The latest Moneyline betting odds give Oklahoma City Thunder a 87% chance of winning this NBA game which means they’re overwhelming -667 favorites with the sportsbooks. The market suggests that Golden State Warriors are least likely to win at +480.

The spread currently stands at 12 and the total points line is 220.5. Having a bet on the Totals is one of the most popular basketball wagers. If you're keen on Over 220.5, this selection is available at -114.

Whether you are betting pre-game or in-game, the top basketball sportsbooks offer a huge selection of team props and game lines. The options are practically endless, and it’s awesome to have so many alternatives.

Betting Lines & Odds
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Favorite to Get Most Points

The favorite to land the most baskets is Shai Gilgeous-Alexander. Odds of -123 can be found for him scoring Over 30.5 points and there is -105 for him to go Under.

Player Points
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)
Over 30.5
-123
Under 30.5
-105
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Jimmy Butler (Warriors)
Over 21.5
-102
Under 21.5
-127
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Jalen Williams (Thunder)
Over 18.5
-112
Under 18.5
-115
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Chet Holmgren (Thunder)
Over 16.5
-115
Under 16.5
-112
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Player Assists
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)
Over 6.5
+120
Under 6.5
-156
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Jimmy Butler (Warriors)
Over 5.5
+117
Under 5.5
-152
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Jalen Williams (Thunder)
Over 5.5
+122
Under 5.5
-159
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Draymond Green (Warriors)
Over 4.5
-154
Under 4.5
+118
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Player Rebounds
Chet Holmgren (Thunder)
Over 9.5
+109
Under 9.5
-141
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Jimmy Butler (Warriors)
Over 5.5
-130
Under 5.5
+101
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Jalen Williams (Thunder)
Over 5.5
-122
Under 5.5
-106
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Brandin Podziemski (Warriors)
Over 5.5
+112
Under 5.5
-145
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Warriors Hold Seven Wins From Last Ten at Home

The Warriors have seven wins and three losses in the last 10 home games, scoring 116.90 points per contest and conceding 107.90.

The Thunder have stacked up six straight wins away from home. They have a 9-1 record in their last 10 games away from home, putting up 121.10 points on average and giving up 105.50.

The last time the Warriors faced the Thunder at Chase Center, they won 116-109. Across 10 head-to-head clashes at Chase Center, the Warriors have posted six victories, while the Thunder have managed four.

Last 10 Games W-L P PF PA O220.5 U220.5
Golden State Warriors logo Golden State Warriors Home Stats 7-3 224.80 116.90 107.90 6 4
Oklahoma City Thunder logo Oklahoma City Thunder Away Stats 9-1 226.60 121.10 105.50 6 4
  • W-L = Wins-Losses
  • P = Avg. Points
  • PF = Avg. Points For
  • PA = Avg. Points Against
  • O220.5 = Games Over 220.5 Points
  • U220.5 = Games Under 220.5 Points
Last 5 & H2H
Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Oklahoma City Thunder logo Oklahoma City Thunder Stats
Golden State Warriors logo Golden State Warriors Stats
Moneyline
  • 10 wins and 0 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 games on the road
Moneyline
  • 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games
Point Spread
Point Spread
Total Points
Total Points
Team Stats - Avg/Game
Team Stats - Avg/Game
Team News

Oklahoma City Thunder Player Stats & Roster

Player GP MIN TP TA PTS AST 3P REB BLK STL

Golden State Warriors Player Stats & Roster

Player GP MIN TP TA PTS AST 3P REB BLK STL

Injuries & Suspensions

Oklahoma City Thunder Injury Table

Type
Name
Info
Isaiah Hartenstein
Injured
Nikola Topic
Injured
Thomas Sorber
Injured

Golden State Warriors Injury Table

Type
Name
Info
Al Horford
Injured
Stephen Curry
Injured
De'Anthony Melton
Injured

Starting Lineups

Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of tip-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.

Previous Oklahoma City Thunder Lineups

30 Nov NBA
Thunder 123-115 Trail Blazers
28 Nov NBA
Suns 119-123 Thunder
26 Nov NBA
Timberwolves 105-113 Thunder
23 Nov NBA
Trail Blazers 95-122 Thunder
21 Nov NBA
Thunder 144-112 Jazz
19 Nov NBA
Kings 99-113 Thunder
17 Nov NBA
Thunder 126-109 Pelicans
15 Nov NBA
Thunder 109-96 Hornets
12 Nov NBA
Lakers 92-121 Thunder
11 Nov NBA
Warriors 102-126 Thunder

Previous Golden State Warriors Lineups

29 Nov NBA
Pelicans 96-104 Warriors
26 Nov NBA
Rockets 104-100 Warriors
24 Nov NBA
Jazz 117-134 Warriors
21 Nov NBA
Trail Blazers 127-123 Warriors
19 Nov NBA
Warriors 96-110 Heat
18 Nov NBA
Warriors 113-121 Magic
16 Nov NBA
Warriors 124-106 Pelicans
14 Nov NBA
Warriors 109-108 Spurs
12 Nov NBA
Warriors 125-120 Spurs
11 Nov NBA
Warriors 102-126 Thunder

NBA Table Select Season

East Atlantic W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Knicks 13 6 0.684 120.4 112.9 7.5 10-1 3-5 4-0 10-6 7-3 4W
Raptors 14 7 0.667 117.6 112.9 4.7 7-2 7-5 3-2 13-4 8-2 2L
Celtics 11 9 0.55 114.9 110.9 4 6-4 5-5 2-4 8-6 7-3 1W
76ers 10 9 0.526 118.2 118.8 -0.6 5-6 5-3 5-2 9-9 4-6 1L
Nets 3 16 0.158 108.4 119.3 -10.9 0-9 3-7 1-7 3-13 2-8 4L
East Central W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Pistons 16 4 0.8 119.8 114 5.8 8-2 8-2 4-2 12-4 8-2 1W
Cavaliers 12 9 0.571 118.8 115.6 3.2 8-4 4-5 5-0 10-8 5-5 3L
Bulls 9 10 0.474 119.9 123.1 -3.2 6-2 3-8 1-4 6-7 3-7 3L
Bucks 9 12 0.429 115.5 117.7 -2.2 6-6 3-6 2-3 7-8 2-8 1W
Pacers 4 16 0.2 109.8 118.6 -8.8 4-6 0-10 1-4 3-8 3-7 2W
East Southeast W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Heat 13 7 0.65 123.6 118.2 5.4 9-2 4-5 2-1 8-4 7-3 1L
Hawks 13 8 0.619 118.9 116.6 2.3 4-4 9-4 3-1 7-6 7-3 2W
Magic 12 8 0.6 119.3 114.1 5.2 7-3 5-5 3-2 9-7 8-2 2W
Hornets 6 14 0.3 115.9 120.2 -4.3 5-6 1-8 1-4 5-9 3-7 2W
Wizards 2 16 0.111 112.4 127.7 -15.3 1-6 1-10 1-2 1-12 1-9 1L
West Northwest W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 20 1 0.952 122.2 106.7 15.5 10-0 10-1 4-1 16-1 10-0 12W
Nuggets 14 5 0.737 124.8 115.1 9.7 6-3 8-2 2-1 12-4 7-3 1W
Timberwolves 12 8 0.6 119.2 114.1 5.1 7-3 5-5 3-3 7-7 6-4 2W
Trail Blazers 8 12 0.4 118.3 121.2 -2.9 3-6 5-6 3-3 7-9 3-7 2L
Jazz 6 13 0.316 117.7 125.4 -7.7 5-6 1-7 0-4 3-10 3-7 1L
West Pacific W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Lakers 15 4 0.789 119.6 115.4 4.2 7-2 8-2 2-1 12-3 8-2 7W
Suns 12 9 0.571 116.7 114 2.7 8-4 4-5 4-2 11-8 6-4 2L
Warriors 11 10 0.524 114.5 113.6 0.9 7-2 4-8 3-1 10-6 5-5 1W
Clippers 5 15 0.25 111.8 117.7 -5.9 3-7 2-8 1-4 4-9 2-8 4L
Kings 5 16 0.238 111.8 122.9 -11.1 3-7 2-9 1-3 4-14 2-8 3L
West Southwest W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Rockets 13 4 0.765 121.6 109.9 11.7 5-2 8-2 2-1 6-3 8-2 3W
Spurs 13 6 0.684 118.8 113.6 5.2 8-2 5-4 5-0 8-6 6-4 1L
Grizzlies 9 12 0.429 113.4 116.5 -3.1 4-6 5-6 4-2 8-6 5-5 3W
Mavericks 6 15 0.286 110.2 115.9 -5.7 4-9 2-6 1-5 3-10 3-7 1W
Pelicans 3 18 0.143 111.2 122.1 -10.9 2-9 1-9 1-5 1-16 1-9 3L
Eastern Conference W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Pistons 16 4 0.8 119.8 114 5.8 8-2 8-2 4-2 12-4 8-2 1W
Knicks 13 6 0.684 120.4 112.9 7.5 10-1 3-5 4-0 10-6 7-3 4W
Raptors 14 7 0.667 117.6 112.9 4.7 7-2 7-5 3-2 13-4 8-2 2L
Heat 13 7 0.65 123.6 118.2 5.4 9-2 4-5 2-1 8-4 7-3 1L
Hawks 13 8 0.619 118.9 116.6 2.3 4-4 9-4 3-1 7-6 7-3 2W
Magic 12 8 0.6 119.3 114.1 5.2 7-3 5-5 3-2 9-7 8-2 2W
Cavaliers 12 9 0.571 118.8 115.6 3.2 8-4 4-5 5-0 10-8 5-5 3L
Celtics 11 9 0.55 114.9 110.9 4 6-4 5-5 2-4 8-6 7-3 1W
76ers 10 9 0.526 118.2 118.8 -0.6 5-6 5-3 5-2 9-9 4-6 1L
Bulls 9 10 0.474 119.9 123.1 -3.2 6-2 3-8 1-4 6-7 3-7 3L
Bucks 9 12 0.429 115.5 117.7 -2.2 6-6 3-6 2-3 7-8 2-8 1W
Hornets 6 14 0.3 115.9 120.2 -4.3 5-6 1-8 1-4 5-9 3-7 2W
Pacers 4 16 0.2 109.8 118.6 -8.8 4-6 0-10 1-4 3-8 3-7 2W
Nets 3 16 0.158 108.4 119.3 -10.9 0-9 3-7 1-7 3-13 2-8 4L
Wizards 2 16 0.111 112.4 127.7 -15.3 1-6 1-10 1-2 1-12 1-9 1L
Western Conference W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 20 1 0.952 122.2 106.7 15.5 10-0 10-1 4-1 16-1 10-0 12W
Lakers 15 4 0.789 119.6 115.4 4.2 7-2 8-2 2-1 12-3 8-2 7W
Rockets 13 4 0.765 121.6 109.9 11.7 5-2 8-2 2-1 6-3 8-2 3W
Nuggets 14 5 0.737 124.8 115.1 9.7 6-3 8-2 2-1 12-4 7-3 1W
Spurs 13 6 0.684 118.8 113.6 5.2 8-2 5-4 5-0 8-6 6-4 1L
Timberwolves 12 8 0.6 119.2 114.1 5.1 7-3 5-5 3-3 7-7 6-4 2W
Suns 12 9 0.571 116.7 114 2.7 8-4 4-5 4-2 11-8 6-4 2L
Warriors 11 10 0.524 114.5 113.6 0.9 7-2 4-8 3-1 10-6 5-5 1W
Grizzlies 9 12 0.429 113.4 116.5 -3.1 4-6 5-6 4-2 8-6 5-5 3W
Trail Blazers 8 12 0.4 118.3 121.2 -2.9 3-6 5-6 3-3 7-9 3-7 2L
Jazz 6 13 0.316 117.7 125.4 -7.7 5-6 1-7 0-4 3-10 3-7 1L
Mavericks 6 15 0.286 110.2 115.9 -5.7 4-9 2-6 1-5 3-10 3-7 1W
Clippers 5 15 0.25 111.8 117.7 -5.9 3-7 2-8 1-4 4-9 2-8 4L
Kings 5 16 0.238 111.8 122.9 -11.1 3-7 2-9 1-3 4-14 2-8 3L
Pelicans 3 18 0.143 111.2 122.1 -10.9 2-9 1-9 1-5 1-16 1-9 3L
NBA W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 20 1 0.952 122.2 106.7 15.5 10-0 10-1 4-1 16-1 10-0 12W
Pistons 16 4 0.8 119.8 114 5.8 8-2 8-2 4-2 12-4 8-2 1W
Lakers 15 4 0.789 119.6 115.4 4.2 7-2 8-2 2-1 12-3 8-2 7W
Rockets 13 4 0.765 121.6 109.9 11.7 5-2 8-2 2-1 6-3 8-2 3W
Nuggets 14 5 0.737 124.8 115.1 9.7 6-3 8-2 2-1 12-4 7-3 1W
Knicks 13 6 0.684 120.4 112.9 7.5 10-1 3-5 4-0 10-6 7-3 4W
Spurs 13 6 0.684 118.8 113.6 5.2 8-2 5-4 5-0 8-6 6-4 1L
Raptors 14 7 0.667 117.6 112.9 4.7 7-2 7-5 3-2 13-4 8-2 2L
Heat 13 7 0.65 123.6 118.2 5.4 9-2 4-5 2-1 8-4 7-3 1L
Hawks 13 8 0.619 118.9 116.6 2.3 4-4 9-4 3-1 7-6 7-3 2W
Timberwolves 12 8 0.6 119.2 114.1 5.1 7-3 5-5 3-3 7-7 6-4 2W
Magic 12 8 0.6 119.3 114.1 5.2 7-3 5-5 3-2 9-7 8-2 2W
Cavaliers 12 9 0.571 118.8 115.6 3.2 8-4 4-5 5-0 10-8 5-5 3L
Suns 12 9 0.571 116.7 114 2.7 8-4 4-5 4-2 11-8 6-4 2L
Celtics 11 9 0.55 114.9 110.9 4 6-4 5-5 2-4 8-6 7-3 1W
76ers 10 9 0.526 118.2 118.8 -0.6 5-6 5-3 5-2 9-9 4-6 1L
Warriors 11 10 0.524 114.5 113.6 0.9 7-2 4-8 3-1 10-6 5-5 1W
Bulls 9 10 0.474 119.9 123.1 -3.2 6-2 3-8 1-4 6-7 3-7 3L
Grizzlies 9 12 0.429 113.4 116.5 -3.1 4-6 5-6 4-2 8-6 5-5 3W
Bucks 9 12 0.429 115.5 117.7 -2.2 6-6 3-6 2-3 7-8 2-8 1W
Trail Blazers 8 12 0.4 118.3 121.2 -2.9 3-6 5-6 3-3 7-9 3-7 2L
Jazz 6 13 0.316 117.7 125.4 -7.7 5-6 1-7 0-4 3-10 3-7 1L
Hornets 6 14 0.3 115.9 120.2 -4.3 5-6 1-8 1-4 5-9 3-7 2W
Mavericks 6 15 0.286 110.2 115.9 -5.7 4-9 2-6 1-5 3-10 3-7 1W
Clippers 5 15 0.25 111.8 117.7 -5.9 3-7 2-8 1-4 4-9 2-8 4L
Kings 5 16 0.238 111.8 122.9 -11.1 3-7 2-9 1-3 4-14 2-8 3L
Pacers 4 16 0.2 109.8 118.6 -8.8 4-6 0-10 1-4 3-8 3-7 2W
Nets 3 16 0.158 108.4 119.3 -10.9 0-9 3-7 1-7 3-13 2-8 4L
Pelicans 3 18 0.143 111.2 122.1 -10.9 2-9 1-9 1-5 1-16 1-9 3L
Wizards 2 16 0.111 112.4 127.7 -15.3 1-6 1-10 1-2 1-12 1-9 1L
  • W = Wins
  • L = Losses
  • PCT = Winning Percentage
  • PPG = Points Per Game
  • OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
  • DIFF = Average Point Differential
  • Home = Home Record
  • Road = Away Record
  • Div = Division Record
  • Conf = Conference Record
  • Last 10 = Record last 10 games
  • Strk = Current Streak