Oklahoma City Thunder
Basketball NBA Tip-off in: days hours minutes seconds
Golden State Warriors
  1. Prediction
  2. SGP Picks
  3. Odds
  4. Team Stats
  5. Player Stats
  6. Player Props
  7. Team News
  8. Lineups
  9. Injuries
  10. Rosters
  11. Standings

NBA Betting Preview: Thunder vs Warriors

The Oklahoma City Thunder take the court against the Golden State Warriors in this NBA game. Our betting preview features expert NBA predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, player stats, team news and confirmed starting lineups.

Can Warriors Stay Close to the Favorites?

There’s an awesome opportunity to back the Warriors against the spread here. They should be able to produce a solid performance against the Thunder, with +9 making appeal at -108.

Like the look of our spread call? Secure the best BetMGM promo code and read our comprehensive site review before you place your wager.

Teams’ Last Battle Saw 124-112 Thunder Victory

Oklahoma City Thunder claimed a home victory in their previous game. A 124-95 triumph against Portland Trail Blazers at Paycom Center made it three straight wins. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander poured in 30 points, with Ajay Mitchell contributing 17 and Isaiah Joe adding 15.

Golden State Warriors have now achieved three straight home wins. In their last game, they won on the road at Spectrum Center when beating Charlotte Hornets 132-125. Stephen Curry scored 26 points, with Brandin Podziemski adding 19 and Jimmy Butler 19.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Thunder have claimed victories in the last two matchups against the Warriors. At Paycom Center, the scoreline was 126-102 and then we saw 124-112 at Chase Center. The Thunder have won six of the past 10 games that these teams have played.

NBA W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder logo Thunder 29 5 0.853 122.1 107.5 14.6 17-2 12-3 6-2 23-5 6-4 3W
Warriors logo Warriors 18 16 0.529 115.6 113.4 2.2 10-4 8-12 4-2 12-10 6-4 2W
View Full Standings
Oklahoma City Thunder – Last 10 Games

The Thunder have 6 wins and 4 losses in the past 10 games. They are averaging 120.0 points, 43.9 rebounds, 24.5 assists, 11.4 steals and 5.9 blocks while shooting 48.6% from the field and 84.0% from the free-throw line. The opposition have an average of 109.1 points and 45.0 rebounds per matchup.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 30.6 points and 6.3 assists, while Chet Holmgren averages 7.1 rebounds and Luguentz Dort 2.3 (34.3%) 3-pointers made.

Golden State Warriors – Last 10 Games

The Warriors have won 6 and lost 4 of their last 10 contests. Averaging 121.6 points, 44.7 rebounds, 29.6 assists, 9.4 steals and 4.6 blocks per game while shooting 47.9% from the field and 82.1% from the free-throw line. Their opponents have an average of 115.5 points and 42.3 rebounds.

Stephen Curry is averaging 27.1 points and 4.4 (40.0%) 3-pointers made, while Jimmy Butler has an average of 5.5 rebounds and 4.9 assists.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Golden State Warriors Prediction & Picks

Head into Oklahoma City Thunder vs Golden State Warriors with expert betting insights, including our main match prediction, expected scoreline, key player prop picks and a thoughtfully built bet builder.

Game Prediction

The best bet could involve backing Warriors against the spread in this NBA contest. There’s a generous +9 available at -108 that the underdogs cover the line and that has to be our pick.

Sportsgambler.com brings strong NBA expertise, built on knowing the team news as soon as it’s confirmed. Recent form plays a big part in our basketball predictions and we always back it up with the most relevant stats.

Key Thunder vs Warriors stats:

  • The +9 line has been covered by Warriors in 4 consecutive games at home.
  • The +9 line has been covered by Warriors in 19 of their last 20 games at home.
  • The +9 line has been covered by Warriors in 9 of their last 10 games.
  • The -9 line hasn’t been covered by Thunder in 3 of their last 5 games on the road.
  • The -9 line hasn’t been covered by Thunder in 11 of their last 20 games on the road.
  • The -9 line hasn’t been covered by Thunder in 2 consecutive games on the road.
  • The +9 line has been covered by Warriors in 7 of their last 10 games against Thunder.

Warriors +9 Probability

Looking at the latest odds, our pick has a 51.8% chance of delivering a return. However, our research has found that the actual probability is closer to 60%. The bet can be recommended for this precise reason.

Looking for Bigger Odds?

It’s possible to move the line for your selection and this allows bettors to get increasingly bigger odds. If you’re looking for more juice, then this option could tick the boxes.

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Our Game Prediction
Warriors +9 @ -108 Bet Now BetMGM logo
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Published 02:55, 02 January 2026

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Jalen Williams Over 5.5 Assists +118 BetMGM logo

Jalen Williams (Thunder) has totaled Over 5.5 assists in 5 straight games. The line for him on the Overs has plenty of appeal, with bettors currently able to get odds of +118 for this happening.

Latest Jalen Williams Player Prop Odds

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Stephen Curry Over 25.5 Points -110 BetMGM logo

Stephen Curry (Warriors) has recorded an average of 30.11 points in the past 9 games. There’s an opportunity to wager on Player Points and the line looks attractive, with -110 available that it’s covered.

Latest Stephen Curry Player Prop Odds

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Same Game Parlay Picks

Spread Warriors +9
Totals Over 228.5
Player Assists Jalen Williams Over 5.5

Try out our same game parlay pick which starts with Warriors +9. We’ve also gone for Over 228.5 and Jalen Williams (Thunder) to get Over 5.5 assists.

A same game parlay is a great alternative for bettors who want to focus their wagering on a single basketball game. You can predict different outcomes and see their odds combined before going ahead and placing this tailored bet.

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Correct Score Prediction

Thunder Thunder logo 119 - 115 Warriors logo Warriors

There’s every chance that this is going to be a close contest and we’ll have a play on the Thunder enjoying a 119-115 winning scoreline. Hopefully this can go close.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Golden State Warriors Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Books Make Thunder Big Favorites

For this NBA game, the sportsbooks’ Moneyline betting odds mean Oklahoma City Thunder are -385 favorites to win and that means a 79% chance of landing a victory. Golden State Warriors are trading at bigger odds than their opponents and they can be backed at +310.

9 is the spread and 228.5 is the total points line. A Total bet relates to the number of points that will be scored overall. If you're keen on Over 228.5, this selection is available at -110.

If you’re planning to place a basketball bet, visit the best betting sites and check out the hundreds of available team props and game lines. Find the lines which are the most attractive.

Betting Lines & Odds
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Favorite to Score the Most Points

In terms of landing the most baskets, favorite Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is available at -101 to rack up Over 31.5 points. If you want to go Under, then -128 is available.

Player Points
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)
Over 31.5
-101
Under 31.5
-128
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Stephen Curry (Warriors)
Over 25.5
-110
Under 25.5
-118
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Chet Holmgren (Thunder)
Over 19.5
-102
Under 19.5
-127
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Jalen Williams (Thunder)
Over 19.5
+110
Under 19.5
-143
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Player Assists
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)
Over 6.5
-111
Under 6.5
-116
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Jalen Williams (Thunder)
Over 5.5
+113
Under 5.5
-147
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Jimmy Butler (Warriors)
Over 5.5
+122
Under 5.5
-159
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Stephen Curry (Warriors)
Over 4.5
-110
Under 4.5
-118
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Player Rebounds
Chet Holmgren (Thunder)
Over 9.5
-102
Under 9.5
-127
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Jalen Williams (Thunder)
Over 5.5
+102
Under 5.5
-132
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Jimmy Butler (Warriors)
Over 5.5
-105
Under 5.5
-123
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Quinten Post (Warriors)
Over 5.5
+124
Under 5.5
-161
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Best Betting Offers
Chase Center
Chase Center
Warriors Locked In at Home

The Warriors have run off three straight victories at Chase Center. They are 6-4 in their last 10 home games, averaging 117.20 points scored and 110.70 points allowed.

The Thunder own a 8-2 mark in their past 10 road games, posting 122.00 points per contest while yielding 108.80.

The last time these teams met at Chase Center, the Thunder came out on top 124-112 against the Warriors. In their previous 10 head-to-head matchups at Chase Center, the Warriors have tallied six wins, compared to the Thunder with four.

Last 10 Games W-L P PF PA O228.5 U228.5
Golden State Warriors logo Golden State Warriors Home Stats 6-4 227.90 117.20 110.70 6 4
Oklahoma City Thunder logo Oklahoma City Thunder Away Stats 8-2 230.80 122.00 108.80 7 3
  • W-L = Wins-Losses
  • P = Avg. Points
  • PF = Avg. Points For
  • PA = Avg. Points Against
  • O228.5 = Games Over 228.5 Points
  • U228.5 = Games Under 228.5 Points
Last 5 & H2H
Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Oklahoma City Thunder logo Oklahoma City Thunder Stats
Golden State Warriors logo Golden State Warriors Stats
Moneyline
  • 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
Moneyline
  • 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games
Point Spread
Point Spread
Total Points
Total Points
Team Stats - Avg/Game
Team Stats - Avg/Game
Team News

Oklahoma City Thunder Player Stats & Roster

Player GP MIN TP TA PTS AST 3P REB BLK STL
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 32 32.81 1025 206 32.0 6.4 2.1 4.9 0.7 1.6
Jalen Williams 16 29.34 270 88 16.9 5.5 1.1 5.1 0.5 1.6
Chet Holmgren 28 28.31 502 43 17.9 1.5 1.5 8.3 1.8 0.6

Golden State Warriors Player Stats & Roster

Player GP MIN TP TA PTS AST 3P REB BLK STL
Stephen Curry 25 31.98 717 107 28.7 4.3 4.8 4.0 0.5 1.2
Jimmy Butler 30 31.57 590 148 19.7 4.9 0.8 5.6 0.2 1.4
Brandin Podziemski 34 27.45 424 110 12.5 3.2 2.0 4.4 0.2 1.0

Injuries & Suspensions

Oklahoma City Thunder Injury Table

Type
Name
Info

Golden State Warriors Injury Table

Type
Name
Info

Starting Lineups

Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of tip-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.

Previous Oklahoma City Thunder Lineups

31 Dec NBA
Trail Blazers 95-124 Thunder
29 Dec NBA
Hawks 129-140 Thunder
28 Dec NBA
76ers 104-129 Thunder
25 Dec NBA
Spurs 117-102 Thunder
23 Dec NBA
Thunder 110-130 Spurs
22 Dec NBA
Grizzlies 103-119 Thunder
19 Dec NBA
Thunder 107-112 Timberwolves
18 Dec NBA
Clippers 101-122 Thunder
13 Dec NBA
Spurs 111-109 Thunder
10 Dec NBA
Suns 89-138 Thunder

Previous Golden State Warriors Lineups

31 Dec NBA
Warriors 132-125 Hornets
29 Dec NBA
Warriors 120-107 Nets
28 Dec NBA
Warriors 127-141 Raptors
25 Dec NBA
Mavericks 116-126 Warriors
22 Dec NBA
Magic 97-120 Warriors
20 Dec NBA
Suns 116-119 Warriors
18 Dec NBA
Warriors 98-99 Suns
14 Dec NBA
Warriors 131-136 Trail Blazers
12 Dec NBA
Timberwolves 127-120 Warriors
07 Dec NBA
Warriors 123-91 Bulls

NBA Table Select Season

East Atlantic W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Knicks 23 10 0.697 121.2 114.6 6.6 15-2 8-8 5-2 18-8 7-3 1L
Celtics 21 12 0.636 117 110.6 6.4 10-5 11-7 5-4 15-8 7-3 2W
Raptors 20 15 0.571 113.8 112.5 1.3 10-8 10-7 3-6 17-10 5-5 1L
76ers 18 14 0.563 116.6 116 0.6 9-8 9-6 6-3 13-12 5-5 2W
Nets 10 21 0.323 109.2 114.1 -4.9 4-13 6-8 3-7 8-14 5-5 2L
East Central W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Pistons 25 9 0.735 118.9 112.8 6.1 13-3 12-6 5-3 17-6 6-4 1L
Cavaliers 19 16 0.543 119.6 117.1 2.5 12-8 7-8 6-2 13-12 5-5 2W
Bulls 16 17 0.485 118.8 122.3 -3.5 9-8 7-9 3-6 12-11 7-3 1W
Bucks 14 20 0.412 113 115.9 -2.9 8-9 6-11 5-4 12-14 4-6 1L
Pacers 6 28 0.176 110.1 119.1 -9 5-13 1-15 2-6 4-17 0-10 10L
East Southeast W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Heat 19 15 0.559 120.9 117.4 3.5 12-5 7-10 3-3 12-10 5-5 4W
Magic 19 15 0.559 116.6 114.9 1.7 11-6 8-9 5-3 13-11 5-5 1W
Hawks 16 19 0.457 119.3 120.1 -0.8 6-11 10-8 4-3 9-13 2-8 1W
Hornets 11 22 0.333 115.8 118.9 -3.1 7-10 4-12 4-4 10-15 4-6 2L
Wizards 8 24 0.25 113.2 124.7 -11.5 4-11 4-13 1-4 5-17 5-5 1W
West Northwest W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 29 5 0.853 122.1 107.5 14.6 17-2 12-3 6-2 23-5 6-4 3W
Nuggets 23 10 0.697 125.1 118 7.1 10-5 13-5 4-1 16-7 6-4 1W
Timberwolves 21 13 0.618 118.8 114.6 4.2 12-6 9-7 4-4 13-10 6-4 1L
Trail Blazers 14 20 0.412 116.2 120.2 -4 7-9 7-11 3-4 11-13 5-5 1L
Jazz 12 21 0.364 119.8 126.8 -7 8-11 4-10 0-6 7-15 4-6 2L
West Pacific W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Lakers 20 11 0.645 116.8 117.3 -0.5 8-6 12-5 4-4 15-8 4-6 1L
Suns 19 14 0.576 115.1 113.8 1.3 10-5 9-9 7-4 17-12 6-4 1L
Warriors 18 16 0.529 115.6 113.4 2.2 10-4 8-12 4-2 12-10 6-4 2W
Clippers 12 21 0.364 112.3 113.6 -1.3 8-8 4-13 3-4 9-14 6-4 6W
Kings 8 26 0.235 110.9 122.3 -11.4 5-11 3-15 1-5 6-21 2-8 3L
West Southwest W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Spurs 24 9 0.727 119.9 114.2 5.7 12-4 12-5 7-0 14-7 8-2 1W
Rockets 21 10 0.677 120.5 111.5 9 10-2 11-8 2-3 11-9 6-4 4W
Grizzlies 15 18 0.455 115.9 116.5 -0.6 7-9 8-9 4-3 13-9 5-5 2L
Mavericks 12 23 0.343 113.6 117.9 -4.3 9-10 3-13 2-6 6-16 3-7 4L
Pelicans 8 27 0.229 115.6 123.1 -7.5 6-15 2-12 3-6 4-21 5-5 5L
Eastern Conference W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Pistons 25 9 0.735 118.9 112.8 6.1 13-3 12-6 5-3 17-6 6-4 1L
Knicks 23 10 0.697 121.2 114.6 6.6 15-2 8-8 5-2 18-8 7-3 1L
Celtics 21 12 0.636 117 110.6 6.4 10-5 11-7 5-4 15-8 7-3 2W
Raptors 20 15 0.571 113.8 112.5 1.3 10-8 10-7 3-6 17-10 5-5 1L
76ers 18 14 0.563 116.6 116 0.6 9-8 9-6 6-3 13-12 5-5 2W
Heat 19 15 0.559 120.9 117.4 3.5 12-5 7-10 3-3 12-10 5-5 4W
Magic 19 15 0.559 116.6 114.9 1.7 11-6 8-9 5-3 13-11 5-5 1W
Cavaliers 19 16 0.543 119.6 117.1 2.5 12-8 7-8 6-2 13-12 5-5 2W
Bulls 16 17 0.485 118.8 122.3 -3.5 9-8 7-9 3-6 12-11 7-3 1W
Hawks 16 19 0.457 119.3 120.1 -0.8 6-11 10-8 4-3 9-13 2-8 1W
Bucks 14 20 0.412 113 115.9 -2.9 8-9 6-11 5-4 12-14 4-6 1L
Hornets 11 22 0.333 115.8 118.9 -3.1 7-10 4-12 4-4 10-15 4-6 2L
Nets 10 21 0.323 109.2 114.1 -4.9 4-13 6-8 3-7 8-14 5-5 2L
Wizards 8 24 0.25 113.2 124.7 -11.5 4-11 4-13 1-4 5-17 5-5 1W
Pacers 6 28 0.176 110.1 119.1 -9 5-13 1-15 2-6 4-17 0-10 10L
Western Conference W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 29 5 0.853 122.1 107.5 14.6 17-2 12-3 6-2 23-5 6-4 3W
Spurs 24 9 0.727 119.9 114.2 5.7 12-4 12-5 7-0 14-7 8-2 1W
Nuggets 23 10 0.697 125.1 118 7.1 10-5 13-5 4-1 16-7 6-4 1W
Rockets 21 10 0.677 120.5 111.5 9 10-2 11-8 2-3 11-9 6-4 4W
Lakers 20 11 0.645 116.8 117.3 -0.5 8-6 12-5 4-4 15-8 4-6 1L
Timberwolves 21 13 0.618 118.8 114.6 4.2 12-6 9-7 4-4 13-10 6-4 1L
Suns 19 14 0.576 115.1 113.8 1.3 10-5 9-9 7-4 17-12 6-4 1L
Warriors 18 16 0.529 115.6 113.4 2.2 10-4 8-12 4-2 12-10 6-4 2W
Grizzlies 15 18 0.455 115.9 116.5 -0.6 7-9 8-9 4-3 13-9 5-5 2L
Trail Blazers 14 20 0.412 116.2 120.2 -4 7-9 7-11 3-4 11-13 5-5 1L
Clippers 12 21 0.364 112.3 113.6 -1.3 8-8 4-13 3-4 9-14 6-4 6W
Jazz 12 21 0.364 119.8 126.8 -7 8-11 4-10 0-6 7-15 4-6 2L
Mavericks 12 23 0.343 113.6 117.9 -4.3 9-10 3-13 2-6 6-16 3-7 4L
Kings 8 26 0.235 110.9 122.3 -11.4 5-11 3-15 1-5 6-21 2-8 3L
Pelicans 8 27 0.229 115.6 123.1 -7.5 6-15 2-12 3-6 4-21 5-5 5L
NBA W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 29 5 0.853 122.1 107.5 14.6 17-2 12-3 6-2 23-5 6-4 3W
Pistons 25 9 0.735 118.9 112.8 6.1 13-3 12-6 5-3 17-6 6-4 1L
Spurs 24 9 0.727 119.9 114.2 5.7 12-4 12-5 7-0 14-7 8-2 1W
Nuggets 23 10 0.697 125.1 118 7.1 10-5 13-5 4-1 16-7 6-4 1W
Knicks 23 10 0.697 121.2 114.6 6.6 15-2 8-8 5-2 18-8 7-3 1L
Rockets 21 10 0.677 120.5 111.5 9 10-2 11-8 2-3 11-9 6-4 4W
Lakers 20 11 0.645 116.8 117.3 -0.5 8-6 12-5 4-4 15-8 4-6 1L
Celtics 21 12 0.636 117 110.6 6.4 10-5 11-7 5-4 15-8 7-3 2W
Timberwolves 21 13 0.618 118.8 114.6 4.2 12-6 9-7 4-4 13-10 6-4 1L
Suns 19 14 0.576 115.1 113.8 1.3 10-5 9-9 7-4 17-12 6-4 1L
Raptors 20 15 0.571 113.8 112.5 1.3 10-8 10-7 3-6 17-10 5-5 1L
76ers 18 14 0.563 116.6 116 0.6 9-8 9-6 6-3 13-12 5-5 2W
Heat 19 15 0.559 120.9 117.4 3.5 12-5 7-10 3-3 12-10 5-5 4W
Magic 19 15 0.559 116.6 114.9 1.7 11-6 8-9 5-3 13-11 5-5 1W
Cavaliers 19 16 0.543 119.6 117.1 2.5 12-8 7-8 6-2 13-12 5-5 2W
Warriors 18 16 0.529 115.6 113.4 2.2 10-4 8-12 4-2 12-10 6-4 2W
Bulls 16 17 0.485 118.8 122.3 -3.5 9-8 7-9 3-6 12-11 7-3 1W
Hawks 16 19 0.457 119.3 120.1 -0.8 6-11 10-8 4-3 9-13 2-8 1W
Grizzlies 15 18 0.455 115.9 116.5 -0.6 7-9 8-9 4-3 13-9 5-5 2L
Bucks 14 20 0.412 113 115.9 -2.9 8-9 6-11 5-4 12-14 4-6 1L
Trail Blazers 14 20 0.412 116.2 120.2 -4 7-9 7-11 3-4 11-13 5-5 1L
Clippers 12 21 0.364 112.3 113.6 -1.3 8-8 4-13 3-4 9-14 6-4 6W
Jazz 12 21 0.364 119.8 126.8 -7 8-11 4-10 0-6 7-15 4-6 2L
Mavericks 12 23 0.343 113.6 117.9 -4.3 9-10 3-13 2-6 6-16 3-7 4L
Hornets 11 22 0.333 115.8 118.9 -3.1 7-10 4-12 4-4 10-15 4-6 2L
Nets 10 21 0.323 109.2 114.1 -4.9 4-13 6-8 3-7 8-14 5-5 2L
Wizards 8 24 0.25 113.2 124.7 -11.5 4-11 4-13 1-4 5-17 5-5 1W
Kings 8 26 0.235 110.9 122.3 -11.4 5-11 3-15 1-5 6-21 2-8 3L
Pelicans 8 27 0.229 115.6 123.1 -7.5 6-15 2-12 3-6 4-21 5-5 5L
Pacers 6 28 0.176 110.1 119.1 -9 5-13 1-15 2-6 4-17 0-10 10L
  • W = Wins
  • L = Losses
  • PCT = Winning Percentage
  • PPG = Points Per Game
  • OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
  • DIFF = Average Point Differential
  • Home = Home Record
  • Road = Away Record
  • Div = Division Record
  • Conf = Conference Record
  • Last 10 = Record last 10 games
  • Strk = Current Streak