Oklahoma City Thunder vs Indiana Pacers Prediction, Picks & Odds | 23 Oct 2025

NBA Betting Preview: Thunder vs Pacers

It’s a rematch of the 2024–25 NBA Finals as defending champions the Oklahoma City Thunder take on the Indiana Pacers at Gainbridge Fieldhouse, with tip-off scheduled for 19:30 on Thursday, October 23. Our NBA betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, player stats, team news and the official starting lineups.

Line Could be Covered by Pacers

We’re happy to get with the Pacers against the spread. -110 is available that they are able to cover +7.5 against the Thunder and that looks more than reasonable.

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Thunder Beat Pacers 103–91 in Game 7 Decider

The Oklahoma City Thunder opened their season on Tuesday night with a 125–124 overtime home win over the Houston Rockets at Paycom Center. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander scored 35 points, with Chet Holmgren getting 28 and Ajay Mitchell 16.

The Indiana Pacers ended their 2024–25 campaign with a 4–3 series loss to tonight’s opponents the Oklahoma City Thunder in the NBA Finals. In Game 7, the Pacers suffered a 103–91 road defeat at Paycom Center. Bennedict Mathurin racked up 24 points and 13 rebounds, while T.J. McConnell scored 16 points and Pascal Siakam 16.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Thunder hold a 6–4 edge over the Pacers in their last 10 head-to-head meetings.

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	1	0	1	125	124	1	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Pacers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

View Full Standings

The Thunder have 7 wins and 3 losses in the past 10 games. They are averaging 114.2 points, 41.4 rebounds, 20.0 assists, 11.4 steals and 5.8 blocks while shooting 45.4% from the field and 81.9% from the free-throw line. The opposition have an average of 109.0 points and 43.2 rebounds per contest.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 32.1 points and 6.2 assists, while Chet Holmgren averages 8.3 rebounds and Luguentz Dort 2.2 (37.3%) 3-pointers made.

The Pacers have won 5 and lost 5 of their last 10 contests. Averaging 109.5 points, 41.0 rebounds, 23.8 assists, 9.6 steals and 6.0 blocks per game while shooting 46.2% from the field and 78.2% from the free-throw line. Their opponents have averaged 110.5 points and 42.3 rebounds.

Pascal Siakam is averaging 21.1 points and 7.0 rebounds, while Tyrese Haliburton has an average of 7.5 assist and 2.3 (35.9%) 3-pointers.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Indiana Pacers Prediction & Picks

Head into Oklahoma City Thunder vs Indiana Pacers with expert betting insights, including our main match prediction, expected scoreline, key player prop picks and a thoughtfully built bet builder.

Game Prediction

We’ve lined up a pick which requires Pacers to keep close to the favorites in this NBA contest. We think that the line of +7.5 can be covered and you can secure -110.

We keep a close eye on team news and our expert NBA handicappers stay sharp by tracking the latest form and lineups. You’ll also find a full set of stats that offer valuable insight and help shape smarter predictions ahead of the action.

Key Thunder vs Pacers stats:

• The +7.5 line has been covered by Pacers in 7 consecutive games at home.
• The +7.5 line has been covered by Pacers in 9 of their last 10 games at home.
• The +7.5 line has been covered by Pacers in 18 of their last 20 games at home.
• The -7.5 line hasn’t been covered by Thunder in 10 consecutive games on the road.
• The -7.5 line hasn’t been covered by Thunder in 14 of their last 20 games on the road.
• The +7.5 line has been covered by Pacers in 6 of their last 10 games against Thunder.

Pacers +7.5 Probability

If you go by the best betting sites, our pick has a 52.4% chance of landing a return. Our cappers think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 55-60%. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.

There are many alternatives to the spread and we particularly like the Winning Margin lines. It’s great whether you’re expecting things to be close or comprehensive.

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Best Bet

Pacers +7.5 @ -110 Watch Live Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Aaron Wiggins Under 11.5 Points -109

Aaron Wiggins (Thunder) has scored an average of 2.75 points in the past 4 road games. This is a telling statistic and we’re happy to back him to fall short of the line once again, with odds of -109 available.

Latest Aaron Wiggins Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 11.5

-119

Under 11.5

-109

Rebounds

Over 3.5

+120

Under 3.5

-156

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Isaiah Hartenstein Under 9.5 Rebounds -120

Isaiah Hartenstein (Thunder) has an average of 5 rebounds in the past 5 road games. We’re going to bet on him to fall short when it comes to Player Rebounds and this prop pick is available at -120.

Latest Isaiah Hartenstein Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 10.5

-101

Under 10.5

-128

Assists

Over 3.5

+113

Under 3.5

-147

Rebounds

Over 9.5

-108

Under 9.5

-120

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Correct Score Prediction

Thunder 114 - 111 Pacers

There might not be too much between these teams, with our correct score prediction being a 114-111 win for the Thunder. There are enormous odds available when it comes to this pick.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Indiana Pacers Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Thunder Likely to Win According to Latest Odds

The Oklahoma City Thunder odds have been priced up by the sportsbooks and they are -303 betting favorites to land victory in this NBA game which means a 75% chance of winning. Indiana Pacers are trading at bigger odds than their opponents and they can be backed at +245.

7.5 is where the spread lies, with total points being 230.5 right now. Having a bet on the Totals is one of the most popular basketball wagers. If you want to bet Under 230.5, there are odds of -108.

If you’re planning to place a basketball bet, visit the best NBA sportsbooks and check out the wide range of game lines and team props. Find the lines which are the most attractive.

Moneyline

Thunder

-303

Pacers

+245

Point Spread

Thunder -7.5

-110

Pacers +7.5

-110

Total Points

Under 230.5

-108

Over 230.5

-112

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Favorite to Score the Most Points

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is the favorite to hit the most buckets. You can back -115 that he gets Over 32.5 points. Alternatively, Under is trading at -112.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)

Over 32.5

-115

Under 32.5

-112

Pascal Siakam (Pacers)

Over 19.5

-118

Under 19.5

-110

Bennedict Mathurin (Pacers)

Over 18.5

-112

Under 18.5

-115

Chet Holmgren (Thunder)

Over 17.5

-116

Under 17.5

-111

Aaron Nesmith (Pacers)

Over 14.5

-110

Under 14.5

-118

Andrew Nembhard (Pacers)

Over 13.5

-101

Under 13.5

-128

Aaron Wiggins (Thunder)

Over 11.5

-119

Under 11.5

-109

Obi Toppin (Pacers)

Over 10.5

-125

Under 10.5

-103

Isaiah Hartenstein (Thunder)

Over 10.5

-101

Under 10.5

-128

Luguentz Dort (Thunder)

Over 10.5

-100

Under 10.5

-130

Cason Wallace (Thunder)

Over 8.5

-130

Under 8.5

-100

Isaiah Jackson (Pacers)

Over 7.5

-110

Under 7.5

-118

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)

Over 6.5

-115

Under 6.5

-112

Andrew Nembhard (Pacers)

Over 6.5

-143

Under 6.5

-112

Pascal Siakam (Pacers)

Over 4.5

+122

Under 4.5

-159

Isaiah Hartenstein (Thunder)

Over 3.5

+113

Under 3.5

-147

Chet Holmgren (Thunder)

Over 2.5

+155

Under 2.5

-204

Cason Wallace (Thunder)

Over 2.5

-147

Under 2.5

+113

Isaiah Hartenstein (Thunder)

Over 9.5

-108

Under 9.5

-120

Pascal Siakam (Pacers)

Over 7.5

+109

Under 7.5

-141

Chet Holmgren (Thunder)

Over 7.5

-137

Under 7.5

+106

Bennedict Mathurin (Pacers)

Over 5.5

-135

Under 5.5

+105

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)

Over 4.5

-128

Under 4.5

-101

Aaron Nesmith (Pacers)

Over 4.5

+118

Under 4.5

-154

Obi Toppin (Pacers)

Over 4.5

+130

Under 4.5

-169

Isaiah Jackson (Pacers)

Over 4.5

-133

Under 4.5

+103

Andrew Nembhard (Pacers)

Over 3.5

+112

Under 3.5

-145

Aaron Wiggins (Thunder)

Over 3.5

+120

Under 3.5

-156

Luguentz Dort (Thunder)

Over 3.5

-152

Under 3.5

+117

Cason Wallace (Thunder)

Over 3.5

+124

Under 3.5

-161

Pacers With Seven Wins in Previous Ten Home Games

The Pacers have seven wins and three losses in the last 10 home games, scoring 115.80 points per contest and conceding 111.20.

The Thunder have five wins and five losses in the last 10 games away from home, averaging 107.20 points scored and 113.90 points allowed.

When the teams last met at Gainbridge Fieldhouse, the Pacers beat the Thunder 116-101. In 10 meetings at Gainbridge Fieldhouse, the Pacers have seven wins to their name, with the Thunder having three.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O229.5	U229.5
Indiana Pacers Home Stats		7-3	227.00	115.80	111.20	6	4
Oklahoma City Thunder Away Stats		5-5	221.10	107.20	113.90	3	7

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O229.5 = Games Over 229.5 Points
• U229.5 = Games Under 229.5 Points

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Oklahoma City Thunder Stats

Indiana Pacers Stats

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -7.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• -7.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have not covered the spread in any of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +7.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• +7.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 223.20 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 221.10 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 229.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 229.5 on the Road: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 114.20 pts and allowed 109.00 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 107.20 pts and allowed 113.90 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 220.00 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 227.00 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 229.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 229.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 109.50 pts and allowed 110.50 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 115.80 pts and allowed 111.20 pts in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 28.50 (52%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 11.40 (35%)
• Free Throws Made: 23.10 (81.91%)
• Rebounds: Total 41.4, Offensive 11.60, Defensive 29.80
• Assists: 20.00
• Blocks: 5.80
• Steals: 11.40
• Turnovers : 12.80
• Personal Fouls: 22.10

Last 10 Games on the Road

• 2-Pointers Made: 28.10 (52%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 10.10 (30%)
• Free Throws Made: 20.70 (77.82%)
• Rebounds: Total 41.8, Offensive 11.30, Defensive 30.50
• Assists: 19.70
• Blocks: 4.20
• Steals: 9.10
• Turnovers : 13.40
• Personal Fouls: 22.60

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 25.00 (52%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 12.90 (38%)
• Free Throws Made: 20.80 (78.2%)
• Rebounds: Total 41, Offensive 9.40, Defensive 31.60
• Assists: 23.80
• Blocks: 6.00
• Steals: 9.60
• Turnovers : 16.30
• Personal Fouls: 23.60

Last 10 Home Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 29.00 (54%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 12.20 (37%)
• Free Throws Made: 21.20 (80%)
• Rebounds: Total 37.9, Offensive 7.00, Defensive 30.90
• Assists: 26.50
• Blocks: 5.30
• Steals: 10.00
• Turnovers : 11.60
• Personal Fouls: 23.90

Live Streaming

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Team News

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of tip-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.

NBA Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Division Conference League

East Atlantic	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
76ers	1	0	1	117	116	1	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Raptors	1	0	1	138	118	20	0-0	1-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Knicks	1	0	1	119	111	8	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Celtics	0	1	0	116	117	-1	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Nets	0	1	0	117	136	-19	0-0	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L

East Central	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Bulls	1	0	1	115	111	4	1-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Bucks	1	0	1	133	120	13	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Pistons	0	1	0	111	115	-4	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Cavaliers	0	1	0	111	119	-8	0-0	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L
Pacers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

East Southeast	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Magic	1	0	1	125	121	4	1-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Hornets	1	0	1	136	117	19	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Heat	0	1	0	121	125	-4	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Wizards	0	1	0	120	133	-13	0-0	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L
Hawks	0	1	0	118	138	-20	0-1	0-0	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L

West Northwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Timberwolves	1	0	1	118	114	4	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Jazz	1	0	1	129	108	21	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Thunder	1	0	1	125	124	1	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Trail Blazers	0	1	0	114	118	-4	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Nuggets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

West Pacific	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Warriors	1	0	1	119	109	10	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Suns	1	0	1	120	116	4	1-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Kings	0	1	0	116	120	-4	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Lakers	0	1	0	109	119	-10	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Clippers	0	1	0	108	129	-21	0-0	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L

West Southwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Spurs	1	0	1	125	92	33	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Grizzlies	1	0	1	128	122	6	1-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Rockets	0	1	0	124	125	-1	0-0	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L
Pelicans	0	1	0	122	128	-6	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Mavericks	0	1	0	92	125	-33	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L

Eastern Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Bulls	1	0	1	115	111	4	1-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Magic	1	0	1	125	121	4	1-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
76ers	1	0	1	117	116	1	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Raptors	1	0	1	138	118	20	0-0	1-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Hornets	1	0	1	136	117	19	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Bucks	1	0	1	133	120	13	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Knicks	1	0	1	119	111	8	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Celtics	0	1	0	116	117	-1	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Pistons	0	1	0	111	115	-4	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Heat	0	1	0	121	125	-4	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Cavaliers	0	1	0	111	119	-8	0-0	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L
Wizards	0	1	0	120	133	-13	0-0	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L
Nets	0	1	0	117	136	-19	0-0	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L
Hawks	0	1	0	118	138	-20	0-1	0-0	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L
Pacers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

Western Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Spurs	1	0	1	125	92	33	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Warriors	1	0	1	119	109	10	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Timberwolves	1	0	1	118	114	4	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Jazz	1	0	1	129	108	21	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Grizzlies	1	0	1	128	122	6	1-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Suns	1	0	1	120	116	4	1-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Thunder	1	0	1	125	124	1	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Rockets	0	1	0	124	125	-1	0-0	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L
Trail Blazers	0	1	0	114	118	-4	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Kings	0	1	0	116	120	-4	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Pelicans	0	1	0	122	128	-6	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Lakers	0	1	0	109	119	-10	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Clippers	0	1	0	108	129	-21	0-0	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L
Mavericks	0	1	0	92	125	-33	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Nuggets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Hornets	1	0	1	136	117	19	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Bulls	1	0	1	115	111	4	1-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Warriors	1	0	1	119	109	10	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Grizzlies	1	0	1	128	122	6	1-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Bucks	1	0	1	133	120	13	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Timberwolves	1	0	1	118	114	4	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Knicks	1	0	1	119	111	8	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Thunder	1	0	1	125	124	1	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Magic	1	0	1	125	121	4	1-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
76ers	1	0	1	117	116	1	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Suns	1	0	1	120	116	4	1-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Spurs	1	0	1	125	92	33	0-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Raptors	1	0	1	138	118	20	0-0	1-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Jazz	1	0	1	129	108	21	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1-0	1W
Hawks	0	1	0	118	138	-20	0-1	0-0	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L
Celtics	0	1	0	116	117	-1	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Nets	0	1	0	117	136	-19	0-0	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L
Cavaliers	0	1	0	111	119	-8	0-0	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L
Mavericks	0	1	0	92	125	-33	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Nuggets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pistons	0	1	0	111	115	-4	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Rockets	0	1	0	124	125	-1	0-0	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L
Pacers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Clippers	0	1	0	108	129	-21	0-0	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L
Lakers	0	1	0	109	119	-10	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Heat	0	1	0	121	125	-4	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Pelicans	0	1	0	122	128	-6	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Trail Blazers	0	1	0	114	118	-4	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Kings	0	1	0	116	120	-4	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-1	0-1	1L
Wizards	0	1	0	120	133	-13	0-0	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-1	1L

• W = Wins
• L = Losses
• PCT = Winning Percentage
• PPG = Points Per Game
• OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
• DIFF = Average Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Road = Away Record
• Div = Division Record
• Conf = Conference Record
• Last 10 = Record last 10 games
• Strk = Current Streak