Oklahoma City Thunder vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction, Picks & Odds | 17 Dec 2024

Focus on Points in the Emirates NBA Cup Final

Milwaukee Bucks square off against Oklahoma City Thunder in the Emirates NBA Cup final at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas.

The total line looks to be on the low side at 216.5. There’s a strong chance that the Thunder and the Bucks will conspire to go above the line and we’re backing Over at -110.

Bucks Have 8 Wins in Last 10 H2H Battles

Oklahoma City Thunder have now won five on the spin. Their previous game saw them claim a 111-96 semifinal win over Houston Rockets at T-Mobile Arena. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander scored 32 points, with Isaiah Hartenstein getting 21 and Jalen Williams 20.

Milwaukee Bucks were winners for the third time running when Atlanta Hawks were beaten 110-102 at T-Mobile Arena in the semifinals. Giannis Antetokounmpo racked up 32 points and 14 rebounds, while Damian Lillard scored 25 points and Brook Lopez 16.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Thunder had the edge in the most recent matchup between these teams. At Paycom Center, they recorded a 125-107 win over the Bucks. We’ve seen eight Bucks wins in the past 10 meetings between the teams.

NBA Reg. Season	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Bucks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Thunder	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

View Full Standings

Confirmed Starting Lineups

Oklahoma City Thunder lineup: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Jalen Williams, Isaiah Joe, Isaiah Hartenstein.

Milwaukee Bucks lineup: Damian Lillard, Brook Lopez, Taurean Prince, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Andre Jackson.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction & Picks

The Overs is sticking out like a sore thumb considering the line for this Emirates NBA Cup showdown is set at 216.5. We’re expecting a bigger total and -110 is available.

The NBA picks stem from knowing the team news and the latest form for each franchise. We work hard to unearth the most pertinent stats which can also act as a guide.

Key Thunder vs Bucks stats:

• The 216.5 line has been covered in 4 of the last 5 Thunder games.
• The 216.5 line has been covered in 6 of the last 10 Thunder games.
• The 216.5 line has been covered in 7 of the last 10 Bucks games.
• The 216.5 line has been covered in 14 of the last 20 Bucks games.

Over 216.5 Probability

According to the sportsbooks, there’s a 52.4% likelihood of our pick landing a return. After careful examination, our experts have this probability somewhere between 55-60%. It is therefore regarded as a value wager.

The sportsbooks allow you to shoot for bigger odds by moving the line on the Total lines. Choose a number where you’re happy and get more juice.

Best Bet

Over 216.5 Points @ -110 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Damian Lillard Over 23.5 Points -108

Damian Lillard (Bucks) has totaled Over 23.5 points in 5 straight games at home. He looks like a solid bet to cover the Player Points line and you’re able to back this pick at odds of -108.

Latest Damian Lillard Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 23.5

-108

Under 23.5

-120

Assists

Over 7.5

+107

Under 7.5

-139

Rebounds

Over 4.5

+109

Under 4.5

-141

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Isaiah Hartenstein Over 3.5 Assists -125

Isaiah Hartenstein (Thunder) has finished with Over 3.5 assists in 4 straight road games. The line is attractive when it comes to betting on Player Assists and you can get -125 that he is able to land a return.

Latest Isaiah Hartenstein Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 11.5

-123

Under 11.5

-105

Assists

Over 3.5

+110

Under 3.5

-143

Rebounds

Over 11.5

-116

Under 11.5

-111

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Correct Score Prediction

Thunder 115 - 108 Bucks

The Thunder might get the upper hand and it might be worth backing them to achieve a specific correct score. Try an outcome of 115-108 for a big possible return from your stake.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Milwaukee Bucks Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Books Make Thunder Moneyline Favorites

Oklahoma City Thunder have the shortest price to win this Emirates NBA Cup final, with the sportsbooks giving them a 68% probability due to their -208 Moneyline betting odds. The market suggests that Milwaukee Bucks are least likely to win at +176.

The current spread is 5.5 and total points is 215.5. Basketball bettors regularly enjoy the opportunity to wager on the Totals. The Over 215.5 selection is available to back at -108.

Wagering on the Race to 20 Points allows bettors to back favorites Bucks at -150. On the flip side, the Thunder are +120 should you think they’ll get to this total first.

Consider every angle when placing your basketball bets. The betting sites have hundreds of team props and game lines and it’s all about finding a wager which matches your prediction of the game.

Moneyline

Thunder

-208

Bucks

+176

Point Spread

Thunder -5.5

-108

Bucks +5.5

-112

Total Points

Under 215.5

-112

Over 215.5

-108

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Favorite to Score the Most Baskets

The favorite to land the most baskets is Shai Gilgeous-Alexander. Odds of -108 can be found for him scoring Over 32.5 points and there is -120 for him to go Under.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)

Over 32.5

-108

Under 32.5

-120

Giannis Antetokounmpo (Bucks)

Over 31.5

-120

Under 31.5

-108

Damian Lillard (Bucks)

Over 23.5

-108

Under 23.5

-120

Jalen Williams (Thunder)

Over 22.5

-130

Under 22.5

-100

Bobby Portis (Bucks)

Over 12.5

-102

Under 12.5

-127

Isaiah Hartenstein (Thunder)

Over 11.5

-123

Under 11.5

-105

Luguentz Dort (Thunder)

Over 10.5

-100

Under 10.5

-130

Khris Middleton (Bucks)

Over 9.5

-111

Under 9.5

-116

Brook Lopez (Bucks)

Over 9.5

-109

Under 9.5

-119

Gary Trent Jr (Bucks)

Over 8.5

-103

Under 8.5

-125

Cason Wallace (Thunder)

Over 7.5

-111

Under 7.5

-116

Alex Caruso (Thunder)

Over 6.5

-120

Under 6.5

-108

A.J. Green (Bucks)

Over 6.5

-114

Under 6.5

-114

Isaiah Joe (Thunder)

Over 6.5

-105

Under 6.5

-123

Taurean Prince (Bucks)

Over 6.5

+105

Under 6.5

-135

Damian Lillard (Bucks)

Over 7.5

+107

Under 7.5

-139

Giannis Antetokounmpo (Bucks)

Over 6.5

+104

Under 6.5

-135

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)

Over 5.5

-164

Under 5.5

+125

Jalen Williams (Thunder)

Over 4.5

-147

Under 4.5

+114

Khris Middleton (Bucks)

Over 4.5

+118

Under 4.5

-154

Isaiah Hartenstein (Thunder)

Over 3.5

+110

Under 3.5

-143

Alex Caruso (Thunder)

Over 1.5

-196

Under 1.5

+148

Giannis Antetokounmpo (Bucks)

Over 12.5

-114

Under 12.5

-114

Isaiah Hartenstein (Thunder)

Over 11.5

-116

Under 11.5

-111

Bobby Portis (Bucks)

Over 7.5

-125

Under 7.5

-103

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)

Over 5.5

-130

Under 5.5

-100

Jalen Williams (Thunder)

Over 5.5

-125

Under 5.5

-103

Brook Lopez (Bucks)

Over 5.5

+128

Under 5.5

-167

Damian Lillard (Bucks)

Over 4.5

+109

Under 4.5

-141

Luguentz Dort (Thunder)

Over 4.5

-108

Under 4.5

-120

Khris Middleton (Bucks)

Over 3.5

+110

Under 3.5

-143

Cason Wallace (Thunder)

Over 3.5

-156

Under 3.5

+120

Alex Caruso (Thunder)

Over 3.5

+122

Under 3.5

-159

Taurean Prince (Bucks)

Over 3.5

+103

Under 3.5

-133

Gary Trent Jr (Bucks)

Over 2.5

+126

Under 2.5

-164

A.J. Green (Bucks)

Over 2.5

+120

Under 2.5

-156

Isaiah Joe (Thunder)

Over 2.5

+132

Under 2.5

-172

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Oklahoma City Thunder Stats

Milwaukee Bucks Stats

Moneyline

• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 games

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games

Point Spread

• -4 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games

Point Spread

• +4 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 241.30 pts in the previous 10 games
• Over 231.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 125.90 pts and allowed 115.40 pts in the last 10 games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 230.90 pts in the previous 10 games
• Over 231.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 118.90 pts and allowed 112.00 pts in the last 10 games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 30.90 (58%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 15.20 (39%)
• Free Throws Made: 18.50 (83.33%)
• Rebounds: Total 44.5, Offensive 9.70, Defensive 34.80
• Assists: 27.10
• Blocks: 5.90
• Steals: 9.20
• Turnovers : 10.80
• Personal Fouls: 18.10

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 29.60 (58%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 13.20 (38%)
• Free Throws Made: 20.10 (81.38%)
• Rebounds: Total 46.8, Offensive 8.10, Defensive 38.70
• Assists: 25.70
• Blocks: 4.00
• Steals: 7.80
• Turnovers : 13.90
• Personal Fouls: 15.40

Team News

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Milwaukee Bucks Confirmed Lineup

0 Damian Lillard

11 Brook Lopez

12 Taurean Prince

34 Giannis Antetokounmpo

44 Andre Jackson

Oklahoma City Thunder Confirmed Lineup

2 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

5 Luguentz Dort

8 Jalen Williams

11 Isaiah Joe

55 Isaiah Hartenstein

NBA Regular Season Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Division Conference League

East Atlantic	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Celtics	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Nets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Knicks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
76ers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Raptors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

East Central	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Bulls	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pistons	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pacers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Bucks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

East Southeast	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Hawks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Hornets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Heat	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Magic	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Wizards	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

West Northwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Nuggets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Timberwolves	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Thunder	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Trail Blazers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

West Pacific	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Warriors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Clippers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Lakers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Suns	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Kings	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

West Southwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Mavericks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Rockets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Grizzlies	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pelicans	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Spurs	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

Eastern Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Celtics	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Nets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Knicks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
76ers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Raptors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Bulls	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pistons	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pacers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Bucks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Hawks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Hornets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Heat	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Magic	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Wizards	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

Western Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Nuggets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Timberwolves	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Thunder	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Trail Blazers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Warriors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Clippers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Lakers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Suns	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Kings	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Mavericks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Rockets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Grizzlies	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pelicans	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Spurs	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Hawks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Celtics	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Nets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Hornets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Bulls	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Mavericks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Nuggets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pistons	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Warriors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Rockets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pacers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Clippers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Lakers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Grizzlies	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Heat	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Bucks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Timberwolves	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pelicans	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Knicks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Thunder	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Magic	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
76ers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Suns	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Trail Blazers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Kings	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Spurs	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Raptors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Wizards	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

• W = Wins
• L = Losses
• PCT = Winning Percentage
• PPG = Points Per Game
• OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
• DIFF = Average Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Road = Away Record
• Div = Division Record
• Conf = Conference Record
• Last 10 = Record last 10 games
• Strk = Current Streak