Oklahoma City Thunder vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction, Picks & Odds | 26 May 2025

Back Wolves to Frustrate Thunder

No. 1 Oklahoma City Thunder (68-14, 32-8 Away) square off against No. 6 Minnesota Timberwolves (49-33, 25-16 at Home) in game 4 of this Western Conference finals matchup at Target Center. The Thunder lead the series 2-1.

The underdogs are more than capable of staying close to the Thunder so there’s a strong case for betting the Wolves against the spread here. Take the -108 for the +3 that is available.

143-101 Win for Wolves in Last H2H Clash

Oklahoma City Thunder and Minnesota Timberwolves clashed on Saturday night, with the Wolves winning 143-101 at Target Center.

Anthony Edwards led the way for the Wolves with 30 points, while Julius Randle and Terrence Shannon had 24 and 15. Ajay Mitchell and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander finished with 14 for the Thunder, while Jalen Williams racked up 13.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The past 10 games between the teams have seen the Thunder win six times.

NBA Reg. Season	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Timberwolves	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Thunder	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

View Full Standings

The Thunder have 6 wins and 4 losses in the past 10 games. They are averaging 114.1 points, 44.2 rebounds, 25.4 assists, 10.1 steals and 4.9 blocks while shooting 45.7% from the field and 78.7% from the free-throw line. The opposition average 107.8 points and 48.0 rebounds per matchup.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 29.1 points and 6.9 assists, while Chet Holmgren averages 9.2 rebounds and Luguentz Dort 2.0 (30.3%) 3-pointers made.

The Wolves have won 7 and lost 3 of their previous 10 contests. Averaging 109.8 points, 41.8 rebounds, 23.6 assists, 6.7 steals and 4.7 blocks per game while shooting 46.1% from the field and 76.2% from the free-throw line. Their opponents have averaged 105.1 points and 38.3 rebounds.

Anthony Edwards is averaging 24.7 points, 5.7 assists and 3.3 (37.9%) 3-pointers made, while Rudy Gobert has an average of 9.5 rebounds.

Confirmed Starting Lineups

Oklahoma City Thunder lineup: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Chet Holmgren, Jalen Williams, Isaiah Hartenstein.

Minnesota Timberwolves lineup: Jaden McDaniels, Anthony Edwards, Mike Conley, Rudy Gobert, Julius Randle.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction & Picks

The line makes plenty of appeal considering it’s set at +3 and our prediction is that Wolves should be able to cover it in this NBA showdown. There is -108 available for this outcome.

The formbook is always a good place to start ahead of making NBA picks. Team news is also an important port of call, while the stats we present always tell an interesting story.

Key Thunder vs Timberwolves stats:

• The +3 line has been covered by Wolves in 9 of their last 10 games at home.
• The +3 line has been covered by Wolves in 17 of their last 20 games at home.
• The +3 line has been covered by Wolves in 3 consecutive games at home.
• The -3 line hasn’t been covered by Thunder in 4 of their last 5 games on the road.
• The -3 line hasn’t been covered by Thunder in 2 consecutive games on the road.

Wolves +3 Probability

The sportsbooks are estimating that there is a 51.8% likelihood of this pick winning. After careful examination, our analysts have this probability somewhere between 55-60%. This bet can therefore be backed with confidence.

If you’re in pursuit of bigger odds, then a Bet Builder could be a way forward. Take the Wolves to cover the line with additional selections until you’re satisfied with the price.

Best Bet

Wolves +3 @ -108 Bet Now

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Gamble responsibly 18+. All odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change. To use the Bookmaker Live Streaming services you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Geo-restrictions apply.

Player Prop Picks

Julius Randle Over 18.5 Points -120

Julius Randle (Wolves) has averaged 23.6 points in the past 5 games. We think that he can therefore cover the line and we’ll wager on his Player Points at betting odds of -120.

Latest Julius Randle Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 18.5

-127

Under 18.5

-105

Assists

Over 4.5

-141

Under 4.5

+106

Rebounds

Over 6.5

-133

Under 6.5

+102

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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Under 30.5 Points -106

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder) has scored an average of 25.4 points in the past 5 road games. There’s every reason to expect a similar outcome here and he’s available at odds of -106 to go below the line.

Latest Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 30.5

-125

Under 30.5

-106

Assists

Over 6.5

-135

Under 6.5

+102

Rebounds

Over 4.5

-149

Under 4.5

+112

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Correct Score Prediction

Thunder 109 - 113 Timberwolves

We’re expecting a close game so it might be worth going for the Wolves to win by a 113-109 scoreline. You can get a huge price and we should hopefully get a run for our money.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Minnesota Timberwolves Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Thunder Have the Shortest Odds to Win

The sportsbooks’ betting odds have Oklahoma City Thunder as -159 favorites for this NBA game, implying that they are 61% likely to win. Minnesota Timberwolves are regarded as a long shot to win and you can currently back them at +134.

3 is where the spread lies, with total points being 219 right now. The beauty of the Totals is that you only have to choose from one of two options. The Over 219 selection is available to back at -110.

You can find a wide range of team props and game lines for every contest, with the betting sites creating lots of different options. Check out the pre-game and in-game selections before placing your bets.

Moneyline

Thunder

-159

Timberwolves

+134

Point Spread

Thunder -3

-114

Timberwolves +3

-106

Total Points

Under 219

-110

Over 219

-110

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Favorite to Score the Most Baskets

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is the market leader to rack up the most points. You can back -125 that he gets Over 30.5 points. Alternatively, Under is trading at -106.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)

Over 30.5

-125

Under 30.5

-106

Anthony Edwards (Timberwolves)

Over 27.5

-115

Under 27.5

-115

Jalen Williams (Thunder)

Over 20.5

-106

Under 20.5

-125

Julius Randle (Timberwolves)

Over 18.5

-127

Under 18.5

-105

Chet Holmgren (Thunder)

Over 14.5

-104

Under 14.5

-128

Jaden McDaniels (Timberwolves)

Over 12.5

-127

Under 12.5

-105

Naz Reid (Timberwolves)

Over 11.5

-118

Under 11.5

-114

Nickeil Alexander-Walker (Timberwolves)

Over 8.5

-103

Under 8.5

-125

Donte DiVincenzo (Timberwolves)

Over 7.5

-130

Under 7.5

-103

Isaiah Hartenstein (Thunder)

Over 7.5

-130

Under 7.5

-103

Luguentz Dort (Thunder)

Over 7.5

-122

Under 7.5

-109

Alex Caruso (Thunder)

Over 7.5

-108

Under 7.5

-123

Mike Conley (Timberwolves)

Over 7.5

-106

Under 7.5

-127

Rudy Gobert (Timberwolves)

Over 6.5

-114

Under 6.5

-118

Cason Wallace (Thunder)

Over 6.5

-109

Under 6.5

-122

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)

Over 6.5

-135

Under 6.5

+102

Anthony Edwards (Timberwolves)

Over 5.5

+118

Under 5.5

-156

Jalen Williams (Thunder)

Over 4.5

-154

Under 4.5

+116

Julius Randle (Timberwolves)

Over 4.5

-141

Under 4.5

+106

Mike Conley (Timberwolves)

Over 3.5

-108

Under 3.5

-123

Nickeil Alexander-Walker (Timberwolves)

Over 2.5

+130

Under 2.5

-169

Donte DiVincenzo (Timberwolves)

Over 2.5

-125

Under 2.5

-106

Isaiah Hartenstein (Thunder)

Over 2.5

+143

Under 2.5

-196

Alex Caruso (Thunder)

Over 2.5

+124

Under 2.5

-161

Cason Wallace (Thunder)

Over 2.5

+138

Under 2.5

-185

Chet Holmgren (Thunder)

Over 1.5

-111

Under 1.5

-116

Jaden McDaniels (Timberwolves)

Over 1.5

-152

Under 1.5

+116

Naz Reid (Timberwolves)

Over 1.5

-132

Under 1.5

+102

Luguentz Dort (Thunder)

Over 0.5

-227

Under 0.5

+172

Rudy Gobert (Timberwolves)

Over 0.5

-141

Under 0.5

+110

Chet Holmgren (Thunder)

Over 8.5

+106

Under 8.5

-141

Rudy Gobert (Timberwolves)

Over 8.5

-114

Under 8.5

-118

Anthony Edwards (Timberwolves)

Over 7.5

-132

Under 7.5

-100

Isaiah Hartenstein (Thunder)

Over 7.5

-114

Under 7.5

-118

Julius Randle (Timberwolves)

Over 6.5

-133

Under 6.5

+102

Naz Reid (Timberwolves)

Over 6.5

+104

Under 6.5

-137

Jalen Williams (Thunder)

Over 5.5

-130

Under 5.5

-103

Jaden McDaniels (Timberwolves)

Over 5.5

-141

Under 5.5

+106

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)

Over 4.5

-149

Under 4.5

+112

Luguentz Dort (Thunder)

Over 3.5

+130

Under 3.5

-179

Nickeil Alexander-Walker (Timberwolves)

Over 2.5

+109

Under 2.5

-141

Donte DiVincenzo (Timberwolves)

Over 2.5

-128

Under 2.5

-105

Alex Caruso (Thunder)

Over 2.5

-127

Under 2.5

-106

Mike Conley (Timberwolves)

Over 2.5

-108

Under 2.5

-120

Cason Wallace (Thunder)

Over 2.5

-175

Under 2.5

+128

Micro Betting

Micro betting is something that’s really popular with bettors, with basketball fans essentially being able to wager in-game when it comes to score, team and player props. Check out the two-way lines where you can bet whether the next shot will be a Two-pointer or a Three-pointer.

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Oklahoma City Thunder Stats

Minnesota Timberwolves Stats

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -3 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• -3 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +3 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• +3 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 221.90 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 226.40 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 218.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 218.5 on the Road: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 114.10 pts and allowed 107.80 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 113.10 pts and allowed 113.30 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 214.90 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 221.00 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 218.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 218.5 at Home: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 109.80 pts and allowed 105.10 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 118.10 pts and allowed 102.90 pts in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 29.60 (54%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 11.90 (33%)
• Free Throws Made: 19.20 (78.69%)
• Rebounds: Total 44.2, Offensive 10.70, Defensive 33.50
• Assists: 25.40
• Blocks: 4.90
• Steals: 10.10
• Turnovers : 10.90
• Personal Fouls: 22.50

Last 10 Games on the Road

• 2-Pointers Made: 29.20 (56%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 12.20 (31%)
• Free Throws Made: 18.10 (77.68%)
• Rebounds: Total 43.2, Offensive 10.60, Defensive 32.60
• Assists: 23.90
• Blocks: 4.20
• Steals: 9.30
• Turnovers : 11.40
• Personal Fouls: 21.80

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 25.10 (56%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 13.00 (36%)
• Free Throws Made: 16.60 (76.15%)
• Rebounds: Total 41.8, Offensive 11.50, Defensive 30.30
• Assists: 23.60
• Blocks: 4.70
• Steals: 6.70
• Turnovers : 13.90
• Personal Fouls: 19.80

Last 10 Home Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 29.20 (58%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 13.60 (40%)
• Free Throws Made: 14.90 (74.13%)
• Rebounds: Total 44.1, Offensive 11.30, Defensive 32.80
• Assists: 25.20
• Blocks: 4.80
• Steals: 7.80
• Turnovers : 11.30
• Personal Fouls: 17.90

Team News

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Minnesota Timberwolves Confirmed Lineup

3 Jaden McDaniels

5 Anthony Edwards

10 Mike Conley

27 Rudy Gobert

30 Julius Randle

Oklahoma City Thunder Confirmed Lineup

2 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

5 Luguentz Dort

7 Chet Holmgren

8 Jalen Williams

55 Isaiah Hartenstein

NBA Regular Season Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Division Conference League

East Atlantic	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Celtics	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Nets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Knicks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
76ers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Raptors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

East Central	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Bulls	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pistons	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pacers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Bucks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

East Southeast	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Hawks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Hornets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Heat	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Magic	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Wizards	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

West Northwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Nuggets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Timberwolves	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Thunder	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Trail Blazers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

West Pacific	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Warriors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Clippers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Lakers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Suns	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Kings	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

West Southwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Mavericks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Rockets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Grizzlies	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pelicans	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Spurs	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

Eastern Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Celtics	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Nets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Knicks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
76ers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Raptors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Bulls	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pistons	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pacers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Bucks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Hawks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Hornets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Heat	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Magic	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Wizards	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

Western Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Nuggets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Timberwolves	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Thunder	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Trail Blazers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Warriors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Clippers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Lakers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Suns	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Kings	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Mavericks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Rockets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Grizzlies	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pelicans	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Spurs	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Hawks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Celtics	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Nets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Hornets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Bulls	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Mavericks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Nuggets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pistons	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Warriors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Rockets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pacers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Clippers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Lakers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Grizzlies	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Heat	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Bucks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Timberwolves	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pelicans	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Knicks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Thunder	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Magic	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
76ers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Suns	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Trail Blazers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Kings	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Spurs	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Raptors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Wizards	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

• W = Wins
• L = Losses
• PCT = Winning Percentage
• PPG = Points Per Game
• OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
• DIFF = Average Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Road = Away Record
• Div = Division Record
• Conf = Conference Record
• Last 10 = Record last 10 games
• Strk = Current Streak