Ole Miss vs Mississippi State Prediction, Picks & Odds | 17 Jan 2026

College Basketball Betting Preview: Ole Miss vs Mississippi State

The Ole Miss Rebels square off against the Mississippi State Bulldogs, with tip-off scheduled for 20:30 on Saturday, January 17.

We expect Mississippi State to cover the -2.5 line on the spread. This is a really good number and that’s why we’re playing the favorites at -120 to overcome Ole Miss.

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Ole Miss Rebels won their previous game 97-95 (OT). This was a road victory against Georgia Bulldogs.

Mississippi State Bulldogs were beaten 97-82 in their last game, being turned over at home to Alabama Crimson Tide.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It was Mississippi State who came out on top when they last played Ole Miss. A 81-71 win was recorded. Mississippi State have triumphed in their previous three matchups against Ole Miss. On the head-to-head front, it has been 7 wins out of 10.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Mississippi State	10-7	1362	1326	36	8-4	2-3	2L
Ole Miss	10-7	1300	1208	92	9-2	1-5	2W

View Full Standings

Ole Miss vs Mississippi State Prediction & Picks

We dive into the best Ole Miss vs Mississippi State betting angles, including a key match prediction, our correct score forecast and a value-focused bet builder. Read on for the full breakdown.

Game Prediction

Mississippi State should be able to cover the -2.5 betting line in this college matchup. We’re confident of a strong showing and a bet against the spread could be the best play at -120.

Sportsgambler.com brings strong college hoops expertise, built on knowing the team news as soon as it’s confirmed. Recent form plays a big part in our basketball picks and we always back it up with the most relevant stats.

Key Ole Miss vs Mississippi State stats:

• The -2.5 line has been covered by MS State in 4 of their last 5 games at home.
• The -2.5 line has been covered by MS State in 7 of their last 10 games.
• The +2.5 line hasn’t been covered by Ole Miss in 7 of their last 10 games on the road.
• The +2.5 line hasn’t been covered by Ole Miss in 12 of their last 20 games on the road.
• The -2.5 line has been covered by MS State in 3 consecutive games against Ole Miss.

MS State -2.5 Probability

According to the latest odds, our pick has a 54.6% chance of delivering a return. Taking all factors into consideration, our cappers think there’s a stronger chance of success and estimate the probability to be closer to 60%. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.

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Our Game Prediction

Mississippi State -2.5 @ -120 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Ole Miss 75 - 80 MS State

For those wanting a big return from a small stake, consider the correct score lines. For example, the Bulldogs can be backed to win 80-75 at huge betting odds.

Ole Miss vs Mississippi State Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

The Mississippi State odds have been priced up by the sportsbooks and they are -185 betting favorites to land victory in this college game which means a 65% chance of winning. Ole Miss are trading at bigger odds than their opponents and they can be backed at +152.

3.5 is the spread and 147.5 is the total points line. Having a wager on the Totals is one of the most popular basketball bets. If you want to back Over 147.5, it’s -110.

College basketball fans are spoiled for choice with the wide range of team props and game lines available for every matchup on the schedule. Visit the top sportsbooks to find the best value picks.

Moneyline

Ole Miss

+152

MS State

-185

Point Spread

Ole Miss +3.5

-110

MS State -3.5

-110

Total Points

Under 147.5

-110

Over 147.5

-110

If you have a view on Rebounds, Steals, Blocks, Assists or Points, then the player props could be an option. It’s a fantastic way of betting on a player to perform well and the gambling sites provide lots of choice.

It’s possible to use stats to your advantage when it comes to college basketball micro betting, especially if you’re predicting outcomes such as the Next Field Goal. Check out the live player, score and team props to see if you can find an angle.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Ole Miss Stats

Mississippi State Stats

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +2.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• +2.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -2.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• -2.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 148.00 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 149.10 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 147.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 147.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 74.60 pts and allowed 73.40 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 71.90 pts and allowed 77.20 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 156.10 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 151.40 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 147.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 147.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 80.40 pts and allowed 75.70 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 78.70 pts and allowed 72.70 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Southeastern	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Vanderbilt	16-2	1646	1331	315	10-1	6-1	2L
Georgia	15-3	1728	1371	357	12-2	3-1	1W
Texas A&M	13-4	1581	1326	255	10-1	3-3	1L
Florida	13-5	1557	1308	249	11-1	2-4	4W
Arkansas	13-5	1614	1394	220	11-2	2-3	1L
Alabama	13-5	1676	1486	190	9-4	4-1	2W
Missouri	13-5	1461	1299	162	11-0	2-5	1L
LSU	13-5	1522	1305	217	10-3	3-2	1W
Kentucky	12-6	1493	1263	230	10-4	2-2	3W
Tennessee	12-6	1483	1238	245	11-3	1-3	1L
Texas	11-6	1484	1265	219	9-3	2-3	2W
Auburn	11-7	1545	1416	129	10-3	1-4	1W
Oklahoma	11-7	1511	1345	166	9-2	2-5	4L
Ole Miss	10-7	1300	1208	92	9-2	1-5	2W
Mississippi State	10-7	1362	1326	36	8-4	2-3	2L
South Carolina	10-8	1413	1292	121	9-3	1-5	3L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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