Penn State vs Michigan Prediction, Picks & Odds | 27 Jan 2025

We expect Michigan to cover the -8.5 line on the spread. This is a really good number and that’s why we’re playing the favorites at -110 to overcome Penn State.

Penn State Nittany Lions were defeated in their previous game. On the road, they suffered a 76-75 reverse against Iowa Hawkeyes.

Michigan Wolverines lost on the road in their last game. Purdue Boilmakers won 91-64.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The last head-to-head saw Penn State claim a 66-57 win over Michigan. Penn State have enjoyed three consecutive wins against Michigan. They’ve landed 5 victories from the past 10 head-to-head meetings.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Michigan	10-0	947	677	270	7-0	3-0	10W
Penn State	8-3	892	819	73	7-2	1-1	2L

View Full Standings

Penn State vs Michigan Prediction & Picks

There’s a generous line of -8.5 when it comes to Michigan for this college contest. The -110 that they cover the spread has plenty of juice and our pick is that the favorites will make it happen.

A good deal of research goes into our college basketball picks. We start by studying the latest form and getting a handle on injuries. The key stats can then be used as the missing piece of the jigsaw.

Key Penn State vs Michigan stats:

• The -8.5 line has been covered by Michigan in 6 of their last 10 games at home.
• The -8.5 line has been covered by Michigan in 3 of their last 5 games at home.

Michigan -8.5 Probability

According to the sportsbooks, there’s a 52.4% likelihood of our pick landing a return. Our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be closer to 60%. This is why we regard this as a value wager.

There are many ways to back Michigan and that includes Winning Margin. Choose from a wide range of fixed intervals and get rewarded if you’re on the money.

Our Game Prediction

Michigan -8.5 @ -110 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Freddie Dilione V Under 2.5 Rebounds +125

Freddie Dilione V (Penn State) can be backed to record Under 2.5 rebounds at +125. We think he might fall short of the mark when it comes to this Player Rebounds bet.

Latest Freddie Dilione V Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 11.5

+107

Under 11.5

-139

Assists

Over 1.5

+136

Under 1.5

-179

Rebounds

Over 2.5

-167

Under 2.5

+127

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Yanic Konan Niederhauser Over 12.5 Points -100

Yanic Konan Niederhauser (Penn State) can be wagered to score Over 12.5 points at -100. We are happy to back Overs when it comes to his Player Points, with the line making plenty of appeal.

Latest Yanic Konan Niederhauser Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 11.5

-103

Under 11.5

-125

Rebounds

Over 5.5

-135

Under 5.5

+104

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Correct Score Prediction

Penn State 71 - 82 Michigan

There is a speculative wager that can be enjoyed on Michigan when it comes to the correct score lines. Taking them to win 82-71 should provide some entertainment.

Penn State vs Michigan Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

For this college game, the sportsbooks’ Moneyline betting odds mean Michigan are -417 favorites to win and that means a 81% chance of landing a victory. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, Penn State are trading at +315.

The spread is 8.5 and the total points line is currently 159.5. There are many ways to bet on basketball including the Totals. Those expecting a low total can back Under 159.5 at -110.

Those wanting to back Michigan to win the Race to 20 betting can get odds of -230 that the favorites oblige. If you want to back Penn State, then odds of +165 can be found.

College basketball bettors are spoilt for choice thanks to the huge selection of game lines and team props which are available for most contests on the coupon. Head to the betting sites and find the best value picks.

Moneyline

Penn State

+315

Michigan

-417

Point Spread

Penn State +8.5

-105

Michigan -8.5

-115

Total Points

Under 159.5

-110

Over 159.5

-110

Vladislav Goldin is the favorite to hit the most buckets. You can back -103 that he gets Over 17.5 points. Alternatively, Under is trading at -125.

Vladislav Goldin (Michigan)

Over 17.5

-103

Under 17.5

-125

Ace Baldwin Jr. (Penn State)

Over 15.5

-115

Under 15.5

-112

Danny Wolf (Michigan)

Over 13.5

-110

Under 13.5

-118

Tre Donaldson (Michigan)

Over 12.5

-123

Under 12.5

-105

Roddy Gayle Jr. (Michigan)

Over 12.5

-101

Under 12.5

-128

Nimari Burnett (Michigan)

Over 11.5

-103

Under 11.5

-125

Yanic Konan Niederhauser (Penn State)

Over 11.5

-103

Under 11.5

-125

Freddie Dilione V (Penn State)

Over 11.5

+107

Under 11.5

-139

Zach Hicks (Penn State)

Over 10.5

-105

Under 10.5

-123

Ace Baldwin Jr. (Penn State)

Over 6.5

-125

Under 6.5

-103

Danny Wolf (Michigan)

Over 4.5

+110

Under 4.5

-143

Tre Donaldson (Michigan)

Over 4.5

-105

Under 4.5

-123

Roddy Gayle Jr. (Michigan)

Over 2.5

-147

Under 2.5

+113

Vladislav Goldin (Michigan)

Over 1.5

-172

Under 1.5

+133

Nimari Burnett (Michigan)

Over 1.5

-161

Under 1.5

+123

Freddie Dilione V (Penn State)

Over 1.5

+136

Under 1.5

-179

Danny Wolf (Michigan)

Over 9.5

-120

Under 9.5

-108

Vladislav Goldin (Michigan)

Over 6.5

-132

Under 6.5

+102

Yanic Konan Niederhauser (Penn State)

Over 5.5

-135

Under 5.5

+104

Roddy Gayle Jr. (Michigan)

Over 4.5

+128

Under 4.5

-167

Zach Hicks (Penn State)

Over 4.5

-101

Under 4.5

-128

Ace Baldwin Jr. (Penn State)

Over 3.5

+130

Under 3.5

-164

Tre Donaldson (Michigan)

Over 3.5

-116

Under 3.5

-111

Nimari Burnett (Michigan)

Over 3.5

-110

Under 3.5

-118

Freddie Dilione V (Penn State)

Over 2.5

-167

Under 2.5

+127

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Penn State Stats

Michigan Stats

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 1 win and 9 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +8.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games
• +8.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -8.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• -8.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 153.70 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 145.90 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 159.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 159.5 on the Road: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 78.80 pts and allowed 74.90 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 68.90 pts and allowed 77.00 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 164.20 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 157.50 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 159.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 159.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 86.90 pts and allowed 77.30 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 87.40 pts and allowed 70.10 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Big Ten	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Michigan	10-0	947	677	270	7-0	3-0	10W
Nebraska	11-0	922	751	171	10-0	1-0	11W
Purdue	10-1	931	738	193	8-1	2-0	2W
Michigan State	9-1	765	621	144	6-1	3-0	1W
USC	9-1	895	785	110	5-1	4-0	1W
Iowa	8-2	781	629	152	7-0	1-2	1L
Ohio State	8-2	876	729	147	6-1	2-1	1W
Indiana	8-3	942	741	201	8-1	0-2	1L
Illinois	8-3	966	787	179	6-3	2-0	1L
Penn State	8-3	892	819	73	7-2	1-1	2L
UCLA	7-3	767	667	100	6-1	1-2	1L
Washington	7-3	847	734	113	4-1	3-2	2W
Wisconsin	7-3	851	754	97	6-0	1-3	1L
Northwestern	6-4	823	711	112	5-3	1-1	1W
Maryland	6-5	854	886	-32	5-2	1-3	2L
Minnesota	5-5	718	696	22	5-3	0-2	1L
Oregon	5-5	760	741	19	5-3	0-2	1W
Rutgers	5-6	758	804	-46	5-2	0-4	3L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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