Phoenix Mercury vs Atlanta Dream Prediction, Picks & Odds | 01 Aug 2025

WNBA Betting Preview: Mercury vs Dream

The Phoenix Mercury battle the Atlanta Dream in this WNBA matchup at Gateway Center Arena, with tip-off scheduled for 19:30 on Friday, August 1. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds and H2H stats.

Expect a Tight Affair

There’s a great opportunity to back the Dream against the spread considering they should perform well against the Mercury. Snap up the -110 when it comes to them covering the +3.

Teams’ Last H2H Saw 90-79 Dream Win

Phoenix Mercury were defeated in their previous game. On the road, they suffered a 107-101 reverse against Indiana Fever at Gainbridge Fieldhouse.

Atlanta Dream won their last game 88-85. This was a road victory at College Park Center against Dallas Wings.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It was a 90-79 win for the Dream at Footprint Center when they last played the Mercury. The past 10 H2H clashes have seen both teams record five wins.

WNBA	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
3  Dream	30	14	3712	3378	334	16-6	14-8	6W
4  Mercury	27	17	3643	3525	118	15-7	12-10	3L

View Full Standings

Phoenix Mercury vs Atlanta Dream Prediction & Picks

Dream should be able to battle hard and our pick is that they will cover the line in this WNBA matchup. It’s set at an attractive +3 and you can get -110.

Our basketball picks are rooted in solid team news and up-to-date form for each WNBA franchise. We also dig deep to uncover the most relevant stats that help guide and strengthen our predictions.

Key Mercury vs Dream stats:

• The +3 line has been covered by Dream in 4 consecutive games.
• The +3 line has been covered by Dream in 9 of their last 10 games at home.
• The +3 line has been covered by Dream in 16 of their last 20 games at home.
• The -3 line hasn’t been covered by Mercury in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The -3 line hasn’t been covered by Mercury in 7 of their last 10 games.
• The +3 line has been covered by Dream in 8 of their last 10 games against Mercury.

Dream +3 Probability

The best basketball betting sites imply that our pick has a 52.4% prospect of winning. However, we have this number closer to 60% based on our in-depth research. This is why we can recommend this WNBA wager.

There’s a chance to secure bigger odds and this can be achieved by moving the line. Squeeze more juice from your pick by taking an alternative wagering view.

Best Bet

Dream +3 @ -110 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Brittney Griner Under 5.5 Rebounds -159

Brittney Griner (Dream) is available at -159 to finish with Under 5.5 rebounds. There is plenty of juice when it comes to going under the Player Rebounds line and it looks a bet worth having.

Latest Brittney Griner Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 10.5

-128

Under 10.5

-101

Rebounds

Over 5.5

+122

Under 5.5

-159

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Brionna Jones Over 12.5 Points -102

Brionna Jones (Dream) is available at -102 to record Over 12.5 points. We think that the line looks really appealing for this Player Points bet as we’re expecting her to cover this total.

Latest Brionna Jones Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 13.5

-112

Under 13.5

-115

Rebounds

Over 7.5

+115

Under 7.5

-149

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Correct Score Prediction

Mercury 80 - 82 Dream

We’re expecting this to be a close contest and we’ll take the Dream to win 82-80. This is available at massive odds for those that want to have a speculative wager.

Phoenix Mercury vs Atlanta Dream Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Books Giving Mercury Plenty of Respect

The sportsbooks’ betting odds have Phoenix Mercury as -179 favorites for this WNBA game, implying that they are 64% likely to win. For those wanting to back Atlanta Dream, you will find +146 about the underdogs.

There is a spread of 4 and total points has a line of 169. A Total bet relates to the number of points that will be scored overall. Those that want to back Under 169 can find odds of -110 available.

You can find hundreds of game lines and team props for every women's basketball contest, with the top betting sites creating lots of different options. Check out the pre-game and in-game selections before placing your bets.

Moneyline

Mercury

-179

Dream

+146

Point Spread

Mercury -4

-110

Dream +4

-110

Total Points

Under 169

-110

Over 169

-110

Allisha Gray Favorite to Get Most Points

Allisha Gray is favorite when it comes to getting the most points. You can get -111 that she goes Over 18.5 points and -116 when it comes to Under.

Allisha Gray (Dream)

Over 18.5

-111

Under 18.5

-116

Satou Sabally (Mercury)

Over 15.5

-102

Under 15.5

-127

Kahleah Copper (Mercury)

Over 14.5

-123

Under 14.5

-104

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 14.5

-116

Under 14.5

-111

Brionna Jones (Dream)

Over 13.5

-112

Under 13.5

-115

Jordin Canada (Dream)

Over 12.5

-120

Under 12.5

-108

Brittney Griner (Dream)

Over 10.5

-128

Under 10.5

-101

Monique Akoa Makani (Mercury)

Over 8.5

+110

Under 8.5

-143

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 8.5

-139

Under 8.5

+107

Jordin Canada (Dream)

Over 7.5

+190

Under 7.5

-256

Allisha Gray (Dream)

Over 4.5

+118

Under 4.5

-154

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 8.5

-116

Under 8.5

-111

Brionna Jones (Dream)

Over 7.5

+115

Under 7.5

-149

Allisha Gray (Dream)

Over 5.5

-102

Under 5.5

-127

Satou Sabally (Mercury)

Over 5.5

-127

Under 5.5

-102

Brittney Griner (Dream)

Over 5.5

+122

Under 5.5

-159

Kahleah Copper (Mercury)

Over 3.5

+115

Under 3.5

-149

Micro Betting

Micro betting provides a rollercoaster ride for basketball bettors. It can be great to enjoy the live lines, with the opportunity to wager on the Next Field Goal. Watch the live action before deciding which way to go.

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Phoenix Mercury Stats

Atlanta Dream Stats

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -3 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games
• -3 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +3 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• +3 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 167.80 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 168.70 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 166.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 166.5 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 83.90 pts and allowed 83.90 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 85.30 pts and allowed 83.40 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 162.60 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 162.40 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 166.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 166.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 82.40 pts and allowed 80.20 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 85.50 pts and allowed 76.90 pts in the last 10 home games

WNBA Table Select Season 20252024202320222021202020192018

Team	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Lynx	34	10	3787	3373	414	20-2	14-8	1W
2  Aces	30	14	3680	3552	128	17-5	13-9	16W
3  Dream	30	14	3712	3378	334	16-6	14-8	6W
4  Mercury	27	17	3643	3525	118	15-7	12-10	3L
5  Liberty	27	17	3713	3534	179	17-5	10-12	3W
6  Fever	24	20	3734	3586	148	13-9	11-11	3W
7  Storm	23	21	3614	3524	90	10-12	13-9	1W
8  Valkyries	23	21	3420	3359	61	14-8	9-13	3L
9  Sparks	21	23	3769	3882	-113	9-13	12-10	1L
10  Mystics	16	28	3394	3589	-195	10-12	6-16	10L
11  Sun	11	33	3337	3782	-445	7-15	4-18	2L
12  Sky	10	34	3335	3777	-442	6-16	4-18	4L
13  Wings	10	34	3594	3871	-277	6-16	4-18	1W