Phoenix Mercury vs Chicago Sky Prediction, Picks & Odds | 21 Jun 2025

Mercury Against the Spread Look the Value Pick

The Mercury should claim a comfortable win and a bet on the spread could be the best way forward. Back this pick off -8 to cover the line against the Sky at -112.

Mercury 94-89 to the Good in Previous H2H

Phoenix Mercury got the win in their previous game. A 89-81 triumph occurred on the road at Barclays Center when playing New York Liberty.

Chicago Sky were beaten 79-72 at Wintrust Arena in their last game, being turned over at home to Washington Mystics.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The last head-to-head saw the Mercury claim a 94-89 win over the Sky at Footprint Center. The Mercury have four straight wins against the Sky. They have won 5 of the 10 previous head-to-head meetings.

WNBA	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
4  Mercury	27	17	3643	3525	118	15-7	12-10	3L
12  Sky	10	34	3335	3777	-442	6-16	4-18	4L

View Full Standings

Phoenix Mercury vs Chicago Sky Prediction & Picks

Bank on Mercury to cover the -8 line on the spread. This is a great number and that’s why we’re playing the favorites at -112 for this WNBA showdown.

Getting the lowdown on injuries and studying the form guide are important duties ahead of making WNBA picks. We also place great emphasis on the stats and a data-led approach can be effective.

Key Mercury vs Sky stats:

• The -8 line has been covered by Mercury in 3 of their last 5 games.
• The -8 line has been covered by Mercury in 2 consecutive games.
• The +8 line hasn’t been covered by Sky in 3 of their last 5 games.
• The +8 line hasn’t been covered by Sky in 11 of their last 20 games.

Mercury -8 Probability

According to the sportsbooks, there’s a 52.9% likelihood of our pick landing a return. After careful examination, our experts have this probability somewhere between 55-60%. This bet can therefore be backed with confidence.

If the initial odds don’t grab your fancy, there’s the option to shoot for more juice by moving the line when it comes to your pick. It all comes down to how confident you feel.

Best Bet

Mercury -8 @ -112 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Alyssa Thomas Over 9.5 Assists -102

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury) can be backed to rack up Over 9.5 assists at -102. The total for her on the Overs has lots of appeal, with bettors able to get plenty of juice.

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Ariel Atkins Over 3.5 Assists -135

Ariel Atkins (Sky) can be wagered to have Over 3.5 assists at -135. The total is attractive when it comes to betting on Player Assists and we’re confident of landing a return.

Correct Score Prediction

Mercury 88 - 76 Sky

There are a range of correct score lines to choose from and we’re taking a chance on the Mercury to record a 88-76 victory. There’s a massive return if we get this right.

Phoenix Mercury vs Chicago Sky Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Books Taking No Chances With Mercury

With a 85% chance of securing victory, Phoenix Mercury are favorites for this WNBA game and the sportsbooks have them at betting odds of -556. For those wanting to back Chicago Sky, you will find +390 about the underdogs.

The spread is calculated to be 10.5, while total points comes in at 161.5. Basketball fans love the chance to get an alternative angle by going for a Total wager. If you're keen on Over 161.5, this selection is available at -110.

If you’re planning to place a basketball bet, visit the betting sites and check out the hundreds of available team props and game lines. Find the lines which are the most attractive.

Moneyline

Mercury

-556

Sky

+390

Point Spread

Mercury -10.5

-112

Sky +10.5

-108

Total Points

Under 161.5

-110

Over 161.5

-110

Satou Sabally Favorite to Get Most Points

Satou Sabally is the market leader to hit the most buckets. She is priced at -112 to score Over 18.5 points. Alternatively, you can back Under at -120.

Satou Sabally (Mercury)

Over 18.5

-112

Under 18.5

-120

Kahleah Copper (Mercury)

Over 14.5

-130

Under 14.5

-105

Ariel Atkins (Sky)

Over 12.5

-132

Under 12.5

-103

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 12.5

-120

Under 12.5

-112

Angel Reese (Sky)

Over 12.5

-116

Under 12.5

-116

Kamilla Cardoso (Sky)

Over 10.5

-128

Under 10.5

-106

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 9.5

-100

Under 9.5

-135

Ariel Atkins (Sky)

Over 3.5

-135

Under 3.5

-100

Angel Reese (Sky)

Over 3.5

+110

Under 3.5

-147

Angel Reese (Sky)

Over 11.5

-132

Under 11.5

-102

Satou Sabally (Mercury)

Over 7.5

-128

Under 7.5

-105

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 7.5

+108

Under 7.5

-147

Kamilla Cardoso (Sky)

Over 7.5

-114

Under 7.5

-119

Micro Betting

Instead of focusing on the overall outcome, some basketball bettors prefer to look at the micro betting lines. As the name suggests, it means placing short-term in-game wagers and this might include Next Field Goal, with the options being for a two-pointer or a three-pointer.

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Phoenix Mercury Stats

Chicago Sky Stats

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -13.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games
• -13.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +13.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• +13.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 168.00 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 170.80 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 165.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 165.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 83.00 pts and allowed 85.00 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 84.90 pts and allowed 85.90 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 160.50 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 162.40 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 165.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 165.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 73.50 pts and allowed 87.00 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 75.70 pts and allowed 86.70 pts in the last 10 home games

WNBA Table Select Season 20252024202320222021202020192018

Team	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Lynx	34	10	3787	3373	414	20-2	14-8	1W
2  Aces	30	14	3680	3552	128	17-5	13-9	16W
3  Dream	30	14	3712	3378	334	16-6	14-8	6W
4  Mercury	27	17	3643	3525	118	15-7	12-10	3L
5  Liberty	27	17	3713	3534	179	17-5	10-12	3W
6  Fever	24	20	3734	3586	148	13-9	11-11	3W
7  Storm	23	21	3614	3524	90	10-12	13-9	1W
8  Valkyries	23	21	3420	3359	61	14-8	9-13	3L
9  Sparks	21	23	3769	3882	-113	9-13	12-10	1L
10  Mystics	16	28	3394	3589	-195	10-12	6-16	10L
11  Sun	11	33	3337	3782	-445	7-15	4-18	2L
12  Sky	10	34	3335	3777	-442	6-16	4-18	4L
13  Wings	10	34	3594	3871	-277	6-16	4-18	1W