Phoenix Mercury vs Connecticut Sun Prediction, Picks & Odds | 18 Jun 2025

Mercury to Outclass Sun

There’s a strong case for taking the -110 that the Mercury can overcome the -13.5 when playing the Sun. The favorites should be capable of a big victory and that means we’re backing them against the spread.

8 Wins for Sun in Last 10 H2H Encounters

Phoenix Mercury triumphed in their previous game. It was on the road where Las Vegas Aces were beaten 76-70 at Michelob Ultra Arena.

Connecticut Sun suffered a defeat in their last game. A 88-71 scoreline occurred on the road at Gainbridge Fieldhouse against Indiana Fever.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It was a 88-69 win for the Sun at Footprint Center when they last played the Mercury. The Sun have won five on the spin against the Mercury. They’ve also claimed 8 victories in the past 10 head-to-head matchups.

WNBA	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
4  Mercury	27	17	3643	3525	118	15-7	12-10	3L
11  Sun	11	33	3337	3782	-445	7-15	4-18	2L

View Full Standings

Phoenix Mercury vs Connecticut Sun Prediction & Picks

Mercury can enjoy a big victory in this WNBA matchup and a bet against the spread could be the best way forward. Back the favorites off -13.5 to cover the line at -110.

We study the form as a first port of call and also make sure we’re across any injuries before making WNBA predictions. Then it’s a case of understanding the sort of narrative that the stats provide.

Key Mercury vs Sun stats:

• The +13.5 line hasn’t been covered by Sun in 6 of their last 10 games.
• The +13.5 line hasn’t been covered by Sun in 3 of their last 5 games.

Mercury -13.5 Probability

When you look at the latest odds, our pick has a 52.4% chance of landing a return. In our opinion, there’s actually a probability of success closer to 60%. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.

There’s the option to move the line for your spread pick and this enables bettors to get bigger odds. If you’re prepared for additional risk, you can get more bang for your buck.

Best Bet

Mercury -13.5 @ -110 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Satou Sabally Over 19.5 Points -128

Satou Sabally (Mercury) can be backed to register Over 19.5 points at -128. We’ll place a bet that she is able to cover an appealing total for this Player Points wager.

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Alyssa Thomas Under 13.5 Points -127

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury) is available at -127 to record Under 13.5 points. This gives us confidence that she might not cover the line and you can bet on Player Points.

Correct Score Prediction

Mercury 89 - 71 Sun

There are lots of different ways to back the Mercury on the correct score betting and something like 89-71 in their favor might be along the right lines at massive odds.

Phoenix Mercury vs Connecticut Sun Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Mercury Heavy Favorites to Win

With an estimated 94% chance of winning, the sportsbooks are taking no chances with their -1667 betting odds about Phoenix Mercury triumphing in this WNBA game. The market suggests that Connecticut Sun are least likely to win at +820.

The spread currently stands at 14.5 and the total points line is 157. The Totals offers basketball bettors an alternative way of getting involved. If you're keen on Over 157, this selection is available at -110.

The betting sites offer hundreds of game lines and team props when it comes to most basketball contests. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.

Moneyline

Mercury

-1667

Sun

+820

Point Spread

Mercury -14.5

-108

Sun +14.5

-112

Total Points

Under 157

-110

Over 157

-110

Satou Sabally Favorite to Score the Most Baskets

Satou Sabally is the market leader to land the most baskets. She is priced at -114 to score Over 19.5 points. Alternatively, you can back Under at -119.

Satou Sabally (Mercury)

Over 19.5

-114

Under 19.5

-119

Marina Mabrey (Sun)

Over 16.5

-108

Under 16.5

-125

Tina Charles (Sun)

Over 15.5

-119

Under 15.5

-114

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 12.5

-118

Under 12.5

-115

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 8.5

-143

Under 8.5

+107

Marina Mabrey (Sun)

Over 3.5

+114

Under 3.5

-154

Satou Sabally (Mercury)

Over 2.5

-156

Under 2.5

+115

Satou Sabally (Mercury)

Over 7.5

-141

Under 7.5

+105

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 7.5

+108

Under 7.5

-147

Tina Charles (Sun)

Over 5.5

-149

Under 5.5

+110

Marina Mabrey (Sun)

Over 4.5

-133

Under 4.5

-102

Micro Betting

It’s good to consider all wagering options when it comes to basketball and micro betting can be an exciting way to get involved in the action. When everything goes in-game, consider whether the next shot will be a Two or a Three-pointer.

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Phoenix Mercury Stats

Connecticut Sun Stats

Moneyline

• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -10.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 1 of the last 10 games
• -10.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +10.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• +10.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 161.10 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 167.00 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 162: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 162 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 82.30 pts and allowed 78.80 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 83.10 pts and allowed 83.90 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 161.60 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 161.80 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 162: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 162 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 79.50 pts and allowed 82.10 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 79.90 pts and allowed 81.90 pts in the last 10 home games

WNBA Table Select Season 20252024202320222021202020192018

Team	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Lynx	34	10	3787	3373	414	20-2	14-8	1W
2  Aces	30	14	3680	3552	128	17-5	13-9	16W
3  Dream	30	14	3712	3378	334	16-6	14-8	6W
4  Mercury	27	17	3643	3525	118	15-7	12-10	3L
5  Liberty	27	17	3713	3534	179	17-5	10-12	3W
6  Fever	24	20	3734	3586	148	13-9	11-11	3W
7  Storm	23	21	3614	3524	90	10-12	13-9	1W
8  Valkyries	23	21	3420	3359	61	14-8	9-13	3L
9  Sparks	21	23	3769	3882	-113	9-13	12-10	1L
10  Mystics	16	28	3394	3589	-195	10-12	6-16	10L
11  Sun	11	33	3337	3782	-445	7-15	4-18	2L
12  Sky	10	34	3335	3777	-442	6-16	4-18	4L
13  Wings	10	34	3594	3871	-277	6-16	4-18	1W