Phoenix Mercury vs Connecticut Sun Prediction, Bet Builder Tips & Odds | WNBA, 18 Jun 2025

Mercury to Outclass Sun

There’s a strong case for taking the -110 that the Mercury can overcome the -13.5 when playing the Sun. The favorites should be capable of a big victory and that means we’re backing them against the spread.

8 Wins for Sun in Last 10 H2H Encounters

Phoenix Mercury triumphed in their previous game. It was on the road where Las Vegas Aces were beaten 76-70 at Michelob Ultra Arena.

Connecticut Sun suffered a defeat in their last game. A 88-71 scoreline occurred on the road at Gainbridge Fieldhouse against Indiana Fever.

It was a 88-69 win for the Sun at Footprint Center when they last played the Mercury. The Sun have won five on the spin against the Mercury. They’ve also claimed 8 victories in the past 10 head-to-head matchups.

WNBA	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
4  Mercury	18	11	2416	2331	85	10-4	8-7	2W
13  Sun	5	23	2087	2432	-345	4-11	1-12	2L

View Full Standings

Expert WNBA Analysis

We study the form as a first port of call and also make sure we’re across any injuries before making WNBA predictions. Then it’s a case of understanding the sort of narrative that the stats provide.

Key Mercury vs Sun stats:

• The +13.5 line hasn’t been covered by Sun in 6 of their last 10 games.
• The +13.5 line hasn’t been covered by Sun in 3 of their last 5 games.

Mercury vs Sun Prediction

Phoenix Mercury can enjoy a big victory in this WNBA matchup and a bet against the spread could be the best way forward. Back the favorites off -13.5 to cover the line at -110.

There’s the option to move the line for your spread pick and this enables bettors to get bigger odds. If you’re prepared for additional risk, you can get more bang for your buck.

Mercury -13.5 Probability

When you look at the latest odds, our pick has a 52.4% chance of landing a return. In our opinion, there’s actually a probability of success closer to 60%. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.

Our Pick

Mercury -13.5 @ -110 Bet Now

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Player Props

Satou Sabally Over 19.5 Points -128

Satou Sabally (Mercury) can be backed to register Over 19.5 points at -128. We’ll place a bet that she is able to cover an appealing total for this Player Points wager.

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Alyssa Thomas Under 13.5 Points -127

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury) is available at -127 to record Under 13.5 points. This gives us confidence that she might not cover the line and you can bet on Player Points.

Correct Score Prediction

Mercury 89 - 71 Sun

There are lots of different ways to back the Mercury on the correct score betting and something like 89-71 in their favor might be along the right lines at massive odds.

Phoenix Mercury vs Connecticut Sun Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Mercury Heavy Favorites to Win

With an estimated 94% chance of winning, the sportsbooks are taking no chances with their -1667 betting odds about Phoenix Mercury triumphing in this WNBA game. The market suggests that Connecticut Sun are least likely to win at +820.

The spread currently stands at 14.5 and the total points line is 157. The Totals offers basketball bettors an alternative way of getting involved. If you're keen on Over 157, this selection is available at -110.

The betting sites offer hundreds of game lines and team props when it comes to most basketball contests. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.

Betting Lines & Odds

Moneyline

Mercury

-1667

Sun

+820

Point Spread

Mercury -14.5

-108

Sun +14.5

-112

Total Points

Under 157

-110

Over 157

-110

Satou Sabally Favorite to Score the Most Baskets

Satou Sabally is the market leader to land the most baskets. She is priced at -114 to score Over 19.5 points. Alternatively, you can back Under at -119.

Player Points

Satou Sabally (Mercury)

Over 19.5

-114

Under 19.5

-119

Marina Mabrey (Sun)

Over 16.5

-108

Under 16.5

-125

Tina Charles (Sun)

Over 15.5

-119

Under 15.5

-114

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 12.5

-118

Under 12.5

-115

Player Assists

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 8.5

-143

Under 8.5

+107

Marina Mabrey (Sun)

Over 3.5

+114

Under 3.5

-154

Satou Sabally (Mercury)

Over 2.5

-156

Under 2.5

+115

Player Rebounds

Satou Sabally (Mercury)

Over 7.5

-141

Under 7.5

+105

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 7.5

+108

Under 7.5

-147

Tina Charles (Sun)

Over 5.5

-149

Under 5.5

+110

Marina Mabrey (Sun)

Over 4.5

-133

Under 4.5

-102

Micro Betting

It’s good to consider all wagering options when it comes to basketball and micro betting can be an exciting way to get involved in the action. When everything goes in-game, consider whether the next shot will be a Two or a Three-pointer.

Last 5 & H2H

Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

WNBA Table Select Season 20252024202320222021202020192018

Team	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Lynx	25	5	2620	2273	347	15-1	10-4	3W
2  Liberty	19	10	2519	2348	171	13-3	6-7	2W
3  Dream	18	11	2452	2291	161	10-4	8-7	3W
4  Mercury	18	11	2416	2331	85	10-4	8-7	2W
5  Fever	17	13	2558	2443	115	9-6	8-7	1L
6  Storm	16	14	2445	2371	74	8-8	8-6	3L
7  Aces	16	14	2441	2481	-40	8-5	8-9	2W
8  Valkyries	14	15	2258	2275	-17	8-5	6-10	2L
9  Sparks	13	15	2408	2468	-60	4-9	9-6	2W
10  Mystics	13	16	2270	2338	-68	9-6	4-10	3L
11  Sky	8	21	2216	2500	-284	5-10	3-11	1W
12  Wings	8	22	2456	2595	-139	5-10	3-12	3L
13  Sun	5	23	2087	2432	-345	4-11	1-12	2L

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