Phoenix Mercury vs Connecticut Sun Prediction, Picks & Odds | 06 Sep 2025

WNBA Betting Preview: Mercury vs Sun

The Mercury face off against the Sun in this WNBA matchup at Mohegan Sun Arena, with tip-off scheduled for 13:00 on Saturday, September 6. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds and H2H stats.

Side With the Underdogs

It’s hard to resist wagering the Sun considering they’ve been given +10.5 on the spread. They are a good shout at -108 to stay close to the Mercury.

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Mercury Won 82-66 in Teams’ Last Encounter

Phoenix Mercury triumphed in their previous game. It was on the road where Washington Mystics were beaten 75-69 at Entertainment and Sports Arena.

Connecticut Sun were defeated in their last game. On the road, they suffered a 88-64 reverse against Chicago Sky at Wintrust Arena.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Mercury have claimed back-to-back victories over the Sun. At Mohegan Sun Arena they won 83-75 before winning 82-66 at PHX Arena. The past 10 games between the teams have seen the Sun win six times.

WNBA	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
4  Mercury	27	14	3400	3253	147	15-6	12-8	6W
12  Sun	10	31	3116	3523	-407	6-14	4-17	3L

View Full Standings

Phoenix Mercury vs Connecticut Sun Prediction & Picks

This expert Phoenix Mercury vs Connecticut Sun betting breakdown features our match prediction, a correct score tip, player prop suggestions and a carefully constructed bet builder to guide your wagers.

Game Prediction

Let’s back the underdogs at +10.5 to outrun their odds on the spread. Sun are a good shout at -108 to stay relatively close to their opponents in this WNBA matchup.

We keep a close eye on team news and our expert WNBA handicappers stay sharp by tracking the latest form and lineups. You’ll also find a full set of stats that offer valuable insight and help shape smarter predictions ahead of the action.

Key Mercury vs Sun stats:

• The +10.5 line has been covered by Sun in 7 of their last 10 games.
• The +10.5 line has been covered by Sun in 12 of their last 20 games.
• The -10.5 line hasn’t been covered by Mercury in 5 consecutive games on the road.
• The -10.5 line hasn’t been covered by Mercury in 9 of their last 10 games.
• The -10.5 line hasn’t been covered by Mercury in 17 of their last 20 games on the road.
• The +10.5 line has been covered by Sun in 9 of their last 10 games against Mercury.

Sun +10.5 Probability

The best basketball betting sites imply that our pick has a 51.8% prospect of winning. After careful examination, our analysts have this probability somewhere between 55-60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this WNBA bet.

If the price on display doesn’t appeal, you can make the choice to secure bigger odds by moving the line for your selection. It’s a case of taking a view which you are happy with.

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Best Bet

Sun +10.5 @ -108 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Leïla Lacan Over 4.5 Assists +103

Leïla Lacan (Sun) is available at +103 to total Over 4.5 assists. We’re happy to take her to cover the Player Assists line, with bettors able to make this bet with confidence.

Latest Leïla Lacan Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 10.5

-128

Under 10.5

-101

Assists

Over 4.5

-101

Under 4.5

-128

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Saniya Rivers Over 9.5 Points +122

Saniya Rivers (Sun) can be backed to total Over 9.5 points at +122. We’ve found an opportunity to bet on Player Points where we’re able to back her to cover the line.

Correct Score Prediction

Mercury 82 - 75 Sun

For those wanting a big return from a small stake, consider the correct score lines. For example, the Mercury can be backed to win 82-75 at massive betting odds.

Phoenix Mercury vs Connecticut Sun Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Mercury Big Favorites According to Latest Odds

The sportsbooks are taking no chances with their Moneyline odds of -625 about Phoenix Mercury which reflects they have a 86% chance of winning this WNBA game. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +420 about Connecticut Sun.

The spread is calculated to be 10.5, while total points comes in at 160. A wager on the Totals allows basketball bettors to use the latest data to good effect. Those who wager Under 160 can get -110.

Consider every angle when placing your women's basketball bets. The best sportsbooks have hundreds of team props and game lines and it’s all about finding a wager which matches your prediction of the game.

Moneyline

Mercury

-625

Sun

+420

Point Spread

Mercury -10.5

-110

Sun +10.5

-110

Total Points

Under 160

-110

Over 160

-110

Kahleah Copper Favorite to Score the Most Points

Kahleah Copper is the favorite to score most points. She is priced at -105 to score Over 16.5 points. Alternatively, you can back Under at -123.

Kahleah Copper (Mercury)

Over 16.5

-105

Under 16.5

-123

Tina Charles (Sun)

Over 15.5

-102

Under 15.5

-127

Satou Sabally (Mercury)

Over 14.5

-110

Under 14.5

-118

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 14.5

-106

Under 14.5

-122

Marina Mabrey (Sun)

Over 13.5

-101

Under 13.5

-128

Leïla Lacan (Sun)

Over 10.5

-128

Under 10.5

-101

Saniya Rivers (Sun)

Over 9.5

+120

Under 9.5

-156

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 9.5

+103

Under 9.5

-133

Leïla Lacan (Sun)

Over 4.5

-101

Under 4.5

-128

Marina Mabrey (Sun)

Over 3.5

-135

Under 3.5

+105

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 9.5

+103

Under 9.5

-133

Tina Charles (Sun)

Over 5.5

-118

Under 5.5

-110

Satou Sabally (Mercury)

Over 4.5

-130

Under 4.5

-100

Kahleah Copper (Mercury)

Over 3.5

+112

Under 3.5

-145

Marina Mabrey (Sun)

Over 3.5

-114

Under 3.5

-114

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Phoenix Mercury Stats

Connecticut Sun Stats

Moneyline

• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -10.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 1 of the last 10 games
• -10.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +10.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• +10.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 161.10 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 167.00 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 162: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 162 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 82.30 pts and allowed 78.80 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 83.10 pts and allowed 83.90 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 161.60 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 161.80 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 162: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 162 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 79.50 pts and allowed 82.10 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 79.90 pts and allowed 81.90 pts in the last 10 home games

WNBA Table Select Season 20252024202320222021202020192018

Team	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Lynx	32	9	3565	3165	400	19-2	13-7	1L
2  Aces	27	14	3405	3350	55	15-5	12-9	13W
3  Dream	28	14	3537	3244	293	15-6	13-8	4W
4  Mercury	27	14	3400	3253	147	15-6	12-8	6W
5  Liberty	24	17	3463	3306	157	16-5	8-12	2L
6  Valkyries	23	18	3222	3135	87	14-7	9-11	5W
7  Fever	22	20	3557	3449	108	12-9	10-11	1W
8  Storm	22	20	3464	3367	97	9-11	13-9	1L
9  Sparks	19	22	3515	3619	-104	8-12	11-10	2L
10  Mystics	16	26	3263	3420	-157	10-11	6-15	8L
11  Sky	10	31	3122	3514	-392	6-15	4-16	1L
12  Sun	10	31	3116	3523	-407	6-14	4-17	3L
13  Wings	9	33	3420	3704	-284	5-16	4-17	9L