Phoenix Mercury vs Connecticut Sun Prediction, Picks & Odds | 06 Sep 2025

WNBA Betting Preview: Phoenix Mercury vs Connecticut Sun

The Phoenix Mercury face off against the Connecticut Sun in this WNBA matchup at Mohegan Sun Arena, with tip-off scheduled for 13:00 on Saturday, September 6. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds and H2H stats.

It’s hard to resist wagering the Sun considering they’ve been given +10.5 on the spread. They are a good shout at -108 to stay close to the Mercury.

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Phoenix Mercury triumphed in their previous game. It was on the road where Washington Mystics were beaten 75-69 at Entertainment and Sports Arena.

Connecticut Sun were defeated in their last game. On the road, they suffered a 88-64 reverse against Chicago Sky at Wintrust Arena.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Mercury have claimed back-to-back victories over the Sun. At Mohegan Sun Arena they won 83-75 before winning 82-66 at PHX Arena. The past 10 games between the teams have seen the Sun win six times.

WNBA	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
4  Mercury	27	17	3643	3525	118	15-7	12-10	3L
11  Sun	11	33	3337	3782	-445	7-15	4-18	2L

View Full Standings

Phoenix Mercury vs Connecticut Sun Prediction & Picks

This expert Phoenix Mercury vs Connecticut Sun betting breakdown features our match prediction, a correct score tip, player prop suggestions and a carefully constructed bet builder to guide your wagers.

Game Prediction

Let’s back the underdogs at +10.5 to outrun their odds on the spread. Sun are a good shout at -108 to stay relatively close to their opponents in this WNBA matchup.

We keep a close eye on team news and our expert WNBA handicappers stay sharp by tracking the latest form and lineups. You’ll also find a full set of stats that offer valuable insight and help shape smarter predictions ahead of the action.

Key Mercury vs Sun stats:

• The +10.5 line has been covered by Sun in 7 of their last 10 games.
• The +10.5 line has been covered by Sun in 12 of their last 20 games.
• The -10.5 line hasn’t been covered by Mercury in 5 consecutive games on the road.
• The -10.5 line hasn’t been covered by Mercury in 9 of their last 10 games.
• The -10.5 line hasn’t been covered by Mercury in 17 of their last 20 games on the road.
• The +10.5 line has been covered by Sun in 9 of their last 10 games against Mercury.

Sun +10.5 Probability

The best basketball betting sites imply that our pick has a 51.8% prospect of winning. After careful examination, our analysts have this probability somewhere between 55-60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this WNBA bet.

If the price on display doesn’t appeal, you can make the choice to secure bigger odds by moving the line for your selection. It’s a case of taking a view which you are happy with.

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Our Game Prediction

Sun +10.5 @ -108 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Leïla Lacan Over 4.5 Assists +103

Leïla Lacan (Sun) is available at +103 to total Over 4.5 assists. We’re happy to take her to cover the Player Assists line, with bettors able to make this bet with confidence.

Latest Leïla Lacan Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 10.5

-130

Under 10.5

-100

Assists

Over 4.5

+103

Under 4.5

-133

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Saniya Rivers Over 9.5 Points +122

Saniya Rivers (Sun) can be backed to total Over 9.5 points at +122. We’ve found an opportunity to bet on Player Points where we’re able to back her to cover the line.

Correct Score Prediction

Mercury 82 - 75 Sun

For those wanting a big return from a small stake, consider the correct score lines. For example, the Mercury can be backed to win 82-75 at massive betting odds.

Phoenix Mercury vs Connecticut Sun Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

The sportsbooks are taking no chances with their Moneyline odds of -556 about Phoenix Mercury which reflects they have a 85% chance of winning this WNBA game. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +390 about Connecticut Sun.

The spread is calculated to be 10, while total points comes in at 160.5. A wager on the Totals allows basketball bettors to use the latest data to good effect. Those who wager Under 160.5 can get -112.

Consider every angle when placing your women's basketball bets. The best sportsbooks have hundreds of team props and game lines and it’s all about finding a wager which matches your prediction of the game.

Moneyline

Mercury

-556

Sun

+390

Point Spread

Mercury -10

-108

Sun +10

-112

Total Points

Under 160.5

-112

Over 160.5

-108

Kahleah Copper is the favorite to score most points. She is priced at -101 to score Over 16.5 points. Alternatively, you can back Under at -128.

Kahleah Copper (Mercury)

Over 16.5

-101

Under 16.5

-128

Tina Charles (Sun)

Over 15.5

-103

Under 15.5

-125

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 14.5

-114

Under 14.5

-114

Satou Sabally (Mercury)

Over 14.5

-102

Under 14.5

-127

Marina Mabrey (Sun)

Over 13.5

-106

Under 13.5

-122

Leïla Lacan (Sun)

Over 10.5

-130

Under 10.5

-100

Saniya Rivers (Sun)

Over 9.5

+120

Under 9.5

-156

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 9.5

+102

Under 9.5

-132

Leïla Lacan (Sun)

Over 4.5

+103

Under 4.5

-133

Marina Mabrey (Sun)

Over 3.5

-123

Under 3.5

-104

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 9.5

+102

Under 9.5

-132

Tina Charles (Sun)

Over 5.5

-116

Under 5.5

-111

Satou Sabally (Mercury)

Over 4.5

-130

Under 4.5

-100

Kahleah Copper (Mercury)

Over 3.5

+112

Under 3.5

-145

Marina Mabrey (Sun)

Over 3.5

-115

Under 3.5

-112

Instead of focusing on the overall outcome, some basketball bettors prefer to look at the micro betting lines. As the name suggests, it means placing short-term in-game wagers and this might include Next Field Goal, with the options being for a two-pointer or a three-pointer.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Phoenix Mercury Stats

Connecticut Sun Stats

Moneyline

• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -10.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 1 of the last 10 games
• -10.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +10.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• +10.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 161.10 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 167.00 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 162: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 162 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 82.30 pts and allowed 78.80 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 83.10 pts and allowed 83.90 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 161.60 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 161.80 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 162: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 162 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 79.50 pts and allowed 82.10 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 79.90 pts and allowed 81.90 pts in the last 10 home games

WNBA Table Select Season 20252024202320222021202020192018

Team	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Lynx	34	10	3787	3373	414	20-2	14-8	1W
2  Aces	30	14	3680	3552	128	17-5	13-9	16W
3  Dream	30	14	3712	3378	334	16-6	14-8	6W
4  Mercury	27	17	3643	3525	118	15-7	12-10	3L
5  Liberty	27	17	3713	3534	179	17-5	10-12	3W
6  Fever	24	20	3734	3586	148	13-9	11-11	3W
7  Storm	23	21	3614	3524	90	10-12	13-9	1W
8  Valkyries	23	21	3420	3359	61	14-8	9-13	3L
9  Sparks	21	23	3769	3882	-113	9-13	12-10	1L
10  Mystics	16	28	3394	3589	-195	10-12	6-16	10L
11  Sun	11	33	3337	3782	-445	7-15	4-18	2L
12  Sky	10	34	3335	3777	-442	6-16	4-18	4L
13  Wings	10	34	3594	3871	-277	6-16	4-18	1W

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