Phoenix Mercury vs Golden State Valkyries Prediction, Betting Tips & Odds | 19 Aug 2025

WNBA Betting Preview: Mercury vs Valkyries

The Mercury face the Valkyries in this WNBA matchup at Chase Center, with tip-off scheduled for 22:00 on Tuesday, August 19, 2025. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds and H2H stats.

Valkyries Should Put Up a Fight

There’s a great opportunity to back the Valkyries against the spread considering they should perform well against the Mercury. Snap up the -112 when it comes to them covering the +6.5.

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Mercury 78-77 Winners in Previous H2H

Phoenix Mercury won their previous game 85-82. This was a road victory at Climate Pledge Arena against Seattle Storm.

Golden State Valkyries lost when they last took to the court. At Chase Center, they were turned over 79-63 at home to Atlanta Dream.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The scoreline was 78-77 in favor of the Mercury when they last played the Valkyries, with the matchup taking place at Chase Center.

WNBA	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
4  Mercury	20	13	2745	2633	112	11-6	9-7	1W
7  Valkyries	18	16	2645	2612	33	10-6	8-10	1L

View Full Standings

Phoenix Mercury vs Golden State Valkyries Prediction & Betting Tips

We’ve got your Phoenix Mercury vs Golden State Valkyries bets covered, including our expert match prediction, top correct score pick, must-see player props and a tailored bet builder built for value.

Match Prediction

Valkyries should be able to battle hard and our pick is that they will cover the line in this WNBA matchup. It’s set at an attractive +6.5 and you can get -112.

Team news and current form always play a key role in shaping our expert basketball picks. We also dig into the latest stats and trends to help deliver the most accurate WNBA predictions possible.

Key Mercury vs Valkyries stats:

• The +6.5 line has been covered by Valkyries in 9 of their last 10 games at home.
• The +6.5 line has been covered by Valkyries in 13 of their last 16 games at home.
• The -6.5 line hasn’t been covered by Mercury in 3 consecutive games.
• The -6.5 line hasn’t been covered by Mercury in 15 of their last 20 games on the road.
• The -6.5 line hasn’t been covered by Mercury in 7 of their last 10 games on the road.

Valkyries +6.5 Probability

According to the latest odds, our pick has a 52.9% chance of winning. In our opinion, there’s actually a probability of success closer to 60%. This is why we can recommend this WNBA wager.

It’s good to explore all avenues and you might prefer bigger odds about the prediction you want to make. Go ahead and move the line until you’re happy with the price.

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Our Pick

Valkyries +6.5 @ -112 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Janelle Salaun Over 4.5 Rebounds -125

Janelle Salaun (Valkyries) is available at -125 to register Over 4.5 rebounds. We think it’s achievable that she will cover the Player Rebounds line based on the information to hand.

Latest Janelle Salaun Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 11.5

-111

Under 11.5

-116

Rebounds

Over 4.5

-125

Under 4.5

-103

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Cecilia Zandalasini Over 11.5 Points -115

Cecilia Zandalasini (Valkyries) is available at -115 to record Over 11.5 points. We think this is the pick of the prop bets that are on offer when it comes to backing her on Player Points.

Latest Cecilia Zandalasini Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 11.5

-115

Under 11.5

-112

Rebounds

Over 3.5

-145

Under 3.5

+112

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Correct Score Prediction

Mercury 81 - 79 Valkyries

We’ll roll the dice and go for the Mercury to enjoy a 81-79 victory. We don’t think that there will be too much between the teams and we’re happy to take the huge odds.

Phoenix Mercury vs Golden State Valkyries Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Mercury Favorites to Win According to the Books

Phoenix Mercury have the shortest price to win this WNBA game, with the sportsbooks giving them a 75% probability due to their -294 Moneyline betting odds. Golden State Valkyries are trading at bigger odds than their opponents and they can be backed at +225.

The spread is 6.5 and the total points line is currently 154.5. There are many ways to wager on basketball including the Totals. If you want to back Over 154.5, it’s -112.

Whether you are betting pre-game or in-game on women's hoops, the top basketball sportsbooks offer a huge selection of team props and game lines. The options are practically endless, and it’s awesome to have so many alternatives.

Betting Lines & Odds

Moneyline

Mercury

-294

Valkyries

+225

Point Spread

Mercury -6.5

-108

Valkyries +6.5

-112

Total Points

Under 154.5

-108

Over 154.5

-112

Satou Sabally Favorite to Score the Most Baskets

Satou Sabally is the favorite to score most points. She is priced at -123 to score Over 15.5 points. Alternatively, you can back Under at -105.

Player Points

Satou Sabally (Mercury)

Over 15.5

-123

Under 15.5

-105

Kahleah Copper (Mercury)

Over 15.5

-110

Under 15.5

-118

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 14.5

-125

Under 14.5

-103

Tiffany Hayes (Valkyries)

Over 11.5

-116

Under 11.5

-111

Cecilia Zandalasini (Valkyries)

Over 11.5

-115

Under 11.5

-112

Janelle Salaun (Valkyries)

Over 11.5

-111

Under 11.5

-116

DeWanna Bonner (Mercury)

Over 10.5

-130

Under 10.5

-100

Veronica Burton (Valkyries)

Over 10.5

-112

Under 10.5

-115

Player Assists

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 8.5

-135

Under 8.5

+104

Veronica Burton (Valkyries)

Over 4.5

-112

Under 4.5

-115

Satou Sabally (Mercury)

Over 3.5

+164

Under 3.5

-217

Tiffany Hayes (Valkyries)

Over 3.5

+126

Under 3.5

-164

Player Rebounds

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 8.5

-135

Under 8.5

+105

Satou Sabally (Mercury)

Over 5.5

-149

Under 5.5

+115

Janelle Salaun (Valkyries)

Over 4.5

-125

Under 4.5

-103

DeWanna Bonner (Mercury)

Over 4.5

+132

Under 4.5

-172

Veronica Burton (Valkyries)

Over 4.5

+113

Under 4.5

-147

Cecilia Zandalasini (Valkyries)

Over 3.5

-145

Under 3.5

+112

Last 5 & H2H

Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

WNBA Table Select Season 20252024202320222021202020192018

Team	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Lynx	28	5	2869	2500	369	17-1	11-4	6W
2  Dream	22	12	2854	2640	214	10-5	12-7	1W
3  Liberty	21	13	2940	2774	166	13-4	8-9	2L
4  Mercury	20	13	2745	2633	112	11-6	9-7	1W
5  Aces	21	14	2900	2900	0	12-5	9-9	7W
6  Fever	19	16	2973	2870	103	10-8	9-8	1W
7  Valkyries	18	16	2645	2612	33	10-6	8-10	1L
8  Storm	17	18	2859	2803	56	8-10	9-8	1L
9  Sparks	16	18	2943	3018	-75	6-10	10-8	1L
10  Mystics	16	18	2703	2754	-51	10-7	6-11	2W
11  Wings	9	26	2875	3057	-182	5-13	4-13	2L
12  Sky	8	25	2472	2839	-367	5-12	3-13	4L
13  Sun	6	27	2485	2863	-378	5-12	1-15	1L

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