Phoenix Mercury vs Indiana Fever Prediction, Picks & Odds | 30 Jul 2025

WNBA Betting Preview: Mercury vs Fever

The Phoenix Mercury battle the Indiana Fever in this WNBA matchup at Gainbridge Fieldhouse, with tip-off scheduled for 19:00 on Wednesday, July 30. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds and H2H stats.

Back Fever to Frustrate Mercury

We’re expecting a spirited performance from the Fever which leads us to backing them against the spread when meeting the Mercury. They should be able to cover the +3.5 line where -108 can be found.

Fever Beat Mercury in their Last Clash

Phoenix Mercury won their previous game 88-72. This was a road victory at Entertainment and Sports Arena against Washington Mystics.

Indiana Fever triumphed in their last game. It was on the road where Chicago Sky were beaten 93-78 at Wintrust Arena.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The last head-to-head saw the Fever claim a 98-89 win over the Mercury at Gainbridge Fieldhouse. The Fever have five straight wins against the Mercury. They have won 5 of the 10 previous head-to-head meetings.

WNBA	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
4  Mercury	27	17	3643	3525	118	15-7	12-10	3L
6  Fever	24	20	3734	3586	148	13-9	11-11	3W

View Full Standings

Phoenix Mercury vs Indiana Fever Prediction & Picks

Fever should give a good account of themselves in this WNBA contest and the pick is to back them on the spread. The +3.5 looks attractive and -108 is available.

The handicappers at Sportsgambler.com stay on top of the latest injuries, while recent form also shapes our basketball picks. We combine this insight with up-to-date WNBA stats for sharper predictions.

Key Mercury vs Fever stats:

• The +3.5 line has been covered by Fever in 8 of their last 10 games at home.
• The +3.5 line has been covered by Fever in 4 of their last 5 games at home.
• The +3.5 line has been covered by Fever in 3 consecutive games at home.
• The -3.5 line hasn’t been covered by Mercury in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The -3.5 line hasn’t been covered by Mercury in 6 of their last 10 games.
• The +3.5 line has been covered by Fever in 5 consecutive games against Mercury.

Fever +3.5 Probability

According to the latest odds, our pick has a 51.8% chance of winning. In the opinion of our analysts, there’s actually a probability of success between 55-60%. The bet can be recommended for this precise reason.

There’s regularly the option to sell points and that allows you to leverage a bigger potential return. Conversely, buying points will give you a less-risky wager but smaller odds.

Best Bet

Fever +3.5 @ -108 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Kahleah Copper Under 3.5 Rebounds -161

Kahleah Copper (Mercury) is available at -161 to have Under 3.5 rebounds. When it comes to Player Rebounds, we’re expecting her to make a total that falls below the line.

Latest Kahleah Copper Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 13.5

-143

Under 13.5

+110

Rebounds

Over 3.5

-102

Under 3.5

-127

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Aliyah Boston Over 3.5 Assists -115

Aliyah Boston (Fever) can be backed to finish with Over 3.5 assists at -115. The total for her on the Overs has lots of appeal, with bettors able to get plenty of juice.

Latest Aliyah Boston Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 14.5

-115

Under 14.5

-112

Assists

Over 3.5

-143

Under 3.5

+110

Rebounds

Over 8.5

+105

Under 8.5

-135

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Correct Score Prediction

Mercury 81 - 82 Fever

Don’t pass up the opportunity to have a speculative wager on the Fever to land a 82-81 win. We don’t think that there will be too much between the teams.

Phoenix Mercury vs Indiana Fever Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Mercury Made Favorites by the Books

Phoenix Mercury have the shortest price to win this WNBA game, with the sportsbooks giving them a 63% probability due to their -167 Moneyline betting odds. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, Indiana Fever are trading at +136.

The spread currently stands at 3.5 and the total points line is 167.5. A Total wager is always available and can often provide value selections. If you fancy Under 167.5, then the odds are -115.

If you’re planning to place a bet on women's basketball, visit the best betting sites and check out the hundreds of available team props and game lines. Find the lines which are the most attractive.

Moneyline

Mercury

-167

Fever

+136

Point Spread

Mercury -3.5

-105

Fever +3.5

-115

Total Points

Under 167.5

-115

Over 167.5

-105

Kelsey Mitchell Favorite to Get the Most Buckets

Kelsey Mitchell is the market leader to hit the most buckets. She is priced at -125 to score Over 19.5 points. Alternatively, you can back Under at -103.

Kelsey Mitchell (Fever)

Over 19.5

-125

Under 19.5

-103

Satou Sabally (Mercury)

Over 15.5

-103

Under 15.5

-125

Aliyah Boston (Fever)

Over 14.5

-115

Under 14.5

-112

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 14.5

-101

Under 14.5

-128

Kahleah Copper (Mercury)

Over 13.5

-143

Under 13.5

+110

Natasha Howard (Fever)

Over 11.5

-103

Under 11.5

-125

Sophie Cunningham (Fever)

Over 8.5

-130

Under 8.5

-100

Monique Akoa Makani (Mercury)

Over 8.5

-105

Under 8.5

-123

Aari McDonald (Fever)

Over 8.5

+110

Under 8.5

-143

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 8.5

-143

Under 8.5

+110

Aari McDonald (Fever)

Over 5.5

+171

Under 5.5

-227

Kelsey Mitchell (Fever)

Over 3.5

+128

Under 3.5

-167

Satou Sabally (Mercury)

Over 3.5

+152

Under 3.5

-200

Aliyah Boston (Fever)

Over 3.5

-143

Under 3.5

+110

Aliyah Boston (Fever)

Over 8.5

+105

Under 8.5

-135

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 7.5

-156

Under 7.5

+120

Natasha Howard (Fever)

Over 6.5

-114

Under 6.5

-114

Satou Sabally (Mercury)

Over 5.5

-130

Under 5.5

-100

Sophie Cunningham (Fever)

Over 4.5

+112

Under 4.5

-145

Kahleah Copper (Mercury)

Over 3.5

-102

Under 3.5

-127

Micro Betting

Among the various options for wagering on basketball, you will find that micro betting is provided. It focuses on short-term in-game outcomes such as Next Field Goal, where you select if the shot will be a two or three-pointer.

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Phoenix Mercury Stats

Indiana Fever Stats

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• -3.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• +3.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 166.70 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 163.20 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 166: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 166 on the Road: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 84.40 pts and allowed 82.30 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 81.70 pts and allowed 81.50 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 165.80 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 163.80 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 166: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 166 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 84.90 pts and allowed 80.90 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 86.00 pts and allowed 77.80 pts in the last 10 home games

WNBA Table Select Season 20252024202320222021202020192018

Team	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Lynx	34	10	3787	3373	414	20-2	14-8	1W
2  Aces	30	14	3680	3552	128	17-5	13-9	16W
3  Dream	30	14	3712	3378	334	16-6	14-8	6W
4  Mercury	27	17	3643	3525	118	15-7	12-10	3L
5  Liberty	27	17	3713	3534	179	17-5	10-12	3W
6  Fever	24	20	3734	3586	148	13-9	11-11	3W
7  Storm	23	21	3614	3524	90	10-12	13-9	1W
8  Valkyries	23	21	3420	3359	61	14-8	9-13	3L
9  Sparks	21	23	3769	3882	-113	9-13	12-10	1L
10  Mystics	16	28	3394	3589	-195	10-12	6-16	10L
11  Sun	11	33	3337	3782	-445	7-15	4-18	2L
12  Sky	10	34	3335	3777	-442	6-16	4-18	4L
13  Wings	10	34	3594	3871	-277	6-16	4-18	1W