Phoenix Mercury vs Las Vegas Aces Prediction, Picks & Odds | 15 Jun 2025

Aces Should Put Up a Fight

With the Aces being given a line of +4.5 to overcome, our prediction is that they can cover this against the Mercury. There’s the chance to get -106 for this outcome.

9 Aces Wins in Previous 10 H2H Encounters

Phoenix Mercury previous game saw them claim a 93-80 home win over Dallas Wings at Footprint Center.

Las Vegas Aces won their last game, beating Dallas Wings at home. It was a 88-84 win at Michelob Ultra Arena.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Aces have claimed consecutive wins over the Mercury. Both victories were achieved at Footprint Center, with a 103-99 followed by a 97-79 scoreline. The past 10 games between the teams have seen the Aces win nine times.

WNBA	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
3  Aces	26	14	3308	3263	45	14-5	12-9	12W
4  Mercury	25	14	3240	3105	135	14-6	11-8	4W

View Full Standings

Phoenix Mercury vs Las Vegas Aces Prediction & Picks

We’re happy to get with Aces against the spread in this WNBA contest. -106 is available that they are able to cover +4.5 and that looks more than reasonable.

We study the form as a first port of call and also make sure we’re across any injuries before making WNBA predictions. Then it’s a case of understanding the sort of narrative that the stats provide.

Key Mercury vs Aces stats:

• The +4.5 line has been covered by Aces in 8 of their last 10 games at home.
• The +4.5 line has been covered by Aces in 15 of their last 20 games at home.
• The -4.5 line hasn’t been covered by Mercury in 8 of their last 10 games on the road.
• The -4.5 line hasn’t been covered by Mercury in 4 of their last 5 games on the road.
• The +4.5 line has been covered by Aces in 2 consecutive games against Mercury.

Aces +4.5 Probability

According to the latest odds, our pick has a 51.5% chance of winning. After careful examination, our analysts calculate this probability to be somewhere between 55-60%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this bet.

In the quest to secure bigger odds, there’s the possibility of moving the line. There are plenty of choices when it comes to doing this, so you can choose the option that suits you.

Best Bet

Aces +4.5 @ -106 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Jewell Loyd Over 14.5 Points -128

Jewell Loyd (Aces) is available at -128 to score Over 14.5 points. We’ll place a bet that she is able to cover an appealing total for this Player Points wager.

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Chelsea Gray Over 3.5 Rebounds -130

Chelsea Gray (Aces) is available at -130 to total Over 3.5 rebounds. The Player Rebounds line looks really attractive when it comes to having an Overs bet.

Correct Score Prediction

Mercury 78 - 79 Aces

We’ll roll the dice and go for the Aces to enjoy a 79-78 victory. We don’t think that there will be too much between the teams and we’re happy to take the huge odds.

Phoenix Mercury vs Las Vegas Aces Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Books Giving Mercury Plenty of Respect

Sportsbooks’ favorites Phoenix Mercury are regarded as likeliest victors for this WNBA game and the -192 about them triumphing means a 66% chance based on their current Moneyline betting odds. Las Vegas Aces are the underdogs at +154 and they’re regarded as least likely to win.

The current spread is 4.5 and total points is 164.5. Basketball bettors regularly enjoy the opportunity to wager on the Totals. If you want to bet Under 164.5, there are odds of -112.

If you’re planning to place a basketball bet, visit the betting sites and check out the wide range of game lines and team props. Find the lines which are the most attractive.

Moneyline

Mercury

-192

Aces

+154

Point Spread

Mercury -4.5

-108

Aces +4.5

-112

Total Points

Under 164.5

-112

Over 164.5

-108

Jackie Young Favorite to Get Most Points

Jackie Young is the favorite to score most points. Odds of -122 can be found for her scoring Over 20.5 points and there is -111 for her to go Under.

Jackie Young (Aces)

Over 20.5

-122

Under 20.5

-111

Satou Sabally (Mercury)

Over 18.5

-115

Under 18.5

-118

Jewell Loyd (Aces)

Over 15.5

-105

Under 15.5

-128

Chelsea Gray (Aces)

Over 14.5

-116

Under 14.5

-116

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 11.5

-132

Under 11.5

-103

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 7.5

-125

Under 7.5

-108

Chelsea Gray (Aces)

Over 5.5

+118

Under 5.5

-161

Jackie Young (Aces)

Over 4.5

+108

Under 4.5

-147

Satou Sabally (Mercury)

Over 3.5

+117

Under 3.5

-159

Satou Sabally (Mercury)

Over 7.5

-102

Under 7.5

-133

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 6.5

-149

Under 6.5

+110

Jackie Young (Aces)

Over 4.5

-109

Under 4.5

-123

Chelsea Gray (Aces)

Over 3.5

-133

Under 3.5

-100

Micro Betting

There are always opportunities to enjoy micro betting. It’s generally the case that you will find team and player props in-game and basketball bettors can use their insight to wager on outcomes such as if the next shot will be a Two or Three-Pointer.

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Phoenix Mercury Stats

Las Vegas Aces Stats

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 games
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 165.30 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 169.30 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 169.5: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games
• Over 169.5 on the Road: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 85.30 pts and allowed 80.00 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 83.60 pts and allowed 85.70 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 168.40 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 174.40 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 169.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 169.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 85.90 pts and allowed 82.50 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 88.00 pts and allowed 86.40 pts in the last 10 home games

WNBA Table Select Season 20252024202320222021202020192018

Team	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Lynx	31	8	3382	2997	385	18-2	13-6	1W
2  Dream	26	14	3347	3084	263	13-6	13-8	2W
3  Aces	26	14	3308	3263	45	14-5	12-9	12W
4  Mercury	25	14	3240	3105	135	14-6	11-8	4W
5  Liberty	24	16	3405	3240	165	16-5	8-11	1L
6  Valkyries	21	18	3072	2997	75	12-7	9-11	3W
7  Storm	22	19	3379	3276	103	9-10	13-9	2W
8  Fever	21	19	3381	3287	94	11-9	10-10	1L
9  Sparks	18	20	3264	3344	-80	8-12	10-8	1W
10  Mystics	16	25	3194	3345	-151	10-10	6-15	7L
11  Sun	10	30	3052	3435	-383	6-14	4-16	2L
12  Sky	9	30	2957	3353	-396	5-15	4-15	4L
13  Wings	9	31	3269	3524	-255	5-16	4-15	7L