Phoenix Mercury vs Las Vegas Aces Prediction, Betting Tips & Odds | 21 Aug 2025

WNBA Betting Preview: Mercury vs Aces

The Mercury clash with the Aces in this WNBA matchup at Michelob Ultra Arena, with tip-off scheduled for 22:00 on Thursday, August 21, 2025. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds and H2H stats.

Aces Look Set for Victory

The Aces should be able to come out on top against the Mercury. Our best prediction is to back the home team on the Moneyline where a juicy -128 can be landed.

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Aces Have 8 Wins in Previous 10 H2H Matchups

Phoenix Mercury won their previous game by a 98-91 scoreline. It was on the road against Golden State Valkyries at Chase Center.

Las Vegas Aces won their last game, beating Atlanta Dream at home. It was a 74-72 win at Michelob Ultra Arena.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Aces are bidding for a third successive victory against the Mercury. They previously won 84-81 and 86-83 at Footprint Center. We’ve seen eight Aces wins in the past 10 meetings between the teams.

WNBA	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
4  Mercury	21	13	2843	2724	119	11-6	10-7	2W
5  Aces	22	14	2974	2972	2	13-5	9-9	8W

View Full Standings

Phoenix Mercury vs Las Vegas Aces Prediction & Betting Tips

Join us as we dissect the best Phoenix Mercury vs Las Vegas Aces betting tips — from our expert match prediction and correct score advice to top player prop insights and a ready-made bet builder.

Match Prediction

Our best pick is that Aces will win this WNBA contest. You can currently get -128 about this happening which looks like great Moneyline odds.

The handicappers at Sportsgambler.com regularly track injury updates and pair that with current form. We also tap into a deep stats database to highlight the key numbers that help shape our basketball predictions.

Key Mercury vs Aces stats:

• Aces have won 8 consecutive games.
• Aces have won 9 of their last 10 games.
• Aces have won 14 of their last 20 games.
• Aces have won the last 2 games between these teams.

Aces Moneyline Probability

According to the top basketball betting sites, there’s a 56.2% likelihood of our pick landing a return. After careful examination, our analysts have this probability somewhere between 60-65%. This WNBA bet can therefore be backed with confidence.

If you’re looking to squeeze more juice from the odds, consider the Aces on the spread. Those expecting this franchise to exceed expectations can wager them to cover the line.

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Our Pick

Aces Moneyline @ -128 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Chelsea Gray Under 5.5 Assists -103

Chelsea Gray (Aces) can be backed to record Under 5.5 assists at -103. The line looks too high and we can be confident that she falls short when it comes to Player Assists.

Latest Chelsea Gray Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 9.5

-143

Under 9.5

+110

Assists

Over 5.5

-125

Under 5.5

-103

Rebounds

Over 3.5

-156

Under 3.5

+121

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Alyssa Thomas Over 8.5 Assists -156

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury) can be backed to secure Over 8.5 assists at -156. We’re happy to wager that she is able to cover the line, with this Player Assists bet making appeal.

Latest Alyssa Thomas Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 14.5

-116

Under 14.5

-111

Assists

Over 8.5

-156

Under 8.5

+120

Rebounds

Over 9.5

+113

Under 9.5

-147

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Correct Score Prediction

Mercury 85 - 90 Aces

There are lots of different betting angles including the chance to back the Aces on the correct score lines. For example, a 90-85 win in their favor is available at massive odds.

Phoenix Mercury vs Las Vegas Aces Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Tight Affair in the Eyes of the Books

When you consider the latest Moneyline odds, you can find Las Vegas Aces at -122 whereas Phoenix Mercury are -100. From a percentage point-of-view, the leading WNBA sportsbooks give the visiting team a 50% chance of success.

The current spread is 1.5 and total points is 170.5. There are many ways to wager on basketball including the Totals. If you’re wanting to back Over 170.5, the odds are -112.

Consider every angle when placing your women's basketball bets. The best betting sites offer a huge selection of game lines and team props and it’s all about finding a wager which matches your prediction of the game.

Betting Lines & Odds

Moneyline

Mercury

-100

Aces

-122

Point Spread

Mercury +1.5

-112

Aces -1.5

-108

Total Points

Under 170.5

-108

Over 170.5

-112

A'ja Wilson Favorite to Get the Most Buckets

A'ja Wilson is favorite when it comes to getting the most points. You can get -108 that she goes Over 24.5 points and -120 when it comes to Under.

Player Points

A'ja Wilson (Aces)

Over 24.5

-108

Under 24.5

-120

Kahleah Copper (Mercury)

Over 16.5

-102

Under 16.5

-127

Jackie Young (Aces)

Over 16.5

-100

Under 16.5

-130

Satou Sabally (Mercury)

Over 15.5

-116

Under 15.5

-111

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 14.5

-116

Under 14.5

-111

Jewell Loyd (Aces)

Over 11.5

-111

Under 11.5

-116

Chelsea Gray (Aces)

Over 9.5

-143

Under 9.5

+110

Player Assists

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 8.5

-156

Under 8.5

+120

Jackie Young (Aces)

Over 5.5

+132

Under 5.5

-172

Chelsea Gray (Aces)

Over 5.5

-125

Under 5.5

-103

Satou Sabally (Mercury)

Over 3.5

+120

Under 3.5

-156

A'ja Wilson (Aces)

Over 2.5

-167

Under 2.5

+127

Player Rebounds

A'ja Wilson (Aces)

Over 11.5

-137

Under 11.5

+106

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 9.5

+113

Under 9.5

-147

Satou Sabally (Mercury)

Over 5.5

-130

Under 5.5

+101

Jackie Young (Aces)

Over 4.5

-123

Under 4.5

-104

Kahleah Copper (Mercury)

Over 3.5

-164

Under 3.5

+125

Chelsea Gray (Aces)

Over 3.5

-156

Under 3.5

+121

Last 5 & H2H

Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

WNBA Table Select Season 20252024202320222021202020192018

Team	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Lynx	28	6	2944	2585	359	17-1	11-5	1L
2  Liberty	22	13	3025	2849	176	14-4	8-9	1W
3  Dream	22	13	2926	2714	212	10-5	12-8	1L
4  Mercury	21	13	2843	2724	119	11-6	10-7	2W
5  Aces	22	14	2974	2972	2	13-5	9-9	8W
6  Fever	19	16	2973	2870	103	10-8	9-8	1W
7  Valkyries	18	17	2736	2710	26	10-7	8-10	2L
8  Storm	18	18	2953	2891	62	8-10	10-8	1W
9  Sparks	16	18	2943	3018	-75	6-10	10-8	1L
10  Mystics	16	19	2772	2834	-62	10-8	6-11	1L
11  Wings	9	26	2875	3057	-182	5-13	4-13	2L
12  Sky	8	26	2560	2933	-373	5-13	3-13	5L
13  Sun	7	27	2565	2932	-367	5-12	2-15	1W

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