Phoenix Mercury vs Las Vegas Aces Prediction, Picks & Odds | 21 Aug 2025
WNBA Betting Preview: Phoenix Mercury vs Las Vegas Aces
The Phoenix Mercury clash with the Las Vegas Aces in this WNBA matchup at Michelob Ultra Arena, with tip-off scheduled for 22:00 on Thursday, August 21. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds and H2H stats.
The Aces should be able to come out on top against the Mercury. Our best prediction is to back the home team on the Moneyline where a juicy -128 can be landed.
Phoenix Mercury won their previous game by a 98-91 scoreline. It was on the road against Golden State Valkyries at Chase Center.
Las Vegas Aces won their last game, beating Atlanta Dream at home. It was a 74-72 win at Michelob Ultra Arena.
Head-to-Head Statistics
The Aces are bidding for a third successive victory against the Mercury. They previously won 84-81 and 86-83 at Footprint Center. We’ve seen eight Aces wins in the past 10 meetings between the teams.
| WNBA | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7
Aces
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | - |
11
Mercury
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | - |
Phoenix Mercury vs Las Vegas Aces Prediction & Picks
Join us as we dissect the best Phoenix Mercury vs Las Vegas Aces betting tips — from our expert match prediction and correct score advice to top player prop insights and a ready-made bet builder.
Game Prediction
Our best pick is that Aces will win this WNBA contest. You can currently get -128 about this happening which looks like great Moneyline odds.
The handicappers at Sportsgambler.com regularly track injury updates and pair that with current form. We also tap into a deep stats database to highlight the key numbers that help shape our basketball predictions.
Key Mercury vs Aces stats:
Aces Moneyline Probability
According to the top basketball betting sites, there’s a 56.2% likelihood of our pick landing a return. After careful examination, our analysts have this probability somewhere between 60-65%. This WNBA bet can therefore be backed with confidence.
If you’re looking to squeeze more juice from the odds, consider the Aces on the spread. Those expecting this franchise to exceed expectations can wager them to cover the line.
Give yourself a head start. Find betting offers that include generous free bets and welcome packages in our bonus guide.
Player Prop Picks
Chelsea Gray (Aces) can be backed to record Under 5.5 assists at -103. The line looks too high and we can be confident that she falls short when it comes to Player Assists.
Latest Chelsea Gray Player Prop Odds
Alyssa Thomas (Mercury) can be backed to secure Over 8.5 assists at -156. We’re happy to wager that she is able to cover the line, with this Player Assists bet making appeal.
Latest Alyssa Thomas Player Prop Odds
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Same Game Parlay Picks
We’ve got a same game parlay with three options: Aces on the moneyline, Over 169.5 and Chelsea Gray (Aces) to get Under 5.5 assists.
There are lots of options when you place a same game parlay. You can go through the available basketball lines and identify your favorite outcomes before combining the odds on the bet slip. Personalised wagering doesn’t come any better.
Correct Score Prediction
85
-
90
Aces
There are lots of different betting angles including the chance to back the Aces on the correct score lines. For example, a 90-85 win in their favor is available at massive odds.
Phoenix Mercury vs Las Vegas Aces Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
When you consider the latest Moneyline odds, you can find Las Vegas Aces at -123 whereas Phoenix Mercury are +102. From a percentage point-of-view, the leading WNBA sportsbooks give the visiting team a 50% chance of success.
The current spread is 1.5 and total points is 170.5. There are many ways to wager on basketball including the Totals. If you’re wanting to back Over 170.5, the odds are -108.
Consider every angle when placing your women's basketball bets. The best betting sites offer a huge selection of game lines and team props and it’s all about finding a wager which matches your prediction of the game.
A'ja Wilson is favorite when it comes to getting the most points. You can get -103 that she goes Over 24.5 points and -125 when it comes to Under.
It’s good to consider all wagering options when it comes to basketball and micro betting can be an exciting way to get involved in the action. When everything goes in-game, consider whether the next shot will be a Two or a Three-pointer.
- WNBA: 04/10 2025 Mercury 86 Aces 89
- WNBA: 22/08 2025 Mercury 61 Aces 83
- WNBA: 16/08 2025 Aces 86 Mercury 83
- WNBA: 30/06 2025 Aces 84 Mercury 81
- WNBA: 16/06 2025 Mercury 76 Aces 70
- WNBA: 01/09 2024 Aces 97 Mercury 79
- WNBA: 14/06 2024 Aces 103 Mercury 99
- WNBA: 22/05 2024 Mercury 98 Aces 88
- WNBA: 15/05 2024 Mercury 80 Aces 89
- WNBA: 10/09 2023 Mercury 85 Aces 100
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Phoenix Mercury Stats
Las Vegas Aces Stats
- 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
- 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- +2.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
- +2.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games on the road
- -2.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
- -2.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 161.20 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 164.10 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 164.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
- Over 164.5 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 80.70 pts and allowed 80.50 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 81.60 pts and allowed 82.50 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 170.20 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 165.30 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 164.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
- Over 164.5 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 88.80 pts and allowed 81.40 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 88.70 pts and allowed 76.60 pts in the last 10 home games
WNBA Table Select Season
| Team | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1
Dream
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | - |
2
Sky
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | - |
3
Sun
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | - |
4
Wings
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | - |
5
Valkyries
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | - |
6
Fever
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | - |
|
7
Aces
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | - |
8
Sparks
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | - |
9
Lynx
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | - |
10
Liberty
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | - |
|
11
Mercury
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | - |
12
Storm
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | - |
13
Mystics
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | - |
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