Phoenix Mercury vs Los Angeles Sparks Prediction, Picks & Odds | 01 Jun 2025


Get Over the Total With Confidence
The Mercury visit the Sparks in this Commissioner's Cup contest at Crypto.com Arena.
There’s juice available when it comes to backing Over 160.5 points between the Mercury and the Sparks. Our prediction is priced up at -110 which looks well worth taking.
7 Wins for Mercury in Previous 10 H2H Matchups
Phoenix Mercury were defeated in their previous game. They were beaten at home to Minnesota Lynx by a 74-71 scoreline at Footprint Center.
Los Angeles Sparks lost on the road in their last game. Las Vegas Aces won 96-81 at Michelob Ultra Arena.
Head-to-Head Statistics
The Mercury beat the Sparks in their last head-to-head matchup. It was a 89-86 scoreline at Footprint Center. The Mercury have triumphed in their previous five meetings against the Sparks. On the head-to-head front, it has been 7 wins out of 10.
WNBA | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4
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27 | 17 | 3643 | 3525 | 118 | 15-7 | 12-10 | 3L |
9
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21 | 23 | 3769 | 3882 | -113 | 9-13 | 12-10 | 1L |
Phoenix Mercury vs Los Angeles Sparks Prediction & Picks
Let’s go for Over 160.5 when these WNBA teams lock horns. We think the line is too generous and we’re expecting the final total to be higher at -110.
It's important to understand the players who are unavailable for the upcoming action and the respective form of each franchise. If you want stats, you have come to the right place and they form the basis of our WNBA picks.
Key Mercury vs Sparks stats:
Over 160.5 Probability
According to the sportsbooks, there’s a 52.4% likelihood of our pick landing a return. Based on our analysts in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this wager.
If you have a strong hunch for Overs but want to get bigger odds, consider the Match Result & Total lines. Get both picks correct for a profitable return.
Best Bet
Over 160.5 Points @ -110
Player Prop Picks
Kelsey Plum (Sparks) can be wagered to record Under 23.5 points at -125. We’re happy to take this selection when it comes to her failing to cover the total on Player Points.
Satou Sabally (Mercury) is available at -127 to record Over 22.5 points. We are happy to back Overs when it comes to her Player Points, with the line making plenty of appeal.
Same Game Parlay Picks
We’ve got a same game parlay with three options: Over 162, Mercury +4 and Kelsey Plum (Sparks) to score Under 23.5 points.
There are lots of options when you place a same game parlay. You can go through the available basketball lines and identify your favorite outcomes before combining the odds on the bet slip. Personalised wagering doesn’t come any better.
Correct Score Prediction
Phoenix Mercury vs Los Angeles Sparks Odds
The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.
Books Make Sparks Moneyline Favorites
The sportsbooks’ betting odds have Los Angeles Sparks as -179 favorites for this WNBA game, implying that they are 64% likely to win. At +146, Phoenix Mercury are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.
There is a spread of 4 and total points has a line of 165. A wager on the Totals allows basketball bettors to use the latest data to good effect. If you want to wager Over 165, there are odds of -110.
If you’re betting on basketball, we recommend heading to the betting sites and scanning through the many team props and game lines. There’s a chance to wager pre-game and in-game.




Satou Sabally Favorite to Get Most Points
Satou Sabally is the market leader to hit the most buckets. She is priced at -127 to score Over 22.5 points. Alternatively, you can back Under at -108.













Micro Betting
Instead of focusing on the overall outcome, some basketball bettors prefer to look at the micro betting lines. As the name suggests, it means placing short-term in-game wagers and this might include Next Field Goal, with the options being for a two-pointer or a three-pointer.
Last 5 & H2H
- WNBA: 02/06 2025 Mercury 85 Sparks 80
- WNBA: 22/05 2025 Sparks 86 Mercury 89
- WNBA: 18/09 2024 Mercury 85 Sparks 81
- WNBA: 08/07 2024 Mercury 84 Sparks 78
- WNBA: 29/06 2024 Sparks 78 Mercury 92
- WNBA: 03/06 2024 Sparks 68 Mercury 87
- WNBA: 24/08 2023 Mercury 62 Sparks 91
- WNBA: 10/07 2023 Sparks 72 Mercury 78
- WNBA: 03/06 2023 Sparks 99 Mercury 93
- WNBA: 20/05 2023 Mercury 71 Sparks 94
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.


- 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
- 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- -3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
- -3.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games on the road
- +3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
- +3.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 158.20 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 165.00 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 178.5: Covered in 1 of the previous 10 games
- Over 178.5 on the Road: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 80.60 pts and allowed 77.60 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 80.80 pts and allowed 84.20 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 181.40 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 180.40 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 178.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
- Over 178.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 89.80 pts and allowed 91.60 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 90.60 pts and allowed 89.80 pts in the last 10 home games
WNBA Table Select Season
Team | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1
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34 | 10 | 3787 | 3373 | 414 | 20-2 | 14-8 | 1W |
2
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30 | 14 | 3680 | 3552 | 128 | 17-5 | 13-9 | 16W |
3
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30 | 14 | 3712 | 3378 | 334 | 16-6 | 14-8 | 6W |
4
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27 | 17 | 3643 | 3525 | 118 | 15-7 | 12-10 | 3L |
5
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27 | 17 | 3713 | 3534 | 179 | 17-5 | 10-12 | 3W |
6
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24 | 20 | 3734 | 3586 | 148 | 13-9 | 11-11 | 3W |
7
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23 | 21 | 3614 | 3524 | 90 | 10-12 | 13-9 | 1W |
8
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23 | 21 | 3420 | 3359 | 61 | 14-8 | 9-13 | 3L |
9
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21 | 23 | 3769 | 3882 | -113 | 9-13 | 12-10 | 1L |
10
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16 | 28 | 3394 | 3589 | -195 | 10-12 | 6-16 | 10L |
11
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11 | 33 | 3337 | 3782 | -445 | 7-15 | 4-18 | 2L |
12
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10 | 34 | 3335 | 3777 | -442 | 6-16 | 4-18 | 4L |
13
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10 | 34 | 3594 | 3871 | -277 | 6-16 | 4-18 | 1W |
















