Phoenix Mercury vs Los Angeles Sparks Prediction, Bet Builder Tips & Odds | WNBA, 01 Jun 2025

Get Over the Total With Confidence

The Mercury visit the Sparks in this Commissioner's Cup contest at Crypto.com Arena.

There’s juice available when it comes to backing Over 160.5 points between the Mercury and the Sparks. Our prediction is priced up at -110 which looks well worth taking.

7 Wins for Mercury in Previous 10 H2H Matchups

Phoenix Mercury were defeated in their previous game. They were beaten at home to Minnesota Lynx by a 74-71 scoreline at Footprint Center.

Los Angeles Sparks lost on the road in their last game. Las Vegas Aces won 96-81 at Michelob Ultra Arena.

The Mercury beat the Sparks in their last head-to-head matchup. It was a 89-86 scoreline at Footprint Center. The Mercury have triumphed in their previous five meetings against the Sparks. On the head-to-head front, it has been 7 wins out of 10.

WNBA	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
4  Mercury	19	12	2577	2465	112	11-5	8-7	1L
9  Sparks	15	17	2760	2827	-67	6-10	9-7	1L

View Full Standings

Expert WNBA Analysis

It's important to understand the players who are unavailable for the upcoming action and the respective form of each franchise. If you want stats, you have come to the right place and they form the basis of our WNBA picks.

Key Mercury vs Sparks stats:

• The 160.5 line has been covered in 4 of the last 5 Mercury games on the road.
• The 160.5 line has been covered in 13 of the last 20 Mercury games on the road.
• The 160.5 line has been covered in 4 of the last 5 Sparks games.
• The 160.5 line has been covered in 7 of the last 10 Sparks games.
• The 160.5 line has been covered in the last 3 Sparks games.
• The 160.5 line has been covered in the last 4 games between these teams.

Mercury vs Sparks Prediction

Let’s go for Over 160.5 when these WNBA teams lock horns. We think the line is too generous and we’re expecting the final total to be higher at -110.

If you have a strong hunch for Overs but want to get bigger odds, consider the Match Result & Total lines. Get both picks correct for a profitable return.

Over 160.5 Probability

According to the sportsbooks, there’s a 52.4% likelihood of our pick landing a return. Based on our analysts in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this wager.

Our Pick

Over 160.5 Points @ -110 Bet Now

bet365 Promo Get $150 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Gamble responsibly 18+. All odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change. To use the Bookmaker Live Streaming services you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Geo-restrictions apply.

Player Prop Picks

Kelsey Plum Under 23.5 Points -125

Kelsey Plum (Sparks) can be wagered to record Under 23.5 points at -125. We’re happy to take this selection when it comes to her failing to cover the total on Player Points.

---

Satou Sabally Over 22.5 Points -127

Satou Sabally (Mercury) is available at -127 to record Over 22.5 points. We are happy to back Overs when it comes to her Player Points, with the line making plenty of appeal.

Correct Score Prediction

Mercury 85 - 83 Sparks

There might not be too much between these teams, with our correct score prediction being a 85-83 win for the Mercury. There are enormous odds available when it comes to this pick.

Phoenix Mercury vs Los Angeles Sparks Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Books Make Sparks Moneyline Favorites

The sportsbooks’ betting odds have Los Angeles Sparks as -179 favorites for this WNBA game, implying that they are 64% likely to win. At +146, Phoenix Mercury are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.

There is a spread of 4 and total points has a line of 165. A wager on the Totals allows basketball bettors to use the latest data to good effect. If you want to wager Over 165, there are odds of -110.

If you’re betting on basketball, we recommend heading to the betting sites and scanning through the many team props and game lines. There’s a chance to wager pre-game and in-game.

Betting Lines & Odds

Moneyline

Mercury

+146

Sparks

-179

Point Spread

Mercury +4

-110

Sparks -4

-110

Total Points

Under 165

-110

Over 165

-110

Satou Sabally Favorite to Get Most Points

Satou Sabally is the market leader to hit the most buckets. She is priced at -127 to score Over 22.5 points. Alternatively, you can back Under at -108.

Player Points

Satou Sabally (Mercury)

Over 22.5

-127

Under 22.5

-108

Kelsey Plum (Sparks)

Over 22.5

-125

Under 22.5

-109

Dearica Hamby (Sparks)

Over 16.5

-119

Under 16.5

-114

Azura Stevens (Sparks)

Over 12.5

-112

Under 12.5

-120

Player Assists

Kelsey Plum (Sparks)

Over 5.5

-108

Under 5.5

-127

Satou Sabally (Mercury)

Over 4.5

+128

Under 4.5

-172

Dearica Hamby (Sparks)

Over 3.5

-127

Under 3.5

-108

Player Rebounds

Azura Stevens (Sparks)

Over 9.5

+105

Under 9.5

-143

Satou Sabally (Mercury)

Over 8.5

-112

Under 8.5

-120

Dearica Hamby (Sparks)

Over 8.5

-112

Under 8.5

-120

Micro Betting

Instead of focusing on the overall outcome, some basketball bettors prefer to look at the micro betting lines. As the name suggests, it means placing short-term in-game wagers and this might include Next Field Goal, with the options being for a two-pointer or a three-pointer.

Last 5 & H2H

Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

WNBA Table Select Season 20252024202320222021202020192018

Team	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Lynx	27	5	2783	2420	363	16-1	11-4	5W
2  Liberty	21	11	2783	2605	178	13-4	8-7	1W
3  Dream	20	11	2612	2422	190	10-4	10-7	5W
4  Mercury	19	12	2577	2465	112	11-5	8-7	1L
5  Aces	18	14	2625	2653	-28	10-5	8-9	4W
6  Fever	18	15	2790	2689	101	10-7	8-8	1L
7  Valkyries	16	15	2404	2391	13	10-5	6-10	2W
8  Storm	16	16	2622	2555	67	8-8	8-8	5L
9  Sparks	15	17	2760	2827	-67	6-10	9-7	1L
10  Mystics	14	17	2437	2496	-59	9-6	5-11	1W
11  Wings	9	24	2692	2854	-162	5-12	4-12	1W
12  Sky	8	23	2351	2678	-327	5-11	3-12	2L
13  Sun	5	26	2321	2702	-381	4-11	1-15	5L

WNBA Predictions

19:00 - Wed 13 Aug WNBA Chicago Sky Connecticut Sun Betting Tips 19:30 - Wed 13 Aug WNBA Golden State Valkyries Washington Mystics Betting Tips 21:30 - Wed 13 Aug WNBA New York Liberty Las Vegas Aces Betting Tips 22:00 - Wed 13 Aug WNBA Atlanta Dream Seattle Storm Betting Tips

Next Predictions

14:45 - Wed 13 Aug EFL Cup Bolton Sheffield Wednesday Betting Tips 14:45 - Wed 13 Aug EFL Cup Barnsley Fleetwood Betting Tips 14:45 - Wed 13 Aug EFL Cup Cheltenham Exeter Betting Tips 14:45 - Wed 13 Aug EFL Cup Huddersfield Leicester Betting Tips 15:00 - Wed 13 Aug EFL Cup Birmingham Sheffield United Betting Tips 18:00 - Wed 13 Aug Copa Sudamericana Bolivar Cienciano Betting Tips