Phoenix Mercury vs Los Angeles Sparks Prediction, Picks & Odds | 26 Aug 2025

WNBA Betting Preview: Mercury vs Sparks

The Phoenix Mercury face off against the Los Angeles Sparks in this WNBA matchup at Crypto.com Arena, with tip-off scheduled for 22:00 on Tuesday, August 26. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds and H2H stats.

Under 178.5 the Most Likely Outcome

There are reasons for anticipating that the Mercury and the Sparks points tally will be lower than the line. If you agree with our prediction of Under 178.5, you will find odds of -108 available.

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Mercury Have 7 Wins in Past 10 on H2H

Phoenix Mercury won their previous game which was at home. It was a 81-72 triumph at PHX Arena against Golden State Valkyries.

Los Angeles Sparks last game saw them claim a 81-80 home win over Dallas Wings at Crypto.com Arena.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Mercury triumphed 85-80 when they last played the Sparks. This head-to-head was played at Crypto.com Arena. The Mercury have triumphed in their previous six meetings against the Sparks. On the head-to-head front, it has been 7 wins out of 10.

WNBA	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
4  Mercury	27	17	3643	3525	118	15-7	12-10	3L
9  Sparks	21	23	3769	3882	-113	9-13	12-10	1L

View Full Standings

Phoenix Mercury vs Los Angeles Sparks Prediction & Picks

Our Phoenix Mercury vs Los Angeles Sparks betting preview covers everything you need, including a key match prediction, correct score insight, top player prop bets and a value-packed bet builder recommendation.

Game Prediction

We’re not convinced these WNBA opponents are cumulatively going to produce enough points in relation to the total line. Therefore, we’re aiming to go Under 178.5 at -108.

The handicappers at Sportsgambler.com always keep close tabs on team news as it develops. We also rely on recent form and key WNBA stats to help shape our basketball predictions and guide the final call.

Key Mercury vs Sparks stats:

• The 178.5 line hasn’t been covered in 9 of the last 10 Mercury games.
• The 178.5 line hasn’t been covered in 17 of the last 20 Mercury games.
• The 178.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 2 Mercury games.
• The 178.5 line hasn’t been covered in 14 of the last 20 Sparks games at home.
• The 178.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 8 games between these teams.

Under 178.5 Probability

Based on the latest betting odds from the best basketball sportsbooks, our pick carries a 51.8% chance of winning. Based on our cappers in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 60%. This is why we regard this as a value bet.

More juice from your Unders bet can be found by combining this selection on the Match Result & Total lines. Choose the odds which match your prediction.

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Best Bet

Under 178.5 Points @ -108 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Dearica Hamby Under 17.5 Points -118

Dearica Hamby (Sparks) is available at -118 to register Under 17.5 points. There could well be a failure on her part to cover the total and this looks pretty generous to us.

Latest Dearica Hamby Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 16.5

-114

Under 16.5

-114

Assists

Over 3.5

+132

Under 3.5

-172

Rebounds

Over 7.5

-105

Under 7.5

-123

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Azurá Stevens Under 13.5 Points -130

Azurá Stevens (Sparks) can be wagered to register Under 13.5 points at -130. Should you agree with our verdict that she doesn’t reach this total, you can go under the line.

Latest Azurá Stevens Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 11.5

-114

Under 11.5

-114

Rebounds

Over 6.5

-103

Under 6.5

-125

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Correct Score Prediction

Mercury 86 - 85 Sparks

A close game could be on the cards. We’ll wager the Mercury to secure a 86-85 win at massive odds and this correct score pick should hopefully be a fun one.

Phoenix Mercury vs Los Angeles Sparks Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Mercury Likely to Win According to Latest Odds

The Phoenix Mercury odds have been priced up by the sportsbooks and they are -161 betting favorites to land victory in this WNBA game which means a 62% chance of winning. Los Angeles Sparks are regarded as a long shot to win and you can currently back them at +132.

The spread is currently 3, with the total points line at 177.5. A wager on the Totals allows basketball bettors to use the latest data to good effect. If you’re going for Under 177.5, this outcome can be backed at -108.

Consider every angle when placing your women's hoops wagers. The best basketball betting sites have a huge selection of team props and game lines and it’s all about finding a bet which matches your prediction of the contest.

Moneyline

Mercury

-161

Sparks

+132

Point Spread

Mercury -3

-112

Sparks +3

-108

Total Points

Under 177.5

-108

Over 177.5

-112

Kelsey Plum Favorite to Get the Most Buckets

Kelsey Plum is the market leader to land the most baskets. She is priced at -102 to score Over 20.5 points. Alternatively, you can back Under at -127.

Kelsey Plum (Sparks)

Over 20.5

-102

Under 20.5

-127

Dearica Hamby (Sparks)

Over 16.5

-114

Under 16.5

-114

Kahleah Copper (Mercury)

Over 16.5

-100

Under 16.5

-130

Rickea Jackson (Sparks)

Over 15.5

-116

Under 15.5

-111

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 15.5

-108

Under 15.5

-120

Satou Sabally (Mercury)

Over 15.5

-106

Under 15.5

-122

Azurá Stevens (Sparks)

Over 11.5

-114

Under 11.5

-114

Cameron Brink (Sparks)

Over 8.5

-100

Under 8.5

-130

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 9.5

+102

Under 9.5

-132

Kelsey Plum (Sparks)

Over 5.5

-114

Under 5.5

-114

Dearica Hamby (Sparks)

Over 3.5

+132

Under 3.5

-172

Satou Sabally (Mercury)

Over 2.5

-108

Under 2.5

-120

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 8.5

-149

Under 8.5

+115

Dearica Hamby (Sparks)

Over 7.5

-105

Under 7.5

-123

Azurá Stevens (Sparks)

Over 6.5

-103

Under 6.5

-125

Satou Sabally (Mercury)

Over 5.5

-125

Under 5.5

-103

Cameron Brink (Sparks)

Over 5.5

-130

Under 5.5

-100

Kelsey Plum (Sparks)

Over 3.5

+105

Under 3.5

-135

Kahleah Copper (Mercury)

Over 3.5

+117

Under 3.5

-152

Rickea Jackson (Sparks)

Over 3.5

-128

Under 3.5

-101

Micro Betting

Micro betting provides a rollercoaster ride for basketball bettors. It can be great to enjoy the live lines, with the opportunity to wager on the Next Field Goal. Watch the live action before deciding which way to go.

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Phoenix Mercury Stats

Los Angeles Sparks Stats

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• -3.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• +3.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 158.20 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 165.00 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 178.5: Covered in 1 of the previous 10 games
• Over 178.5 on the Road: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 80.60 pts and allowed 77.60 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 80.80 pts and allowed 84.20 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 181.40 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 180.40 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 178.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 178.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 89.80 pts and allowed 91.60 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 90.60 pts and allowed 89.80 pts in the last 10 home games

WNBA Table Select Season 20252024202320222021202020192018

Team	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Lynx	34	10	3787	3373	414	20-2	14-8	1W
2  Aces	30	14	3680	3552	128	17-5	13-9	16W
3  Dream	30	14	3712	3378	334	16-6	14-8	6W
4  Mercury	27	17	3643	3525	118	15-7	12-10	3L
5  Liberty	27	17	3713	3534	179	17-5	10-12	3W
6  Fever	24	20	3734	3586	148	13-9	11-11	3W
7  Storm	23	21	3614	3524	90	10-12	13-9	1W
8  Valkyries	23	21	3420	3359	61	14-8	9-13	3L
9  Sparks	21	23	3769	3882	-113	9-13	12-10	1L
10  Mystics	16	28	3394	3589	-195	10-12	6-16	10L
11  Sun	11	33	3337	3782	-445	7-15	4-18	2L
12  Sky	10	34	3335	3777	-442	6-16	4-18	4L
13  Wings	10	34	3594	3871	-277	6-16	4-18	1W