Phoenix Mercury vs Los Angeles Sparks Prediction, Picks & Odds | 26 Aug 2025
WNBA Betting Preview: Mercury vs Sparks
The Mercury face off against the Sparks in this WNBA matchup at Crypto.com Arena, with tip-off scheduled for 22:00 on Tuesday, August 26, 2025. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds and H2H stats.
Under 178.5 the Most Likely Outcome
There are reasons for anticipating that the Mercury and the Sparks points tally will be lower than the line. If you agree with our prediction of Under 178.5, you will find odds of -108 available.
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Mercury Have 7 Wins in Past 10 on H2H
Phoenix Mercury won their previous game which was at home. It was a 81-72 triumph at PHX Arena against Golden State Valkyries.
Los Angeles Sparks last game saw them claim a 81-80 home win over Dallas Wings at Crypto.com Arena.
Head-to-Head Statistics
The Mercury triumphed 85-80 when they last played the Sparks. This head-to-head was played at Crypto.com Arena. The Mercury have triumphed in their previous six meetings against the Sparks. On the head-to-head front, it has been 7 wins out of 10.
| WNBA | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4
Mercury
|
22 | 14 | 2985 | 2879 | 106 | 12-6 | 10-8 | 1W |
9
Sparks
|
17 | 18 | 3024 | 3098 | -74 | 7-10 | 10-8 | 1W |
Phoenix Mercury vs Los Angeles Sparks Prediction & Picks
Our Phoenix Mercury vs Los Angeles Sparks betting preview covers everything you need, including a key match prediction, correct score insight, top player prop bets and a value-packed bet builder recommendation.
Game Prediction
We’re not convinced these WNBA opponents are cumulatively going to produce enough points in relation to the total line. Therefore, we’re aiming to go Under 178.5 at -108.
The handicappers at Sportsgambler.com always keep close tabs on team news as it develops. We also rely on recent form and key WNBA stats to help shape our basketball predictions and guide the final call.
Key Mercury vs Sparks stats:
Under 178.5 Probability
Based on the latest betting odds from the best basketball sportsbooks, our pick carries a 51.8% chance of winning. Based on our cappers in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 60%. This is why we regard this as a value bet.
More juice from your Unders bet can be found by combining this selection on the Match Result & Total lines. Choose the odds which match your prediction.
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Best Bet
Under 178.5 Points @ -108
Player Prop Picks
Dearica Hamby (Sparks) is available at -118 to register Under 17.5 points. There could well be a failure on her part to cover the total and this looks pretty generous to us.
Latest Dearica Hamby Player Prop Odds
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Azurá Stevens (Sparks) can be wagered to register Under 13.5 points at -130. Should you agree with our verdict that she doesn’t reach this total, you can go under the line.
Latest Azurá Stevens Player Prop Odds
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Same Game Parlay Picks
We’ve loaded up a same game parlay with the combined picks of Under 178.5, Sparks +3.5 and Dearica Hamby (Sparks) to score Under 17.5 points.
The same game parlay option is great for basketball bettors wanting a personalised multi-leg wager on the same game. It’s especially good if you have a strong view on the likely outcomes and the odds for each pick are combined.
Correct Score Prediction
86
-
85
Sparks
A close game could be on the cards. We’ll wager the Mercury to secure a 86-85 win at massive odds and this correct score pick should hopefully be a fun one.
Phoenix Mercury vs Los Angeles Sparks Odds
The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.
Mercury Likely to Win According to Latest Odds
The Phoenix Mercury odds have been priced up by the sportsbooks and they are -179 betting favorites to land victory in this WNBA game which means a 64% chance of winning. Los Angeles Sparks are regarded as a long shot to win and you can currently back them at +146.
The spread is currently 3.5, with the total points line at 178.5. A wager on the Totals allows basketball bettors to use the latest data to good effect. If you’re going for Under 178.5, this outcome can be backed at -108.
Consider every angle when placing your women's hoops wagers. The best basketball betting sites have a huge selection of team props and game lines and it’s all about finding a bet which matches your prediction of the contest.
Kelsey Plum Favorite to Get the Most Buckets
Kelsey Plum is the market leader to land the most baskets. She is priced at -105 to score Over 20.5 points. Alternatively, you can back Under at -123.
Last 5 & H2H
- WNBA: 02/06 2025 Mercury 85 Sparks 80
- WNBA: 22/05 2025 Sparks 86 Mercury 89
- WNBA: 18/09 2024 Mercury 85 Sparks 81
- WNBA: 08/07 2024 Mercury 84 Sparks 78
- WNBA: 29/06 2024 Sparks 78 Mercury 92
- WNBA: 03/06 2024 Sparks 68 Mercury 87
- WNBA: 24/08 2023 Mercury 62 Sparks 91
- WNBA: 10/07 2023 Sparks 72 Mercury 78
- WNBA: 03/06 2023 Sparks 99 Mercury 93
- WNBA: 20/05 2023 Mercury 71 Sparks 94
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Phoenix Mercury Stats
Los Angeles Sparks Stats
- 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
- 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- -3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
- -3.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games on the road
- +3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
- +3.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 158.20 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 165.00 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 178.5: Covered in 1 of the previous 10 games
- Over 178.5 on the Road: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 80.60 pts and allowed 77.60 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 80.80 pts and allowed 84.20 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 181.40 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 180.40 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 178.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
- Over 178.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 89.80 pts and allowed 91.60 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 90.60 pts and allowed 89.80 pts in the last 10 home games
WNBA Table Select Season
| Team | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1
Lynx
|
30 | 7 | 3209 | 2834 | 375 | 18-1 | 12-6 | 2W |
2
Dream
|
24 | 13 | 3079 | 2849 | 230 | 12-5 | 12-8 | 2W |
3
Aces
|
24 | 14 | 3148 | 3114 | 34 | 14-5 | 10-9 | 10W |
|
4
Mercury
|
22 | 14 | 2985 | 2879 | 106 | 12-6 | 10-8 | 1W |
5
Liberty
|
22 | 15 | 3172 | 3018 | 154 | 14-5 | 8-10 | 2L |
6
Storm
|
20 | 18 | 3132 | 3033 | 99 | 8-10 | 12-8 | 3W |
7
Valkyries
|
19 | 18 | 2898 | 2872 | 26 | 10-7 | 9-11 | 1W |
8
Fever
|
19 | 18 | 3147 | 3062 | 85 | 10-9 | 9-9 | 2L |
|
9
Sparks
|
17 | 18 | 3024 | 3098 | -74 | 7-10 | 10-8 | 1W |
10
Mystics
|
16 | 22 | 2991 | 3076 | -85 | 10-10 | 6-12 | 4L |
11
Sun
|
9 | 27 | 2726 | 3072 | -346 | 6-12 | 3-15 | 3W |
12
Sky
|
9 | 27 | 2735 | 3112 | -377 | 5-14 | 4-13 | 1L |
13
Wings
|
9 | 29 | 3096 | 3323 | -227 | 5-15 | 4-14 | 5L |
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