Phoenix Mercury vs New York Liberty Prediction, Picks & Odds | 19 Jun 2025

Liberty to Outclass Mercury

The Liberty can finish well clear of the Mercury and that means we’re going for them against the spread. There is -110 on offer that the favorites are able to cover a -11.5 line.

Liberty Won 84-70 in Teams’ Last Encounter

Phoenix Mercury got the win in their previous game. A 83-75 triumph occurred on the road at Mohegan Sun Arena when playing Connecticut Sun.

New York Liberty were winners last time out. It was a 86-81 home victory against Atlanta Dream at Barclays Center.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The scoreline was 84-70 in favor of the Liberty when they last played the Mercury, with the matchup taking place at Footprint Center. The past 10 H2H games have seen the Liberty land six wins.

WNBA	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
4  Mercury	24	14	3160	3042	118	13-6	11-8	3W
5  Liberty	24	15	3342	3160	182	16-5	8-10	2W

View Full Standings

Phoenix Mercury vs New York Liberty Prediction & Picks

There’s a case for taking the -110 that Liberty can overcome the -11.5 in this WNBA matchup. They should be capable of a sizeable win and that means we’re backing the favorites against the spread.

The first port of call is to check out the team news for each franchise and then scroll through the form guide. We take this information and apply it to the latest available stats to come up with a verdict.

Key Mercury vs Liberty stats:

• The -11.5 line has been covered by Liberty in 3 of their last 5 games at home.

Liberty -11.5 Probability

According to the sportsbooks, our pick has a 52.4% chance of winning. In the opinion of our analysts, there’s actually a probability of success between 55-60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this wager.

If you want to land bigger odds, you might be interested to know that you can move the betting line. There’s extra juice depending on how risky you want your wager to be.

Best Bet

Liberty -11.5 @ -110 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Satou Sabally Under 7.5 Rebounds +107

Satou Sabally (Mercury) can be backed to have Under 7.5 rebounds at +107. We really like this player prop so we’re going to bet on her to fall short when it comes to rebounds.

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Jonquel Jones Over 12.5 Points -116

Jonquel Jones (Liberty) is available at -116 to total Over 12.5 points. We’re happy to take this Player Points prop bet as she is capable of a big performance.

Correct Score Prediction

Mercury 71 - 87 Liberty

The Liberty to win by a 87-71 scoreline could be worth a chance. There’s a big potential return if you can land this bet on the money and it should provide some entertainment.

Phoenix Mercury vs New York Liberty Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Books Taking No Chances With Liberty

New York Liberty are strong -833 favorites to win this WNBA game according to the Moneyline betting odds. The sportsbooks give them a 89% chance of claiming victory. The market suggests that Phoenix Mercury are least likely to win at +520.

The current spread is 11.5 and total points is 163.5. A Total bet relates to the number of points that will be scored overall. If you fancy Under 163.5, then the odds are -110.

There are a wide range of team props and game lines when it comes to wagering on this exciting league and we recommend visiting the leading betting sites to find the wager that matches your view on the contest.

Moneyline

Mercury

+520

Liberty

-833

Point Spread

Mercury +11.5

-106

Liberty -11.5

-114

Total Points

Under 163.5

-110

Over 163.5

-110

Sabrina Ionescu Favorite to Score the Most Baskets

The favorite to score most points is Sabrina Ionescu. You can get -116 that she scores Over 19.5 points and the same odds that she goes Under.

Sabrina Ionescu (Liberty)

Over 19.5

-116

Under 19.5

-116

Satou Sabally (Mercury)

Over 19.5

-111

Under 19.5

-122

Breanna Stewart (Liberty)

Over 18.5

-119

Under 18.5

-114

Jonquel Jones (Liberty)

Over 12.5

-120

Under 12.5

-112

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 12.5

-105

Under 12.5

-128

Natasha Cloud (Liberty)

Over 8.5

-132

Under 8.5

-103

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 8.5

-132

Under 8.5

-103

Sabrina Ionescu (Liberty)

Over 5.5

-102

Under 5.5

-133

Natasha Cloud (Liberty)

Over 5.5

-143

Under 5.5

+105

Breanna Stewart (Liberty)

Over 3.5

+107

Under 3.5

-147

Satou Sabally (Mercury)

Over 2.5

-147

Under 2.5

+107

Jonquel Jones (Liberty)

Over 10.5

-104

Under 10.5

-130

Satou Sabally (Mercury)

Over 7.5

-141

Under 7.5

+104

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 7.5

+106

Under 7.5

-143

Breanna Stewart (Liberty)

Over 5.5

-139

Under 5.5

+102

Sabrina Ionescu (Liberty)

Over 3.5

-147

Under 3.5

+108

Natasha Cloud (Liberty)

Over 3.5

-100

Under 3.5

-137

Micro Betting

Micro betting provides a rollercoaster ride for basketball bettors. It can be great to enjoy the live lines, with the opportunity to wager on the Next Field Goal. Watch the live action before deciding which way to go.

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Phoenix Mercury Stats

New York Liberty Stats

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +5.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• +5.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -5.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• -5.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 170.50 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 161.90 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 171.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 171.5 on the Road: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 87.60 pts and allowed 82.90 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 80.80 pts and allowed 81.10 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 168.50 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 163.00 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 171.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 171.5 at Home: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 85.30 pts and allowed 83.20 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 87.30 pts and allowed 75.70 pts in the last 10 home games

WNBA Table Select Season 20252024202320222021202020192018

Team	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Lynx	30	8	3288	2927	361	18-2	12-6	1L
2  Aces	26	14	3308	3263	45	14-5	12-9	12W
3  Dream	24	14	3154	2930	224	12-6	12-8	1L
4  Mercury	24	14	3160	3042	118	13-6	11-8	3W
5  Liberty	24	15	3342	3160	182	16-5	8-10	2W
6  Fever	20	18	3242	3137	105	11-9	9-9	1W
7  Storm	21	19	3300	3207	93	8-10	13-9	1W
8  Valkyries	19	18	2898	2872	26	10-7	9-11	1W
9  Sparks	17	19	3108	3190	-82	7-11	10-8	1L
10  Mystics	16	23	3054	3165	-111	10-10	6-13	5L
11  Sun	10	28	2906	3248	-342	6-12	4-16	1W
12  Sky	9	29	2888	3274	-386	5-15	4-14	3L
13  Wings	9	30	3191	3424	-233	5-16	4-14	6L