Phoenix Mercury vs New York Liberty Prediction, Bet Builder Tips & Odds | WNBA, 25 Jul 2025

Side With Mercury Against The Spread

Our best bet is the Mercury against the spread. +5.5 at odds of -106 look generous and we’re happy to back the underdogs with this advantage against the Liberty.

Mercury Beat Liberty in Pair’s Previous Matchup

Phoenix Mercury were defeated in their previous game. They were beaten at home to Atlanta Dream by a 90-79 scoreline at Footprint Center.

New York Liberty were winners last time out. It was a 98-84 home victory against Indiana Fever at Barclays Center.

The Mercury have claimed back-to-back victories over the Liberty. At Barclays Center they won 89-81 before winning 106-91 at Footprint Center. The Liberty have won six of the previous 10 H2H meetings.

WNBA	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
2  Liberty	16	6	1922	1747	175	11-2	5-4	4W
3  Mercury	15	8	1914	1835	79	9-4	6-4	2L

View Full Standings

Expert WNBA Analysis

The form is always taken into consideration and it’s great to combine this with team news as it becomes available. In order to provide an expert WNBA verdict, the latest stats are analysed so that we have the best information.

Key Mercury vs Liberty stats:

• The +5.5 line has been covered by Mercury in 15 of their last 20 games.
• The +5.5 line has been covered by Mercury in 7 of their last 10 games.
• The -5.5 line hasn’t been covered by Liberty in 2 consecutive games against Mercury.

Mercury vs Liberty Prediction

We’re confident of Phoenix Mercury staying close in this WNBA contest, with our pick being that they’ll cover the spread. The +5.5 line looks generous at odds of -106.

If you want to secure a bigger potential payout on your wager, there’s the possibility to move the betting line. Take a look at the various odds and see which spread you think will be covered.

Mercury +5.5 Probability

According to the latest odds, our pick has a 51.5% chance of delivering a return. However, we have this number closer to 60% based on our in-depth research. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.

Our Pick

Mercury +5.5 @ -106 Bet Now

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Player Props

Alyssa Thomas Over 9.5 Assists +103

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury) can be backed to finish with Over 9.5 assists at +103. We’re happy to wager that she is able to cover the line, with this Player Assists bet making appeal.

Latest Alyssa Thomas Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 13.5

-102

Under 13.5

-127

Assists

Over 9.5

-100

Under 9.5

-130

Rebounds

Over 7.5

-106

Under 7.5

-122

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Breanna Stewart Over 6.5 Rebounds -130

Breanna Stewart (Liberty) is available at -130 to record Over 6.5 rebounds. We recommend taking the pick that she is able to cover the line, with this Player Rebounds bet hopefully providing a return.

Latest Breanna Stewart Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 19.5

-103

Under 19.5

-125

Assists

Over 3.5

-114

Under 3.5

-114

Rebounds

Over 6.5

-108

Under 6.5

-120

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Correct Score Prediction

Mercury 83 - 84 Liberty

We’re expecting this to be a close contest and we’ll take the Liberty to win 84-83. This is available at massive odds for those that want to have a speculative wager.

Phoenix Mercury vs New York Liberty Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Books Have Liberty as Favorites

The sportsbooks’ betting odds have New York Liberty as -250 favorites for this WNBA game, implying that they are 71% likely to win. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +198 about Phoenix Mercury.

The spread currently stands at 6 and the total points line is 171. There are many ways to wager on basketball including the Totals. If you want to bet Under 171, there are odds of -110.

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Betting Lines & Odds

Moneyline

Mercury

+198

Liberty

-250

Point Spread

Mercury +6

-110

Liberty -6

-110

Total Points

Under 171

-110

Over 171

-110

Breanna Stewart Favorite to Get Most Points

The favorite to hit the most buckets is Breanna Stewart. Odds of -103 can be found for her scoring Over 19.5 points and there is -125 for her to go Under.

Player Points

Breanna Stewart (Liberty)

Over 19.5

-103

Under 19.5

-125

Sabrina Ionescu (Liberty)

Over 17.5

-112

Under 17.5

-115

Satou Sabally (Mercury)

Over 15.5

-106

Under 15.5

-122

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 13.5

-102

Under 13.5

-127

Kahleah Copper (Mercury)

Over 12.5

-122

Under 12.5

-106

Jonquel Jones (Liberty)

Over 12.5

-102

Under 12.5

-127

Leonie Fiebich (Liberty)

Over 9.5

+110

Under 9.5

-143

Sami Whitcomb (Mercury)

Over 8.5

-135

Under 8.5

+105

Natasha Cloud (Liberty)

Over 8.5

-123

Under 8.5

-104

Player Assists

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 9.5

-100

Under 9.5

-130

Sabrina Ionescu (Liberty)

Over 5.5

-100

Under 5.5

-130

Natasha Cloud (Liberty)

Over 5.5

+110

Under 5.5

-143

Breanna Stewart (Liberty)

Over 3.5

-114

Under 3.5

-114

Satou Sabally (Mercury)

Over 2.5

+104

Under 2.5

-135

Player Rebounds

Jonquel Jones (Liberty)

Over 8.5

-122

Under 8.5

-106

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 7.5

-106

Under 7.5

-122

Breanna Stewart (Liberty)

Over 6.5

-108

Under 6.5

-120

Satou Sabally (Mercury)

Over 6.5

+110

Under 6.5

-143

Sabrina Ionescu (Liberty)

Over 4.5

+115

Under 4.5

-149

Leonie Fiebich (Liberty)

Over 4.5

+107

Under 4.5

-139

Kahleah Copper (Mercury)

Over 3.5

+122

Under 3.5

-159

Natasha Cloud (Liberty)

Over 3.5

+109

Under 3.5

-141

Micro Betting

An increasing number of basketball bettors are now enjoying micro betting and it’s something which is available on an in-game basis. Wait for the action to start and then wager on something specific to happen.

Last 5 & H2H

Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

WNBA Table Select Season 20252024202320222021202020192018

Team	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Lynx	21	4	2123	1867	256	13-0	8-4	3W
2  Liberty	16	6	1922	1747	175	11-2	5-4	4W
3  Mercury	15	8	1914	1835	79	9-4	6-4	2L
4  Storm	15	10	2019	1940	79	8-5	7-5	1W
5  Dream	14	10	2005	1888	117	8-3	6-7	1W
6  Fever	13	12	2101	2012	89	8-6	5-6	1W
7  Aces	12	12	1931	1958	-27	7-4	5-8	1L
8  Mystics	11	12	1812	1861	-49	7-4	4-8	2L
9  Valkyries	10	12	1741	1717	24	7-4	3-8	3L
10  Sparks	10	14	2025	2083	-58	3-8	7-6	4W
11  Sky	7	17	1841	2084	-243	4-7	3-10	4L
12  Wings	7	17	1969	2060	-91	4-7	3-10	1W
13  Sun	3	20	1685	2036	-351	2-9	1-11	4L

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