Phoenix Mercury vs New York Liberty Prediction, Picks & Odds | 25 Jul 2025
Our best bet is the Mercury against the spread. +5.5 at odds of -106 look generous and we’re happy to back the underdogs with this advantage against the Liberty.
Phoenix Mercury were defeated in their previous game. They were beaten at home to Atlanta Dream by a 90-79 scoreline at Footprint Center.
New York Liberty were winners last time out. It was a 98-84 home victory against Indiana Fever at Barclays Center.
Head-to-Head Statistics
The Mercury have claimed back-to-back victories over the Liberty. At Barclays Center they won 89-81 before winning 106-91 at Footprint Center. The Liberty have won six of the previous 10 H2H meetings.
| WNBA | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10
Liberty
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | - |
11
Mercury
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | - |
Phoenix Mercury vs New York Liberty Prediction & Picks
We’re confident of Mercury staying close in this WNBA contest, with our pick being that they’ll cover the spread. The +5.5 line looks generous at odds of -106.
The form is always taken into consideration and it’s great to combine this with team news as it becomes available. In order to provide an expert WNBA verdict, the latest stats are analysed so that we have the best information.
Key Mercury vs Liberty stats:
Mercury +5.5 Probability
According to the latest odds, our pick has a 51.5% chance of delivering a return. However, we have this number closer to 60% based on our in-depth research. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.
If you want to secure a bigger potential payout on your wager, there’s the possibility to move the betting line. Take a look at the various odds and see which spread you think will be covered.
Player Prop Picks
Alyssa Thomas (Mercury) can be backed to finish with Over 9.5 assists at +103. We’re happy to wager that she is able to cover the line, with this Player Assists bet making appeal.
Latest Alyssa Thomas Player Prop Odds
Breanna Stewart (Liberty) is available at -130 to record Over 6.5 rebounds. We recommend taking the pick that she is able to cover the line, with this Player Rebounds bet hopefully providing a return.
Latest Breanna Stewart Player Prop Odds
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Same Game Parlay Picks
Try out our same game parlay pick which starts with Mercury +5.5. We’ve also gone for Under 171.5 and Alyssa Thomas (Mercury) to get Over 9.5 assists.
The betting sites now allow you to place a same game parlay on each individual game. It means that you can create a personalised basketball wager at bigger odds, with there generally being no limit as to the number of selections.
Correct Score Prediction
83
-
84
Liberty
We’re expecting this to be a close contest and we’ll take the Liberty to win 84-83. This is available at massive odds for those that want to have a speculative wager.
Phoenix Mercury vs New York Liberty Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
The sportsbooks’ betting odds have New York Liberty as -250 favorites for this WNBA game, implying that they are 71% likely to win. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +198 about Phoenix Mercury.
The spread currently stands at 6 and the total points line is 171. There are many ways to wager on basketball including the Totals. If you want to bet Under 171, there are odds of -110.
Women's hoops bettors are spoilt for choice thanks to the wide range of game lines and team props which are available for every contest on the coupon. Head to the top basketball sportsbooks and find the best value wagers.
The favorite to hit the most buckets is Breanna Stewart. Odds of -103 can be found for her scoring Over 19.5 points and there is -125 for her to go Under.
An increasing number of basketball bettors are now enjoying micro betting and it’s something which is available on an in-game basis. Wait for the action to start and then wager on something specific to happen.
- WNBA: 14/09 2025 Liberty 76 Mercury 69
- WNBA: 31/08 2025 Liberty 63 Mercury 80
- WNBA: 26/07 2025 Mercury 76 Liberty 89
- WNBA: 28/06 2025 Liberty 91 Mercury 106
- WNBA: 20/06 2025 Mercury 89 Liberty 81
- WNBA: 27/08 2024 Liberty 84 Mercury 70
- WNBA: 19/06 2024 Liberty 93 Mercury 99
- WNBA: 30/05 2024 Mercury 78 Liberty 81
- WNBA: 19/08 2023 Liberty 85 Mercury 63
- WNBA: 06/07 2023 Mercury 95 Liberty 99
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Phoenix Mercury Stats
New York Liberty Stats
- 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
- 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- +2.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
- +2.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games on the road
- -2.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
- -2.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 160.20 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 168.90 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 159.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
- Over 159.5 on the Road: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 80.80 pts and allowed 79.40 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 82.70 pts and allowed 86.20 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 151.80 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 165.10 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 159.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
- Over 159.5 at Home: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 76.40 pts and allowed 75.40 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 85.70 pts and allowed 79.40 pts in the last 10 home games
WNBA Table Select Season
| Team | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1
Dream
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | - |
2
Sky
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | - |
3
Sun
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | - |
4
Wings
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | - |
5
Valkyries
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | - |
6
Fever
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | - |
7
Aces
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | - |
8
Sparks
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | - |
9
Lynx
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | - |
|
10
Liberty
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | - |
|
11
Mercury
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | - |
12
Portland Fire
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | - |
13
Storm
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | - |
14
Toronto Tempo
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | - |
15
Mystics
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | - |
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