Phoenix Mercury vs New York Liberty Prediction, Picks & Odds | 17 Sep 2025
WNBA Betting Preview: Mercury vs Liberty
The Mercury lock horns with the Liberty in this WNBA matchup at Barclays Center, with tip-off scheduled for 20:00 on Wednesday, September 17. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds and H2H stats.
Liberty Might Prove Too Strong
We’re eager to back the Liberty to get the better of the Mercury and that leads us to the Moneyline for our prediction. It’s difficult to turn down the -147 that they claim the win.
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Last H2H Saw Liberty Triumph in Overtime
The last meeting between New York Liberty and Phoenix Mercury was on Sunday, with Liberty landing a 76-69 (OT) victory. The Liberty have triumphed in six of the previous 10 clashes between these teams.
| WNBA | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4
Mercury
|
27 | 17 | 3643 | 3525 | 118 | 15-7 | 12-10 | 3L |
5
Liberty
|
27 | 17 | 3713 | 3534 | 179 | 17-5 | 10-12 | 3W |
Phoenix Mercury vs New York Liberty Prediction & Picks
From our main match prediction to correct score advice, must-watch player props and a custom bet builder — this Phoenix Mercury vs New York Liberty betting preview covers it all.
Game Prediction
The value bet could involve heading to the Moneyline where you can back Liberty to win this WNBA game. Our pick is currently on offer at an attractive -147.
The handicappers at Sportsgambler.com always keep close tabs on team news as it develops. We also rely on recent form and key WNBA stats to help shape our basketball predictions and guide the final call.
Key Mercury vs Liberty stats:
Liberty Moneyline Probability
The odds at the top basketball sportsbooks suggest our pick has a 59.5% chance of winning. After careful examination, our analysts calculate this probability to be somewhere between 65-70%. This is why we regard this as a value bet.
The Liberty are available at a range of odds on the spread. If you are looking for more juice, then check out the latest betting lines and choose from the available spreads.
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Best Bet
Liberty Moneyline @ -147
Player Prop Picks
Sabrina Ionescu (Liberty) can be backed to secure Over 5.5 assists at -130. The total is attractive when it comes to betting on Player Assists and we’re confident of landing a return.
Latest Sabrina Ionescu Player Prop Odds
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DeWanna Bonner (Mercury) is available at -128 to record Under 10.5 points. When it comes to her Player Points outcome, we are fairly confident she will total below the line.
Latest DeWanna Bonner Player Prop Odds
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Same Game Parlay Picks
We’ve compiled a same game parlay that includes Liberty on the moneyline, along with Under 159.5 and Sabrina Ionescu (Liberty) to get Over 5.5 assists.
Should you want to back different outcomes for the same basketball game, then a same game parlay will suit your needs. The betting sites create this personalised wagering tool where you can make different picks and combine the odds together.
Correct Score Prediction
76
-
78
Liberty
Don’t pass up the opportunity to have a speculative wager on the Liberty to land a 78-76 win. We don’t think that there will be too much between the teams.
Phoenix Mercury vs New York Liberty Odds
The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.
Latest Moneyline Odds Suggest Liberty Victory
New York Liberty are regarded as having a 60% chance of winning this WNBA game according to the latest betting odds. The sportsbooks have priced them up at -149. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +122 about Phoenix Mercury.
There is a spread of 2.5 and total points has a line of 158.5. There are many ways to wager on basketball including the Totals. Those that want to back Under 158.5 can find odds of -108 available.
No matter if you're betting before the tip-off or during the live women's hoops action, the top basketball sportsbooks have you covered with countless game lines and team props. It’s a major advantage to have such a deep pool of options at your fingertips.
Sabrina Ionescu Favorite to Get the Most Buckets
In terms of scoring most points, favorite Sabrina Ionescu is available at -103 to rack up Over 18.5 points. If you want to go Under, then -125 is available.
Last 5 & H2H
- WNBA: 14/09 2025 Liberty 76 Mercury 69
- WNBA: 31/08 2025 Liberty 63 Mercury 80
- WNBA: 26/07 2025 Mercury 76 Liberty 89
- WNBA: 28/06 2025 Liberty 91 Mercury 106
- WNBA: 20/06 2025 Mercury 89 Liberty 81
- WNBA: 27/08 2024 Liberty 84 Mercury 70
- WNBA: 19/06 2024 Liberty 93 Mercury 99
- WNBA: 30/05 2024 Mercury 78 Liberty 81
- WNBA: 19/08 2023 Liberty 85 Mercury 63
- WNBA: 06/07 2023 Mercury 95 Liberty 99
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Phoenix Mercury Stats
New York Liberty Stats
- 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
- 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- +2.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
- +2.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games on the road
- -2.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
- -2.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 160.20 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 168.90 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 159.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
- Over 159.5 on the Road: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 80.80 pts and allowed 79.40 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 82.70 pts and allowed 86.20 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 151.80 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 165.10 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 159.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
- Over 159.5 at Home: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 76.40 pts and allowed 75.40 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 85.70 pts and allowed 79.40 pts in the last 10 home games
WNBA Table Select Season
| Team | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1
Lynx
|
34 | 10 | 3787 | 3373 | 414 | 20-2 | 14-8 | 1W |
2
Aces
|
30 | 14 | 3680 | 3552 | 128 | 17-5 | 13-9 | 16W |
3
Dream
|
30 | 14 | 3712 | 3378 | 334 | 16-6 | 14-8 | 6W |
|
4
Mercury
|
27 | 17 | 3643 | 3525 | 118 | 15-7 | 12-10 | 3L |
|
5
Liberty
|
27 | 17 | 3713 | 3534 | 179 | 17-5 | 10-12 | 3W |
6
Fever
|
24 | 20 | 3734 | 3586 | 148 | 13-9 | 11-11 | 3W |
7
Storm
|
23 | 21 | 3614 | 3524 | 90 | 10-12 | 13-9 | 1W |
8
Valkyries
|
23 | 21 | 3420 | 3359 | 61 | 14-8 | 9-13 | 3L |
9
Sparks
|
21 | 23 | 3769 | 3882 | -113 | 9-13 | 12-10 | 1L |
10
Mystics
|
16 | 28 | 3394 | 3589 | -195 | 10-12 | 6-16 | 10L |
11
Sun
|
11 | 33 | 3337 | 3782 | -445 | 7-15 | 4-18 | 2L |
12
Sky
|
10 | 34 | 3335 | 3777 | -442 | 6-16 | 4-18 | 4L |
13
Wings
|
10 | 34 | 3594 | 3871 | -277 | 6-16 | 4-18 | 1W |
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