Phoenix Mercury vs Seattle Storm Prediction, Betting Tips & Odds | 17 Aug 2025

WNBA Betting Preview: Mercury vs Storm

The Mercury face the Storm in this WNBA matchup at Climate Pledge Arena, with tip-off scheduled for 18:00 on Sunday, August 17, 2025. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds and H2H stats.

Back Mercury to Win

Our betting prediction is to confidently back the Mercury on the Moneyline. You can get -105 that the road team get the better of the Storm when all is said and done.

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Storm H2H Record Includes 8 Wins in 10

Phoenix Mercury lost when they last took to the court. At Footprint Center, they were turned over 86-83 at home to Las Vegas Aces.

Seattle Storm triumphed in their last game. It was on the road where Atlanta Dream were beaten 80-78 at Gateway Center Arena.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Storm have won the last two meetings against the Mercury. They triumphed 77-70 at Climate Pledge Arena and then 89-77 at Footprint Center. The previous 10 games featuring these teams have resulted in eight Storm victories.

WNBA	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
4  Mercury	19	13	2660	2551	109	11-6	8-7	2L
8  Storm	17	17	2777	2718	59	8-9	9-8	1W

View Full Standings

Phoenix Mercury vs Seattle Storm Prediction & Betting Tips

We dive into the top Phoenix Mercury vs Seattle Storm betting angles, including our main match prediction, correct score play, standout player prop picks and a bet builder tailored for value.

Match Prediction

It’s time to side with Mercury to claim a victory in this WNBA matchup. The road team should have the upper hand and the -105 for our Moneyline pick looks a great price.

Injuries are always factored in by the handicappers at Sportsgambler.com. Our basketball picks are also shaped by recent form, with up-to-date WNBA stats playing a key role before any selections are locked in.

Key Mercury vs Storm stats:

• Mercury have won 3 of their last 5 games.
• Mercury have won 11 of their last 20 games.
• Storm have lost their last 5 games at home.
• Storm have lost 7 of their last 10 games.
• Storm have lost 12 of their last 20 games.

Mercury Moneyline Probability

The best sportsbooks are estimating that there is a 51.3% likelihood of this pick winning. In the opinion of our cappers, there’s actually a probability of success between 55-60%. This is why we can recommend this WNBA wager.

As an option, you could consider the spread where you can back the Mercury to cover a particular line. That means you might need a margin of victory to yield a return.

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Our Pick

Mercury Moneyline @ -105 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Gabby Williams Under 9.5 Points +115

Gabby Williams (Storm) can be backed to record Under 9.5 points at +115. When it comes to her Player Points outcome, we are fairly confident she will total below the line.

Latest Gabby Williams Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 9.5

-149

Under 9.5

+115

Assists

Over 5.5

+186

Under 5.5

-250

Rebounds

Over 3.5

-164

Under 3.5

+126

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Alyssa Thomas Over 14.5 Points -101

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury) can be wagered to score Over 14.5 points at -101. She looks like a solid bet to cover the Player Points line and we’re confident with this wager.

Latest Alyssa Thomas Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 14.5

-105

Under 14.5

-123

Assists

Over 8.5

-125

Under 8.5

-103

Rebounds

Over 9.5

+117

Under 9.5

-152

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Correct Score Prediction

Mercury 86 - 84 Storm

We’ll throw a dart when it comes to the Mercury landing a 86-84 win. This correct score prediction is available at tasty odds and could be an entertaining wager to place.

Phoenix Mercury vs Seattle Storm Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Little Between the Two Teams According to the Books

There are betting odds of -115 about Seattle Storm winning, with Phoenix Mercury currently available at -105. In the eyes of the leading WNBA sportsbooks, the home team are regarded as 53% likely to claim a victory.

1 is where the spread lies, with total points being 164.5 right now. A Total bet relates to the number of points that will be scored overall. If you’re going for Over 164.5, then the odds are -110.

There are a huge selection of game lines and team props when it comes to wagering on women's hoops and we recommend visiting the top basketball betting sites to find the wager that matches your view on the game.

Betting Lines & Odds

Moneyline

Mercury

-105

Storm

-115

Point Spread

Mercury +1

-112

Storm -1

-108

Total Points

Under 164.5

-110

Over 164.5

-110

Nneka Ogwumike Favorite to Score the Most Baskets

Nneka Ogwumike is the market leader to rack up the most points. You can back -112 that she gets Over 16.5 points. Alternatively, Under is trading at -115.

Player Points

Nneka Ogwumike (Storm)

Over 16.5

-112

Under 16.5

-115

Satou Sabally (Mercury)

Over 15.5

-123

Under 15.5

-104

Kahleah Copper (Mercury)

Over 15.5

-120

Under 15.5

-108

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 14.5

-105

Under 14.5

-123

Brittney Sykes (Storm)

Over 13.5

-132

Under 13.5

+102

Skylar Diggins-Smith (Storm)

Over 13.5

-115

Under 13.5

-112

Gabby Williams (Storm)

Over 9.5

-149

Under 9.5

+115

DeWanna Bonner (Mercury)

Over 9.5

-143

Under 9.5

+110

Ezi Magbegor (Storm)

Over 7.5

-101

Under 7.5

-128

Player Assists

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 8.5

-125

Under 8.5

-103

Skylar Diggins-Smith (Storm)

Over 5.5

-100

Under 5.5

-130

Gabby Williams (Storm)

Over 5.5

+186

Under 5.5

-250

Brittney Sykes (Storm)

Over 3.5

-128

Under 3.5

-101

Player Rebounds

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 9.5

+117

Under 9.5

-152

Nneka Ogwumike (Storm)

Over 7.5

-100

Under 7.5

-130

Satou Sabally (Mercury)

Over 5.5

-143

Under 5.5

+110

Ezi Magbegor (Storm)

Over 5.5

-103

Under 5.5

-125

DeWanna Bonner (Mercury)

Over 4.5

+132

Under 4.5

-172

Kahleah Copper (Mercury)

Over 3.5

-102

Under 3.5

-127

Brittney Sykes (Storm)

Over 3.5

-100

Under 3.5

-130

Gabby Williams (Storm)

Over 3.5

-164

Under 3.5

+126

Last 5 & H2H

Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

WNBA Table Select Season 20252024202320222021202020192018

Team	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Lynx	28	5	2869	2500	369	17-1	11-4	6W
2  Dream	21	12	2775	2577	198	10-5	11-7	1L
3  Liberty	21	13	2940	2774	166	13-4	8-9	2L
4  Mercury	19	13	2660	2551	109	11-6	8-7	2L
5  Aces	20	14	2794	2813	-19	11-5	9-9	6W
6  Valkyries	18	15	2582	2533	49	10-5	8-10	4W
7  Fever	18	16	2874	2777	97	10-8	8-8	2L
8  Storm	17	17	2777	2718	59	8-9	9-8	1W
9  Sparks	16	17	2857	2923	-66	6-10	10-7	1W
10  Mystics	15	18	2608	2668	-60	9-7	6-11	1W
11  Wings	9	25	2788	2951	-163	5-13	4-12	1L
12  Sky	8	25	2472	2839	-367	5-12	3-13	4L
13  Sun	6	26	2392	2764	-372	5-11	1-15	1W

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