Phoenix Mercury
Basketball WNBA Climate Pledge Arena Sun 17 Aug 18:00
Seattle Storm
  1. Prediction
  2. SGP Picks
  3. Odds
  4. Player Props
  5. Team Stats
  6. Standings

WNBA Betting Preview: Mercury vs Storm

The Phoenix Mercury face the Seattle Storm in this WNBA matchup at Climate Pledge Arena, with tip-off scheduled for 18:00 on Sunday, August 17. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds and H2H stats.

Back Mercury to Win

Our betting prediction is to confidently back the Mercury on the Moneyline. You can get -105 that the road team get the better of the Storm when all is said and done.

Thinking Mercury snags the W? Our expert review of BetMGM lays out what you need to know, then make the most of your bet using the latest promo code.

Storm H2H Record Includes 8 Wins in 10

Phoenix Mercury lost when they last took to the court. At Footprint Center, they were turned over 86-83 at home to Las Vegas Aces.

Seattle Storm triumphed in their last game. It was on the road where Atlanta Dream were beaten 80-78 at Gateway Center Arena.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Storm have won the last two meetings against the Mercury. They triumphed 77-70 at Climate Pledge Arena and then 89-77 at Footprint Center. The previous 10 games featuring these teams have resulted in eight Storm victories.

WNBA W L PF PA N. Pts Home Away Strk
Mercury 27 17 3643 3525 118 15-7 12-10 3L
Storm 23 21 3614 3524 90 10-12 13-9 1W
View Full Standings

Phoenix Mercury vs Seattle Storm Prediction & Picks

We dive into the top Phoenix Mercury vs Seattle Storm betting angles, including our main match prediction, correct score play, standout player prop picks and a bet builder tailored for value.

Game Prediction

It’s time to side with Mercury to claim a victory in this WNBA matchup. The road team should have the upper hand and the -105 for our Moneyline pick looks a great price.

Injuries are always factored in by the handicappers at Sportsgambler.com. Our basketball picks are also shaped by recent form, with up-to-date WNBA stats playing a key role before any selections are locked in.

Key Mercury vs Storm stats:

  • Mercury have won 3 of their last 5 games.
  • Mercury have won 11 of their last 20 games.
  • Storm have lost their last 5 games at home.
  • Storm have lost 7 of their last 10 games.
  • Storm have lost 12 of their last 20 games.

Mercury Moneyline Probability

The best sportsbooks are estimating that there is a 51.3% likelihood of this pick winning. In the opinion of our cappers, there’s actually a probability of success between 55-60%. This is why we can recommend this WNBA wager.

Looking for Bigger Odds?

As an option, you could consider the spread where you can back the Mercury to cover a particular line. That means you might need a margin of victory to yield a return.

Get more from your bet. Explore our updated guide featuring the hottest betting offers and best welcome bonus deals.

Best Bet

Mercury Moneyline @ -105 Bet Now BetMGM logo
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Published 20:52, 16 August 2025

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Gabby Williams Under 9.5 Points +115 BetMGM logo

Gabby Williams (Storm) can be backed to record Under 9.5 points at +115. When it comes to her Player Points outcome, we are fairly confident she will total below the line.

Latest Gabby Williams Player Prop Odds

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Alyssa Thomas Over 14.5 Points -101 BetMGM logo

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury) can be wagered to score Over 14.5 points at -101. She looks like a solid bet to cover the Player Points line and we’re confident with this wager.

Latest Alyssa Thomas Player Prop Odds

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Same Game Parlay Picks

Moneyline Mercury
Totals Over 164.5
Player Points Gabby Williams Under 9.5

Try out our same game parlay pick which starts with Mercury on the moneyline. We’ve also gone for Over 164.5 and Gabby Williams (Storm) to score Under 9.5 points.

There are lots of options when you place a same game parlay. You can go through the available basketball lines and identify your favorite outcomes before combining the odds on the bet slip. Personalised wagering doesn’t come any better.

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Correct Score Prediction

Mercury Mercury logo 86 - 84 Storm logo Storm

We’ll throw a dart when it comes to the Mercury landing a 86-84 win. This correct score prediction is available at tasty odds and could be an entertaining wager to place.

Phoenix Mercury vs Seattle Storm Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Little Between the Two Teams According to the Books

There are betting odds of -130 about Seattle Storm winning, with Phoenix Mercury currently available at +106. In the eyes of the leading WNBA sportsbooks, the home team are regarded as 56% likely to claim a victory.

2 is where the spread lies, with total points being 164.5 right now. A Total bet relates to the number of points that will be scored overall. If you’re going for Over 164.5, then the odds are -106.

There are a huge selection of game lines and team props when it comes to wagering on women's hoops and we recommend visiting the top basketball betting sites to find the wager that matches your view on the game.

Betting Lines & Odds

Nneka Ogwumike Favorite to Score the Most Baskets

Nneka Ogwumike is the market leader to rack up the most points. You can back -119 that she gets Over 16.5 points. Alternatively, Under is trading at -109.

Player Points
Nneka Ogwumike (Storm)
Over 16.5
-119
Under 16.5
-109
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Satou Sabally (Mercury)
Over 15.5
-130
Under 15.5
-100
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Kahleah Copper (Mercury)
Over 15.5
-115
Under 15.5
-112
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Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)
Over 14.5
-114
Under 14.5
-114
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Player Assists
Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)
Over 8.5
-125
Under 8.5
-103
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Skylar Diggins-Smith (Storm)
Over 5.5
-114
Under 5.5
-114
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Gabby Williams (Storm)
Over 5.5
+186
Under 5.5
-250
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Brittney Sykes (Storm)
Over 3.5
-123
Under 3.5
-104
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Player Rebounds
Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)
Over 9.5
+103
Under 9.5
-133
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Nneka Ogwumike (Storm)
Over 7.5
-103
Under 7.5
-125
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Satou Sabally (Mercury)
Over 5.5
-152
Under 5.5
+117
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Ezi Magbegor (Storm)
Over 5.5
-105
Under 5.5
-123
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Micro Betting

Instead of focusing on the overall outcome, some basketball bettors prefer to look at the micro betting lines. As the name suggests, it means placing short-term in-game wagers and this might include Next Field Goal, with the options being for a two-pointer or a three-pointer.

Best Betting Offers
Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Phoenix Mercury logo Phoenix Mercury Stats
Seattle Storm logo Seattle Storm Stats
Moneyline
  • 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
Moneyline
  • 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 home games
Point Spread
Point Spread
Total Points
Total Points

WNBA Table Select Season

Team W L PF PA N. Pts Home Away Strk
Lynx 34 10 3787 3373 414 20-2 14-8 1W
Aces 30 14 3680 3552 128 17-5 13-9 16W
Dream 30 14 3712 3378 334 16-6 14-8 6W
Mercury 27 17 3643 3525 118 15-7 12-10 3L
Liberty 27 17 3713 3534 179 17-5 10-12 3W
Fever 24 20 3734 3586 148 13-9 11-11 3W
Storm 23 21 3614 3524 90 10-12 13-9 1W
Valkyries 23 21 3420 3359 61 14-8 9-13 3L
Sparks 21 23 3769 3882 -113 9-13 12-10 1L
10  Mystics 16 28 3394 3589 -195 10-12 6-16 10L
11  Sun 11 33 3337 3782 -445 7-15 4-18 2L
12  Sky 10 34 3335 3777 -442 6-16 4-18 4L
13  Wings 10 34 3594 3871 -277 6-16 4-18 1W