Phoenix Mercury vs Washington Mystics Prediction, Picks & Odds | 27 Jul 2025

Mystics Look Value for This Matchup

There’s an awesome opportunity to back the Mystics against the spread here. They should be able to produce a solid performance against the Mercury, with +7 making appeal at -110.

Mercury 68-62 Winners When Teams Last Met

Phoenix Mercury lost on the road in their previous game. New York Liberty won 89-76 at Barclays Center.

Washington Mystics won their last game which was at home. It was a 69-58 triumph at Entertainment and Sports Arena against Seattle Storm.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Mercury triumphed 68-62 when they last played the Mystics. This head-to-head was played at Footprint Center. The H2H over the past 10 games have seen five wins for both teams.

WNBA	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
4  Mercury	27	17	3643	3525	118	15-7	12-10	3L
10  Mystics	16	28	3394	3589	-195	10-12	6-16	10L

View Full Standings

Phoenix Mercury vs Washington Mystics Prediction & Picks

Mystics look easy to back at -110 considering the underdogs have been given a generous spread of +7. This looks a great number when squaring off in this WNBA contest.

The WNBA picks stem from knowing the team news and the latest form for each franchise. We work hard to unearth the most pertinent stats which can also act as a guide.

Key Mercury vs Mystics stats:

• The +7 line has been covered by Mystics in 6 consecutive games at home.
• The +7 line has been covered by Mystics in 7 of their last 10 games.
• The +7 line has been covered by Mystics in 14 of their last 20 games at home.
• The -7 line hasn’t been covered by Mercury in 4 consecutive games.
• The -7 line hasn’t been covered by Mercury in 16 of their last 20 games on the road.
• The -7 line hasn’t been covered by Mercury in 7 of their last 10 games on the road.
• The +7 line has been covered by Mystics in 2 consecutive games against Mercury.

Mystics +7 Probability

Based on the latest betting odds from the best basketball sportsbooks, our pick carries a 52.4% chance of winning. After careful examination, our analysts calculate this probability to be closer to 60%. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.

Buying and selling points with a sportsbook gives you the opportunity to choose different lines. The former will mean shorter odds, while a sell leads to a bigger potential return.

Best Bet

Mystics +7 @ -110 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Sonia Citron Over 12.5 Points -100

Sonia Citron (Mystics) is available at -100 to register Over 12.5 points. We are happy to back Overs when it comes to her Player Points, with the line making plenty of appeal.

Latest Sonia Citron Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 12.5

-102

Under 12.5

-127

Assists

Over 2.5

-100

Under 2.5

-130

Rebounds

Over 4.5

-149

Under 4.5

+115

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Alyssa Thomas Under 7.5 Rebounds -105

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury) is available at -105 to record Under 7.5 rebounds. We think there’s a generous line on offer that she fails to cover the Player Rebounds total.

Latest Alyssa Thomas Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 13.5

-135

Under 13.5

+105

Assists

Over 8.5

-149

Under 8.5

+115

Rebounds

Over 7.5

-123

Under 7.5

-104

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Correct Score Prediction

Mercury 82 - 79 Mystics

We’re expecting this to be a close contest and we’ll take the Mercury to win 82-79. This is available at massive odds for those that want to have a speculative wager.

Phoenix Mercury vs Washington Mystics Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Mercury Betting Favorites on the Moneyline

The sportsbooks have Phoenix Mercury at -323 when it comes to the Moneyline betting, implying the favorites are 76% likely to win this game according to the latest odds. Washington Mystics are regarded as a long shot to win and you can currently back them at +250.

8 is where the spread lies, with total points being 162.5 right now. A wager on the Totals allows basketball bettors to use the latest data to good effect. If you want to bet Under 162.5, there are odds of -112.

Whether you are betting pre-game or in-game on women's hoops, the top basketball sportsbooks offer a huge selection of team props and game lines. The options are practically endless, and it’s awesome to have so many alternatives.

Moneyline

Mercury

-323

Mystics

+250

Point Spread

Mercury -8

-112

Mystics +8

-108

Total Points

Under 162.5

-112

Over 162.5

-108

Satou Sabally Favorite to Get Most Points

Satou Sabally is the favorite to score most points. Odds of +105 can be found for her scoring Over 15.5 points and there is -135 for her to go Under.

Satou Sabally (Mercury)

Over 15.5

+105

Under 15.5

-135

Brittney Sykes (Mystics)

Over 14.5

-105

Under 14.5

-123

Shakira Austin (Mystics)

Over 14.5

-102

Under 14.5

-127

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 13.5

-135

Under 13.5

+105

Kahleah Copper (Mercury)

Over 13.5

-110

Under 13.5

-118

Sonia Citron (Mystics)

Over 12.5

-102

Under 12.5

-127

Kiki Iriafen (Mystics)

Over 11.5

-100

Under 11.5

-130

Sug Sutton (Mystics)

Over 8.5

-100

Under 8.5

-130

Sami Whitcomb (Mercury)

Over 7.5

-130

Under 7.5

-100

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 8.5

-149

Under 8.5

+115

Brittney Sykes (Mystics)

Over 4.5

+135

Under 4.5

-175

Sug Sutton (Mystics)

Over 3.5

-101

Under 3.5

-128

Sonia Citron (Mystics)

Over 2.5

-100

Under 2.5

-130

Kiki Iriafen (Mystics)

Over 8.5

+113

Under 8.5

-147

Shakira Austin (Mystics)

Over 8.5

+110

Under 8.5

-143

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 7.5

-123

Under 7.5

-104

Satou Sabally (Mercury)

Over 5.5

-137

Under 5.5

+106

Sonia Citron (Mystics)

Over 4.5

-149

Under 4.5

+115

Brittney Sykes (Mystics)

Over 3.5

+122

Under 3.5

-159

Kahleah Copper (Mercury)

Over 3.5

+144

Under 3.5

-189

Micro Betting

Micro betting is something that’s really popular with bettors, with basketball fans essentially being able to wager in-game when it comes to score, team and player props. Check out the two-way lines where you can bet whether the next shot will be a Two-pointer or a Three-pointer.

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Phoenix Mercury Stats

Washington Mystics Stats

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -9.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 1 of the last 10 games
• -9.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +9.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• +9.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 160.70 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 167.10 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 158.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 158.5 on the Road: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 81.40 pts and allowed 79.30 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 82.20 pts and allowed 84.90 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 160.60 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 162.90 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 158.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 158.5 at Home: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 75.70 pts and allowed 84.90 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 80.70 pts and allowed 82.20 pts in the last 10 home games

WNBA Table Select Season 20252024202320222021202020192018

Team	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Lynx	34	10	3787	3373	414	20-2	14-8	1W
2  Aces	30	14	3680	3552	128	17-5	13-9	16W
3  Dream	30	14	3712	3378	334	16-6	14-8	6W
4  Mercury	27	17	3643	3525	118	15-7	12-10	3L
5  Liberty	27	17	3713	3534	179	17-5	10-12	3W
6  Fever	24	20	3734	3586	148	13-9	11-11	3W
7  Storm	23	21	3614	3524	90	10-12	13-9	1W
8  Valkyries	23	21	3420	3359	61	14-8	9-13	3L
9  Sparks	21	23	3769	3882	-113	9-13	12-10	1L
10  Mystics	16	28	3394	3589	-195	10-12	6-16	10L
11  Sun	11	33	3337	3782	-445	7-15	4-18	2L
12  Sky	10	34	3335	3777	-442	6-16	4-18	4L
13  Wings	10	34	3594	3871	-277	6-16	4-18	1W