Phoenix Mercury
Basketball WNBA Entertainment and Sports Arena Thu 4 Sep 19:30
Washington Mystics
  1. Prediction
  2. SGP Picks
  3. Odds
  4. Player Props
  5. Team Stats
  6. Standings

WNBA Betting Preview: Mercury vs Mystics

The Phoenix Mercury meet the Washington Mystics in this WNBA matchup at Entertainment and Sports Arena, with tip-off scheduled for 19:30 on Thursday, September 4. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds and H2H stats.

We’re Going Over With Our Total Bet

We’ve got a strong opinion when it comes to the totals when the Mercury play the Mystics. Our prediction is that there will be Over 158.5 points and that is on offer at -108.

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88-72 Win for Mercury in Pair’s Last Encounter

Phoenix Mercury won their previous game, beating Indiana Fever at home. It was a 85-79 win at PHX Arena.

Washington Mystics were beaten last game and this was on the road at Crypto.com Arena. Los Angeles Sparks claimed a 81-78 win.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Mercury have won the last two meetings against the Mystics. They triumphed 68-62 at PHX Arena and then 88-72 at Entertainment and Sports Arena. We’ve seen six Mercury wins in the past 10 meetings between the teams.

WNBA W L PF PA N. Pts Home Away Strk
Mercury 27 17 3643 3525 118 15-7 12-10 3L
10  Mystics 16 28 3394 3589 -195 10-12 6-16 10L
View Full Standings

Phoenix Mercury vs Washington Mystics Prediction & Picks

Approach Phoenix Mercury vs Washington Mystics fully prepared with our expert match prediction, likely score outcome, standout player prop picks and a hand-picked bet builder.

Game Prediction

We’ll take a chance on a total bet after finding that the line is set at a generous 158.5. Bank on this number to be surpassed at -108 for this WNBA contest.

We only publish basketball predictions once we’ve got a clear and confident read on team news and the latest WNBA form. We also stay sharp by digging into the most valuable stats to support every pick we make.

Key Mercury vs Mystics stats:

  • The 158.5 line has been covered in 7 of the last 10 Mercury games on the road.
  • The 158.5 line has been covered in 3 of the last 5 Mercury games.
  • The 158.5 line has been covered in 4 of the last 5 Mystics games.
  • The 158.5 line has been covered in 7 of the last 10 Mystics games.
  • The 158.5 line has been covered in the last 2 Mystics games.

Over 158.5 Probability

The top betting sites are estimating that there is a 51.8% likelihood of this pick winning. Based on our in-depth research, our analysts calculate the actual probability to be 55-60%. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.

Looking for Bigger Odds?

If you have a strong hunch for Overs but want to get bigger odds, consider the Match Result & Total lines. Get both picks correct for a profitable return.

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Best Bet

Over 158.5 Points @ -108 Bet Now BetMGM logo
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Published 23:52, 03 September 2025

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Satou Sabally Over 14.5 Points -122 BetMGM logo

Satou Sabally (Mercury) is available at -122 to rack up Over 14.5 points. We’ll place a bet that she is able to cover an appealing total for this Player Points wager.

Latest Satou Sabally Player Prop Odds

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Alyssa Thomas Over 14.5 Points -105 BetMGM logo

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury) can be wagered to record Over 14.5 points at -105. We’re happy to take this Player Points prop bet as she is capable of a big performance.

Latest Alyssa Thomas Player Prop Odds

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Same Game Parlay Picks

Totals Over 158.5
Spread Mercury -9.5
Player Points Satou Sabally Over 14.5

We’ve compiled a same game parlay that includes Over 158.5, followed by Mercury -9.5 on the spread and Satou Sabally (Mercury) to score Over 14.5 points.

Should you want to back different outcomes for the same basketball game, then a same game parlay will suit your needs. The betting sites create this personalised wagering tool where you can make different picks and combine the odds together.

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Correct Score Prediction

Mercury Mercury logo 89 - 77 Mystics logo Mystics

There are a range of correct score lines to choose from and we’re taking a chance on the Mercury to record a 89-77 victory. There’s a massive return if we get this right.

Phoenix Mercury vs Washington Mystics Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Books Taking No Chances With Mercury

Phoenix Mercury are massive -500 favorites. They are regarded as 83% likely to win this WNBA game judging by the sportsbooks’ latest Moneyline odds. Washington Mystics are trading at bigger odds than their opponents and they can be backed at +360.

The spread is calculated to be 9, while total points comes in at 159. A Total bet relates to the number of points that will be scored overall. If you’re wanting to back Over 159, the odds are -110.

Whether you are betting pre-game or in-game on women's hoops, the top basketball sportsbooks offer a huge selection of team props and game lines. The options are practically endless, and it’s awesome to have so many alternatives.

Betting Lines & Odds

Kahleah Copper Favorite to Get Most Points

Kahleah Copper is the favorite to score most points. She is priced at -125 to score Over 15.5 points. Alternatively, you can back Under at -103.

Player Points
Kahleah Copper (Mercury)
Over 15.5
-125
Under 15.5
-103
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Satou Sabally (Mercury)
Over 14.5
-122
Under 14.5
-106
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Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)
Over 14.5
-109
Under 14.5
-119
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Sonia Citron (Mystics)
Over 13.5
-114
Under 13.5
-114
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Player Assists
Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)
Over 9.5
+110
Under 9.5
-143
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Player Rebounds
Kiki Iriafen (Mystics)
Over 8.5
-103
Under 8.5
-125
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Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)
Over 8.5
-147
Under 8.5
+114
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Shakira Austin (Mystics)
Over 5.5
-130
Under 5.5
+101
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Satou Sabally (Mercury)
Over 4.5
+104
Under 4.5
-135
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Micro Betting

You don’t have to wait for the final outcome when it comes to basketball micro betting. Instead, there’s the opportunity to wager on live lines which tend to be settled in a shorter space of time and the in-game odds are always changing.

Best Betting Offers
Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Phoenix Mercury logo Phoenix Mercury Stats
Washington Mystics logo Washington Mystics Stats
Moneyline
  • 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
Moneyline
  • 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 home games
Point Spread
Point Spread
Total Points
Total Points

WNBA Table Select Season

Team W L PF PA N. Pts Home Away Strk
Lynx 34 10 3787 3373 414 20-2 14-8 1W
Aces 30 14 3680 3552 128 17-5 13-9 16W
Dream 30 14 3712 3378 334 16-6 14-8 6W
Mercury 27 17 3643 3525 118 15-7 12-10 3L
Liberty 27 17 3713 3534 179 17-5 10-12 3W
Fever 24 20 3734 3586 148 13-9 11-11 3W
Storm 23 21 3614 3524 90 10-12 13-9 1W
Valkyries 23 21 3420 3359 61 14-8 9-13 3L
Sparks 21 23 3769 3882 -113 9-13 12-10 1L
10  Mystics 16 28 3394 3589 -195 10-12 6-16 10L
11  Sun 11 33 3337 3782 -445 7-15 4-18 2L
12  Sky 10 34 3335 3777 -442 6-16 4-18 4L
13  Wings 10 34 3594 3871 -277 6-16 4-18 1W