Purdue vs Arizona Prediction, Picks & Odds | 28 Mar 2026
NCAA Tournament Elite Eight Betting Preview: Purdue vs Arizona
The No. 2 Purdue Boilermakers go up against the No. 1 Arizona Wildcats in this NCAA Tournament Elite Eight West Region matchup at SAP Center in San Jose, with tip-off scheduled for 20:49 on Saturday, March 28.
Arizona are available at odds of -120 when it comes to backing them against the spread. The appealing -5.5 line could be covered with ease when they play Purdue and this looks like a value bet.
The Purdue Boilermakers (30-8, 6th in Big Ten) have powered through the bracket to reach the Elite Eight, combining explosive offense with late-game poise. Their tournament run began with a dominant 104-71 victory over the Queens Royals in the First Round, followed by a double-digit 79-69 win against the Miami Hurricanes to secure a Sweet 16 berth.
In their most recent outing, Purdue showcased their championship mettle in a wire-to-wire thriller, outlasting the Texas Longhorns 79-77 to punch their ticket to the regional final.
The Arizona Wildcats (35-2, 1st in Big 12) made an immediate statement with a commanding 92-58 opening-round victory over the Long Island Sharks, followed by a poised 78-66 win against the Utah State Aggies in the Second Round.
In the Sweet 16, the Wildcats delivered a historic performance to secure a 109-88 victory over the Arkansas Razorbacks. By shooting a blistering 64% from the field and becoming the first team in tournament history to have six players score at least 14 points, Arizona ended a decade-long drought to reach its first regional final since 2015.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Purdue held the upper hand in the most recent meeting between these two powerhouses, recording a 92-84 victory over Arizona on December 16, 2023.
| NCAAB Regular Season | Overall | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Arizona
|
32-2 | 2929 | 2339 | 590 | 21-1 | 11-1 | 9W |
Purdue
|
27-8 | 2858 | 2455 | 403 | 16-5 | 11-3 | 4W |
Purdue vs Arizona Prediction & Picks
This expert Purdue vs Arizona betting breakdown features our match prediction, a correct score tip, player prop suggestions and a carefully constructed bet builder to guide your wagers.
Game Prediction
The best betting angle could be Arizona against the spread. You can land -120 that the market leaders are able to cover the -5.5 line and they are more than capable in this college contest.
Our basketball picks are built after tracking the latest team news and reviewing recent form. We also dive into stats, which often serve as a solid barometer for how the college hoops action might unfold.
Key Purdue vs Arizona stats:
Arizona -5.5 Probability
The best betting sites make it a 54.6% chance that our pick will deliver a return. In our opinion, there’s actually a probability of success closer to 60%. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.
A Bet Builder provides you with the chance to combine Arizona against the spread with other picks. For every additional selection, the odds are boosted.
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Player Prop Picks
Jaden Bradley (Arizona) can be wagered to register Over 3.5 assists at -200. We feel pretty confident that he’ll be able to cover the Player Assists total which looks generous.
Latest Jaden Bradley Player Prop Odds
Koa Peat (Arizona) can be wagered to finish with Under 5.5 rebounds at -106. When it comes to Player Rebounds, we’re expecting him to make a total that falls below the line.
Latest Koa Peat Player Prop Odds
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Same Game Parlay Picks
Our same game parlay pick is Arizona -5.5 on the spread, Over 153.5 and Jaden Bradley (Arizona) to get Over 3.5 assists.
The same game parlay option allows you to combine different outcomes within the same game. You need all your picks to be correct although bettors love to place a tailored basketball bet on the matchup which interests them most.
Correct Score Prediction
Purdue vs Arizona Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Arizona have the shortest price to win this college game, with the sportsbooks giving them a 72% probability due to their -256 Moneyline betting odds. Purdue are trading at bigger odds than their opponents and they can be backed at +205.
The spread is calculated to be 5.5, while total points comes in at 153.5. There are many ways to bet on basketball including the Totals. If you fancy Over 153.5, this outcome can be backed at -105.
College basketball bettors are spoilt for choice thanks to the huge selection of game lines and team props which are available for most matchups on the coupon. Head to the top betting apps and find the best value picks.
Trey Kaufman-Renn is the market leader to hit the most buckets. He is priced at -108 to score Over 17.5 points. Alternatively, you can back Under at -120.
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Purdue Stats
Arizona Stats
- Game Totals: An average of 153.30 pts in the previous 10 games
- Over 153.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 80.70 pts and allowed 72.60 pts in the last 10 games
NCAAB Regular Season Table Select Season
| Big 12 | Overall | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Arizona
|
32-2 | 2929 | 2339 | 590 | 21-1 | 11-1 | 9W |
Houston
|
28-6 | 2623 | 2137 | 486 | 20-2 | 8-4 | 1L |
Iowa State
|
27-7 | 2781 | 2215 | 566 | 19-1 | 8-6 | 1L |
Kansas
|
23-10 | 2496 | 2290 | 206 | 17-2 | 6-8 | 1L |
Texas Tech
|
22-10 | 2573 | 2324 | 249 | 16-4 | 6-6 | 3L |
BYU
|
23-11 | 2853 | 2561 | 292 | 17-4 | 6-7 | 1L |
TCU
|
22-11 | 2584 | 2378 | 206 | 16-5 | 6-6 | 1L |
UCF
|
21-11 | 2591 | 2511 | 80 | 15-5 | 6-6 | 1L |
Oklahoma State
|
19-14 | 2781 | 2736 | 45 | 14-5 | 5-9 | 1L |
West Virginia
|
18-14 | 2214 | 2072 | 142 | 15-6 | 3-8 | 1L |
Cincinnati
|
18-15 | 2413 | 2230 | 183 | 16-4 | 2-11 | 1L |
Colorado
|
17-15 | 2559 | 2542 | 17 | 15-7 | 2-8 | 2L |
Arizona State
|
17-16 | 2519 | 2585 | -66 | 13-6 | 4-10 | 1L |
Baylor
|
16-16 | 2642 | 2469 | 173 | 12-8 | 4-8 | 1L |
Kansas State
|
12-20 | 2546 | 2619 | -73 | 11-8 | 1-12 | 2L |
Utah
|
10-22 | 2379 | 2531 | -152 | 9-9 | 1-13 | 6L |
| Big Ten | Overall | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Michigan
|
31-3 | 2952 | 2353 | 599 | 19-2 | 12-1 | 1L |
Nebraska
|
26-6 | 2473 | 2119 | 354 | 19-3 | 7-3 | 1L |
Michigan State
|
25-7 | 2526 | 2189 | 337 | 17-3 | 8-4 | 2L |
Purdue
|
27-8 | 2858 | 2455 | 403 | 16-5 | 11-3 | 4W |
Illinois
|
24-8 | 2700 | 2234 | 466 | 15-6 | 9-2 | 1L |
Wisconsin
|
24-10 | 2822 | 2581 | 241 | 16-2 | 8-8 | 1L |
UCLA
|
23-11 | 2643 | 2414 | 229 | 18-3 | 5-8 | 1L |
Ohio State
|
21-12 | 2633 | 2402 | 231 | 15-5 | 6-7 | 1L |
Iowa
|
21-12 | 2482 | 2177 | 305 | 17-3 | 4-9 | 1L |
Indiana
|
18-14 | 2501 | 2309 | 192 | 15-6 | 3-8 | 2L |
USC
|
18-14 | 2515 | 2494 | 21 | 11-7 | 7-7 | 8L |
Washington
|
16-17 | 2545 | 2430 | 115 | 11-6 | 5-11 | 1L |
Minnesota
|
15-17 | 2241 | 2193 | 48 | 13-8 | 2-9 | 1L |
Northwestern
|
15-19 | 2487 | 2447 | 40 | 11-9 | 4-10 | 1L |
Rutgers
|
14-19 | 2329 | 2479 | -150 | 11-7 | 3-12 | 1L |
Oregon
|
12-20 | 2267 | 2366 | -99 | 10-10 | 2-10 | 1L |
Penn State
|
12-20 | 2358 | 2539 | -181 | 10-10 | 2-10 | 3L |
Maryland
|
12-21 | 2300 | 2527 | -227 | 9-8 | 3-13 | 1L |
- Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
- PF = Total Points For
- PA = Total Points Against
- N. Pts = Point Differential
- Home = Home Record
- Away = Away Record
- Strk = Current Streak
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