Real Madrid vs Monaco Prediction, Betting Tips & Odds | 22 Jan 2026

EuroLeague Betting Preview: Real Madrid vs Monaco

Real Madrid host AS Monaco, with tip-off set for 15:45 on Thursday 22 January.

We’re confident of backing Real Madrid to cover the -4 spread when they play Monaco. This is a generous line and the favorites look a value pick at odds of -109.

Real Madrid last game saw them register a 106-77 home win over Olimpia Milano.

AS Monaco lost when they last took to the court. They were turned over 100-96 (OT) at home to Crvena zvezda.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Monaco have won two on the bounce against Madrid. Both victories came at home by 77-73 and 100-95 scorelines. The previous 9 games featuring these teams have resulted in five Madrid victories.

EuroLeague	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
3  Real Madrid	20	11	2722	2564	158	15-1	5-10	4W
8  Monaco	17	14	2762	2649	113	10-5	7-9	1W

View Full Standings

Confirmed Starting Lineups

Real Madrid lineup: Alberto Abalde, Facundo Campazzo, Chuma Okeke, Mario Hezonja, Edy Tavares.

Monaco lineup: Elie Okobo, Daniel Theis, Alpha Diallo, Nikola Mirotic, Mike James.

Real Madrid vs Monaco Prediction & Betting Tips

This Real Madrid vs Monaco betting breakdown features a main match prediction, a correct score insight and a sharply constructed bet builder to guide your wagers.

Game Prediction

Real Madrid at -4 could be the best bet to have on the spread. Odds of -109 are available and our pick would mean a solid win for the favorites in this EuroLeague matchup.

We’re keen to follow the latest form and understand any patterns that emerge. The same applies to injuries that could affect key players. Combined with the most important EuroLeague stats, there is plenty of information to make a verdict.

Key Real Madrid vs Monaco EuroLeague stats:

• The -4 line has been covered by Madrid in 6 consecutive games at home.
• The -4 line has been covered by Madrid in 8 of their last 10 games.
• The -4 line has been covered by Madrid in 15 of their last 20 games at home.
• The -4 line has been covered by Madrid in 5 of their last 9 games against Monaco.

Real -4 Probability

When you look at the latest betting odds, our pick has a 52.1% chance of landing a return. Taking all factors into consideration, our analysts think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 55-60%. It is why we think it’s worth placing this basketball wager.

If you want to pimp the odds about Madrid against the spread, you might consider going down the Bet Builder route and combine this prediction with other selections.

Before you bet, make sure to check out the latest offers. Our guide is packed with the best welcome bonuses from leading sportsbooks.

Our Game Prediction

Madrid -4 @ -109 Bet Now

BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Jan 21, 19:55). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Real Madrid 94 - 87 Monaco

There’s the chance to back Madrid in lots of different ways and this includes predicting the correct winning score. We’ll go for a 94-87 win in their favor.

T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Real Madrid vs Monaco Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Sportsbooks’ favorites Real Madrid are regarded as likeliest victors for this EuroLeague game and the -192 about them triumphing means a 66% chance based on their current Moneyline odds. For those wanting to back AS Monaco, you will find +155 about the underdogs.

4.5 is where the spread lies, with total points being 174 right now. A wager on the Totals allows bettors to use the latest basketball data to good effect. If you want to back Over 174, it’s -112.

Most EuroLeague games come with lots of team props and game lines, and the best basketball betting sites make sure you’ve got plenty to choose from. Don’t forget to browse both pre-game and in-game markets before you place a wager.

Moneyline

Real Madrid

-192

Monaco

+155

Point Spread

Real Madrid -4.5

-111

Monaco +4.5

-109

Total Points

Under 174

-108

Over 174

-112

Prop bets don’t involve betting on a team to win and instead might look at a player’s individual performance. For example, the number of Points they might score or the number of Assists they might have.

Among the various options for wagering on the EuroLeague, you will find that micro betting is provided. It focuses on short-term in-game outcomes such as Next Field Goal, where you select if the shot will be a two or three-pointer.

Latest 0 regular season and play-off games stats.

Real Madrid Stats

Monaco Stats

Moneyline

• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 home games

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -4 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games
• -4 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +4 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games
• +4 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 174.50 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 175.80 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 174.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 174.5 at Home: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 91.80 pts and allowed 82.70 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 93.40 pts and allowed 82.40 pts in the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 186.00 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 171.70 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 174.5: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games
• Over 174.5 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 97.00 pts and allowed 89.00 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 87.90 pts and allowed 83.80 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Starting Lineups

Real Madrid Confirmed Lineup

6 Alberto Abalde

7 Facundo Campazzo

8 Chuma Okeke

11 Mario Hezonja

22 Edy Tavares

Monaco Confirmed Lineup

0 Elie Okobo

10 Daniel Theis

11 Alpha Diallo

33 Nikola Mirotic

55 Mike James

EuroLeague Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Team	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Fenerbahce	22	8	2471	2366	105	13-3	9-5	1L
2  Olympiacos	20	11	2770	2569	201	12-3	8-8	1L
3  Real Madrid	20	11	2722	2564	158	15-1	5-10	4W
4  Valencia	20	11	2794	2663	131	13-2	7-9	1L
5  Hapoel Tel Aviv	18	11	2479	2378	101	9-5	9-6	2W
6  Crvena zvezda	18	13	2683	2631	52	12-5	6-8	1W
7  Zalgiris	17	14	2731	2586	145	10-4	7-10	2L
8  Monaco	17	14	2762	2649	113	10-5	7-9	1W
9  Panathinaikos	17	14	2656	2618	38	10-6	7-8	1W
10  Barcelona	17	14	2617	2601	16	9-6	8-8	4L
11  Dubai	16	14	2639	2630	9	12-3	4-11	5W
12  Olimpia Milano	16	15	2634	2654	-20	10-7	6-8	2W
13  Maccabi	14	16	2661	2733	-72	8-6	6-10	1L
14  Bayern Munich	13	18	2492	2585	-93	10-6	3-12	1L
15  Virtus Bologna	13	18	2528	2624	-96	9-6	4-12	2L
16  Paris	12	19	2780	2839	-59	6-10	6-9	1W
17  Partizan	10	20	2392	2616	-224	7-7	3-13	1W
18  Anadolu Efes	10	21	2455	2559	-104	6-11	4-10	1W
19  Baskonia	9	22	2670	2836	-166	8-7	1-15	6L
20  ASVEL	8	23	2424	2659	-235	6-9	2-14	1L

Top Basketball Pages