Real Madrid vs Valencia Prediction, Betting Tips & Odds | 04 May 2025

Valencia are capable of staying close to Real Madrid here, so we’ll take a chance and bet them against the spread. There’s an attractive +6 available which is priced at -111.

Real Madrid won last time out by a 79-71 scoreline. It was on the road against Bàsquet Girona.

Valencia Basket lost when they last took to the court. They were turned over 128-125 (OT) at home to Baskonia.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Valencia have been victorious in their last two meetings with Madrid. There have been 99-93 and 85-84 scorelines at home. Madrid have won six of the previous 10 H2H meetings.

Liga ACB	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Real Madrid	8	1	797	729	68	4-0	4-1	7W
2  Valencia	7	1	780	657	123	5-0	2-1	2W

View Full Standings

Real Madrid vs Valencia Prediction & Betting Tips

There’s a great opportunity to back Valencia against the spread considering they should perform well in this Liga ACB matchup. Snap up the -111 when it comes to the underdogs covering the +6.

We study the form as a first port of call and also make sure we’re across any injuries before making Spanish Liga ACB predictions. Then it’s a case of understanding the sort of narrative that the stats provide.

Key Real Madrid vs Valencia league stats:

• The +6 line has been covered by Valencia in all of their last 5 games on the road.
• The +6 line has been covered by Valencia in 9 of their last 10 games on the road.
• The +6 line has been covered by Valencia in 5 consecutive games on the road.
• The -6 line hasn’t been covered by Madrid in 3 of their last 5 games at home.
• The +6 line has been covered by Valencia in 2 consecutive games against Madrid.

Valencia +6 Probability

According to the betting sites, there’s a 52.6% likelihood of our pick landing a return. However, our tipsters research has found that the actual probability is between 55-60%. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.

If you want to land a big potential return from a small stake, then a Bet Builder could be a good way to go. Back Valencia to cover the line in a combination with other picks.

Our Game Prediction

Valencia +6 @ -111 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Real Madrid 86 - 83 Valencia

We’ll throw a dart when it comes to Madrid claiming a 86-83 victory. This correct score pick is available at huge odds and could be an entertaining bet to place.

Real Madrid vs Valencia Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

For this Liga ACB game, the sportsbooks’ Moneyline betting odds mean Real Madrid are -263 favorites to win and that means a 72% chance of landing a victory. Valencia Basket are trading at bigger odds than their opponents and they can be backed at +200.

The spread is 6 and the total points line is currently 176.5. There are lots of popular ways to bet on basketball including the Totals. If you’re going for Under 176.5, this outcome can be backed at -110.

Whether you are wagering pre-game or in-game on the Spanish basketball league, you can feast on a wide range of game lines and team props. The selections are practically endless and it’s great to have so many options.

Moneyline

Real Madrid

-263

Valencia

+200

Point Spread

Real Madrid -6

-111

Valencia +6

-111

Total Points

Under 176.5

-110

Over 176.5

-112

We’re fond of player props as an alternative to betting on the game result. The gambling sites will have Points, Assists, Three-Pointers, Rebounds and Steals among the choices and you can take a particular view.

Instead of focusing on the overall outcome, some bettors prefer to look at the Liga ACB micro betting lines. As the name suggests, it means placing short-term in-game wagers and this might include Next Field Goal, with the options being for a two-pointer or a three-pointer.

Latest 0 regular season and play-off games stats.

Real Madrid Stats

Valencia Stats

Moneyline

• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 games
• 10 wins and 0 defeats in the last 10 home games

Moneyline

• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 games
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -7 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• -7 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +7 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games
• +7 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 168.80 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 166.70 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 176: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 176 at Home: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 89.20 pts and allowed 79.60 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 88.40 pts and allowed 78.30 pts in the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 175.10 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 179.10 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 176: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 176 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 94.40 pts and allowed 80.70 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 94.50 pts and allowed 84.60 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Liga ACB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Team	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Real Madrid	8	1	797	729	68	4-0	4-1	7W
2  Valencia	7	1	780	657	123	5-0	2-1	2W
3  Murcia	7	2	822	713	109	3-1	4-1	2W
4  Joventut	6	2	699	634	65	3-1	3-1	3W
5  Tenerife	6	3	804	745	59	4-1	2-2	1L
6  Unicaja	6	3	772	736	36	3-1	3-2	3W
7  Barcelona	5	4	771	738	33	3-2	2-2	3W
8  Baskonia	4	4	722	723	-1	3-0	1-4	1W
9  Breogán	4	5	788	814	-26	2-2	2-3	1L
10  Girona	4	5	772	813	-41	4-1	0-4	1W
11  Lleida	4	5	754	800	-46	3-3	1-2	3L
12  Gran Canaria	3	5	644	657	-13	1-3	2-2	2L
13  Bilbao	3	5	657	689	-32	3-0	0-5	2L
14  Manresa	3	5	656	698	-42	3-1	0-4	2L
15  Zaragoza	3	6	784	808	-24	1-4	2-2	1W
16  Andorra	3	6	737	832	-95	2-2	1-4	2L
17  Granada	1	8	731	811	-80	1-4	0-4	3L
18  Burgos	1	8	782	875	-93	1-3	0-5	8L

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