Real Madrid vs Virtus Bologna Prediction, Betting Tips & Odds | 05 Mar 2026

EuroLeague Betting Preview: Real Madrid vs Virtus Bologna

Real Madrid host Virtus Bologna, with tip-off set for 14:45 on Thursday 5 March.

Real Madrid can finish well clear of Virtus Bologna and that means we’re going for them against the spread. There is -106 on offer that the favorites are able to cover a -11 line.

Real Madrid won their last game 93-70. This was a home triumph against Bayern Munich.

Virtus Bologna won their previous game, beating Barcelona at home. It was a 85-80 victory.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It was Virtus who came out on top when they last played Madrid. A 74-68 win was recorded. Madrid have won five of the past 7 games that these teams have played.

EuroLeague	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
4  Real Madrid	18	11	2534	2401	133	13-1	5-10	2W
14  Virtus Bologna	13	16	2362	2444	-82	9-5	4-11	1W

View Full Standings

Real Madrid vs Virtus Bologna Prediction & Betting Tips

Make the most of Real Madrid vs Virtus Bologna with our betting analysis that includes an expert match prediction, expected scoreline and a hand-picked bet builder designed for value.

Game Prediction

We strongly fancy the chances of Real Madrid beating the underdogs handsomely in this EuroLeague showdown. That is why we are betting them at -11 on the spread at -106.

The basketball predictions are only made once we have established the latest team news. It’s also important to study the form and investigate the most relevant EuroLeague stats to get the full picture.

Key Real Madrid vs Virtus Bologna EuroLeague stats:

• The -11 line has been covered by Madrid in 6 consecutive games at home.
• The +11 line hasn’t been covered by Virtus in 3 of their last 5 games on the road.
• The +11 line hasn’t been covered by Virtus in 2 consecutive games on the road.
• The -11 line has been covered by Madrid in 5 of their last 7 games against Virtus.

Real -11 Probability

Based on the odds from the top betting sites, there’s a 51.5% likelihood of our pick landing a return. In the opinion of our tipsters, there’s actually a probability of success between 55-60%. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.

Selling points can be a great alternative and allows bettors to enjoy a bigger return on the same selection. For a more conservative pick, you can alternatively buy points.

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Our Game Prediction

Madrid -11 @ -106 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Mar 4, 19:02). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Real Madrid 90 - 75 Virtus

Should you want a bet that can land a monster return, then look no further than the correct score lines. Back Madrid to win 90-75 and leverage a massive payout if this happens.

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Real Madrid vs Virtus Bologna Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

At betting odds of -714 with the sportsbooks, Real Madrid are regarded as 88% likely to win this EuroLeague game. The market suggests that Virtus Bologna are least likely to win at +480.

The current spread is 11 and total points is 168. The beauty of the Totals is that you only have to choose from one of two options. There’s the chance to back Under 168 at -111.

The leading basketball betting sites offer a full range of game lines and team props for every EuroLeague contest, giving you multiple ways to get involved. Take your time to explore the options and place your bet wisely.

Moneyline

Real Madrid

-714

Virtus

+480

Point Spread

Real Madrid -11

-112

Virtus +11

-108

Total Points

Under 168

-111

Over 168

-109

If you’re looking for an alternative to the main game lines, check out the player props instead. It’s great to wager on Total Points, Three-Pointers, Assists, Steals, Blocks and Rebounds as potential options.

There are some exciting EuroLeague micro betting lines that are created and they are available in-game. Among them are Next Field Goal, where you select if the shot will be a two or three-pointer. The long-ball option pays better, and in today’s game, you can never discount the three-pointer.

Latest 0 regular season and play-off games stats.

Real Madrid Stats

Virtus Bologna Stats

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 home games

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -11 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• -11 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +11 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• +11 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 166.90 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 176.80 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 168: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 168 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 88.20 pts and allowed 78.70 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 94.00 pts and allowed 82.80 pts in the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 164.70 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 160.50 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 168: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games
• Over 168 on the Road: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 78.30 pts and allowed 86.40 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 76.80 pts and allowed 83.70 pts in the last 10 games on the road

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Starting Lineups

Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of tip-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.

EuroLeague Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Team	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Fenerbahce	21	7	2310	2217	93	12-3	9-4	8W
2  Valencia	19	10	2624	2480	144	12-2	7-8	3W
3  Olympiacos	18	10	2500	2321	179	11-3	7-7	1L
4  Real Madrid	18	11	2534	2401	133	13-1	5-10	2W
5  Hapoel Tel Aviv	17	11	2399	2303	96	9-5	8-6	1W
6  Zalgiris	17	12	2556	2403	153	10-4	7-8	2W
7  Crvena zvezda	17	12	2524	2473	51	11-4	6-8	1W
8  Barcelona	17	12	2458	2434	24	9-5	8-7	2L
9  Monaco	16	13	2611	2481	130	9-5	7-8	1L
10  Panathinaikos	16	13	2484	2444	40	9-6	7-7	3L
11  Dubai	15	14	2539	2538	1	11-3	4-11	4W
12  Olimpia Milano	14	15	2451	2483	-32	8-7	6-8	2L
13  Maccabi	14	15	2574	2637	-63	8-6	6-9	4W
14  Virtus Bologna	13	16	2362	2444	-82	9-5	4-11	1W
15  Bayern Munich	12	17	2327	2424	-97	10-5	2-12	2L
16  Paris	10	18	2506	2573	-67	5-9	5-9	2W
17  Anadolu Efes	9	20	2286	2388	-102	6-10	3-10	1L
18  Baskonia	9	20	2497	2639	-142	8-6	1-14	4L
19  Partizan	9	20	2304	2534	-230	7-7	2-13	2L
20  ASVEL	7	22	2252	2481	-229	6-9	1-13	3L

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