Sacramento Kings vs Denver Nuggets Prediction, Picks & Odds | NBA Saturday

NBA Betting Preview: Kings vs Nuggets

The Sacramento Kings hit the hardwood against the Denver Nuggets in this NBA contest. Our betting preview features expert NBA predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, player stats, team news and confirmed starting lineups.

The Nuggets at -11.5 on the spread really stand out. We are prepared to wager at -112 and expect the big favorites to cover this line against the Kings.

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Sacramento Kings have now lost eight straight games. On the road in their previous game, Memphis Grizzlies won 137-96 at FedExForum. Zach LaVine led the way with 26 points, while Maxime Raynaud added 12 and Keegan Murray chipped in 11.

Denver Nuggets made it back-to-back wins in their last game. It was a 112-109 road triumph at Toyota Center when meeting Houston Rockets. Nikola Jokic got 34 points and 10 rebounds, Jamal Murray had 26 points and 10 assists, with Tim Hardaway Jr. scoring 12 points.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Nuggets beat the Kings in their last head-to-head matchup. It was a 122-108 scoreline at Golden 1 Center. It’s been seven victories on the bounce for the Nuggets when playing the Kings. On the head-to-head front, they have won 7 of the past 10.

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Nuggets	12	3	0.8	123.8	112.8	11	6-1	6-2	2-1	10-2	9-1	2W
Kings	3	13	0.188	111	124.4	-13.4	2-5	1-8	1-2	2-11	1-9	8L

View Full Standings

The Kings have 1 win and 9 losses in the past 10 games. They are averaging 108.6 points, 40.3 rebounds, 26.1 assists, 7.6 steals and 2.8 blocks while shooting 45.6% from the field and 73.7% from the free-throw line. The opposition have averaged 127.4 points and 46.4 rebounds per contest.

DeMar DeRozan is averaging 16.3 points, while Russell Westbrook averages 8.1 rebounds, 7.1 assists and 2.3 (40.4%) 3-pointers made.

The Nuggets have won 9 and lost 1 of their previous 10 contests. Averaging 123.7 points, 46.6 rebounds, 29.1 assists, 8.1 steals and 3.9 blocks per game while shooting 50.2% from the field and 81.7% from the free-throw line. Their opponents have an average of 113.3 points and 42.3 rebounds.

Nikola Jokic is averaging 34.0 points, 12.3 rebounds, 11.1 assists and 2.5 (48.1%) 3-pointers made.

Sacramento Kings vs Denver Nuggets Prediction & Picks

Our expert Sacramento Kings vs Denver Nuggets betting tips include a main match prediction, a correct score pick, standout player prop selections and bet builder advice. Explore each section below for detailed insights.

Game Prediction

Let’s go for the big favorites at an appealing -11.5 on the spread. We can get -112 that Nuggets win this NBA matchup by a sizeable margin.

The handicappers at Sportsgambler.com stay on top of the latest injuries, while recent form also shapes our basketball picks. We combine this insight with up-to-date NBA stats for sharper predictions.

Key Kings vs Nuggets stats:

• The +11.5 line hasn’t been covered by Kings in 8 consecutive games.

Nuggets -11.5 Probability

According to the latest odds, our pick has a 52.9% chance of winning. However, our research has found that the actual probability is between 55-60%. This is why we regard this as a value bet.

In the hunt for bigger odds, you might be interested to know that you can move the line. This allows you to shoot for a franchise to perform better than expected by the sportsbooks.

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Our Game Prediction

Nuggets -11.5 @ -112 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Nikola Jokic Over 29.5 Points -108

Nikola Jokic (Nuggets) has an average of 36 points in the past 5 games. He looks like a solid bet to cover the Player Points line and you’re able to back this pick at odds of -108.

Latest Nikola Jokic Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 29.5

-108

Under 29.5

-120

Assists

Over 9.5

-139

Under 9.5

+104

Rebounds

Over 12.5

+105

Under 12.5

-139

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Jamal Murray Over 3.5 Rebounds -154

Jamal Murray (Nuggets) has recorded Over 3.5 rebounds in 4 straight home games. We think it’s achievable that he will cover the Player Rebounds line and there are odds of -154 available.

Latest Jamal Murray Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 22.5

-116

Under 22.5

-110

Assists

Over 6.5

+112

Under 6.5

-147

Rebounds

Over 3.5

-154

Under 3.5

+117

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Correct Score Prediction

Kings 107 - 123 Nuggets

We’re going for the Nuggets to achieve a 123-107 win and the good news is that there are massive odds for this outcome. A small stake can return a potentially large amount.

Sacramento Kings vs Denver Nuggets Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

According to the Moneyline betting odds, Denver Nuggets are red-hot -526 favorites with the sportsbooks and that means a 84% chance of winning this NBA game. The market suggests that Sacramento Kings are least likely to win at +400.

There is a spread of 11.5 and total points has a line of 236.5. Basketball fans love the chance to get an alternative angle by going for a Total wager. Those that want to back Under 236.5 can find odds of -110 available.

You can find hundreds of game lines and team props for every contest, with the top betting sites creating lots of different options. Check out the pre-game and in-game selections before placing your bets.

Moneyline

Kings

+400

Nuggets

-526

Point Spread

Kings +11.5

-108

Nuggets -11.5

-112

Total Points

Under 236.5

-110

Over 236.5

-110

Nikola Jokic is the favorite to score most points. He is priced at -108 to score Over 29.5 points. Alternatively, you can back Under at -120.

Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)

Over 29.5

-108

Under 29.5

-120

Jamal Murray (Nuggets)

Over 22.5

-116

Under 22.5

-110

Cameron Johnson (Nuggets)

Over 13.5

+101

Under 13.5

-128

Peyton Watson (Nuggets)

Over 11.5

-114

Under 11.5

-112

Tim Hardaway Jr (Nuggets)

Over 10.5

-127

Under 10.5

-101

Bruce Brown (Nuggets)

Over 7.5

-105

Under 7.5

-122

Jonas Valanciunas (Nuggets)

Over 6.5

-127

Under 6.5

-101

Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)

Over 9.5

-139

Under 9.5

+104

Jamal Murray (Nuggets)

Over 6.5

+112

Under 6.5

-147

Cameron Johnson (Nuggets)

Over 2.5

+106

Under 2.5

-141

Bruce Brown (Nuggets)

Over 1.5

-189

Under 1.5

+142

Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)

Over 12.5

+105

Under 12.5

-139

Peyton Watson (Nuggets)

Over 5.5

-114

Under 5.5

-115

Jamal Murray (Nuggets)

Over 3.5

-154

Under 3.5

+117

Cameron Johnson (Nuggets)

Over 3.5

-122

Under 3.5

-108

Bruce Brown (Nuggets)

Over 3.5

-125

Under 3.5

-105

Jonas Valanciunas (Nuggets)

Over 3.5

-123

Under 3.5

-106

The Nuggets are 8-2 in their last 10 home games, scoring 119.90 points per contest and conceding 107.20.

The Kings have come up short in their last five on the road. They have two wins and eight losses in the last 10 games away from home, scoring 113.10 points per contest and conceding 123.00.

The last Ball Arena meeting saw the Nuggets beat the Kings 130-124. In 10 meetings at Ball Arena, the Nuggets have eight wins to their name, with the Kings having two.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O236.5	U236.5
Denver Nuggets Home Stats		8-2	227.10	119.90	107.20	3	7
Sacramento Kings Away Stats		2-8	236.10	113.10	123.00	4	6

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O236.5 = Games Over 236.5 Points
• U236.5 = Games Under 236.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Sacramento Kings Stats

Denver Nuggets Stats

Moneyline

• 1 win and 9 defeats in the last 10 games
• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 games
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +11.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games
• +11.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -11.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• -11.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 236.00 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 236.10 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 236.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 236.5 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 108.60 pts and allowed 127.40 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 113.10 pts and allowed 123.00 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 237.00 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 227.10 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 236.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 236.5 at Home: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 123.70 pts and allowed 113.30 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 119.90 pts and allowed 107.20 pts in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 28.50 (51%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 11.50 (36%)
• Free Throws Made: 17.10 (73.71%)
• Rebounds: Total 40.3, Offensive 8.80, Defensive 31.50
• Assists: 26.10
• Blocks: 2.80
• Steals: 7.60
• Turnovers : 15.10
• Personal Fouls: 21.10

Last 10 Games on the Road

• 2-Pointers Made: 32.30 (55%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 9.90 (34%)
• Free Throws Made: 18.80 (75.5%)
• Rebounds: Total 40.7, Offensive 9.40, Defensive 31.30
• Assists: 25.20
• Blocks: 3.30
• Steals: 8.80
• Turnovers : 13.50
• Personal Fouls: 20.80

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 32.00 (58%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 12.30 (37%)
• Free Throws Made: 22.80 (81.72%)
• Rebounds: Total 46.6, Offensive 12.00, Defensive 34.60
• Assists: 29.10
• Blocks: 3.90
• Steals: 8.10
• Turnovers : 12.40
• Personal Fouls: 18.60

Last 10 Home Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 30.20 (57%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 12.30 (34%)
• Free Throws Made: 22.60 (82.78%)
• Rebounds: Total 49.9, Offensive 11.60, Defensive 38.30
• Assists: 29.30
• Blocks: 4.10
• Steals: 8.70
• Turnovers : 12.60
• Personal Fouls: 19.40

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of tip-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.

NBA Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Division Conference League

East Atlantic	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Raptors	11	5	0.688	121.1	114.6	6.5	4-2	7-3	2-1	10-2	9-1	6W
Knicks	9	5	0.643	120.8	114.9	5.9	8-1	1-4	2-0	6-5	7-3	1W
76ers	9	6	0.6	118.4	116.1	2.3	5-3	4-3	4-2	8-6	5-5	1W
Celtics	8	8	0.5	113.2	108.8	4.4	4-4	4-4	2-4	5-6	5-5	1L
Nets	3	12	0.2	109.9	120.2	-10.3	0-7	3-5	1-4	3-9	3-7	1W

East Central	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Pistons	13	2	0.867	118.9	112.1	6.8	8-1	5-1	2-2	9-2	10-0	11W
Cavaliers	11	6	0.647	119.9	115.6	4.3	7-3	4-3	5-0	10-5	7-3	1W
Bulls	8	7	0.533	120.7	123.3	-2.6	5-2	3-5	1-3	5-5	3-7	1L
Bucks	8	8	0.5	117.4	119	-1.6	5-4	3-4	2-2	6-5	4-6	3L
Pacers	2	14	0.125	110.1	122.9	-12.8	2-5	0-9	0-3	1-6	1-9	1L

East Southeast	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Heat	10	6	0.625	124.8	119	5.8	7-1	3-5	2-1	6-3	7-3	3W
Hawks	9	7	0.563	117.8	115.7	2.1	2-4	7-3	2-0	4-5	6-4	2L
Magic	9	7	0.563	116.7	113.1	3.6	6-3	3-4	3-2	6-6	7-3	2W
Hornets	4	11	0.267	116.6	120.2	-3.6	3-4	1-7	1-3	3-7	2-8	4L
Wizards	1	14	0.067	112.4	129.7	-17.3	0-6	1-8	0-2	0-10	0-10	13L

West Northwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	16	1	0.941	122.6	106.3	16.3	7-0	9-1	1-1	12-1	9-1	8W
Nuggets	12	3	0.8	123.8	112.8	11	6-1	6-2	2-1	10-2	9-1	2W
Timberwolves	10	6	0.625	120.1	114.1	6	5-3	5-3	3-2	6-5	7-3	1L
Trail Blazers	7	9	0.438	121.1	122.5	-1.4	3-4	4-5	3-1	7-6	3-7	1W
Jazz	5	10	0.333	118.9	126.1	-7.2	4-4	1-6	0-4	2-7	3-7	2L

West Pacific	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Lakers	11	4	0.733	117.9	115.2	2.7	4-2	7-2	1-1	8-3	8-2	3W
Suns	10	6	0.625	119	114	5	7-2	3-4	3-2	9-5	8-2	2W
Warriors	9	9	0.5	114.8	114.9	-0.1	5-1	4-8	3-1	8-5	4-6	3L
Clippers	4	11	0.267	111	117.1	-6.1	3-5	1-6	1-3	4-6	1-9	3L
Kings	3	13	0.188	111	124.4	-13.4	2-5	1-8	1-2	2-11	1-9	8L

West Southwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Spurs	11	4	0.733	119.3	112.3	7	8-2	3-2	5-0	6-4	6-4	3W
Rockets	10	4	0.714	122.9	112.5	10.4	5-2	5-2	2-1	3-3	8-2	1L
Grizzlies	5	11	0.313	112.8	117.8	-5	4-5	1-6	2-2	4-5	2-8	1W
Mavericks	5	12	0.294	110.8	116.8	-6	4-8	1-4	1-4	2-8	3-7	1W
Pelicans	2	14	0.125	109.3	121.8	-12.5	1-7	1-7	1-4	1-13	2-8	8L

Eastern Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Pistons	13	2	0.867	118.9	112.1	6.8	8-1	5-1	2-2	9-2	10-0	11W
Raptors	11	5	0.688	121.1	114.6	6.5	4-2	7-3	2-1	10-2	9-1	6W
Cavaliers	11	6	0.647	119.9	115.6	4.3	7-3	4-3	5-0	10-5	7-3	1W
Knicks	9	5	0.643	120.8	114.9	5.9	8-1	1-4	2-0	6-5	7-3	1W
Heat	10	6	0.625	124.8	119	5.8	7-1	3-5	2-1	6-3	7-3	3W
76ers	9	6	0.6	118.4	116.1	2.3	5-3	4-3	4-2	8-6	5-5	1W
Hawks	9	7	0.563	117.8	115.7	2.1	2-4	7-3	2-0	4-5	6-4	2L
Magic	9	7	0.563	116.7	113.1	3.6	6-3	3-4	3-2	6-6	7-3	2W
Bulls	8	7	0.533	120.7	123.3	-2.6	5-2	3-5	1-3	5-5	3-7	1L
Bucks	8	8	0.5	117.4	119	-1.6	5-4	3-4	2-2	6-5	4-6	3L
Celtics	8	8	0.5	113.2	108.8	4.4	4-4	4-4	2-4	5-6	5-5	1L
Hornets	4	11	0.267	116.6	120.2	-3.6	3-4	1-7	1-3	3-7	2-8	4L
Nets	3	12	0.2	109.9	120.2	-10.3	0-7	3-5	1-4	3-9	3-7	1W
Pacers	2	14	0.125	110.1	122.9	-12.8	2-5	0-9	0-3	1-6	1-9	1L
Wizards	1	14	0.067	112.4	129.7	-17.3	0-6	1-8	0-2	0-10	0-10	13L

Western Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	16	1	0.941	122.6	106.3	16.3	7-0	9-1	1-1	12-1	9-1	8W
Nuggets	12	3	0.8	123.8	112.8	11	6-1	6-2	2-1	10-2	9-1	2W
Lakers	11	4	0.733	117.9	115.2	2.7	4-2	7-2	1-1	8-3	8-2	3W
Spurs	11	4	0.733	119.3	112.3	7	8-2	3-2	5-0	6-4	6-4	3W
Rockets	10	4	0.714	122.9	112.5	10.4	5-2	5-2	2-1	3-3	8-2	1L
Suns	10	6	0.625	119	114	5	7-2	3-4	3-2	9-5	8-2	2W
Timberwolves	10	6	0.625	120.1	114.1	6	5-3	5-3	3-2	6-5	7-3	1L
Warriors	9	9	0.5	114.8	114.9	-0.1	5-1	4-8	3-1	8-5	4-6	3L
Trail Blazers	7	9	0.438	121.1	122.5	-1.4	3-4	4-5	3-1	7-6	3-7	1W
Jazz	5	10	0.333	118.9	126.1	-7.2	4-4	1-6	0-4	2-7	3-7	2L
Grizzlies	5	11	0.313	112.8	117.8	-5	4-5	1-6	2-2	4-5	2-8	1W
Mavericks	5	12	0.294	110.8	116.8	-6	4-8	1-4	1-4	2-8	3-7	1W
Clippers	4	11	0.267	111	117.1	-6.1	3-5	1-6	1-3	4-6	1-9	3L
Kings	3	13	0.188	111	124.4	-13.4	2-5	1-8	1-2	2-11	1-9	8L
Pelicans	2	14	0.125	109.3	121.8	-12.5	1-7	1-7	1-4	1-13	2-8	8L

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	16	1	0.941	122.6	106.3	16.3	7-0	9-1	1-1	12-1	9-1	8W
Pistons	13	2	0.867	118.9	112.1	6.8	8-1	5-1	2-2	9-2	10-0	11W
Nuggets	12	3	0.8	123.8	112.8	11	6-1	6-2	2-1	10-2	9-1	2W
Lakers	11	4	0.733	117.9	115.2	2.7	4-2	7-2	1-1	8-3	8-2	3W
Spurs	11	4	0.733	119.3	112.3	7	8-2	3-2	5-0	6-4	6-4	3W
Rockets	10	4	0.714	122.9	112.5	10.4	5-2	5-2	2-1	3-3	8-2	1L
Raptors	11	5	0.688	121.1	114.6	6.5	4-2	7-3	2-1	10-2	9-1	6W
Cavaliers	11	6	0.647	119.9	115.6	4.3	7-3	4-3	5-0	10-5	7-3	1W
Knicks	9	5	0.643	120.8	114.9	5.9	8-1	1-4	2-0	6-5	7-3	1W
Heat	10	6	0.625	124.8	119	5.8	7-1	3-5	2-1	6-3	7-3	3W
Timberwolves	10	6	0.625	120.1	114.1	6	5-3	5-3	3-2	6-5	7-3	1L
Suns	10	6	0.625	119	114	5	7-2	3-4	3-2	9-5	8-2	2W
76ers	9	6	0.6	118.4	116.1	2.3	5-3	4-3	4-2	8-6	5-5	1W
Hawks	9	7	0.563	117.8	115.7	2.1	2-4	7-3	2-0	4-5	6-4	2L
Magic	9	7	0.563	116.7	113.1	3.6	6-3	3-4	3-2	6-6	7-3	2W
Bulls	8	7	0.533	120.7	123.3	-2.6	5-2	3-5	1-3	5-5	3-7	1L
Celtics	8	8	0.5	113.2	108.8	4.4	4-4	4-4	2-4	5-6	5-5	1L
Warriors	9	9	0.5	114.8	114.9	-0.1	5-1	4-8	3-1	8-5	4-6	3L
Bucks	8	8	0.5	117.4	119	-1.6	5-4	3-4	2-2	6-5	4-6	3L
Trail Blazers	7	9	0.438	121.1	122.5	-1.4	3-4	4-5	3-1	7-6	3-7	1W
Jazz	5	10	0.333	118.9	126.1	-7.2	4-4	1-6	0-4	2-7	3-7	2L
Grizzlies	5	11	0.313	112.8	117.8	-5	4-5	1-6	2-2	4-5	2-8	1W
Mavericks	5	12	0.294	110.8	116.8	-6	4-8	1-4	1-4	2-8	3-7	1W
Hornets	4	11	0.267	116.6	120.2	-3.6	3-4	1-7	1-3	3-7	2-8	4L
Clippers	4	11	0.267	111	117.1	-6.1	3-5	1-6	1-3	4-6	1-9	3L
Nets	3	12	0.2	109.9	120.2	-10.3	0-7	3-5	1-4	3-9	3-7	1W
Kings	3	13	0.188	111	124.4	-13.4	2-5	1-8	1-2	2-11	1-9	8L
Pacers	2	14	0.125	110.1	122.9	-12.8	2-5	0-9	0-3	1-6	1-9	1L
Pelicans	2	14	0.125	109.3	121.8	-12.5	1-7	1-7	1-4	1-13	2-8	8L
Wizards	1	14	0.067	112.4	129.7	-17.3	0-6	1-8	0-2	0-10	0-10	13L

• W = Wins
• L = Losses
• PCT = Winning Percentage
• PPG = Points Per Game
• OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
• DIFF = Average Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Road = Away Record
• Div = Division Record
• Conf = Conference Record
• Last 10 = Record last 10 games
• Strk = Current Streak

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