Sam Houston vs Middle Tennessee Prediction, Picks & Odds | 04 Jan 2026

College Basketball Betting Preview: Sam Houston vs Middle Tennessee

The Sam Houston Bearkats square off against the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders, with tip-off scheduled for 14:00 on Sunday, January 4.

We are happy to get with Sam Houston against the spread. -110 is available that they are able to cover +4.5 against Middle Tenn and that looks very reasonable.

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Sam Houston Bearkats suffered a defeat in their previous game. A 102-91 scoreline occurred on the road against Western Kentucky Hilltoppers.

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders were winners last time out. It was a 88-51 home victory against Louisiana Tech Bulldogs.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Middle Tenn have won back-to-back matchups against Sam Houston. It was a 77-75 victory on the road that was followed by a 74-70 home win. The H2H over the past 4 games have seen two wins for both teams.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Middle Tennessee	9-5	1074	972	102	8-2	1-3	2W
Sam Houston	8-6	1215	1067	148	4-0	4-6	2L

View Full Standings

Sam Houston vs Middle Tennessee Prediction & Picks

Get ahead of the game with our Sam Houston vs Middle Tennessee betting rundown, featuring our trusted match prediction, most likely correct score outcome and a fully loaded bet builder.

Game Prediction

There’s a great opportunity to back Sam Houston against the spread considering they should perform well in this college contest. Snap up the -110 when it comes to the underdogs covering the +4.5.

Our college basketball handicappers start by reviewing the latest team news for each team, followed by a close look at recent form. That information is then applied to the most relevant stats to reach a well-informed verdict.

Key Sam Houston vs Middle Tennessee stats:

• The +4.5 line has been covered by Sam Houston in 7 of their last 10 games.
• The +4.5 line has been covered by Sam Houston in 13 of their last 20 games.
• The -4.5 line hasn’t been covered by Middle Tenn in 7 of their last 10 games.
• The -4.5 line hasn’t been covered by Middle Tenn in 12 of their last 20 games.
• The -4.5 line hasn’t been covered by Middle Tenn in 4 consecutive games against Sam Houston.

Sam Houston +4.5 Probability

The top sportsbooks make it a 52.4% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. Based on our in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 60%. This is why we regard this as a value bet.

If you want to secure a bigger potential payout on your wager, there’s the possibility to move the line. Take a look at the various prices and see which spread you think will be covered.

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Our Game Prediction

Sam Houston +4.5 @ -110 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Sam Houston 77 - 76 Middle Tennessee

There’s every chance that this is going to be a close game and we’ll have a play on the Kats enjoying a 77-76 winning scoreline. Hopefully this can go close.

Sam Houston vs Middle Tennessee Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

With a 72% chance of securing victory, Middle Tennessee are favorites for this college game and the sportsbooks have them at betting odds of -256. At +205, Sam Houston are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.

The current spread is 5.5 and total points is 156.5. A Total wager relates to the number of points that will be scored overall. If you want to bet Under 156.5, there are odds of -105.

The top basketball sportsbooks offer a huge selection of game lines and team props when it comes to most college games. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.

Moneyline

Sam Houston

+205

Middle Tenn

-256

Point Spread

Sam Houston +5.5

-115

Middle Tenn -5.5

-105

Total Points

Under 156.5

-105

Over 156.5

-115

Prop bets don’t involve betting on a team to win and instead might look at a player’s individual performance. For example, the number of Points they might score or the number of Assists they might have.

Among the various options for wagering on college basketball, you will find that micro betting is provided. It focuses on short-term in-game outcomes such as Next Field Goal, where you select if the shot will be a two or three-pointer.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Sam Houston Stats

Middle Tennessee Stats

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +4.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• +4.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -4.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games
• -4.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 165.40 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 165.60 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 157.5: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games
• Over 157.5 on the Road: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 89.70 pts and allowed 75.70 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 81.80 pts and allowed 83.80 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 144.60 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 156.40 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 157.5: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games
• Over 157.5 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 72.00 pts and allowed 72.60 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 84.90 pts and allowed 71.50 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Conference USA	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Liberty	11-3	1138	954	184	8-1	3-2	5W
Middle Tennessee	9-5	1074	972	102	8-2	1-3	2W
Missouri State	9-5	1048	973	75	8-2	1-3	5W
FIU	9-5	1222	1094	128	9-2	0-3	2W
Western Kentucky	9-5	1164	1075	89	8-2	1-3	2W
New Mexico State	8-5	1009	899	110	7-1	1-4	2L
Louisiana Tech	8-6	973	827	146	8-0	0-6	2L
Kennesaw State	8-6	1245	1061	184	6-1	2-5	4L
Sam Houston	8-6	1215	1067	148	4-0	4-6	2L
Jacksonville State	7-7	1035	905	130	5-4	2-3	1L
Delaware	5-9	926	990	-64	4-6	1-3	1W
UTEP	4-10	978	1013	-35	4-3	0-7	3L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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