Seattle Storm vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction, Picks & Odds | 17 May 2025

Storm Against The Spread?

We’re backing the Storm against the spread when playing the Mercury. It could be shrewd to wager the favorites to cover the attractive -3 line, with odds of -110 on offer.

7 Storm Victories in Previous 10 H2H Matchups

Seattle Storm were defeated in their previous game. On the road, they suffered a 83-76 reverse against Las Vegas Aces in game 2 of the first playoff round. The Storm lost the series 2-0.

Phoenix Mercury were beaten last game and this was on the road at Target Center. Minnesota Lynx claimed a 101-88 win in the first playoff round, with Mercury losing the series 2-0.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Storm have won seven of the past 10 games that these teams have played.

WNBA	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
4  Mercury	27	17	3643	3525	118	15-7	12-10	3L
7  Storm	23	21	3614	3524	90	10-12	13-9	1W

View Full Standings

Seattle Storm vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction & Picks

Storm at -3 could be the best wager to have on the spread. -110 is available and our pick would mean a solid victory for the favorites in this WNBA matchup.

The formbook is always a good place to start ahead of making WNBA picks. Team news is also an important port of call, while the stats we present always tell an interesting story.

Key Storm vs Mercury stats:

• The +3 line hasn’t been covered by Mercury in 4 of their last 5 games at home.
• The +3 line hasn’t been covered by Mercury in 7 of their last 10 games.
• The +3 line hasn’t been covered by Mercury in 3 consecutive games.
• The +3 line hasn’t been covered by Mercury in 2 consecutive games against Storm.

Storm -3 Probability

When you look at the latest odds, our pick has a 52.4% chance of landing a return. Taking all factors into consideration, our cappers think there’s a stronger chance of success and estimate the probability to be closer to 60%. The bet can be recommended for this precise reason.

There are bigger prices available to bettors who are willing to move the line. If you’re prepared for additional risk, more juice can be landed from your betting selections.

Best Bet

Storm -3 @ -110 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Kahleah Copper Under 4.5 Rebounds -164

Kahleah Copper (Mercury) is available at -164 to have Under 4.5 rebounds. We think there’s a generous line on offer that she fails to cover the Player Rebounds total.

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Skylar Diggins Under 6.5 Assists -118

Skylar Diggins (Storm) can be backed to register Under 6.5 assists at -118. There are a number of reasons that suggest she will fall short of the total when it comes to Player Assists.

Correct Score Prediction

Storm 85 - 78 Mercury

A 85-78 win for the Storm is clearly a risky wager although this could be an exciting correct score option where there’s the chance to enjoy a huge potential return.

Seattle Storm vs Phoenix Mercury Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Storm Made Favorites by the Books

Seattle Storm have the shortest price to win this WNBA game, with the sportsbooks giving them a 72% probability due to their -263 Moneyline betting odds. At +210, Phoenix Mercury are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.

The current spread is 6.5 and total points is 156. Basketball bettors regularly enjoy the opportunity to wager on the Totals. If you fancy Over 156, this outcome can be backed at -112.

If you’re betting on basketball, we recommend heading to the betting sites and scanning through the many team props and game lines. There’s a chance to wager pre-game and in-game.

Moneyline

Storm

-263

Mercury

+210

Point Spread

Storm -6.5

-114

Mercury +6.5

-106

Total Points

Under 156

-108

Over 156

-112

Satou Sabally Favorite to Score the Most Points

Satou Sabally is the favorite to land the most baskets. You can back -103 that she gets Over 19.5 points. Alternatively, Under is trading at -132.

Satou Sabally (Mercury)

Over 19.5

-103

Under 19.5

-132

Kahleah Copper (Mercury)

Over 18.5

-105

Under 18.5

-128

Nneka Ogwumike (Storm)

Over 17.5

-130

Under 17.5

-104

Skylar Diggins (Storm)

Over 16.5

-105

Under 16.5

-128

Ezi Magbegor (Storm)

Over 12.5

-111

Under 12.5

-122

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 12.5

-106

Under 12.5

-127

Gabby Williams (Storm)

Over 10.5

-102

Under 10.5

-133

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 7.5

-120

Under 7.5

-112

Skylar Diggins (Storm)

Over 6.5

-108

Under 6.5

-125

Satou Sabally (Mercury)

Over 4.5

-111

Under 4.5

-122

Gabby Williams (Storm)

Over 3.5

-161

Under 3.5

+120

Nneka Ogwumike (Storm)

Over 8.5

+108

Under 8.5

-147

Ezi Magbegor (Storm)

Over 8.5

-103

Under 8.5

-132

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 8.5

-118

Under 8.5

-115

Satou Sabally (Mercury)

Over 6.5

-135

Under 6.5

-100

Kahleah Copper (Mercury)

Over 4.5

+120

Under 4.5

-164

Gabby Williams (Storm)

Over 3.5

-156

Under 3.5

+114

Micro Betting

It’s good to consider all wagering options when it comes to basketball and micro betting can be an exciting way to get involved in the action. When everything goes in-game, consider whether the next shot will be a Two or a Three-pointer.

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Seattle Storm Stats

Phoenix Mercury Stats

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -6 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• -6 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +6 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• +6 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 157.00 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 153.00 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 156.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 156.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 77.70 pts and allowed 79.30 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 76.10 pts and allowed 76.90 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 159.00 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 155.90 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 156.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 156.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 79.70 pts and allowed 79.30 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 77.90 pts and allowed 78.00 pts in the last 10 home games

WNBA Table Select Season 20252024202320222021202020192018

Team	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Lynx	34	10	3787	3373	414	20-2	14-8	1W
2  Aces	30	14	3680	3552	128	17-5	13-9	16W
3  Dream	30	14	3712	3378	334	16-6	14-8	6W
4  Mercury	27	17	3643	3525	118	15-7	12-10	3L
5  Liberty	27	17	3713	3534	179	17-5	10-12	3W
6  Fever	24	20	3734	3586	148	13-9	11-11	3W
7  Storm	23	21	3614	3524	90	10-12	13-9	1W
8  Valkyries	23	21	3420	3359	61	14-8	9-13	3L
9  Sparks	21	23	3769	3882	-113	9-13	12-10	1L
10  Mystics	16	28	3394	3589	-195	10-12	6-16	10L
11  Sun	11	33	3337	3782	-445	7-15	4-18	2L
12  Sky	10	34	3335	3777	-442	6-16	4-18	4L
13  Wings	10	34	3594	3871	-277	6-16	4-18	1W