Seattle Storm vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction, Picks & Odds | 07 Jun 2025

Mercury to Make Life Tough for Storm

Our best bet is the Mercury at +6 on the spread. A win or narrow defeat against the Storm would mean our wager at -110 lands a return.

Storm Have 8 Wins in Last 10 H2H Matchups

Seattle Storm previous game saw them claim a 83-77 home win over Dallas Wings at Climate Pledge Arena.

Phoenix Mercury won their last game, beating Golden State Valkyries at home. It was a 86-77 win at Footprint Center.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Storm won the most recent matchup between these teams. A 77-70 victory was registered against the Mercury at Climate Pledge Arena. The previous 10 H2H meetings have involved the Storm winning eight times.

WNBA	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
4  Mercury	27	16	3567	3428	139	15-7	12-9	2L
8  Storm	23	21	3614	3524	90	10-12	13-9	1W

View Full Standings

Seattle Storm vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction & Picks

Our pick is that Mercury will cover the line and prove to be competitive. It’s currently set at +6 for this WNBA matchup and that makes plenty of appeal, with -110 available.

It’s always a case of checking out the latest team news to make expert WNBA predictions. Then we get to work when it comes to unearthing the stats that are the most valuable.

Key Storm vs Mercury stats:

• The +6 line has been covered by Mercury in 6 consecutive games at home.
• The +6 line has been covered by Mercury in 7 of their last 10 games.
• The +6 line has been covered by Mercury in 13 of their last 20 games at home.
• The -6 line hasn’t been covered by Storm in 4 of their last 5 games on the road.
• The -6 line hasn’t been covered by Storm in 6 of their last 10 games.

Mercury +6 Probability

According to the sportsbooks, our pick has a 52.4% chance of winning. Based on our analysts in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 60%. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.

You have the choice to buy or sell points depending on which direction you want to move the line. Decide whether or not you want to play it safer or take a riskier option.

Best Bet

Mercury +6 @ -110 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Satou Sabally Over 2.5 Assists -139

Satou Sabally (Mercury) can be wagered to register Over 2.5 assists at -139. The total is attractive when it comes to betting on Player Assists and we’re confident of landing a return.

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A'ja Wilson Over 11.5 Rebounds -123

A'ja Wilson (Aces) is available at -123 to register Over 11.5 rebounds. We think that the value can be found by betting on Player Rebounds and we’re expecting her to go over the line.

Correct Score Prediction

Storm 75 - 74 Mercury

There’s every chance that this is going to be a close contest and we’ll have a play on the Storm enjoying a 75-74 winning scoreline. Hopefully this can go close.

Seattle Storm vs Phoenix Mercury Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Books Have Storm as Favorites

The sportsbooks have Seattle Storm at -250 when it comes to the Moneyline betting, implying the favorites are 71% likely to win this game according to the latest odds. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, Phoenix Mercury are trading at +198.

The current spread is 5.5 and the total points line is 155.5. The Totals offers basketball bettors an alternative way of getting involved. Those that want to back Under 155.5 can find odds of -110 available.

There are a huge selection of game lines and team props when it comes to wagering on this fantastic league and we recommend visiting the top betting sites to find the wager that matches your view on the game.

Moneyline

Storm

-250

Mercury

+198

Point Spread

Storm -5.5

-108

Mercury +5.5

-112

Total Points

Under 155.5

-110

Over 155.5

-110

Satou Sabally Favorite to Score the Most Points

In terms of hitting the most buckets, favorite Satou Sabally is available at -105 to rack up Over 20.5 points. If you want to go Under, then -128 is available.

Satou Sabally (Mercury)

Over 20.5

-105

Under 20.5

-128

Skylar Diggins (Storm)

Over 17.5

-105

Under 17.5

-128

Nneka Ogwumike (Storm)

Over 16.5

-130

Under 16.5

-104

Gabby Williams (Storm)

Over 13.5

-125

Under 13.5

-109

Ezi Magbegor (Storm)

Over 8.5

-115

Under 8.5

-118

Sami Whitcomb (Mercury)

Over 8.5

-106

Under 8.5

-127

Skylar Diggins (Storm)

Over 6.5

-100

Under 6.5

-135

Satou Sabally (Mercury)

Over 3.5

+120

Under 3.5

-161

Gabby Williams (Storm)

Over 3.5

-130

Under 3.5

-104

Satou Sabally (Mercury)

Over 8.5

-100

Under 8.5

-135

Nneka Ogwumike (Storm)

Over 8.5

-111

Under 8.5

-122

Ezi Magbegor (Storm)

Over 7.5

-119

Under 7.5

-114

Micro Betting

Micro betting provides a rollercoaster ride for basketball bettors. It can be great to enjoy the live lines, with the opportunity to wager on the Next Field Goal. Watch the live action before deciding which way to go.

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Seattle Storm Stats

Phoenix Mercury Stats

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -6 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• -6 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +6 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• +6 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 157.00 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 153.00 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 156.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 156.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 77.70 pts and allowed 79.30 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 76.10 pts and allowed 76.90 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 159.00 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 155.90 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 156.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 156.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 79.70 pts and allowed 79.30 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 77.90 pts and allowed 78.00 pts in the last 10 home games

WNBA Table Select Season 20252024202320222021202020192018

Team	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Lynx	33	10	3715	3320	395	19-2	14-8	1L
2  Dream	29	14	3624	3306	318	16-6	13-8	5W
3  Aces	29	14	3577	3477	100	17-5	12-9	15W
4  Mercury	27	16	3567	3428	139	15-7	12-9	2L
5  Liberty	26	17	3622	3448	174	17-5	9-12	2W
6  Fever	24	20	3734	3586	148	13-9	11-11	3W
7  Valkyries	23	20	3367	3287	80	14-8	9-12	2L
8  Storm	23	21	3614	3524	90	10-12	13-9	1W
9  Sparks	21	22	3694	3779	-85	9-12	12-10	2W
10  Mystics	16	28	3394	3589	-195	10-12	6-16	10L
11  Sun	11	32	3265	3694	-429	7-14	4-18	1L
12  Sky	10	33	3249	3686	-437	6-15	4-18	3L
13  Wings	9	34	3497	3795	-298	5-16	4-18	10L