South East Melbourne Phoenix vs Cairns Taipans Prediction, Betting Tips & Odds | 20 Sep 2025

NBL Betting Preview: South East Melbourne Phoenix vs Cairns Taipans

South East Melbourne Phoenix host Cairns Taipans in this NBL game, with tip-off set for 03:30 on Saturday 20 September. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds and H2H stats.

There are odds of -106 about Over 185.5 points and this looks very generous when South East Melbourne face Cairns. The bar might have been set too low in terms of the total line.

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South East Melbourne Phoenix ended last season with a 126-96 road defeat to Illawarra Hawks in Game 3 of the 2024/25 semi-finals.

Cairns Taipans lost their final game of last season, suffering a 90-83 regular season road defeat to Tasmania JackJumpers.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The last encounter between South East Melbourne and Cairns saw the former win. It was a 113-102 scoreline. South East Melbourne have three straight victories against Cairns. They have won 5 of the 10 previous head-to-head meetings.

NBL	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
3  SEM Phoenix	11	6	1648	1517	131	6-3	5-3	1W
10  Cairns Taipans	4	13	1382	1604	-222	1-9	3-4	1L

View Full Standings

South East Melbourne Phoenix vs Cairns Taipans Prediction & Betting Tips

Get fully prepped for South East Melbourne Phoenix vs Cairns Taipans with our betting guide, featuring our expert match pick, predicted scoreline and a value-focused bet builder. Read on for the full breakdown.

Game Prediction

Over 185.5 points seems like a realistic outcome for this NBL matchup. We’re taking odds of -106 considering that the total line looks to be too low here.

Our team of NBL experts monitor the current injuries. When integrated with the latest form, this helps us secure the value odds. Our data-led approach backed up by key stats always proves useful.

Key South East Melbourne vs Cairns league stats:

• The 185.5 line has been covered in 19 of the last 20 SEM Phoenix games.
• The 185.5 line has been covered in 9 of the last 10 SEM Phoenix games.
• The 185.5 line has been covered in the last 3 SEM Phoenix games.
• The 185.5 line has been covered in 4 of the last 5 Cairns games.
• The 185.5 line has been covered in 7 of the last 10 Cairns games.
• The 185.5 line has been covered in the last 2 games between these teams.

Over 185.5 Probability

If you go by the top basketball betting sites, our pick has a 51.5% chance of delivering a return. Taking all factors into consideration, our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and estimate the probability to be closer to 60%. This is why we regard this as a value bet.

The betting sites allow you to shoot for bigger odds by moving the line on the Totals. Choose a number where you’re happy and get more juice.

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Our Game Prediction

Over 185.5 Points @ -106 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

SEM Phoenix 96 - 95 Cairns Taipans

We’ll roll the dice and go for SEM Phoenix to register a 96-95 victory. We don’t think that there will be too much between the teams and we’re happy to take the massive odds.

South East Melbourne Phoenix vs Cairns Taipans Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

With the sportsbooks giving them a 69% probability of winning this NBL game, South East Melbourne Phoenix might be a popular parlay pick. That is reflected in their -222 Moneyline betting odds. The market suggests that Cairns Taipans are least likely to win at +175.

The spread is calculated to be 5.5, while total points comes in at 186.5. There is no denying the popularity of wagering on the Totals. If you want to back Over 186.5, it’s -111.

Before placing your NBL bets, make sure to think through every possible outcome. With the best betting sites offering an extensive range of game lines and team props, it’s all about picking the market that fits your prediction for the contest.

Moneyline

SEM Phoenix

-222

Cairns

+175

Point Spread

SEM Phoenix -5.5

-111

Cairns +5.5

-111

Total Points

Under 186.5

-111

Over 186.5

-111

The gambling sites also allow you to place player prop bets such as Points, Assists, Steals and Rebounds. This means you can focus on an individual player’s performance rather than wager on the actual outcome of the game in question.

It’s good to consider all wagering options when it comes to the NBL and micro betting can be an exciting way to get involved in the action. When everything goes live, consider whether the next shot will be a Two or a Three-pointer.

Latest 0 regular season and play-off games stats.

SEM Phoenix Stats

Cairns Taipans Stats

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 home games

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -5.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• -5.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +5.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• +5.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 198.90 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 192.30 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 185.5: Covered in 9 of the previous 10 games
• Over 185.5 at Home: Covered in 9 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 98.60 pts and allowed 100.30 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 102.00 pts and allowed 90.30 pts in the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 195.80 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 195.10 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 185.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 185.5 on the Road: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 98.30 pts and allowed 97.50 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 96.80 pts and allowed 98.30 pts in the last 10 games on the road

NBL Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/20201997

Team	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Adelaide 36ers	14	4	1678	1564	114	8-2	6-2	1L
2  Melbourne United	13	6	1821	1701	120	7-2	6-4	4L
3  SEM Phoenix	11	6	1648	1517	131	6-3	5-3	1W
4  Sydney Kings	10	7	1571	1469	102	4-3	6-4	3W
5  Perth Wildcats	10	8	1601	1563	38	4-5	6-3	1W
6  JackJumpers	8	10	1541	1550	-9	2-6	6-4	2W
7  NZ Breakers	7	11	1598	1590	8	4-5	3-6	1L
8  Illawarra Hawks	6	10	1444	1551	-107	4-5	2-5	1W
9  Brisbane Bullets	5	13	1543	1718	-175	1-7	4-6	6L
10  Cairns Taipans	4	13	1382	1604	-222	1-9	3-4	1L

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