South East Melbourne Phoenix vs Perth Wildcats Prediction, Betting Tips & Odds | 04 Mar 2026

NBL Betting Preview: South East Melbourne Phoenix vs Perth Wildcats

South East Melbourne Phoenix host Perth Wildcats, with tip-off set for 03:30 on Wednesday 4 March.

With Perth being given a line of +4.5 to overcome, our betting prediction is that they can cover this against South East Melbourne. There’s the opportunity to get -118 for this outcome.

South East Melbourne Phoenix were beaten last game and this was on the road. Melbourne United claimed a 95-91 win.

Perth Wildcats won their previous game, beating Adelaide 36ers at home. It was a 86-74 victory.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Perth have beaten South East Melbourne in their last two encounters. On the road, they won 107-97 and followed up with a 101-93 home win. The previous 10 H2H meetings have involved Perth winning seven times.

NBL	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
3  SEM Phoenix	22	11	3324	3061	263	11-5	11-6	1L
4  Perth Wildcats	21	12	2996	2840	156	10-7	11-5	1W

View Full Standings

South East Melbourne Phoenix vs Perth Wildcats Prediction & Betting Tips

Step into South East Melbourne Phoenix vs Perth Wildcats with confidence, armed with our expert match prediction, likely scoreline and a custom-built bet builder for maximum value.

Game Prediction

Let’s back Perth in this NBL game. They have been given a generous +4.5 on the spread. We think -118 can be taken with confidence that the underdogs cover the line.

The basketball picks are only made once we have established the latest team news. It’s also important to study the form and investigate the most relevant NBL stats to get the full picture.

Key South East Melbourne vs Perth league stats:

• The +4.5 line has been covered by Perth in 9 of their last 10 games.
• The +4.5 line has been covered by Perth in 16 of their last 20 games.
• The -4.5 line hasn’t been covered by SEM Phoenix in 3 consecutive games against Perth.

Wildcats +4.5 Probability

The top betting sites imply that our pick has a 54.1% prospect of winning. Our analysts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be closer to 60%. This is why we regard this as a value bet.

Want bigger odds when it comes to your wager? Never fear, you are able to head to the betting sites and move the line until you’re happy with the price.

Getting ready to place a wager? Check our updated guide for the latest betting offers, including free bets and the newest promos codes.

Our Game Prediction

Perth +4.5 @ -118 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Mar 3, 08:02). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

SEM Phoenix 97 - 98 Perth Wildcats

Perth Wildcats are available at massive odds to register a 98-97 victory and they might have the edge. This should be a close game and there won’t be much between the teams.

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South East Melbourne Phoenix vs Perth Wildcats Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

With the sportsbooks giving them a 64% probability of winning this NBL game, South East Melbourne Phoenix might be a popular parlay pick. That is reflected in their -179 Moneyline betting odds. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, Perth Wildcats are trading at +143.

The spread is calculated to be 4.5, while total points comes in at 190.5. A Total wager is always available and can often provide value selections. If you want to wager Over 190.5, there are odds of -109.

With a full slate of game lines and team props available for every NBL matchup, the top betting apps give you plenty of ways to get in on the action. Explore your options and make your move.

Moneyline

SEM Phoenix

-179

Perth

+143

Point Spread

SEM Phoenix -4.5

-105

Perth +4.5

-118

Total Points

Under 190.5

-114

Over 190.5

-109

As an alternative to the game lines and team props, check out the player props that are available. These can be a great alternative if you want to focus on a player’s performance. The best gambling sites will provide lots of options.

There are some exciting NBL micro betting lines that are created and they are available in-game. Among them are Next Field Goal, where you select if the shot will be a two or three-pointer. The long-ball option pays better, and in today’s game, you can never discount the three-pointer.

Latest 0 regular season and play-off games stats.

SEM Phoenix Stats

Perth Wildcats Stats

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games

Moneyline

• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -4.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• -4.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +4.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games
• +4.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 202.60 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 203.90 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 190.5: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games
• Over 190.5 at Home: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 104.90 pts and allowed 97.70 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 106.10 pts and allowed 97.80 pts in the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 180.10 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 182.70 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 190.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 190.5 on the Road: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 94.70 pts and allowed 85.40 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 93.60 pts and allowed 89.10 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Live streaming is available for NBL games depending on where you are located. Sign into your funded sportsbook account and enjoy the action.

It’s great to watch live sports and you’ll find a wide range of choice with the leading betting apps.

SEM Phoenix vs Perth Wildcats Live Stream Watch Live Geo-restrictions apply. To use the services you need to be logged in, a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours.

NBL Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/20201997

Team	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Sydney Kings	24	9	3276	2879	397	13-4	11-5	11W
2  Adelaide 36ers	23	10	3042	2890	152	12-5	11-5	1L
3  SEM Phoenix	22	11	3324	3061	263	11-5	11-6	1L
4  Perth Wildcats	21	12	2996	2840	156	10-7	11-5	1W
5  Melbourne United	20	13	3041	2905	136	11-6	9-7	1W
6  JackJumpers	14	19	2873	2884	-11	6-10	8-9	2L
7  NZ Breakers	13	20	3022	3058	-36	7-9	6-11	1W
8  Illawarra Hawks	13	20	3074	3205	-131	7-9	6-11	2W
9  Cairns Taipans	9	24	2754	3194	-440	4-13	5-11	2L
10  Brisbane Bullets	6	27	2710	3196	-486	2-14	4-13	13L

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