Southern vs Texas State Prediction, Picks & Odds | 10 Dec 2025

College Basketball Betting Preview: Southern vs Texas State

The Southern Jaguars face the Texas State Bobcats, with tip-off scheduled for 20:30 on Wednesday, December 10.

The Overs is sticking out like a sore thumb considering the line for Southern and Texas State is set at 138.5. We’re expecting a bigger total and -110 is available.

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Southern Jaguars suffered a defeat in their previous game. A 95-69 scoreline occurred on the road against Texas Longhorns.

Texas State Bobcats were defeated in their last game. On the road, they suffered a 77-72 reverse against Rice Owls.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Texas State	6-5	809	720	89	6-1	0-4	3L
Southern	4-5	807	719	88	3-0	1-5	1L

View Full Standings

Southern vs Texas State Prediction & Picks

Get ahead of the game with our Southern vs Texas State betting rundown, featuring our trusted match prediction, most likely correct score outcome and a fully loaded bet builder.

Game Prediction

We’re confident that Over 138.5 is the value play at -110. We’re expecting these college teams to rack up the points, so a total wager could be the way forward.

We closely track recent form and look for patterns that may impact the outcome. The same goes for injuries to key players. When combined with the most relevant college hoops stats, this gives us a strong foundation for accurate basketball picks.

Key Southern vs Texas State stats:

• The 138.5 line has been covered in the last 9 Southern games.
• The 138.5 line has been covered in 14 of the last 20 Southern games.
• The 138.5 line has been covered in 15 of the last 20 Texas State games at home.
• The 138.5 line has been covered in 6 of the last 10 Texas State games.
• The 138.5 line has been covered in the last 2 Texas State games.

Over 138.5 Probability

Based on the latest odds from the top sportsbooks, our pick carries a 52.4% chance of winning. Based on our analysts in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be 55-60%. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.

There are ways to increase the odds if you’re wanting to bet on Overs and one of them is wagering on the Match Result & Total lines where you also predict a team to win.

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Our Game Prediction

Over 138.5 Points @ -110 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Southern 68 - 74 Texas State

There are stacks of correct score lines on offer and we’re looking at Texas State to achieve a winning scoreline of 74-68 where a huge potential return is on the cards.

Southern vs Texas State Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

For this college game, the sportsbooks’ Moneyline betting odds mean Texas State are -156 favorites to win and that means a 61% chance of landing a victory. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +130 about Southern.

The spread currently stands at 2.5 and the total points line is 138.5. The advantage of the Totals is that you only have to choose from one of two options. If you want to back Over 138.5, it’s -115.

Consider every angle when placing your college basketball bets. The top betting apps offer a nice selection of team props and game lines and it’s all about finding a wager which matches your prediction of the contest.

Moneyline

Southern

+130

Texas State

-156

Point Spread

Southern +2.5

-110

Texas State -2.5

-110

Total Points

Under 138.5

-105

Over 138.5

-115

The best gambling sites offer player prop betting to their customers. These can be a great alternative if you want to focus on an individual’s performance within a game and it often involves wagering over or under a line.

An increasing number of bettors are now enjoying micro betting on college basketball and it’s something which is available on an in-game basis. Wait for the action to start and then wager on something specific to happen.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Southern Stats

Texas State Stats

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +2.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• +2.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -2.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• -2.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 165.30 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 159.80 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 138.5: Covered in 9 of the previous 10 games
• Over 138.5 on the Road: Covered in 9 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 86.90 pts and allowed 78.40 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 75.60 pts and allowed 84.20 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 139.80 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 144.40 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 138.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 138.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 76.10 pts and allowed 63.70 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 79.80 pts and allowed 64.60 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Sun Belt	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
South Alabama	8-2	756	689	67	4-0	4-2	1L
Arkansas State	7-3	808	796	12	4-0	3-3	4W
James Madison	7-4	826	816	10	6-0	1-4	2W
Coastal Carolina	6-4	765	705	60	3-0	3-4	1W
Southern Miss	6-4	779	725	54	5-0	1-4	1W
Marshall	5-4	721	716	5	3-1	2-3	3L
Troy	6-5	982	875	107	2-2	4-3	1W
Texas State	6-5	809	720	89	6-1	0-4	3L
Georgia Southern	6-5	883	880	3	4-1	2-4	3W
Appalachian State	5-5	745	672	73	4-1	1-4	1W
Old Dominion	3-7	753	786	-33	3-0	0-7	4L
UL Monroe	3-7	718	791	-73	3-2	0-5	1W
Georgia State	1-9	641	769	-128	1-2	0-7	6L
Louisiana	1-9	574	717	-143	1-3	0-6	8L

Southwestern Athletic	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Alabama A&M	4-4	527	591	-64	4-0	0-4	1L
Southern	4-5	807	719	88	3-0	1-5	1L
Prairie View	4-5	737	676	61	3-1	1-4	1W
Alabama State	3-6	715	733	-18	2-1	1-5	3L
Grambling State	3-6	625	655	-30	2-0	1-6	5L
Bethune-Cookman	3-6	664	709	-45	2-2	1-4	1W
Texas Southern	1-6	516	607	-91	1-2	0-4	1L
Jackson State	1-7	489	727	-238	0-1	1-6	1L
Miss Valley State	1-9	671	904	-233	1-1	0-8	8L
Arkansas-Pine Bluff	1-9	689	923	-234	0-0	1-9	1L
Alcorn State	1-9	665	903	-238	1-0	0-9	2L
Florida A&M	0-5	338	463	-125	0-1	0-4	5L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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